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GOLD - Falling Wedge ABCD PatternGOLD has broken down from bearish rectangular consolidation. Prior to bearish rectangle, a falling wedge was formed from recent highs. Now it seems falling wedge is part of ABCD pattern, which means there is one more leg downwards to go. In ABCD pattern, the size of the second move downwards is very much the same as first move (either in $ or % terms). The projected price of completion of this falling wedge with ABCD pattern is between 14 and 14.50 because this coincides with: - a number of trendlines and major support zone from Weekly timeframe meet between 14 and 15 - gap fill is at 14.66 Also, if we look at price range of first wedge pattern drop, it was about 22% (from point A to B). With the formation of ABCD, the second wedge pattern price drop is also likely to be about 22% from point C to D of ABCD pattern. Price is below SMA 20, 50 and 200 Buy around 14.50
NYSE:GOLD
by I_M_Shoaib
Forecasting Swing Levels in a Trend Using Elliot WaveHere's a simple template that can help you to draw good fib extensions off different useful swings when the is a possible Elliot wave pattern. This should help to flag up the high probability areas in a nice expression of the Elliot pattern and also give you warning levels to watch along the way in case the nice simple pattern fails. We're going to focus on two legs. There's a few more you can draw fibs from and have useful repeating ratios but to keep it simple I'm just going to focus on the two high value ones here. Working left to right on the chart notes: When we know waves 4-5 we can use it for wave C An extension fib drawn from low to high of the 4-5 swing (you'd know this was in when wave A breaks the trend) is very useful for determining the levels the market is likely to make a low and also the level which a capitulation event is likely. The 1.61 extension is the important level here. It can hold in a simple wave 4 spike out correction. If it breaks, usually price capitulates to at least the 2.20. More commonly the 2.61 in the event we're making a low (You'll usually find this is a 76 retracement of 1-5 also). In the first instance of a 4-5 fib, I've shown a 1.61 break. Bit of a dummy rally around the 1.61 (very common) and then the capitulation to the lower fibs. Which is more common in the first leg of a trend. Deep retracements are common in trend reversals. When we know 1-2 we can use it for levels for wave 3 When we know where waves 1-2 should be in our count we can draw an extension fib high to low on this. We can define waves 1-2 as being in by the breaking of the first wave 5 high. It's also possible to pre-emptively draw these fibs when you think we're at the end of wave C. Obviously these need checked and adjusted if things change. There are four main fib levels we use in this swing. 1.27, 1.61, 2.20 and 2.61. 1.27 and 1.61 levels here are expected to have pullbacks or soft stalls but ultimately break. They're levels to be careful. If it will fail these are hot spots for it, but once we have some reaction around 1.27 - 1.61 and a valid breakout we trend consistently to 2.20. That usually completes wave 3 of the trend. From 2.20 we'll get chop and some false reversals. This is wave 4. It'll go on for a while and be full of false breakouts. Every time something looks like it's happening, it's not. Eventually there's a false bear breakout and then a big spike to the 2.61. This completes waves 4-5. Now we're back to where we started. Once we know waves 4-5, these help with levels for C. Since we now are inside a developing trend rather than in the first leg of it, the retracement is likely to be shallower. Stopping a little past the 1.61. With the trading under there mainly being a wick. There's a big bounce from the 1.61. A pullback (usually to the 1.27) and then there's a break of the high. Once we have seen those legs, then we have our new 1-2 legs and we can use these to forecast where we expect the nice trending action of C. The soft resistance levels along the way that might turn the market if the Elliot thesis is incorrect and the target levels we know to look for the bigger crash correction. For so long as the Elliot cycle plays this, these things just keep rolling into each other and you can make pretty good forecasts of the trend levels.
NYSE:EDUEducation
by holeyprofit
$42.00 Entry, Technical AnalysisYeti just had a nice rally, breaking out of a long term price channel. RSI & Momentum are hot right now, this week looks like it will be a reversion. I'm looking at 2 supports right now, one the former resistance, and another formed on the rally. Sub $42.00 entry seems possible this coming week, perhaps next week. Based off Fibonacci levels, and some intersections, $41.29 looks to be the low. Sold some shares at $ 45.00 and looking to re-enter around $ 42.00
NYSE:YETILong
by NickTBrewer
$AMD DOUBLE BOTTOM EASY $175 BY NEXT EARNINGA double bottom pattern is a traditional technical analysis chart formation that signifies a significant trend reversal and a shift in momentum from a previous downward movement in market trading. It depicts a security or index experiencing an initial decline, followed by a rebound, then another decline to a level similar to the initial drop, and finally a subsequent rebound that may lead to a new uptrend. - PlayStation 6 Processor Contract : NASDAQ:AMD has secured the contract to supply processors for the upcoming PlayStation 6, surpassing Intel. This agreement ensures the sale of millions of custom chips and generates billions in revenue, solidifying AMD's position in the gaming console market. - Strong Financial Performance: NASDAQ:AMD reported remarkable revenue growth, with a 17.57% increase in the third quarter of 2024. This performance underscores AMD's robust market position and profitability. -AI and Semiconductor Supercycle: The semiconductor industry, including NASDAQ:AMD , is poised to benefit from the rising demand for AI-related products and services. This trend is expected to drive further growth and profitability for AMD. Positive Analyst Ratings: Numerous analysts have given NASDAQ:AMD a "Strong Buy" rating, with price targets ranging from $155 to $250. This optimistic outlook suggests significant potential gains in AMD's stock value. AS OF 12/16/2024 RSI (14) 33.31 52W Low 3.99%
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by sej4974
$NVTS - Presenting a buying opp. before it's massive 300% move! NASDAQ:NVTS As I said from the beginning, this name is going to be a bumpy ride, but I believe it's presenting another buying opportunity as we pull back to level 2 support at $2.90ish, which is also where the 9ema and falling wedge retest area are. I'm not concerned because we haven't started moving big on the IWM yet, and until then, most small caps won't move unless they have a catalyst. -H5 Indicator is GREEN -Searching for out support to create our Williams Consolidation Box officially -Two separate volume shelfs below. Everything is still intact; you just have to be patient. NFA
NASDAQ:NVTSLong
by RonnieV29
9
Eicher Motors might motor along. Eicher Motors Ltd. engages in the development, design, manufacture, assembly and sale of two-wheelers, as well as related parts and accessories. It operates through Domestic and Overseas geographical segments. The Domestic segment includes sales and services to customers located in India. The Overseas segment includes sales and services rendered to customers located outside India. Eicher Motors Ltd. CMP is 4838.50. The Positive aspects of the company are Company with Low Debt, Company able to generate Net Cash - Improving Net Cash Flow, Company with Zero Promoter Pledge. The Negative aspects of the company are high Valuation (P.E. = 31.1), Promoter decreasing their shareholding, Companies with growing costs YoY for long term projects, De-growth in Revenue, Profits and Operating Profit Margin and Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income. Entry can be taken after closing above 4843 Targets in the stock will be 4931 and 4991. The long-term target in the stock will be 5059 and 5119. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 4603 or 4481 depending on your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:EICHERMOTLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
JSW Energy looking Energetic JSW Energy Ltd. engages in the business of power generation. It operates through the following business segments: Power Generation, Power Transmission, and Power Trading. JSW Energy Ltd. CMP is 688.95. The Positive aspects of the company are Company with decreasing Promoter pledge, High Volume, High Gain, Top Gainers and High Momentum Scores. The Negative aspects of the company are extremely high Valuation (P.E. = 61.5), Companies with Increasing Debt, Increasing Trend in Non-Core Income, High promoter stock pledges. Entry can be taken after closing above 701 Targets in the stock will be 719, 738 and 756. The long-term target in the stock will be 773, 792 and 809. Stop loss in the stock should be maintained at Closing below 642 or 582 depending on your risk taking ability. Disclaimer: The above information is provided for educational purpose, analysis and paper trading only. Please don't treat this as a buy or sell recommendation for the stock. We do not guarantee any success in highly volatile market or otherwise. Stock market investment is subject to market risks which include global and regional risks. We will not be responsible for any Profit or loss that may occur due to any financial decision taken based on any data provided in this message.
NSE:JSWENERGYLong
by Happy_Candles_Investment
“4” reasons to go long CLSKI went long NASDAQ:CLSK again - at 12.3175 at the close today. Since this summer when I started posting ideas, I've made 5 trades in NASDAQ:CLSK and made an average of almost 13% per trade and those 5 trades averaged under 3 days in length (all verified in ideas I've posted here). The miners are such a gold mine when it comes to how I trade. One of the keys for the average person when it comes to the miners is to look in the “minds” for the stock. When everyone there starts complaining about conspiracies, criminality, or changing their mind back to “this thing is garbage” 2 weeks after they were gleefully shouting “to the moon” and posting rocket emojis, you know it’s getting close to time to buy 🤣. Seriously, though. My algo says it’s time to buy and you know I don’t question its judgment. But if you just look at the chart, there are a few other things that also poke you in the ribs and whisper “buy itttttt”. 1) Uptrend - the regression channel here makes it obvious, but NASDAQ:CLSK has been in an uptrend since the beginning of September. The trend is your friend until it ends - and it hasn’t yet. 2) Higher highs and higher lows. Part of the uptrend thesis, but until this closes below 9.80 (an over 20% loss from here), the uptrend is intact. 3) Minor (no homonymous pun intended) support at 11.40 from the low of the gap up candle. 4) Finally, 4 consecutive down days. Going long after 4 down days in a row has been an incredibly quick and reliable payoff for quite some time now. You’d have to go back to September of 2022 to find a 4 down day buy that didn’t pay off in under 3 weeks. In fact, it has only taken even 3 weeks 2x since then. The most common payoff is 1 day, and almost all have been less than a week since Sept. of ‘22. I’m all about the quick payoff and I’m expecting this one to be as well. Per my usual strategy, I'll add to my position at the close on any day it still rates as a “buy” and I will use FPC (first profitable close) to exit any lot on the day it closes at any profit. Depending on the situation, I may sell calls as well since the premiums on miner options are just ludicrous. As always - this is intended as "edutainment" and my perspective on what I am or would be doing, not a recommendation for you to buy or sell. Act accordingly and invest at your own risk. DYOR and only make investments that make good financial sense for you in your current situation.
NASDAQ:CLSKLong
by redwingcoach
15
$FUBO UPDATE! We may be primed for a BIG BOUNCE! NYSE:FUBO -Staying patient and believe we may now be going for a triple bottom before we have our large move to the upside as you see on the daily chart below. -Weekly H5 indicator is still GREEN -We are also on the floor and green bounce area on the williams r%! Which to this point you've see what happens when we get there -I'm not concerned because we haven't started moving big on the IWM yet and until then most small caps won't move unless they have a catalyst.
NYSE:FUBOLong
by RonnieV29
8
Apple Stock at $300When a stock is expected to reach new all-time highs, there’s often no clear technical level to mark those targets on the chart, my dear traders. However, from a broader perspective, Apple (AAPL) continues to demonstrate strong growth potential. In my view, there’s no fundamental reason to believe the stock will not keep climbing. Apple remains a solid choice for long-term investors, backed by its consistent innovation, strong financials, and dominant position in the market. While short-term fluctuations are always possible, the long-term trend for Apple seems intact. For now, the outlook remains bullish as the company continues to deliver value and maintain its leadership. What are your thoughts? Let’s discuss!
NASDAQ:AAPLLong
by Charts_M7M
Beta is not right indicator to pick high volatile stocksI have done extensive analysis on lot of stocks to see, which group of stocks gives more returns compared to market, index or any other household branded companies. Before i get into alternative to beta, here i will try to get into the details of beta calculation to understand ourselves why beta may not represent true nature or momentum of a stock. How is beta calculated? Beta is multiplication of two numbers, Correlation and volatility. If any one number out of these two are less, the result will be a low beta number. Correlation: If a stock moves in same +ve or -ve direction as that of market, it will have good correlation. On a given window of 48 prior days from now, how many days(or whatever timeframe) the stock matches up/down movement with respect to market, will give us correlation number. This value will be in the range +1 to -1. If price moves as per market direction, it will be 0 to +1. If price moves in opposite direction of market( that is stock goes up when market goes down or stock goes down when market goes up), the correlation will be 0 to -1. Usually in practice, all stocks are mostly positively correlate with market, so they end up having values between 0 and +1. This means, stocks with close to +1 correlation will have high beta and low correlation( say 0.5) will result in low beta. So correlation will play big role in beta value of a stock. However there will be few stocks, which doesn't move exactly as that of market but still are high volatile. I will explain volatility in short. If one is filtering stocks based on beta, they will loose out gains on these high volatile stocks. Instead of measuring an expected amount of return on a stock with respect to beta, we could simply use volatility to monitor a list of high volatile stocks to reap good returns over time. Volatility: If market moves +0.5%, say stock x moves 1%, conversely if market moves -0.5%, stock x moves -1%, it is safe to say stock x is high volatile. In statistics/math terms, how much the stock is deviating from its mean compared to market, gives a relative value of volatility with respect to market. Standard deviation of stock versus market gives the volatility of the stock. Higher the volatility, higher the gains or losses on the stock. Expecting returns on a stock based on the standard deviation is difficult. Instead, I will simply use a different calculation(explained below), that helps you easily see the expected returns in layman terms. Say, if you buy a stock at the lowest price on a specific month, and sell at highest price in that same month, the profit can be measured in percentage wise. That same number averaged over 12 months gives a rough idea of how much profit one can expect if timed properly every month. Selecting and timing on these high percentage profit returning stocks will amplify the returns over long time, compared to investing or trading in the low volatile stocks. The indicator(free) of mine sangana beta table will list the stocks sector wise, how much percentage a stock moves low to high in a month. It works for S&P500 and Nifty 500 stocks. Happy trading !!!
NASDAQ:TSLAEducation
by JKReddyLin