Wyckoff Accumulation, Last chance to get in before the big move!So I know many people are saying that this Wyckoff accumulation pattern has been invalidated due to the lower highs and lows we have been getting but I still believe this is part of the wyckoff accumulation and we are really close to the markup stage. Here is my argument to why its still valid. So first off wyckoff patterns are never 100% accurate and we can prove that by looking at previous charts and history. They all play out the same way in the end but the process might vary from chart to chart and coin to coin. These past lower lows we have been getting look really familiar with the distribution phase we had when BTC reached 65k. So I went back and looked at the distribution phase of BTC and inverted the scale so that it looked like a wyckoff accumulation instead of a distribution. As you can see: BTC did the same exact thing it is doing right now by forming lower highs and lower lows trying to shake the last retail investors before finally rallying up to 40k. In the image I posted BTC went for about 25 days from the (spring) stage to the launch up (inverted ofcourse). On this chart right now Its only been 20 days from the spring to where we are right now. If we add 5 more days that would put us at the 17th of July which is where Im personally expecting this big move to happen. Now if BTC breaks out of the falling wedge and retests that resistance as support that's a strong sign of bullish momentum. Also as soon as BTC breaks my green box around 36k it should according to the wyckoff accumulation pattern go straight up to 41-42k and form the pennant. Now this was quite a long post and I would really appreciate a follow or a like. If there is anything that isn't clear, feel free to ask me in the comments! As always, good luck traders!
Wyckoffaccumulation
$DTSS Wyckoff Re-accumulation after decline$DTSS Wyckoff Re-accumulation after decline, between Spport and Resistance levels
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Still waiting for a drop? Will we get one? Just an updated view of our sideways action. Looks like I will need to redraw the accumulation phase as we are stuck between 32k - 36k. I still expect a dip soon which will start our rebound possibly. This chart will not change as I am curious to see how this plays out compared to the accumulation model.
GME | Wyckoff Accumulation PS— Preliminary Support, where substantial buying begins to provide pronounced support after a continued down-move.
- Volume increases and price spread widens, signaling that the down-move may be approaching its end.
SC—Selling Climax, the point at which widening spread and selling pressure usually in high point and heavy or panicky selling by the public is being absorbed by larger professional interests at or near a bottom.
- Often price will close well off the low in an SC , reflecting the buying by these large interests.
AR—Automatic Rally, which occurs because intense selling pressure has greatly decline.
- A wave of buying easily pushes prices up.
- The high of this rally will help define the upper boundary of an accumulation.
ST—Secondary Test, in which price revisits the area of the SC to test the supply/demand.
- If a bottom is to be confirmed, volume and price spread should be decline as the market approaches support in the area of the SC .
- It is common to have multiple STs after an SC .
LPS—Last Point Of Support, the low point of a reaction or pullback after an SOS.
BU/LPS- Backing up to an LPS means a pullback to support that was formerly resistant, on diminished spread and volume .
SOS—Sign Of Strength, a price advance on increasing spread and relatively higher volume .
- GME is in a Wyckoff Accumulation Pattern
- Latest drop indicates a Bear Trap setting up GME for new ATHs
Bitcoin Continues Down Falling WedgeIf you've read my previous posts, you'd know that I've been primarily tracking a Falling Wedge that Bitcoin has been in. Despite all of the noise, that's all it's been doing since May. It's had 11 touches to its top resistance line and 4 to the bottom support line. I have also drawn a resistance line above the wedge, and what becomes evident is the 4 times in this Accumulation phase that Market Movers have tried to fake us out to the top.
One notable difference in my chart here is the "ST in Phase B" designation where I was previously calling the "Spring." Honestly, we won't know which it is until BTC makes its next move. If that WAS the Spring, then we should see a move to the upside in the coming week or so. If it wasn't the Spring, then we should expect a Spring and have bags ready to buy up 28K Bitcoin.
So what does this mean? It means that fundamentally, nothing has changed for weeks. Whales are accumulating, paper hands are getting wrecked, and short attention-span traders have changed the channel.
All by design.
We've stuck with it this long. Would make no sense to miss the pay-off, and it's going to be soon.
EURGBP UNPOPULAR OPINIONDISTRIBUTION INSIDE AN ACCUMULATION
I cannot tell you guys in full totality that this schematic is right for sure, it is just an anticipation of the many possibilities offered by the market.
Overall bias is shorts till they sweep the liquidity below.
Interms of intraday perspective I think price will continue down and reverse at 0.8500 zone in preparation of a lpsy.
Enter shorts if and only if price shows signs of a distribution to go lower at the first lpsy.
Classic Wyckoff Accumulation playing out.Noticed a perfect example of a classic Wyckoff accumulation playing out on the 6H, and wanted to do an explanation of how instructional investors and whales define support and resistance zones and use them to shake out retail investors during accumulation.
The Wyckoff method plays out in every market that has institutional investors. Once defined, understanding it is a powerful card to have in your hand when you're trading. You'll notice from the volume profile on the right that the price action stays within defined support/resistance levels.
That's because the big buyers set the levels. This $31,500-$40,500 range is also the defining volume range in the distribution leading up to the ATH, making it a substantial level of support over the long term.
Reading volume is important when doing Wyckoff analysis as it will definitively tell you whether a move is false or not.
Note that the uptrend in Phase D & E are for illustration. We may still have some bear market to come, but we are at the strongest region of support since the start of the bull run, so we may be turning around.
Understanding the psychology of greed and fear is important as well. Greed is the driving force of large investors to shake out smaller retail investors during uncertain market times. It works because retail investors tend to trade on emotion, becoming fearful when a large price drop takes place. Institutional investors can ignore emotion and and simply stick to their targets as they have a much larger financial cushion and the ability to act as market makers on a larger scale.
Once you understand the psychology of fear and greed in markets and how volume can be used to confirm price action, you can stop being fearful, stick to a strategy, and begin trading with the market movers instead of against them—as more often than not this is a losing battle.
Wyckoff's Accumulation phaseThis is Wyckoff's Accumulation phase that is tricky to understand, Wyckoff's methods are real smart money concept. Actually Wyckoff's understand how SM place their orders. So after a long time by studying markets sir Wyckoff distributed his knowledge between public. And reality is Support and Resistance work but not so nicely SM know how retail traders trade the market. So they break the retail levels induces public and collect their orders and reduce public From trades. Concepts are little bit complicated to apply in real time chart, but it actually works.
If anyone wants to learn those concepts then they can search on Google 'Wyckoff's method'.
$NMTR SINE WAVES$NMTR SINE WAVES
RS Ratio: 1/10 on 2/07/2018
Wyckoff Re-accumulation after decline, Strong Volume building
High Spike in Volume, MMs loaded on 8/17/2020
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My Revised Take On The Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic On BitcoinMy Revised Take On The Wyckoff Accumulation Schematic On Bitcoin
In this chart i show you the support and resistance levels that i am looking for in te coming weeks.
Looking at the last wyckoff pattern i have drawn i changed phase D because it looks like we got the retest to 32k as i initially expected. the last 2 whicks therefore can be seen as one on the wyckoff pattern, as that is possible in these type of patterns.
I also lowered the levels in phase D because they didnt align with the whicks in phase A and B.
I will be bullish if we break 36k short term and 42k long term, bearish if we retest 30k again.
For now i hope we are still following this pattern an see some green in the coming weeks.
Bitcoin – Accumulation: A Wyckoff Study With BTC breaking down below $32.7k, it appear to me that we have just completed a wave 4 corrective triangle, within the final wave 5 of a larger 3-3-5 correction. All that is left is the final capitulation to complete the last element of this corrective structure.
Read in the context of the Wyckoff Method, this gives the technical structure for what I show as a Redistribution, and the final capitulation into a selling climax that will invigorate the Bulls into value buying, and trigger the Spring that has been so long in the waiting.
Looking at the Fibonacci projection for the larger corrective structure, and the Fibonacci Channel that has defined the trading range since late May, it appears that the bottom of the correction and the Spring is around $26k.
At least that is how I see it.
Bitcoin Wyckoff Accumulation Cheat Sheet (Update 1)Update on the previous cheat sheet with new trendlines and support/resistance levels.
Have also included the cumulative volume of each swing high and low since the Spring/Shakeout, to better show accumulation with lower volume on each pullback compared to up swings. (Note that volume is only based on BINANCE:BTCUSDT )
It appears we have just formed the second test of Phase C, with a confirmation of moving on to Phase D once we clear the 36600 swing high.
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XAU USD Potential LONG zone (read comments for in depth details)Hey Guys, looking at gold's most recent price action on the daily TF, we can see we have accumulated almost at the same level of a previous re-accumulation. in fact, in the current accumulation's spring, we cleared the lows of the previous re-accumulation zone. which is very interesting and nice to see. so now that price has accumulated, and made it clear that it took the lows and broke structure upward, we can now look for zones of interest to go long. Now for my zone of interest id like to play of the daily IC, and would like to see a smaller TF accumulation as we enter the zone of interest, if i dont get that accumulation in the zone of interest then i wont be going long. Here's some screen shots in the comments to show a bit more detail.
EURUSD possible wycoff accumulationI am expecting continous bullish action next week and maybe market reversal at 1.19610.
The price is likely to spring on JULY 14 as we have high impact news.
The demand zone around 1.17720 is a key area to watch as the spring will deflect from that zone from my analysis.
GBPUSD | Market outlook Britain’s pound steadied against the dollar on Friday, recovering from two-month lows after a print of U.S. jobs data pushed the dollar lower. Earlier on Friday, sterling hit fresh two-month lows against the dollar, pressured by dovish comments from the Bank of England’s governor.Bailey’s comments knocked the pound to its lowest since April 16. But after the dollar was weighed down by some weaker details in an otherwise strong overall U.S. jobs report, sterling recovered some ground to trade 0.15% higher.
Bitcoin Wyckoff Accumulation ConfirmationIn continuation of my previous idea. The PS in the formation was too low, possibly because of series of exchange crashes, which led to long trail of triggered stoplosses. That led that the whole structure was little misunderstood. Now we had a perfect spring and test exactly where I expected it, but quite later and now we are moving to phase D. There are no strong signs of strength on clusters, but we are smoothly moving up last days, crossing last day's resistance. At any moment bitcoin was looking weak: no signs of strong buyer interests, but now almost the whole formation is before our eyes. Lack of additional confirmations does not give me confidence, that we would go all the way up from this formation, since Bitcoin knows few cases, when price went down after exit from accumulation.