Recession or Depression?A quick rise on unemployment, resultant of a speedy pullback on major markets, I think would be the best outcome for the US.
Economy
CNM2 Projected With Last Year Movement3 circle this year is like we are in same rythm with last year
Many bad news in China is like worrying but why M2 in China still increase
I dont know but its like something to add in your watchlist rather than USM2
$JPIRYY -Japan's CPI (November/2024)ECONOMICS:JPIRYY
(November/2024)
source: Ministry of Internal Affairs & Communications
- The annual inflation rate in Japan climbed to 2.9% in November 2024 from 2.3% in the prior month, marking the highest reading since October 2023.
The core inflation rate rose to a 3-month high of 2.7% in No
Higher Spread Interest Rate, Stronger Rupiah?Spread Indonesia Interest Rate with US Interest Rate reached lowest level all time high.
Rupiah has been weakening along with the spread is getting lower and lower.
My take : rising spread means Rupiah strengthening.
"Growth"The growth of just moving in a perpetual range. A lot of people will tell you growth goes up. What if it's purely a function of liquidity and monetary supply?
Unemployment Rate and RecessionsWho else noticed unemployment rate creeping up?
Tic Toc...
#recession #unemployment
Monetary Policy, Technological Advancements: Insights for 2025The Federal Reserve and Market Dynamics
The financial landscape is increasingly influenced by both economic policies and technological advancements. On the monetary policy front, the Federal Reserve is widely anticipated to continue reducing interest rates throughout the year.
According to Robert
China in trouble - Disinflation even deflation.China in trouble and perfect situation for Mr. Trump.
China needs the US Market to sell her products and not not fall in an deflation.
Same for EU. German market very important for china.
What will china do.
Decaluation its currency or accept miniummprices. For some goods.
Global Recession A recession is already coded in the algo, time will prove this correct.
I'm not a 'bearmaxi' or 'doomposter' i'm a realist. If you struggle to believe my theories, come back to the chart in 1-2 years and ponder how you missed it.
Stay Safe.
- Berner
QE USCBBSWhen it rises up, it is a good idea to buy store of value assets, as this is a sign of depreciation of the $.
*DYOR*
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