Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?XAG/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 30.967
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 31.788
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 29.797
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
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XAG USD ( Silver / US Dollar)
SILVER: Small Corrections And Then Shoots Up! TVC:SILVER
Expecting small correction to our identified area, and a strong bounce from our region is expected. The trend is still extremely bullish however, as we said price is making a correction once it completed and at the rejection we can enter.
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XAGUSD. Weekly trading levels 27 - 31.05.2024During the week you can trade from these price levels. Finding the entry point into a transaction and its support is up to you, depending on your trading style and the development of the situation. Zones show preferred price ranges WHERE to look for an entry point into a trade.
If you expect any medium-term price movements, then most likely they will start from one of the zones.
Levels are valid for a week, the date is in the title. Next week I will adjust the levels based on new data and publish a new post.
! Please note that brokers have a difference in quotes, take this into account when trading.
The history of level development can be seen in my previous posts. They cannot be edited or deleted. Everything is fair. :)
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I don’t play guess the direction (that’s why there are no directional arrows), but zones (levels) are used for trading. We wait for the zone to approach, watch the reaction, and enter the trade.
Levels are drawn based on volumes and data from the CME. They are used as areas of interest for trading. Traded as classic support/resistance levels. We see the reaction to the rebound, we trade the rebound. We see a breakout and continue to trade on a rollback to the level. The worst option is if we revolve around the zone in a flat.
Do not reverse the market at every level; if there is a trend movement, consider it as an opportunity to continue the movement. Until the price has drawn a reversal pattern.
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Strifor || USDCAD-31/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: During the American session today we are expecting a lot of data, including one of the key indicators, namely Canada's GDP . Unlike other majors, the USDCAD currency pair has more chances to fall than to rise, although at the moment everything looks in favor of the American.
It is best to consider the deal closer to the American session and we highlight two scenarios. It should be noted that since there is a high probability of volatility, it is better to consider both transactions at the same time, that is, you can gain a position gradually with an overall stop loss slightly above the level of 1.37438.
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Strifor || NZDUSD-31/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: The situation with the New Zealand dollar, as well as with the Australian dollar, forces us to freeze all purchases for now and consider more sales. We are targeting the support level of 0.60713 , which is where the approach is likely to come in the near future.
A more likely setup is a maximum drop from current prices, especially at the beginning of the American session (scenario №1). Less likely scenario №2 involves growth at the moment to 0.61670 , which may just happen against the backdrop of the publication of today's data. The target for the fall is level 0.60713 .
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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SILVER (XAGUSD, SIL1!) Daily Bias... BULLISH!You see we have a bullish BOS, it formed a +FVG, pulled back to the +FVG and the BOS, found
support and rallied towards the highs... forming another +FVG.
The expectation is for price to tag pull back into the +FVG and rally to the buy side liquidity.
If price runs the BSL before pulling back into the +FVG, then the probabilities of prices going
higher are significantly lower.
XAUUSD - 1H Buy SetupXAUUSD has broken the downtrend line and successfully crossed it, followed by a perfect pullback. This suggests potential bullish momentum.
Now, the price is poised to rise towards the resistance zone around $2365.
For a sustained upward movement, we need to analyze the price response at the resistance zone. If it breaks above this resistance convincingly, it could indicate further bullish trends.
XAGUSD continues to give excellent set-ups to trade.Silver (XAGUSD) couldn't have gone better on our last signal we gave (April 17, see chart below) as it did give us the pull-back inside Resistance Zone 1 that we wanted in order to buy and immediately rallied to the top of the Channel Up to hit our 32.00 Target:
Since the break-out, the metal entered a more aggressive Diverging Channel Up (blue), which after a Higher High, it pulls back to the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level and then rallies to the -0.5 Fib.
As a result, we will wait until the price approached the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) again as it did on May 02 and then buy, targeting 35.000 (just below the -0.5 Fib and at the Top of the Channel Up).
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Strifor || GOLD-30/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: There are no changes for gold , as for metals in general. A downward movement is also expected in silver , which we wrote about earlier.
At the moment, the deal is going more, of course, within the framework of scenario №2 , but we remember that this deal was considered in combination with scenarios №1 and №2 , therefore, in general, the short is activated and an approach to support is expected at the level of 2300 with the potential for a fall to 2250 .
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Strifor || GBPUSD-30/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: The British pound has almost the same setup for selling as the euro . For now, we are putting all purchases aside, and in the near future, a further fall is expected towards the level of 1.26000 , just above which we fix the target for this short.
The most likely scenario №1 speaks of selling at current prices, one can try small stop losses, and it is better to re-enter. That is, this is an intraday trade. Scenario №2 involves shorting after a deeper pullback towards the 1.27500 level, but this is a very unlikely potential maneuver.
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Strifor || USDJPY-29/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The probability of a fall in the instrument remains, as we wrote about earlier, but we need to consider the global direction as a priority. As for the medium-term prospects, most likely they will develop in favor of the buyer, as well as the long-term prospects. The focus is on the resistance level of 160.209 , this year's high. We consider scenario №2 after the price approaches support at level 153 , but it is not advisable to try to short here. Scenario №1 is a priority, as are medium-term long in general.
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Strifor || SILVER-28/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: Not long ago, we considered silver for short-term buy-deal and this trade has already been closed today, or at least transferred to breakeven, and most of the profit has been fixed. In the shorter term, the metals are likely to expect a pullback, a downward correction. Against this background, we will consider two scenarios, which can be seen on the chart. It should be noted that both scenarios are rather considered by us equally, although scenario №1 is designated as a priority. The target for the fall is considered to be at support 29.77800.
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Strifor || AUDUSD-28/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: Last week, we considered this currency pair for sale in the more medium term. This trading idea is relevant, and at a distance of 2 weeks, one can consider this scenario short. However, in the short term, there will most likely be strengthening, which is exactly what we talked about earlier. Therefore, it makes sense to take a closer look at small purchases.
At the moment, we highlight two scenarios, both on the chart, with a common target at the level of 0.67141 . This resistance level is a local maximum, the maximum of which is expected to be updated in the near future.
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Strifor || EURUSD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: Based on the results of last week, it can be noted that the market remained at the same levels and there were no significant changes. However, at the same time, such dynamics showed the stability of the US dollar's competitors, which indicates a likely short-term strengthening of these instruments. And of course, the EURUSD currency pair is one of the most promising from this point of view.
Especially at the beginning of this week, the euro is seen strengthening towards the level of 1.90000 . The most likely scenario №1 , which can be found on the chart, indicates an increase to the maximum from current prices. This scenario is a higher priority, and it is better to enter with small stop losses and, if something happens, simply open a new deal. Scenario №2 is a plan B, but is extremely unpalatable for buyers.
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SILVER: Weak Market & Bearish Forecast
Balance of buyers and sellers on the SILVER pair, that is best felt when all the timeframes are analyzed properly is shifting in favor of the sellers, therefore is it only natural that we go short on the pair.
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Silver H4 | Approaching pullback resistanceSilver (XAG/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 32.26 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 33.50 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 30.04 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.