Wedgebreakout
The Descending Broadening WedgeA descending broadening wedge is bullish chart pattern (said to be a reversal pattern). It is formed by two diverging bullish lines.
A descending broadening wedge is confirmed/valid if it has good oscillation between the two upward lines . The upper line is the resistance line; the lower line is the support line.
Each of these lines must have been touched at least twice to validate the pattern.
NB: a line is said to be "valid" if the price line touches the support or resistance at least 3 times.
This implies that the descending broadening wedge pattern is considered valid if the price touches the support line at least 3 times and the resistance line twice (or the support line at least twice and the resistance line 3 times).
A descending broadening wedge does not mark the exhaustion of the selling current, but the buyers’ ambition to take control. The divergence of the two lines in the same direction (increase in price magnitude) informs us that the price continues to fall with movements that are increasingly low in magnitude. The sellers manage to make the price rebound on the resistance line but lose control after the formation of a new lowest point. The highest point reached during the first correction on the descending broadening wedge’s resistance line forms the resistance. A second wave of decline then occurs of more magnitude, signalling the sellers' loss of control after a new lowest point. A third wave forms afterwards but the sellers lose control again after the formation of new lowest points.
During the formation of a descending broadening wedge , volumes do not behave in any particular way but they increase strongly when the support line breaks. source:Centralcharts
In 80% of cases, the exit is bullish.
In 75% of cases, a descending broadening wedge is a reversal pattern.
In 60% of cases, a descending broadening wedge’s price objective is achieved when the resistance line is broken.
In 21% of cases, the price makes a pullback in support on the descending broadening wedge’s resistance line.
This type of pattern appears during the correction in a bullish movement, it is a bullish continuation pattern. Resumption of the bullish movement after correction.
The break in the resistance line definitively validates the pattern.
The price objective is given by plotting the wedge’s maximum height onto the breaking point
NB: pullbacks are harmful to the pattern’s performance.
Statistics of the descending broadening wedge after a bullish movement
- In 79% of cases, the exit is bullish.
- In 23% of cases, a descending broadening wedge occurs in a consolidation movement.
- In 81% of cases, the pattern's price objective is achieved when the resistance line is broken.
- In 40% of cases, the price makes a pullback in support on the descending broadening wedge’s resistance line.
The Ascending Broadening WedgeAn ascending broadening wedge is a bearish chart pattern (said to be a reversal pattern). It is formed by two diverging bullish lines.
An ascending broadening wedge is confirmed/valid if it has good oscillation between the two upward lines. The upper line is the resistance line; the lower line is the support line.
Each of these lines must have been touched at least twice to validate the pattern.
NB: a line is said to be "valid" if the price line touches the support or resistance at least 3 times.
This implies that the ascending broadening wedge pattern is considered valid if the price touches the support line at least 3 times and the resistance line twice (or the support line at least twice and the resistance line 3 times).
An ascending broadening wedge does not mark the exhaustion of the buying current, but the sellers’ ambition to take control. The divergence of the two lines in the same direction (increase in price magnitude) informs us that the price continues to increase with movements that are increasingly high in magnitude. The buyers manage to make the price rebound on the support line but lose control after the formation of a new highest point. The lowest point reached during the first correction on the ascending broadening wedge’s support line forms the support. A second wave of increase then occurs with more magnitude, signalling the loss of buyers' control after a new highest point. A third wave is formed afterwards but buyers lose control again after the formation of new highest points.
During the formation of an ascending broadening wedge , volumes do not behave in any particular way but they increase strongly when the support line breaks.
This type of pattern appears during the correction in a bearish movement, it is a bearish continuation pattern. Resumption of the bearish movement after correction.
The break in the support line definitively validates the pattern.
The price objective is given by plotting the wedge’s maximum height onto the breaking point
NB: pullbacks are harmful to the pattern’s performance.
Statistics of the ascending broadening wedge after a trough
- In 79% of cases, the exit is bearish.
- In 23% of cases, an ascending broadening wedge occurs in a consolidation movement.
- In 81% of cases, the pattern's price objective is achieved when the support line is broken.
- In 40% of cases, the price makes a pullback in resistance on the ascending broadening wedge’s support line.
GBPUSD: A Broken Wedge FormationThe GBPUSD is currently in a main bearish trend. A bullish wedge was formed during the last couple of days. this wedge is now broken and the pair is ready to return to the main bearish trend.
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SPY: Broken wedge acting as resistance so far...Back and forth action as we digest the machinations of the oil market, and some slight weakness mid-day today with news that Gilead's remdesivir flops in first trial. It's interesting to see the broken wedge acting as resistance, but the 20-moving average on the day is acting as support. Still watching to see how this plays out, with a bearish bias.
AUDJPY AUD/JPY down trend analazy daily/4h/1h
trend is down trend since 2015 may 15 this is daily analazy moving average 200 below moving average 100 AUD/JPY strong daily down trend wedge pattern tell to sellers try into push the price down but buys some time weak wait for LH level break down and retrecement (A) or (B) level
Keep on these points on intereset - Move incomingI have marked key points of interest with two phases of bullish & bearish potential outcomes. No fancy TA, just intuition based off of the previous price action.
Bullish Scenario
Breaking above the green trend line we can anticipate a bullish continuation of the micro trend
Micro target 7700-7900
Macro target (if resistance is broken): 8300-8500
Bearish Scenario
Breaking below the 6500 mark we can anticipate a bearing continuation of the macro trend
Micro Target: 5700-5900.
Macro target (if support is broken): 4900-5000
Thanks for reading :)
GBPAUD Breakout From Expanding Wedge.GBPAUD was trading in expanding wedge, but it has breakout from the pattern on the downside. Considering expanding wedge a breakout on downside our first target on downside support line 1 and target 2 is support line 2 . One can trade on the short side from the current level with the target as support lines 1 & 2.
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Note- Trade With Proper Risk Management System Only
Thanks
VIB BTC Potential Decending Wedge BreakoutVib has been consolidating for the past few weeks as it bounced off strong trendline support stemming back several months (indicated by the yellow dotted line).
It is now at another decisive point as price action meets descending wedge resistance. Will it break to the upside or down?
Volume is looking nice in this area considering this is a low profile coin.
It would be best to wait for confirmation prior to entry, but if you do enter....a stop loss is absolutely required.
A safe SL would be right under the yellow dotted trendline support at around 142-148 satoshis, depending on your risk management.
Green lines indicate potential points of interest for profit targets.
As always, BTC will most likely dictate most of the alt's fate...so these are dicey areas to trade.
This is not financial advice.
XTZ/USD - bear wedgeon the hourly timeframe discrepancy with the AO indicator.
Indicates that there is no power to continue upward.
on the daytime timeframe, the AO indicator has gone long.
Two shopping areas:
when the exit is up.
or on a rollback to pick up.
rollback down or sidewall likely to unload indicators for further growth.
main resistance zone 2.5$
BOILING!All I seem to be doing is shorting atm lol!.
I believe we will have one more push to 114.200 before we see the real drop! a nice big wick up to wipe out all the people that have already moved stop losses to break even maybe?. There is lovely amounts of liquidity in the top zone but for me we haven't touched that 114.200 which has easily been met before in this month and last month too. I only enter upon optimal entry. I'd rather sit back and watch it play out rather than enter now.
Very tight trading channel! we have seen this pattern across most JPY pairs this week which have now broken out and fallen below, just check my other jpy trades I took this week. This pair could just be lagging as they are both seen as safe heavens during times like these but I do believe this pair will follow what eurjpy and usdjpy have done.
S/R zones look good! very tight rising wedge looks goood and the magic fib all looks good too!
GBPUSD 1D WOLFE WAVE STRATEGYWhen trading the best wolfe strategy you will find that after the entry is triggered your position should show you an immediate profit. This is because the reversal pattern that emerges from the wolfe wave chart pattern is very violent.
Once we’ve got the first five waves we have the general setup of the wolf wave . After the last wave has broken above the ascending wedge channel it’s the time to get ready for some action.
Step #1: Prior to the Bearish Wolfe Wave Formation look to have a clear Bullish Trend .
Firstly, before the first wave to develop we need to have a clear trend that needs to be reversed. For high probability trades, we want to see a prior bullrish trend before the bearish wolfe wave develops.
This step is quite essential if you want to correctly trade the wolfe pattern.
Now that we’ve identified a trend, it's time to apply the wolfe wave rules to the price chart. This brings us to the next step of our reversal strategy.
Step #2: Try finding a 5 wave move that can be contained in a channel. The last wave 5 must break above the wedge channel.
A valid wolfe wave is composed of 5 waves that follow some simple rules. However, the most important rules are that wave 2 and 4 must be contained within the channel created by Wave 1 and Wave 2.
Secondly, wave 5 breaks above the trendline created by wave 1 and wave 3.
Step #3: Sell after we break above and then a candle close back inside the Wedge Price Channel .
At the moment when the price enters and closes back into the price channel , we want to enter a short position. We like to wait for the close inside in order to eliminate possible fake breakouts.
Note*: If we don’t get a close back into the wedge price channel we don’t have a valid trade signal.
Another sign to look for is how quickly it goes back into the channel. We prefer to only trade the wolfe patterns that retrace very quickly back into the range.
This is a sign that a smart money reversal is at work.
Remember, in trading, you only want to trade the high probability trade setups.
Step #4: Draw a trendline that connects the wave 1 high and wave 4 low and extend it in the future. Take profit when the EPA line is hit or candle close below it..
The line that connects the wave 1 high and wave 4 low is called the wolfe wave EPA line.
The EPA line stands for Estimated Price at Arrival and it’s an effective take profit strategy. The EPA line main purpose is to show at what price the market will extend after it reversed the previous trend.
Note*: If the EPA line is too steep, often time it means that the price will never reach it. In this case, you want to take profits early.
Step #5: Hide Protective Stop Loss above Wave 5.
The protective stop loss can be located above the last wave or wave 5. This strategy gives us a very tight stop loss which is good for our risk management strategy.
Obviously that a break above wave 5 means we also break first above the channel and this will invalidate the validity of the wolfe wave chart pattern.
Note** the above was an example of a SELL trade using the best wolfe wave strategy. Use the same rules for a BUY trade.
Conclusion - Best Wolfe Wave Strategy
The wolfe wave strategy is a trading strategy built around waves the same like Elliott Wave trading. We use other trading concepts like channeling and price symmetry to find the best possible trade signals.
If the trade works in our favor then we have a really good chance to have a good trade in terms of risk to reward ratio. With trading experience, it will become much easier to spot the wolfe wave patterns.