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WTI Crude oil : Last chance to buy before new ATH? 18.05Inflation, inflation, inflation. In China, 15/16 districts have zero Covid cases and all restrictions are set to be cancelled by June. Globally, the disease is under control - Pretty much insuring a very busy summer for travel. So fundamentally - Crude oil has plenty of room to rise in the short-term and mid-term. When we look at the technicals we see : 1) Clear breakout and retest above triangle consolidation which led to strong bullish movement and bull trend ongoing now. 2) Clear close above key support/resistance zone of 108-109. 3) Probable immediate term target is resistance zone of 112.90 to 114.80. 4) A break above 114.80 could be strong confirmation for rally back to previous high and above. 5) Range trading between 108 to 114.80 is also very possible. Bottom line - Good chance for strong rally, downside to 108 is possible. A close below 108 would be bearish in the immediate term. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Thank you so much for reading! If you found my idea useful, please like and follow! It would mean a lot. Don't hesitate to comment/ask me anything - I promise to respond to each and every one. I am not a financial advisor and encourage you to do your own research and be cautious when trading. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
BLACKBULL:WTILong
by Exactus
16
Mixed view on the oil market In our previous article, we said that we would like to abstain from setting any price outlook for USOIL after it stopped 0.10$ above our 70$ price target. Unfortunately, that continues to be the case also today, and we do not wish to set any new price targets. However, we would like to update at least some thoughts on the asset. On 8th December 2022, we floated the idea of the price deviating too far from its moving averages. Interestingly, the next day the price halted its decline and started going up. Since then, the price has broken above 20-day SMA. As a result, USOIL currently trades near the 78.90$ price tag. At the moment, we will pay close attention to the price action. If the price breaks above 80$ and holds there, it will bolster the bullish case for USOIL in the short term. In such a scenario, it could be possible that USOIL will attempt to fully retrace toward its 50-day SMA. That would mark a significant downtrend correction and perhaps even foreshadow a bigger move up. However, our current thoughts about the oil market are mixed. There are several factors responsible for that. First, economic activity is slowing down rapidly, weighing on oil demand in the coming months. Second, National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration reported that the Earth experienced the coolest November since 2014, which can contrarily boost demand over the winter. Third, the U.S. might consider slowing down or halting releases of Strategic Petroleum Reserves (SPR) as their levels are reaching 1983 lows. In addition to that, there are rumors of Germany and Poland demanding oil from the Russian company Transneft, which opens a debate about whether some of the Russian crude oil can be allowed back into the European market. With that said, we would like to wait longer on the sidelines until we see a clearer picture of the market. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 displays the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels. If the price holds above the short-term support, it will be bullish in the short term. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOIL
by Tradersweekly
17
WTI or USOIL (XTIUSD): BUY analysisWe can see WTI price jumped up as our prognosis here: Now, what will be happen? Price tested upper level on the chart and it will not stop here or it will continue its nonstop movement. Hereby, WTI confirms own strenght. This is very gratifying occasion for us, because we love WTI trading. So, today WTI broke up trend channel to upward. You will see on the chart. We need draw new channel for further explanation. OIL was moving between blue-green channel and it is entering to red trend channel. I marked these channels on the chart. It tries to create a new channel by choosing the correct entry point. What is next level? I think that, WTI will continue own movement until it reachs to 82.35. Because, this point is keypoint and strong level also. On the technical side, this is non-breaking level. But we think that this barrier can be broken, taking into account the volatility of the oil price (of course, if there is no strong fundamental or strategic news). You can open a BUY operation by setting a stop loss. It is possible to set 82.30-82.35 as a target. Let's trade and see what will happen in the coming days.
TVC:USOILLong
by Forexcues
WTI (CRUDE OIL) shortterm forecastHi dear traders. WTI (Crude OIL) created nice trend channel started from 73.37. Upper border of the channel is 75.60. Although, oil prices is moving between these prices from 16 December, as soon as it will jump to 77.55 level. This is my private opinion and this is good opportunity for buyers. Signal characteristics: WTI will move down firstly, then possibly impulse here. Small impulse will reach to 76.29. Then will come retracement. It will retest 75.80-76.00 secondly. As a resut, second impulse will take us to target. Of course, we need entry, take profit and stop loss levesl for signal: ENTRY: 75.62 TP 77.50 SL 74.25 Signal can reach our target during this week. Do not forget to put Stop Loss because trading without SL is gambling only. This will be non-professionalism. Good luck and follow us ))
TVC:USOILLong
by Forexcues
WTI OIL: Great success on last week's reversalOur short-term 75.82 target got easily hit following the lower than expected U.S. CPI yesterday, as WTI reached (and broke marginally above) the 4H MA50 (now at 75.09). Since it closed a candle above it (4H MA50) that means it turned it into a Support and keeps the trend bullish. Careful handling is needed as despite 4H turning bullish since yesterday, the 1D remains bearish (RSI = 42.814, MACD = -2.890, ADX = 24.695) and above all the Fed announce the new Rate Decision today. For now, my new target is 79.00. A break above the 4H MA200 (81.97), we can target the 1D MA50 (83.55 and falling), which is the ultimate Resistance. If the RSI hits its Resistance Zone earlier, book profit and sell again. The long term trend is bearish. Previous WTI chart:
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
70$ nearly hit, reconsideration of thoughts, and retracementFor several months, we provided price rankings for USOIL, most of which were fulfilled already. The only price target we kept was 70$ per barrel, which was nearly hit last Friday when the price stopped at 70.10$ (just 0.13% away from the price target). With the price level nearly hit, it is time for us to step away from the market and reconsider the situation. In our previous idea, we outlined how the price deviated too far from its moving averages (20-day SMA and 50-day SMA) and might be setting itself for the price retracement to the upside. After hitting a new low, that became the case for USOIL, with the price rising to 74.30$. At the moment, we do not expect a primary trend reversal from bearish to bullish. However, we want to stay on the sidelines and avoid setting new price targets until the picture gets clearer. Until then, we will maintain a neutral position. Illustration 1.01 Illustration 1.01 shows the daily chart of USOIL. Yellow arrows indicate a new low at 70.10$ and retracement toward 20-day SMA in progress. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish (but showing signs of exhaustion) Weekly time frame = Bearish Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOIL
by Tradersweekly
7
Crude Oil Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022 We cCrude Oil Weekly Volatility Analysis 12-16 Dec 2022 We can see that currently the implied volatility for this week is around 6.51%, up from 6.33% from last week according to OVX data With this in mind, currently from ATR point of view we are located in the 83th percentile, while according to OVX, we are on 77th percentile. Based on this, we can expect that the current weekly candles ( from open to close ) are going to between: Bullish: 4.62% movement Bearish: 5.6% movement At the same time, with this data, we can make a top/bot channel which is going to contain inside the movement of this asset, meaning that there is a 21.3% that our close of the weekly candle of this asset is going to be either above/below the next channel: TOP: 76.33 BOT: 67.24 Taking into consideration the previous weekly high/low, currently for this candle there is : 30% probability we are going to touch previous high 76.2 67% probability we are going to touch previous low 70.1 Lastly, from the technical analysis point of view, currently from Weekly timeframe indicates -66% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index Daily timeframe indicates -80% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index 4H timeframe indicates -53% BEARISH trend from the moving averages index
NYMEX:CL1!
by exlux
New lows, volatility about to continue, and a potential bounceIn the past few days, USOIL constituted a new low below 73$, marking a 43% decline from its peak a few months earlier. This move came amid our bearish expectations for oil and forecast for lower prices. We continue to stick to this call altogether with our price target at 70$, which was updated recently to a short-term price target (from medium-term). Our views are based on technical and fundamental factors described below and in previous articles. Illustration 1.01 The daily chart of USOIL shows the price decline between 8th March 2022 and today. The yellow arrow indicates a bearish breakout below the previous low and subsequent bullish retracement. To further support our bearish thesis, we would like to see the price break again below 73.62$ and hold there. Technical analysis Daily time frame = Bearish Weekly time frame = Bearish Illustration 1.02 Illustration 1.02 displays the daily chart of USOIL and simple support/resistance levels + two simple moving averages. At the moment, the price deviated too far from its 20-day and 50-day SMAs, which is often followed by the price retracement toward a mean; currently, these SMAs act as important resistance levels. Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section. DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
TVC:USOILShort
by Tradersweekly
27
WTI OIL: Support broken, targeting 70.00The price eventually dived back to the 74.00 Support as the previous Low was compromised. The 4H MA50 is near oversold territory (RSI = 34.019, MACD = -2.320, ADX = 29.655) and since November 10th that has always caused a +5.50% rebound at least but since 73.00 broke, that means more heavy selling to 70.00. Notice the Inverse Head and Shoulders pattern that is being repeated inside the Channel Down since June. The past two time after the Head/ Support broke, the price made a Lower Low on the 1.236 Fibonacci, with the 1D RSI hitting also a Lower Lows Support. Every rebound to the 4H MA50 (blue), is a sell opportunity until 70.00 gets hit. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
TVC:USOILShort
by InvestingScope
1
WTI OIL: Bullish as long as 4h MA50 supportsThe price has turned flat as despite today's higher opening, there was a corrective 4H wave. However, as long as the 4H MA50 (78.92) holds and supports, our target remains the 4H MA200 (now at 84.46). Short-term traders may find use in scalping the 1H Bollinger Bands within 81.89 - 79.86, since both 1D and 4H (RSI = 54.999, MACD = 0.570, ADX = 31.841) remain neutral. On the longer term, a break above the 4H MA200, would be a buy break-out call for me, targeting the 1D MA100 (87.67), while a break below the 4H MA50 would be a sell, targeting 77.00.
TVC:USOILLong
by InvestingScope
USOil | New perspective for the week | Follow-up detailA record number of new coronavirus cases in China (the world's highest importer of crude oil) coupled with the inability of the EU to agree on a price cap for Russian oil Crude prices resulted in a plunge in price as the price fell for a third straight week. From a technical standpoint, it is obvious that price action has been caught within a channel ($93.50 and $87.00) in the last couple of months to emphasize the indecision in the market. However, it is worth noting that the lower timeframes reveal that price action has continued to find lower lows and lower highs in the last 3 weeks to signal a possible bearish continuation in the new week but we can not ignore the possibility of a breakout of the bearish trendline to incite a reversal structure. Disclaimer: Margin trading in the foreign exchange market (including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, etc.) has a high risk and is not suitable for all investors. The content of this speculation (including all data) is organized and published by me for the sole purpose of education and assistance in making independent investment decisions. All information herein is for your reference only and I take no responsibility. You are hereby advised to carefully consider your investment experience, financial situation, investment objective, and risk tolerance level, and consult your independent financial adviser as to the suitability of your situation prior to making any investment. I do not guarantee its accuracy and is not liable for any loss or damage which may result directly or indirectly from such content or the receipt of any instruction or notification therewith. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results.
FX:USOILSPOT
by darcsherry
Oil buyers step in at $72/bbl: Is the downside limited?The oil market has seen a lot of activity, with recent developments mostly easing worries about market tightness. In China, Covid-related restrictions have been reinstalled in major cities, triggering rare protests and consequently reducing outlook for oil consumption, in striking contrast to perceived moves to reopen the economy at the beginning of November. On the supply side, reports that the United States granted Chevron Corp permission to restart oil production in Venezuela, as well as Iraq's statement that it will add 1 million to 1.5 million barrels per day of oil export capacity by 2025, weighed on oil prices. The oil future curve is no longer in a backwardation state. The price premium that spot WTI held over its future contracts ( 3A1! ; 4A1! ; 5A1! ) has been fully wiped away by the most recent leg of oil depreciation. In essence, the spot price of oil is currently trading at par compared to its 6-month future delivery, indicating that the market is not currently concerned about prompt supply. This condition has not been observed since January 2021, and it may be prudent to be wary of surprises at this time. Bad news is priced, but positive catalysts are still to come? With most bad news already priced in by the market, it may take something new to stop oil prices from falling. In October, the US White House signalled that it intends to repurchase crude to replenish its SPR stocks when WTI prices are at or below about $65/bbl and $72/bbl. Consequently, this area could present a strong price support and thus limit the downside relative to current market prices. Additionally, supply-side risks have not completely disappeared. The G7 has postponed a price ceiling on Russian oil, but Russia said that it may retaliate, restricting supply, if the G7 applies a price cap. In view of recent market developments, OPEC+ could also reinforce its very restrictive supply strategy on Sunday, December 4th. Dip buying to resume at $72? Technically speaking, oil has revised its lows for 2022 and is currently experiencing a negative year-to-date performance. The most recent wave of decline was dramatic, bringing the daily RSI close to oversold territory. In the past, massive selloffs in oil prices, with the daily RSI in oversold territory, produced some near-term price recovery. WTI prices are currently 14% and 30% below their respective 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which appears overly pessimistic considering the persistence of upside risks. Given how sharp the recent downward trend was and the fact that a positive catalyst might happen soon, dip buying may start to come back at these levels.
CAPITALCOM:OIL_CRUDE
by Capitalcom
WTI BEARISH OUTLOOKCrude Oil benchmark WTI broke its previous established support at 81.75 and continued its downtrend through Wednesday after G7 talk for implementing a price cap on Russian supply. The mark cap of 65-70 USD per barrel was higher than the market expected, which elevate some of the fears of supply distribution of the oil. Another positive news for the global oil supply is that Chervon Corp. might expand operations in Venezuela. Both MACD and RSI technical indicators are confirming the downtrend with MACD histogram below the 0 line and RSI below the 50 neutral line. If the trend continues the price might try to reach levels of 73.65 or even 70.47 In the opposite scenario, the price might revert and test its resistance at 81.75 Risk Disclosure: Trading Foreign Exchange (Forex) and Contracts of Difference (CFD's) carries a high level of risk. By registering and signing up, any client affirms their understanding of their own personal accountability for all transactions performed within their account and recognizes the risks associated with trading on such markets and on such sites. Furthermore, one understands that the company carries zero influence over transactions, markets, and trading signals, therefore, cannot be held liable nor guarantee any profits or losses.
BLACKBULL:WTIShort
by legacyFXofficial
CRUDE OIL Bullish entering DecemberWTI Crude Oil made a remarkable rebound yesterday marginally below the 76.30 Support (the Support Zone is now 76.30 - 75.30) and turned the 4H RSI around, approaching the 4H MA50 (yellow line). This is the first Resistance (short term) with the initial target of this late September/October-like rebound being the 1D MA50 (blue line). If then the price breaks above the 1D MA100 (green line), we can continue buying and aim the 93.75 Resistance, which happens to be on the 0.382 Fibonacci level of the June 14 Top. Being so symmetrical, is why we consider the 0.236 Fibonacci to also be a medium term Resistance as well. A break above the 93.75 Resistance targets the 1D MA200 (orange line), the long term bearish barrier. Follow us, like the idea and leave a comment below!!
TVC:USOILLong
by TheCryptagon
WTI OIL: Trapped between the 1W MA50 and MA100The WTI Crude Oil has been giving the best set-up to swing traders as it has been ranging within the 1W MA50 (blue) and 1W MA100 (green) since August 31st. Great low risk high return opportunities exist within for as long as it lasts. On the longer term, the September 26th bounce on the 1W MA100 was on the rising Support (Higher Lows) that has been in effect since March 2021. In fact even the 1W RSIhit and rebounded on its declining (Lower Lows) Support, with the previous two times (December 6th 2021 and August 23rd 2021) matching Oil's last two bottoms. The MACD needs to complete its bullish cross to confirm a new sustainable rise though, which will most likely be if Oil breaks above the 1W MA50. That would target the dashed rising Resistance (Higher Highs) that was the technical Resistance before the Ukraine/ Russia war distorted the price action. On a different occasion, if the price breaks below the March 2021 rising Support, Oil could target the 1W MA200 (orange) for the first time since February 01 2021. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ## ## Also DONATIONS through TradingView coins help our cause of increasing the daily ideas put here for free and reach out more traders like you. ##
TVC:USOIL
by InvestingScope