Xagusdanalysis
SILVER View following by gold! Shorts gonna playin" sooner!Spot silver
XAGUSD1! rose 0.7% to $25.15 per ounce, platinum
PL1! was up 0.2% at $909.76 and palladium
XPDUSD1! climbed 0.9% to $1,023.95.
Gold prices rose to a record high on Monday, as a softer U.S. inflation reading cemented bets that the Federal Reserve would deliver its first interest rate cut of the year in June.
Spot gold
GOLDwas up 1.2% at $2,258.53 per ounce, as of 0815 GMT, after hitting an all-time high of $2,262.19 earlier in the session. U.S. gold futures GOLD gained 1.8% to $2,279.50.
"The absence of any upside surprises in the core PCE price index release may have provided further go-ahead for gold prices to push into new record territory," said IG market strategist Yeap Jun Rong, referring to the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index report.
The core reading now at its lowest level in almost two years potentially offers some validation for the Fed to kick-start its rate-cutting process sooner rather than later, Jun Rong said.
The latest U.S. inflation data is "along the lines of what we would like to see," Fed Chair Jerome Powell said on Friday. U.S. prices moderated in February, with the PCE price index rising 0.3%, data showed.
Traders are currently pricing in a 69% probability that the Fed would begin cutting rates in June, according to the CME Group's FedWatch Tool. Lower interest rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding bullion.
Gold logged its biggest monthly rise in more than three years in March after a blistering rally fuelled by rate-cut bets, strong safe-haven demand and central bank buying.
"Today's price action is happening in a very low liquidity environment – most European and many APAC markets are still closed for Easter Monday. So, it would not be surprising to see these moves reverse when participation rebuilds later in the week," said Ilya Spivak, head of global macro at Tastylive.
XAGUSD pullback entry opportunity.From my analysis(excluding fundamentals, as they can change over time) I have found quite a good place to enter long positions if Silver has a pullback. We may expect a pullback because Silver is at a price which had a history of being rejected. So maybe this will be a great trading opportunity, I have mapped out a possible entry with an RR of 4. But remember that it is a must to check the fundamentals, as they can influence the price.
XAGUSD DEMAND ZONE READ DESCRIPTIONSilver (XAGUSD) is currently positioned within a critical support and demand zone, ranging from 24.5 to 24.7. This zone represents a significant area where buyers are anticipated to be active, potentially leading to a reversal in price action. Considering the trading sentiments from the last week, which recorded 6 sell signals, 10 neutral signals, and 28 buy signals, there seems to be a notable bias towards buying.
The data from the last week's trading sentiments suggest that while there were some sell signals, they were outnumbered by buy signals, indicating a prevailing bullish sentiment in the market. The larger number of buy signals indicates a significant interest among traders to enter long positions, particularly at the current support and demand zone.
It's important to understand the implications of these trading sentiments within the context of market psychology. When a significant number of traders express a bullish sentiment, it often reflects an underlying confidence in the asset's potential for appreciation. In the case of silver, the presence of a considerable number of buy signals suggests that traders perceive the current price levels, particularly within the support and demand zone, as attractive for initiating long positions.
However, it's crucial to exercise caution and consider other factors beyond just trading sentiments. While sentiments provide valuable insights into market psychology, they should be complemented with thorough technical and fundamental analysis. Factors such as macroeconomic data, geopolitical events, and changes in supply and demand dynamics can also influence the price of silver.
In conclusion, the trading sentiments from the last week, indicating a higher number of buy signals compared to sell signals, suggest a potential buying opportunity for silver, especially within the identified support and demand zone. Traders should carefully analyze all available information and employ proper risk management strategies before making trading decisions.
SILVER SELL TILL 23$HELLO TRADERS
As we can see silver hit out TP-2 on buying idea which we had updated in our channel this level we expected a retrace till 23$ and then up to the buying levels as we had perdition in our buying idea Friends its just a trade idea share Ur thoughts with us
Stay Tuned for more updates
Silver- Will it catch up with Gold?Similar to Gold, Silver also began the year poorly.
After finding support just under $22, it started trading in a range. A few hours ago, the price managed to break above the range's resistance, indicating a bullish outlook.
However, unlike gold, silver has lagged behind in its performance since the start of the year.
In my opinion, this gap will be filled, and we can expect the price of silver to reach around $25 soon.
I'm looking to buy dips, with the price at the beginning of the year as my target.
XAGUSD | A Short and Sweet UpdateInvestors entered 2023 with trepidation, mindful of the previous year's turbulence and remained wary about recession risks, geopolitical unrest, and potential rate hikes. Yet, as the year unfolded, the bond market revealed a resilient streak.
Despite volatility peaks, with the 10-year Treasury yield hitting 5% before receding to 3.88%, the government bond market managed to find equilibrium, closing the year on a stable note. This stabilization was buoyed by anticipations of rate reductions, a sturdy American economy, and a softening dollar, which collectively benefited riskier bond segments, including emerging market debt.
A Year of Recovery and Records
The fixed income ETF landscape mirrored this recovery, with several segments posting impressive gains:
Global Sovereign Bonds: Marked a recovery with a 4.44% return, a significant turnaround from the previous year's loss.
Corporate Bonds: Both global and investment-grade segments saw substantial upticks, with returns of 8.52% and 7.80%, respectively, indicating a robust recovery from their 2022 slumps.
High-Yield Corporate Bonds: Led the recovery efforts with a 10.67% return, signaling a strong comeback.
Emerging Markets Debt and Other Segments: Also showed positive momentum, contributing to the broader fixed income recovery narrative.
This resurgence culminated in a milestone for the primary global fixed income ETF markets in Europe and North America, which reached a historic total AUM of $2 trillion by the end of 2023, nearly doubling from $1.12 trillion in 2019.
XAGUSD
XAGUSD appears to be exhibiting a bullish trend on the daily timeframe, supported by an ascending channel and ABC pattern. The recent falling wedge breakout followed by a successful retest suggests further upside potential. It's prudent to await confirmation through bullish price action before considering entry into the market.
Silver- Genuine reversal?Two days ago, I said that OANDA:XAGUSD is trading in important support and, in the eventuality of a break, the price could fall further and could drop to the next important support level.
However, after flirting with 22.20-22.30 zone support, the price reversed strongly yesterday, leaving a large Bullish Engulfing candle on our chart.
This price development could represent a sign of reversal and we could have continuation to the upside.
As long as the horizontal support stays intact, buying dips is my preferred strategy with a target at the next important zone at 23.30-23.40
Silver could break under supportSince the start of December 2023, OANDA:XAGUSD has been clearly trending downward, establishing lower highs on our chart and pressing in the 22.00-22.15 support zone.
However, despite yesterday's positive performance for OANDA:XAUUSD , Silver remained largely unchanged, further reinforcing this bearish outlook.
The overall structure maintains its bearish trajectory as long as the price remains below the 23 zone. Regarding targets, the support at the 21 zone presents a favorable risk-to-reward ratio if we choose to sell rallies above 22.50.