Weekly Roundup: WTIWait and see mode for me on WTI. Lots of potential trades to watch for, just have to be patient.
Wticrude
WTI CRUDE OIL OUTLOOK Good day, traders.
Today, we'll be looking at WTI crude oil. I anticipate a break of the 80.80 prior high and a return to the 80 zone, after which we will seek for bullish confirmations to place a buy order.
Keep in mind: No confirmation, no admission.
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USOIL SHORT TO 80.5
The trend of crude oil will continue to fall, and the previous trend is very dangerous and distorted. Shorting is currently feasible around 83.5. The current trend chart is running downward and upward slowly, which is a signal to seize the opportunity.
Target 80.5
WTI Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
USOIL to drop toward $76 per barrel?After reaching nearly $85 per barrel three days ago, USOIL drifted lower with the global stock market. In the process, it retraced to its 20-day SMA, which acts as a significant support level. Furthermore, RSI, MACD, and Stochastic started to reverse and point to the downside on the daily chart. This bearish development could coincide with a short-term trend reversal and foreshadow USOIL’s return to the area between $75 and $76 per barrel. We want to see a bearish crossover between DM+ and DM- (on the daily time frame) to further bolster the bearish case. In addition to that, we would like to see the previously mentioned indicators continue to develop bearish structures.
Illustration 1.01
Illustration 1.01 displays the daily graph of USOIL and two simple moving averages. The yellow arrow indicates a price retracement toward the 20-day SMA, which currently acts as a support level. If the support fails to stop selling pressure, it will raise the bearish odds.
Technical analysis
Daily time frame = Bearish
Weekly time frame = Neutral
Please feel free to express your ideas and thoughts in the comment section.
DISCLAIMER: This analysis is not intended to encourage any buying or selling of any particular securities. Furthermore, it should not be a basis for taking any trade action by an individual investor. Therefore, your own due diligence is highly advised before entering a trade.
US OIL Analysis 27Aug2023US Oil analysis looks positive last week. price drops towards SnD area. if you look at the closing of the week the price was corrected but unable to form a new HH, chances are that next week the price will continue its bearish trend.
WYI overall analysis
The overall trend of crude oil yesterday was like a roller coaster, but last night it formed a V-shaped reversal. It fell below the 79.5 resistance within the day and rebounded again, but failed to break through the previous day's low of 77.6. We went long at the low point of 77.6, and successfully ushered in a big rise, with a stop profit of 78.6! From the daily line, the moving average is still in a short position, but the two closing lines are very long, indicating that the double-bottom support below 77.6 is effective, mainly because H4 came out of the stop loss trend and then fell back. A golden cross appeared on the moving average, and oil prices fell. If it breaks through the middle rail, the adjustment of crude oil is over. You can safely look at the points around 78.6, increase your position at 78.1, hold 77.6, pay attention to 79.5-80.1, and continue to increase your position.
Short crude oil and keep making moneyThe crude oil trading strategy shared with you today, USOIL: @79.2-79.4 Sell, TP: 78.5. We made a good profit again, and the lowest crude oil fell to around 77.6 today.
Similarly, our crude oil trading strategy has successfully reached my expected profit target. Congratulations here to all friends who keep up with trading strategies.
Looking at the current structural trend of crude oil, although the local trend of crude oil has rebounded structurally, overall, the global manufacturing data is weak, increasing demand concerns. In addition, the short-term trend of crude oil fell below the lower support of the range. Although oil prices rebounded vigorously after hitting a new low, it only eased the continuity of the decline and failed to change the direction of the downward trend. Therefore, crude oil still has downside risks in the short term. Therefore, short-term trading of crude oil is still dominated by shorting at high levels.
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Crude Oil Scalp IdeaI like this Crude Oil Scalp Trade Idea around these key fib levels on the 15-minute chart to BUY the dip.
Share your thoughts below.
Thanks.
USOILUSOIL is trading in descending channel and currently the price is at resistance level of the channel. As red candles from resistance level showing good sell momentum , it seems like bears will take control and send the price to even lower side.
Oil - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermH1 - Bearish trend pattern.
Currently it looks like a correction is happening.
Until the two strong resistance zones hold my short term view remains bearish here.
WTI-USOIL is near a key support...but we need one more leg down These is the long-term weekly chart of WTI. We can see price is holding near a very strong support level but has not quite touched it. RSI analysis tells us we can have one more leg down, but if not and the price holds we can say we have hit the bottom and price will rise gradually.
2023.8.4 USOUSD rose sharply yesterday2023.8.4 USOUSD rose sharply yesterday
Hello, I'm Older Duan. Today is Friday, August 4th 2023.
Now it's 17pm Beijing time.
Let me give you a quick comment on the technical forms of the current international mainstream varieties!
First, what we see is the daily graph of the dollar index.
As shown in the figure, the U.S. Dollar Index began to fall down yesterday, and today it is close to 2.382 (102.29) of the top down golden section in the figure!
Now, let's look at gold.
Now you can see the daily chart of gold.
The figure superimposes the combination of gold's recent bottom-up golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, gold has been closing below the daily average density range for two consecutive trading days! Then, in the future, we will continue to use the daily line level of 165MA, or $1941.54, as the important Bitwise operation operation in the day! Above this position, bulls dominate; Below this position, bears dominate!
Let's take a look at American crude oil.
What you are now seeing is daily level candle chart of US crude oil. The graph superimposes the recent bottom-up golden section of US crude oil and the Fibonacci parameter mean square combination!
As shown in the figure, US crude oil rose sharply yesterday, almost covering the decline of this Wednesday, and is about to once again challenge the recent bottom up gold split of 2.382 ($81.97)! Then, in the following time today, just use this position as an important point in the day for Bitwise operation! Above this point, bulls dominate; Below this point, bears dominate!
Let's look at EURUSD.
What you can see now is the daily chart of EURUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of European and American currencies against the recent bottom of the golden section and Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the euro has been engaged in a long short competition at the daily level of 55MA (1.09508) against the US dollar in the past three trading days! Then this position will be used as the Bitwise operation operation of the important point in the day in the future! Above this position, bulls dominate; Under this position, bears dominate!
Finally, let's take a look at GBPUSD.
Now you can see the daily chart of GBPUSD.
The figure superimposes the combination of the recent bottom of the GBPUSD against the golden section and the Fibonacci parameter mean square!
As shown in the figure, the pound broke through strong daily support against the US dollar yesterday, with the bottom facing the 2.000 level (1.26793) of the golden section, which was also the highest point on May 10, 2023. Today, it almost tested the daily level of 55MA (1.27555) against the top! Then in the future, these two positions can be used as the Bitwise operation of the important points in the day! Within these two positions, throw high and suck low; Beyond these two positions, chase up and kill down!
Well, the above is a quick inventory of the technical forms of the international mainstream varieties in today's European period!
Special reminder, Today is Friday, and there is a big non agricultural data market tonight. Please pay attention to the risks.
Im Older Duan. Wish you happy win . Goodbye!
US Oil / WTI Analysis 30July2023Following last week's analysis, still in accordance with the price movement for next week. US Oil still looks very bullish with a tilt trend close to 45 degrees and at the closure of the week with full bullish candle shows the support of the buyer is still very strong. The closest target is currently in the price range of 83-84 which at that price is in contact with 2 areas of Fibo Extensions (Fibo Cluster)
Technical Analysis of WTIGoing into Wednesday's European session, WTI crude oil closes around $79.00 at an intraday low. It posted its first daily loss in five days after reversing from its highest level since April 19. This reversal occurred amid overbought RSI conditions amid a five-week-long rising wedge bearish chart formation.
WTI sellers are favored by the recent downside break of an upward-sloping support line from Monday, now close to $79.20, as well as the looming bear cross on the MACD indicator.
Oil bears are well positioned to push the mid-July peak of $77.20. A convergence of the wedge's bottom line and the 50-Easiest Moving Average (EMA), near $76.70, would confirm the commodity's further downside.
In the following periods, the 200-EMA level of around $73.80 and the previous monthly low of around $67.00 will be in focus. It may, however, function as an intermediate halt at $70.00.
In terms of theoretical targets, the rising wedge is aimed at $64,000.
A break above $79.20 could again aim for successful trading beyond the $80.00 psychological magnet if the immediate support-turned-resistance line breaks to the upside.
As a result, WTI bulls will be lured by March's high of $81.05, followed by April's peak of $83.40
WTI OIL / US OIL AnalysisUs oil is quite interesting. The movement is now in accordance with the analysis that I gave a few weeks ago.
There are things that are repeated here, namely the price of forming a curve bullish again. The possibility is the price of bullish is quite high, if we pull the fibo extension, then the possibility of the price of pursuing fibo extensions 1. Fibo Extension 1 is more or less parallel to Fibo Extensions 1,618 from Wave 1. Could be, Wave 3 will move to the area. Take the opportunity to Long when the price is corrected.
PVVM Analysis & Trade Idea - USOILMacro PVVM Analysis:
The Macro PVVM score provides us with an understanding of the long-term trend of the asset. On 7/10/2023, the Macro PVVM was at -9, indicating a slightly bearish sentiment in the long-term. However, by 7/20/2023, it had climbed to 60, suggesting a notable strengthening of the bullish trend.
Considering the range of the Macro PVVM (-150 to 150), the asset is not yet overbought, but the increasing trend signifies a positive sentiment in the long-term. This suggests that TVC:USOIL might have potential for further growth in the foreseeable future.
Micro PVVM Analysis:
The Micro PVVM score represents the short-term trend of the asset. On 7/10/2023, the Micro PVVM was at 98, which indicates a strongly bullish sentiment in the short-term. However, it experienced a slight dip to 72 by 7/20/2023. The momentum seems to be weakening slightly, as it has declined from the peak of 114 seen on 7/12/2023.
Key Takeaways:
1. The long-term trend of EASYMARKETS:OILUSD has turned bullish, as evidenced by the increasing Macro PVVM score.
2. The short-term trend has been predominantly bullish, though it experienced a slight decline in recent days.
Trade Idea:
Considering the current technical analysis, you might consider a long position in TVC:USOIL . Traders could wait for the correction expected by the Micro PVVM to end and then enter long positions.
$74 could be pivotal for WTI over the near termCommodities were broadly lower yesterday with the CRB index falling to a 4-day low. Geopolitical tensions are rising following Russia’s decision to back out of a key grain deal which allowed Ukraine to export grain through the Black Sea. Weak data from China and news that Libya will restart oil production also saw WTI fall for a second day.
What has caught our eye is that WTI played very nicely with its round numbers yesterday, printing the high of the day at $76, a lower high at $75 and lows around $74. It is also considering the break of a trendline, although unless volatility picks up it runs the risk of moving sideways through it (which is not in the spirit of a trendline break).
Still, $74 appears to be a pivotal level over the near-term. And if prices print a minor bounce, we’d still consider shorts below $75 with a view for it to trade to $73. Take note that it is contract expiration today so we may see spills of undesirable volatility, but overall we want to see which way momentum takes this market next.
WTI US OIL Analysis 13July2023the sideways area has been successfully passed, there is a possibility that the price will retrace to the support area and resume the bullish trend again with the nearest target at $77.
