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$SPY November 19, 2024AMEX:SPY November 19, 2024 15 Minutes for the rise 574 to 600 it retraced back 61.8% to 584 levels. For the fall 595 to 583 it retrace 61.8% levels to 589.5 yesterday. The range give earlier buy above 583 for 589 590 is done. For the last rise 583.86 to 589.48 AMEX:SPY retraced 50% to 587 levels. So, holding 586 we will have a target 589-592 levels now. In 15 minutes 9,21,50 all is consolidated so I expect a move Upwards to 590 levels. Also 588.5 is 200 averages in 5 minutes.
AMEX:SPYLong
by RiderTrader
5
Hydrogen ETFsHi. I’ve postulated on Hydrogen in the past and been wrong. So, take this with a grain of salt. On Oct. 3rd, Donald Trump said at his rally that Hydrogen could explode. He said that all that would be left are blood stains. It was supposed to be in reference to Hydrogen-powered vehicles, which have failed to a large degree, but if you go back and listen to him in his totality, I think he was calling the bottom in Hydrogen stocks - saying they could explode. It was a very graphic picture that he put out there of someone being vaporized, and he did it for a reason. I own Fcel, which just got split 30:1, so what do I know, but there should be a technical bottom here soon, from which volume comes into the space.
MIL:HTWOLong
by Shammus01
Energy printing fresh highs within weeksHere's a better chart than the one shared in October, showing that energy has been consolidating above an upward sloping triangle formation, over 900 days in the making . With just under 4% remaining to reach prior highs set in April, fresh highs could be just weeks away. Looking at the height of the triangle to project potential gains, there could be a whopping 30% upside ahead. Lately I've stepped back to ponder the fundamental underpinnings of this move. During the same period, the price of oil has cratered by 40%. Charting XLE/BRENT shows an astonishing double during the bullish XLE triangle formation Could it be something to do with the hot war in Ukraine? Anecdotally we know OPEC+ (Saudio Aramco et al) has continued to hold on output increases, while their western peers (XLE) are pushing more product than ever. One theory is XLE companies have taken market share to account for the decline in prices. Two questions remain: would oil prices in the $40's be enough to tank XLE shares? if XLE can hold historic value during a deeper oil price decline, where could its valuation be headed during the next bull cycle in oil?
AMEX:XLELong
by quickshiftinn
SPY/QQQ Plan Your Trade Video for 11-18: No INTERNET IssueMorning guys. Something odd happened today after I created a great 45-minute morning video. TradingView reported an Internet Issue even though my internet was working perfectly??? So, I DOWNLOADED the video so I have a record of it and posted it up elsewhere. I don't know what to say - except check my profile on TradingView. I was not going to try to replicate my 45 minute recording after experiencing this issue. Get Some.
AMEX:SPYLong
by BradMatheny
S&P Weekly Recap: Rally Falters Amid Lack of ConvictionLast week’s market action delivered a reversal in sentiment, highlighting the fragility of the rally that had persisted since the so-called "Trump rally." The week began slowly, with the market testing buyers’ conviction to push prices higher. After confirming a lack of such conviction, sellers stepped in, driving prices sharply lower. As suggested in my previous recap, 585 (VAH) provided temporary support, and the week closed near this critical level. Interestingly, most major sectors participated in the downward move, aligning with the broader market trend. However, XLF (Financials) stood out as the exception, managing to post gains despite the sell-off. This divergence suggests that there is still buying interest, with money continuing to flow selectively into the market. The immediate objective for the bulls is to hold 585 and attempt to fill Friday’s gap. Failure to do so, with the price returning to the 568-585 range , would indicate that the rally is nearing exhaustion. While this would not immediately signal a transition into a bear market, it would mark a notable shift in sentiment. The 568 level remains critical for buyers; as long as it holds, the broader uptrend stays intact, and bulls maintain the upper hand. Meaning that I keep "bullish" outlook. This week, the market’s attention will be on NVIDIA's earnings on Wednesday. While the previous report didn’t cause much volatility, traders will be closely watching for any surprises that could influence market momentum.
AMEX:SPYLong
by hermes_trisme
Forget your HISA, fill up your HSAV this winterTechnical Reasons 🚀 Tight Price Range & NAV Premium: HSAV consistently trades within a small premium to its Net Asset Value (NAV), currently around 0.5%. Stability in its pricing indicates investor confidence in its performance, even amidst market fluctuations​ Uptrend Momentum: Recent fund inflows show recovery after earlier outflows, suggesting increased demand. This aligns with seasonal trends in fixed-income assets during market volatility​ Low Volatility: As a cash-equivalent ETF, HSAV’s low price volatility makes it attractive during uncertain macroeconomic conditions. Its steadiness acts as a safe harbor in rougher seas​ TRADINGVIEW Fundamental Reasons 📊 High Yield Environment: HSAV offers a yield of around 5.1%, benefitting from Canada’s elevated interest rate regime. This makes it an appealing alternative to traditional savings accounts​ Efficient Tax Treatment: Unlike traditional dividend-paying ETFs, HSAV reinvests interest income, allowing investors to realize gains as capital appreciation, which can be more tax-efficient​ Bank Backing: Assets are deposited across major Canadian chartered banks, ensuring both safety and liquidity. The ETF’s exposure to high-quality, short-term deposits minimizes credit risk​ Potential Paths to Profit 🤑 Lowest Risk: Buy shares of HSAV outright and let the steady NAV appreciation work for you over the next month. Leveraged Bet: For a slightly higher-risk approach, consider margin trading to amplify gains if rates or fund flows boost NAV further. Pairs Trade: Hedge with another HISA ETF like PSA (Purpose Savings ETF), especially if you anticipate some divergence in yield spreads or premium/discount changes. Disclaimer: We are not a brokerage or investment firm. We do not offer financial advice or investment advice and/or signals. This is not certified financial education. We offer access to the daily thought process of an individual and his experiences. We do not offer refunds. All sales are final.
TSX:HSAVLong
by ChartVZN
A strategic pathway for SPY: preparing for a potential rebound nRecent Performance: The SPY (S&P 500 ETF) recently closed at $585.75, which represents a significant decline from a previous closing price of $593.30. Over the past week, it has faced a bearish trend despite trading above crucial moving averages. The market highlights volatility with various support levels testing resilience amidst price fluctuations. - Key Insights: The SPY is at a crucial support level around $585. If this level holds, a rebound could take the SPY to near $590. However, if support fails, it could test lower support levels at around $580 to $575. Market players should keep an eye on short-term movements, as further declines could lead investors to redraw their strategies. - Expert Analysis: Experts express a mixed sentiment toward the SPY with a leaning toward a potential rebound. While the broader market trends suggest positivity over the week, concerns about immediate volatility create two potential paths forward. Analysts are keeping an eye on critical support levels and the possibility of a bounce back, citing an estimated 85% likelihood of an upward move within the next two trading sessions. - Price Targets: Based on the wisdom of all professional traders, the next week targets for SPY are: - Next week targets: - Target 1: $588 - Target 2: $590 - Stop levels: - Stop 1: $584 - Stop 2: $580 - Longer-term targets: - Longer-term target projected at $610, anticipated within the next few weeks if bullish conditions hold. - News Impact: Key recent news includes comments from Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, suggesting a steadiness in monetary policy without immediate rate cuts, impacting overall market sentiment. Investors are expected to watch these developments and their correlations with SPY's performance closely. Additionally, broader economic indicators will further shape investor outlooks leading into the new week.
AMEX:SPYLong
by CrowdWisdomTrading
Nasdaq: QQQ Final Swing? Shorting $540+ NASDAQ:QQQ Hey Everyone, Hope your week is going great! As the year winds down, I just want to say—congrats to all of us for making it through. 🥳 We did it! I’ve been working on a trade idea that I’m excited to share with you. Here’s the plan: Trade Plan: Short QQQ Mid Term Swing Trade - Multi day trade I’m anticipating a strong rally over the next few weeks to close out November if strong enough. After that, I’m watching for QQQ to break below the $540 level. Short Term Trade Long QQQ I will be first Looking for a re-entry at current price levels to go long this will allow me to play both sides of the trade targeting short entry zone of $540+ where price starts losing momentum. Then I will follow the main trade idea to do a round trip by shorting this move. Will provide an update for more specifics. Let’s finish the year strong—have a good one! Thanks, Clemard
NASDAQ:QQQShort
by coilemard
SPY: Reversal or Continuation? Nov. 18, 2024SPY) is rebounding after a sharp sell-off, with price approaching critical resistance levels. With strong volume near recent lows, it’s a crucial moment for traders to watch for breakout or rejection opportunities. Here’s a detailed trading plan for scalping and swing setups. Technical Overview: Market Structure: Trend: SPY remains in a short-term downtrend, but the current bounce from the lows indicates potential bullish momentum. EMA Levels: The 9 EMA (purple) and 21 EMA (blue) are converging, creating a dynamic resistance zone near $590. Key Levels: Resistance Zones: $594.50 – Immediate resistance aligned with EMA confluence. $601.00 – Psychological resistance and key supply zone. Support Zones: $583.00 – Current support zone where buyers stepped in. $580.00 – Critical demand zone and psychological support. Supply and Demand Zones: Demand Zone: $580.00–$583.00, where buyers have shown strong interest. Supply Zone: $594.50–$601.00, where sellers have consistently stepped in. Indicators: MACD: Shows bullish divergence, with momentum building on the histogram. Volume: Increased green volume bars indicate growing buyer interest near $583.00. Pattern: Potential inverted head and shoulders forming, signaling a possible reversal if $594.50 breaks. Game Plan: Scalping Plan (1-Min and 5-Min Timeframe): Entry for Long: Buy if price breaks above $594.50 with strong volume. Target 1: $598.00 (scalp to mid-resistance). Target 2: $601.00 (supply zone). Entry for Short: Sell if price rejects $594.50 or breaks below $583.00. Target 1: $580.50 (psychological support). Target 2: $580.00 (demand zone test). Stop Loss: Long: Below $593.00. Short: Above $595.50. Swing Trade Plan: Bullish Scenario: Buy if price holds above $583.00 and breaks $594.50. Target 1: $601.00 (supply zone). Extended Target: $610.00 (potential breakout level). Stop Loss: Below $580.00. Bearish Scenario: Sell if price fails to hold $583.00 and breaks below $580.00. Target 1: $570.00 (next demand zone). Extended Target: $560.00 (potential lower low). Stop Loss: Above $584.50. My Thoughts: For Scalping: Watch for a breakout or rejection at $594.50 for momentum trades. The volume profile near $583.00 suggests strong buyer interest, so tight risk management is key for shorts. For Swing Trades: Price above $594.50 could signal a bullish reversal, while failure to hold $583.00 opens the door for further downside. Directional Bias: Short-term: Neutral-to-bullish if $594.50 breaks with strong momentum. Mid-term: Slightly bearish unless SPY reclaims $601.00. Actionable Suggestions: Use the $594.50 resistance and $583.00 support as key levels for entries. Focus on volume and price action at these levels for scalping and swing setups. Avoid trading within the $583.00–$594.50 range to reduce noise and increase risk/reward. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and not financial advice. Always use proper risk management when trading.
AMEX:SPY
by BullBearInsights
SPY LOVERS, BE READY ! This week, I decided to remove some objects I had in the chart history as references, which we’ve been analyzing, to make some space and clean up the chart a bit. After reaching all-time highs, the price has naturally begun a retracement. But what’s new in technical analysis? Let’s analyze the price together: In this case, I added an ascending channel where the price follows an upward sequence, bouncing between support and resistance. Here’s the million-dollar question: How much further can the price drop? If we look at the chart, I marked a very important line in red or maroon color at $575.12, which aligns with a resistance pivot and two indecisive candlesticks with identical volumetric bodies. Often, indecisive levels are key to how the market makes sudden decisions after an indecisive candle. In this case, if we pay closer attention, the indecisive level marked in maroon color is positioned exactly at the support of the ascending channel. This suggests how far the price might fall, and we could potentially see a rebound. For me, this would be the primary scenario. But... If the price breaks through this level, my second scenario would be a drop to the order block. Since this level has acted as both support and resistance in the past, I can validate it as my secondary inflection zone or "Inflection Block." You might wonder: What on earth is an inflection zone? As I’ve mentioned multiple times and explained in some of my analysis, inflection zones—or points of inflection—represent moments where there’s a significant change in the price’s direction within a trend, whether in a market, an asset, or an economy. On a trading chart, an inflection point is the spot where the chart changes direction or marks an important decision. An inflection zone can also be a historical area on a chart. As we can see, my order block is already being considered an inflection zone because the price has historically made key moves within it. and i called it "Inflection Block" (See the white arrows). Thank you for supporting my analysis. TRADE SAFE Best regards!
AMEX:SPYShort
by RocketMike111
SpyThis post here analysis is more about the longer term picture (Months).. It's been awhile, so here we go. Lets start with TVC:NYA This represents 3000 stocks and gives a better picture of the market then S&P which is heavily weight tech. Weekly chart - We are at the top of a 15year resistance. Price slightly broke above it but was slammed back inside last week. As you can see the structure is a wedge and I believe that over the next weeks and months NYA will correct back to wedge support or 17,500 This drop will be 8-10% and weigh heavily on the broader market and cylicals Next up Is Dow jones or DJI Weekly chart is pretty much identical to NYA so the analysis is the same Daily chart My correction target is 38,000 Or 10% drop AMEX:IWM Surprised? Similar chart as DJI and NYA. Only difference was that parabolic move I circled that happen late Nov on the presidential election of 2020. Otherwise this 15yr trendline resistance has stayed resilient. We tagged resistance near ATH and I think we will get one more push back up to 236-239 before it's goodnight. Daily chart AMEX:IWM My pullback target will be trendline support or 208/210 price action which would represent a 14$ drop from ATH IXIC (Nasdaq) I'm charting the Nasdaq instead of QQQ/NDX because QQQ only covers the top 100 tech names while IXIC covers all tech Weekly chart Closed up near top of resistance of Weekly channel. I circled the fake breakouts and break downs. What was really bad about this week was the Dark cloud cover candle on the weekly .. This candle is pretty rare to see on the indexes; for reference I had to scroll back almost 10yrs and here's what I saw July 20, 2015 My target for the nasdaq will between 17,500 - 17,800 Which would represent a 10% drop from ATH. These are weekly charts and weekly forecast which means these corrections may take anywhere from 45-60 days to play out but I think it will happen before the election.. it's important to trade the time frame you are using. For example, you don't want to take this analysis and just start 0dte puts or buying weeklies.. like I said this may take 2months to play out. Also this is just the weekly, the hourly has now been severely oversold as a result of 3days of chop and 2 days of and I think the market will rally back up near ATH before the sell begins so don't go chasing shorts early.. imagine last week's leg down as the center line in a double top. I think early this week we'll rally up to make the right top. Afterwards we should chop for thanks giving and drop afterwards like so AMEX:SPY is 14% extended from its weekly 50sma. Last three times this happened spy corrected 8-10% within 30-50 days My correction target for the Spy is 540 or 200sma which would represent a 10% pullback from ATH So a summary of this post is, I expect a push to the upside early this week and then if the sell does not happen by Thursday then it won't happen till after Thanksgiving
AMEX:SPYShort
by ContraryTrader
5
Vanguard S&P 500 ETF | Chart & Forecast SummaryKey Indicators on Trade Set Up in General 1. Push Set Up 2. Range Set up 3. Break & Retest Set Up Notes On Session # Vanguard S&P 500 ETF - Triangle 1&2 | Target Invalid/Valid - Double Top | Target Valid - Retracement | Center Uptrend Settings - Support=0(12345) | Wave 1 Active Sessions on Relevant Range & Elemented Probabilities; London(Upwards) - NYC(Downwards) Conclusion | Trade Plan Execution & Risk Management on Demand; Overall Consensus | Buy
AMEX:VOOLong
by TradePolitics
3