Gold Price Analysis November 18Fundamental Analysis
Gold extended its recovery to test $2,600 amid rising Russia-Ukraine tensions, ending a six-day losing streak. The latest gold rally could be due to rising Russia-Ukraine geopolitical tensions after the United States authorized Ukraine to use long-range US weapons to attack Russia.
The greenback’s rally following Donald Trump’s election victory could put some selling pressure on USD-denominated gold. Expectations of higher inflation next year due to Donald Trump’s policies have led to fewer expected rate cuts.
In addition, traders have reduced expectations of lower interest rates in December after Fed Chairman Jerome Powell said the US central bank would not rush to cut, citing “remarkable” economic performance. Higher interest rates tend to drag gold prices lower, as it makes holding non-yielding assets like gold less attractive.
Technical analysis.
Gold prices have reacted at the EMA 34 zone, which is also an important dynamic resistance zone in the Asian session. The price zone of special note today is 2617-2615 at the upper boundary and the Asian session breakout support zone this morning is around 2575. The possibility of an uptrend and the formation of wave 3 has also been established according to the technical chart, so BUY signals will be prioritized today.
Xauusdshort
XAUUSD Buy new Gold price (XAU/USD) struggles to capitalize on its modest intraday gains to the $2,600 neighborhood, though it manages to hold in positive territory through the early part of the European session on Monday.
Investors remain hopeful that US President-elect Donald Trump's touted expansionary policies will boost inflation and limit the scope for further interest rate cuts by the Fed. This remains supportive of elevated US Treasury bond yields and favors the USD bulls, which, in turn, holds back traders from placing bullish bets around the Gold price. Hence, it will be prudent to wait for strong follow-through buying before positioning for any further recovery from a two-month low set last week.From a technical perspective, the recent sharp pullback from the all-time peak stalled near the 50% retracement level of the June-October rally. The said support, around the $2,536-2,535 area, coincided with the 100-day Simple Moving Average and should now act as a key pivotal point. A convincing break below will be seen as a fresh trigger for bearish traders and pave the way for further losses. The subsequent downfall could drag the Gold price further towards the $2,500 psychological mark en route to the 61.8% Fibo. level, around the $2,480 region.
Trade Plan for Gold (XAUUSD)Gold is currently moving within a descending channel, indicating a downtrend. It is consistently setting lower highs (LH) and lower lows (LL), confirming bearish market sentiment. Additionally, the RSI is in sync with the price action, reinforcing the downtrend.
Entry Point:
Sell at 2603, which serves as the next significant resistance level. This level is also close to the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement derived from the previous Lower High (2709) and Lower Low (2534).
Stop Loss:
Place the stop loss at 2710, above the last Lower High (LH), ensuring protection against false breakouts.
Take Profit Levels:
TP1: 2496, aligning with the lower boundary of the descending channel and maintaining a conservative target.
TP2: 2389, aiming for the continuation of the downtrend if the price breaks the next support levels.
Trade Notes:
Monitor RSI for divergence or loss of momentum near critical levels.
Confirm the continuation of the descending channel by observing price behavior near 2603 before entering the trade.
Adjust the plan dynamically based on any breakouts or unexpected shifts in the broader market sentiment.
GOLD My Opinion! SELL
My dear friends,
GOLD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 2592.6 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 2576.0
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
GOLD:The trend remained down for the week
Gold fell all the way last week, 2686 fell to 2536 fell to 150 points, weekly pattern big top to determine, weekly trend continues to be bearish, this is the trend, the second is to find a position, short trend is beyond doubt.
The current performance is expected to rebound first repair let continue to fall, bear space will be larger, six trading days closed negative, last Thursday, the daily line appeared a hammer candle pattern, this is a stop down signal, but not the trend change signal, Friday repair today continue to repair, Asia-Europe time we first consider the opportunity to bear.
Based on the previous 4-hour line closed positive line, the short-term rebound will continue, the high of the rebound is near 2597, the actual suppression position is near 2603, Asia-Europe period first rely on this position to short, this week's shock repair small long is also a chance, Asia-Europe period small support is 2570, Friday repair low 2560 is also support, At present, the first estimated space is 2603-2570, according to this range to trade.
Support 2560 and 2570, pressure is 2603, strong pressure 2620 and 2643, disc strength and weakness line 2590.
World gold prices increased stronglyWorld gold prices exploded strongly when the USD dropped. Recorded at 9:30 a.m. on November 18, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 106,562 points (down 0.05%).
Although the short-term technical picture has improved, it is still too early to confirm a bottom.
“Speculators will hope the sell-off since Donald Trump's victory in the US presidential election is over. However, there is nothing to indicate that yet. Gold has fallen every day in the last week, causing the precious metal to lose more than 5% in just four days.”
This week's economic calendar focuses on the US housing sector. The market will get data on U.S. housing starts and building permits for October on Tuesday, MBA mortgage applications on Wednesday and existing home sales for October on Thursday.
Other highlights include the Philly Federal Reserve's manufacturing index on Thursday. Market participants are watching to see whether the Philadelphia region will see a surge in manufacturing activity like New York state.
🔥 XAUUSD SELL 2594 - 2592🔥
💵 TP1: 2580
💵 TP2: 2570
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2603
XAUUSD Buy confirm 200pipsGold extended its decline, breaking below a major trendline and reaching new lows in the $2,530s on Thursday, after a combination of higher US factory-gate inflation data, lower US unemployment claims data and upbeat commentary from Fed Chairman Powell. Gold bounces off its (blue) 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and attempts a recovery. Still, the precious metal is in a short and probably medium-term downtrend. This, given the principle of technical analysis that “the trend is your friend,” favors a continuation lower. (XAU/USD) trades little changed on Friday, holding steady in the $2,560s after making a slight recovery from the two-month lows reached on the previous day.
GOLD: Long Trade with Entry/SL/TP
GOLD
- Classic bullish setup
- Our team expects bullish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Long GOLD
Entry Point - 2563.2
Stop Loss - 2521.4
Take Profit - 2650.5
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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XAUUSD: Another 1500+ Pips Drop is Coming Up! OANDA:XAUUSD OANDA:XAUUSD
Price dropped to $2537 and then started showing some correction, However at 2577 we some strong resistance, we think price is likely to drop further in coming weeks. This analysis is based on last three analysis so please go through previous analysis. Thank you.
GOLD SHORT next weekhello traders
i think gold going short soon actually earlier monday will be long to 2431 then on late london sesion after it reach its destination its going short.
so we can short after price action confirmation from 2431-2441
first Tp: 2360
second tp: 2311
stop loss: depend on price ation entrance not bigger than2450- 2470
after its rest in last resrvation TP2 it will be seeking for its Long movement up.
Gold XAUUSD How Long This Correction Will Continue! Read CaptionOANDA:XAUUSD forms a retreat and tests 2577 following a fake breakdown of 2546. After such a severe fall, it is a very reasonable response. The dollar is growing more quickly, and the fundamental context is still negative.
China's ambiguous economic figures heightened economic worries. Powell stated that there is no need to lower interest rates right now because the economy is still expanding, the job market is strong, and inflation is still above the 2% target, but this uncertainty regarding future rate reduction by the US Federal Reserve is still weighing on the markets.
Now, everyone's eyes are on the crucial retail sales data.
Technically, it is important to watch the resistance at 2589 and the 0.5-0.7 fibo. Below these areas, a false breakdown and consolidation could lead to a collapse.
Resistance levels: 2578, 2592, 2604.
Support levels: 2543, 2532, 2504
Key : 2565
OANDA:XAUUSD Gold is currently indicating that the pullback up might be a little drawn out. Before the news, MM will probably aim for liquidity (above these levels). Bears may become active in response to a false breakout, which would only boost sales.
However, the likelihood of a breakdown and decline will rise if there is a bounce from 0.5 fibo and a smooth recovery to 2546.
GOLD The Target Is UP! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the GOLD next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 2567.3
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 2632.7
My Stop Loss - 2530.7
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Sell XAU/USD (Gold) Bearish ChannelThe XAU/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward from a well-defined Bearish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 2560, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 2524
2nd Support – 2501
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Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
XAUUSD: Buy at low level, target 2578-2590The first rebound after the significant drop is basically over, and it has already reached the resistance area. During the upcoming retest, pay attention to the support near the previous low.
Just like the strategy I gave when the market rebounded to around 2620 last time, this time we should also watch for a potential W-shaped trend. If it appears, a rebound to the 2578-2590 range should not be a big issue. So, for tomorrow's trading, the focus should be on buying at lower levels.
For those who enjoy scalping, don't be too greedy during the trade—keep an eye on the rhythm, and don't neglect risk management.
If you have any questions, feel free to leave me a message.
XAU ! 11/14 ! still a strong decreaseXAU / USD trend forecast November 14, 2024
The US Dollar gained strongly as markets had largely anticipated a 25-basis-point hike by the Federal Reserve at its December meeting. CME FedWatch Tool data shows the odds have increased from 58% to 82%. The DXY index, which measures the Dollar’s strength against major currencies, reached a year-to-date high of 106.52, just above the previous high of 106.51 from April 16, and is currently around 106.49, up 0.50%.
yesterday's sharp drop - continues to make investors believe prices will fall further: 2500
/// SELL XAU : zone 2574-2577
SL: 2580
TP: 50 - 100 - 150pips (2561)
/// SELL XAU : zone 2590-2593
SL: 2598
TP: 50 - 200 - 300pips (2563)
Safe and profitable trading
Gold price analysis November 14Fundamental Analysis
Gold (XAU/USD) fell for a fifth straight day and dropped to its lowest since September 19, around $2,554-$2,553 heading into the European session on Thursday. The commodity continued to be weighed down by the post-election rally in the US Dollar (USD) that has extended into the new year, bolstered by optimism about the expected expansionary policies of the incoming Trump administration.
Meanwhile, Trump’s potentially inflationary tariffs could force the Federal Reserve (Fed) to pause its easing cycle. Moreover, the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) released on Wednesday pointed to slower progress in lowering inflation and could lead to fewer rate cuts next year. This remains supportive of higher US Treasury yields and contributes to outflows from non-yielding gold.
Technical analysis
The technical price zone in the current European trading session is around 2648 2659. With the recovery from this zone, gold can recover to the 2587 zone in the near future and in the following days can reach back to the 2616 hook. But this scenario is relatively unlikely when the number of fomo sellers is quite large. When the 2648 zone is broken, the fomo chain continues to sell and pushes the gold price down to 2527 and 2503, so prioritize SELL signals at the present time when the price breaks out of 2648. Wish you a successful trading day.
Gold reduced! The target is aimed at 2514⭐️Smart investment, Strong finance
⭐️GOLDEN INFORMATION:
Gold price (XAU/USD) extends its decline for the fifth consecutive session, hitting its lowest level since September 19 near $2,558 during Thursday’s Asian session. Persistent US Dollar (USD) strength, fueled by optimism over President-elect Donald Trump's pro-growth policies and expectations of a Federal Reserve (Fed) pause in easing, keeps pressure on the non-yielding metal. Elevated US Treasury yields and a strong USD, which reached its highest level since November 2023, further weigh on Gold.
Additionally, Wednesday's US Consumer Price Index (CPI) report signaled slower progress in reducing inflation, suggesting fewer rate cuts in 2024. Coupled with a bullish run in US equity markets, this has driven investors away from Gold. Traders now await the US Producer Price Index (PPI) release for near-term direction, with attention on Fed Chair Jerome Powell's speech later today.
⭐️Personal comments NOVA:
The H4 price frame shows a strong downtrend, pay attention to the support zone, buyer liquidity here is quite large 2548
⭐️SET UP GOLD PRICE:
🔥SELL GOLD zone: $2580 - $2582 SL $2587
TP1: $2565
TP2: $2550
TP3: $2530
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2515 - $2513 SL $2508
TP1: $2525
TP2: $2540
TP3: $2560
🔥BUY GOLD zone: $2548 - $2550 SL $2545 scalping
TP1: $2558
TP2: $2564
TP3: $2570
⭐️Technical analysis:
Based on technical indicators EMA 34, EMA89 and support resistance areas to set up a reasonable SELL order.
⭐️NOTE:
Note: Nova wishes traders to manage their capital well
- take the number of lots that match your capital
- Takeprofit equal to 4-6% of capital account
- Stoplose equal to 2-3% of capital account
Gold looks bearish and give a retracement to 2600**Overview:** TVC:GOLD has been on a significant bull run for a prolonged period due to various fundamental factors driving its upward momentum. However, it has recently broken its bullish structure and is now trading below the previous support level of 2710. This level, which once served as support, is currently acting as resistance, marking a potential shift in trend from bullish to bearish. Gold is also forming a inverse Head and Shoulders pattern which can give a good target if played well.
**Trade Plan:**
Since gold is now trading below the critical resistance level of 2710, a short position could be considered. Place a stop loss just above the 2710 resistance to manage risk effectively. If this resistance holds and the price fails to reclaim it, it supports the case for a bearish move. Opening a short position in this setup can provide an advantageous risk-to-reward ratio, aligning well with short-term market direction.
**Targets:**
1st TP: 2670
2nd TP: 2630
3rd TP: 2600
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**Note:** This analysis is purely my personal opinion and is intended for educational purposes only. It does not constitute financial advice. Always perform your own analysis or consult a certified financial advisor before making any trading or investment decisions. I am not responsible for any financial loss that may result from following this information.