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Wave Analysis

Trade Idea Setting Up Into Support Santa Rally I am positioning myself to take part in the year-end rally and the December 18th FOMC. I can smell another 8% rally coming. I will see how price gets into the support zone and when it starts holding, I will get in. The stacked highs are the target. The triple top over 45,000. I have a feeling the market will close 2024 over the 45,000 level for headlines. The two biggest clues for this trade Idea is the peak formation low and the creeping trend. Creeping trends are used as order flow for the reversal back up. Once all the shorts start covering, a squeeze happens. What I am looking for is the creeping trend's capitulation into support. There is probably 2000 ticks of upside potential here.
CBOT_MINI:YM1!Long
by Dow_Jones_Maestro
7
Ash | 4 reasons why we’re still bullish on BTCHi traders! 👋 This is Ash, let’s dive straight into today’s analysis! 📊🚀 📌 Wave analysis and our near-term view on Bitcoin We believe we are nearing the end of Wave 1 of Intermediate Wave (3) (in yellow). A dip could be on the horizon in the near future - potentially toward $60k. ~$60k = Strong Buy 🚛🚛🚛 📌 4 reasons why we’re still bullish on BTC (even at $100k)! 1. Elliott Wave Analysis We believe we are only on Wave 1 of the 3rd Intermediate Wave. This time could be different~! 😅 2. Halving Cycle Analysis Historically, the upward trend lasted about 1 year 4 months after each Halving event. Since the last Halving was on April 19, 2024, this timeframe points to ~ August 2025. So, we’re still about 8 months away from a correction! 😌 3. Institutional Buying and Government Recognition Major institutions are buying, and many governments (including the incoming Trump administration) are beginning to embrace BTC as a form of reserve asset. Bullish! 📈 4. Hyman Minsky Model All financial systems progress through stages of increasing leverage and speculation (aka, a bubble). But… we don’t think we are there yet. Institutions have only just started buying, with limited participation from retail (i.e., public). BTC has plenty more room to run! 🚀 With this said, always remember to DYOR and protect your capital. (Note: DYOR = Do Your Own Research) 📌 Alternative “sub” Scenario: Highly Unlikely The following scenario is highly unlikely, but “if” BCT is nearing the end of Wave (1) (in yellow), the ensuing correction (Wave (2)) could be quite severe - potentially to ~ $40k or even lower.. For those looking to buy at the current level: be aware that, despite a very low probability, a drop to $40k is possible. Please ask yourself whether you can stomach this fall before going long. If you found this analysis helpful, don’t forget to hit that boost button and follow me! 🚀🙌 See you soon with more updates! 🔥
BITSTAMP:BTCUSD
by Ash_Maeuknam
2
THE ONLY BULLISH WAVE COUNT !!! 582 SPY support The chart posted is what I can say Is the ONLY bullish wave count . We should was the .382 support in SPY and this also makes wave 4 and 2 equal .We did Top into the spiral 6 in total due 11/29/12/5 Turn this was the TOP TICK in NYA DJI XLU IYT DJT . There is clear LONG TERM DAMAGE in the NYA and all the indexes listed . The FED is clear BEHIND and LIED today as to UNEMPLOYMENT as in 2025 DOGE will cause this to rise as per my forecast of 5.5 in 2025
PYTH:SPY
by wavetimer
Bitcoin Down to 3666?Bitcoin’s Bull Run: A Potential Correction Ahead Bitcoin has seen a remarkable bull run, but a correction to $3,666 may be imminent. Historical patterns show Bitcoin often retraces 70-90% after peaks (e.g., 2017-2018 and 2021-2022). Current overbought indicators, like RSI levels above 70, and declining buyer activity suggest cooling momentum. Affordability is also a concern, with high prices limiting participation by retail investors. Could Bitcoin Become the US Official Currency? With global trends like El Salvador adopting Bitcoin as legal tender, it's plausible the US could consider similar moves under specific leadership. Bitcoin's capped supply and decentralization align with economic policies that challenge traditional banking and inflationary pressures. Why Market Inclusivity Matters Most of Bitcoin’s wealth remains concentrated among early adopters and whales, mirroring the inequality seen in stock markets. Broader adoption by the general population is essential for Bitcoin’s long-term legitimacy and sustained bull runs. Be Prepared for Market Turbulence On-chain divergences (e.g., lower transaction volumes) and macroeconomic tightening hint at potential turbulence. Bitcoin corrections tend to be swift, often concluding within 1-2 years, as seen in past cycles. Observing these trends is vital for navigating the market ahead. A Word of Caution Average investors should be wary of opportunistic individuals or schemes promoting Bitcoin as a "guaranteed" investment at current levels. The market’s volatility could leave latecomers holding the bag during a downturn. Always conduct thorough research before investing.
CRYPTO:BTCUSD
by resurrector007
IonQ: The Future Won’t Wait—We’re Building It IonQ is forging a path in quantum computing that doesn’t just promise breakthroughs—it guarantees an ecosystem. Here’s how their strategic partnerships are reshaping industries and setting the stage for quantum's practical revolution. Hyundai Motor Company: Driving Innovation into the Future Hyundai and IonQ are redefining what’s possible for autonomous vehicles and battery tech. Machine vision algorithms? Check. Electrochemical simulation for next-gen batteries? Double check. Forget electric vehicle hype. The real race is quantum-powered autonomy, and IonQ is putting Hyundai in pole position. "Batteries power cars; quantum powers the future." U.S. Air Force Research Lab: Securing the Quantum Advantag A $54.5M contract speaks volumes. IonQ is working with AFRL to push boundaries in quantum networking and secure communications. If quantum is the new arms race, IonQ is the defense contractor of the future, weaponizing algorithms and hardware for tomorrow’s battlefields. "Quantum communication isn’t a luxury; it’s a necessity in the age of cyber warfare." General Dynamics Information Technology: Quantum Meets Government IonQ and GDIT are collaborating to craft quantum go-to-market strategies, targeting government sectors—a critical area for innovation and funding. As a subsidiary of General Dynamics (GD), GDIT strengthens IonQ's position in leveraging government contracts, a proven pathway for quantum startups to scale and achieve long-term dominance. "Tech revolutions start where strategy meets funding—just ask NASA or DARPA." University of Maryland: Quantum's Academic Vanguard A $9M collaboration with UMD’s National Quantum Lab cements IonQ’s role in quantum research and education. Quantum computing needs thinkers before doers. This partnership ensures the next generation of researchers cut their teeth on IonQ systems. "Academia doesn’t just study revolutions—it starts them." QuantumBasel: A European Quantum Beachhead Deploying systems in Switzerland, IonQ is making quantum local for Europe. The data center initiative is a gateway to European markets. Why wait for Europe to come to quantum when you can bring quantum to Europe? This is how global markets are won. "Proximity isn’t just geographical—it’s strategic." AstraZeneca: Redefining Drug Discovery Partnering on quantum use cases in drug discovery, IonQ is unlocking faster, more efficient ways to revolutionize healthcare. Healthcare isn’t about treating diseases—it’s about eliminating them. Quantum is the scalpel AstraZeneca needs. "The cure for complexity is quantum simplicity." Ansys: Quantum-Enhanced Engineering Simulations Quantum technology is being integrated into engineering designs, promising faster, more accurate simulations. Engineering is no longer bound by classical constraints. IonQ and Ansys are making the impossible seem inevitable. "Design isn’t just form and function; it’s innovation and iteration." Imec & NKT Photonics: Quantum Hardware on Steroids Building next-gen Photonic Integrated Circuits and laser systems, IonQ is turbocharging quantum scalability. Hardware is the backbone of any quantum revolution. IonQ’s focus here ensures it can scale up faster than competitors. "The quantum race isn’t won by speed alone—it’s won by scalability." South Korea: A Quantum Trifecta Collaborations with Hyundai, Seoul National University, and Sungkyunkwan University focus on batteries, materials, and autonomous tech. South Korea doesn’t dabble—it dominates. These partnerships ensure IonQ is part of Asia’s tech supremacy. "Innovation thrives where ambition meets collaboration." Accenture Federal Services & Q-CTRL: Precision Quantum Improved anomaly detection with quantum computing proves the value of collaborative precision. When three leaders team up, anomalies don’t stand a chance. This is practical quantum at its finest. "The quantum revolution is precise, and precision is profitable." Big Picture: Partnerships aren’t just a strategy; they’re IonQ’s foundation. From defense to healthcare to academia, IonQ is embedding itself in industries that matter most. Want to see how quantum fits into your portfolio? Start following IonQ now.
NYSE:IONQLong
by DCAChampion
Bitcoin Euphoria: Correction Ahead?BamBooChain 🎋⛓️ Good morning, friends! Let's discuss the current market situation. After reaching a new all-time high of around $108,000, Bitcoin is showing signs of a potential correction. Technically, we're in an interesting situation: the market has reached the extreme euphoria zone I mentioned earlier. RSI and MACD indicators are showing signs of divergence, which often precedes corrective movements. Key points: Trading volumes are decreasing while price is rising, creating potential divergence Funding remains relatively neutral, indicating balanced positions Long-term holders aren't taking significant profits yet Possible scenarios: Consolidation in the $100,000-108,000 range Correction to $88,000-92,000 levels (this would be a healthy 20% correction) Regarding altcoins - they're showing relative weakness, and Bitcoin dominance is increasing. This is a typical pattern before a possible correction. Recommendation: maintain protective stop orders and be prepared for a possible correction. However, the global trend remains bullish, and such a correction could become a good entry point for new positions. Stay tuned for updates! 🎋⛓️
Short
by BamBooChain
1
USDT Dominance update - Dec 18 2024As analyzed and predicted, USDT dominance seems to have completed its post-breakout retest and is currently heading for 4.35% - 4.70% level causing another sell pressure in the entire market. Some traders believe the dump in the market is the result of newest FED statement regarding the inflation but in fact we have been waiting for this dump since early December. The next drop in USDT dominance is probably going to be a sharp and strong one and given the fact that BTC dominance is also heading for lower levels, altcoins are probably going to pump much harder compared to recent moves in Nov and Dec. So it's advised to consider buying the dip in potential altcoins.
CRYPTOCAP:USDT.DLong
by AlgoBotTrading
1
Gold Wave Analysis 18 December 2024 - Gold under bearish pressure - Likely to fall to support level 2555.00 Gold under the bearish pressure after the earlier breakout of the key support level 2617,00 (which is the lower border of the sideways price range inside which the price has been trading from November). The breakout of the support level 2617,00 stopped the earlier impulse wave 3 of the higher order impulse wave (5) from last month. Gold can be expected to fall further to the next support level 2555.00 (which stopped the earlier medium-term correction (4) in November).
FX_IDC:XAUUSDShort
by FxProGlobal
NU Holdings OutlookNU price has left the high volatility range and dropped by over 11% today. The chart suggests that the first Elliott Wave A-B-C correction structure might be near completion with this five-wave downward move. Prices are reaching quite attractive levels again, prompting me to consider re-establishing a position, as the first clear correction pattern appears to be finishied soon. There's a possibility that the entire correction could be complete. However, my main scenario anticipates that the chart will develop into a more complex correction pattern over the next few months, not finishing with this simple A-B-C structure. There's still a chance that if the correction lasts longer, these prices could represent the lowest we'll see. My primary target remains the 50% Fibonacci level at $9.25.
NYSE:NU
by PF_Analysis
NZDUSD Wave Analysis 18 December 2024 - NZDUSD broke long-term support level 0.5770 - Likely to fall to support level 0.5500 NZDUSD currency pair earlier broke below the long-term support level 0.5770 (which acted as the lower border of the weekly sideways price range inside which the pair has been trading from the start of 2023). The breakout of the support level 0.5770 accelerated the active impulse wave C of extended downward ABC correction (2) from last year. NZDUSD can be expected to fall further to the next support level 0.5500 (former multiyear low from 2022 and the target price for the completion of the active impulse wave C).
Short
by FxProGlobal
2024-12-18 - priceactiontds - daily update - daxGood Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr dax futures - Neutral. Big up, big down, big confusion. Can the selling continue and accelerate? Yes. Can we also see a bigger bounce from 20000? Also yes. Not as easy to trade as you might think because bounces can be big and you have to trade really small. Huge volatility is not the time to swing for the fences. 19802 is the next target for bears (breakout retest) and chances are good that we get there. 20000 is a very important number and that is why the path leading down to 19800 could be choppier than your account is comfortable with. comment : Bull trend is likely over and I will give my bigger outlook on the next weekly update. US session closed it around 20000 and that price is the obvious magnet. 1h close below brings 19800 in play but it’s also possible that we bounce from here. Selling was strong enough that the best bulls can get over the next days is some sideways movement. Don’t short the hole. We have quad witching this week and markets can always do a huge pullback. current market cycle: bull trend is very likely over - expecting more sideways until end of 2024 before the real selling can begin key levels: 19800 - 20400 bull case: Bulls could be running for the exits to secure the profits. It’s hard to tell in quad witching weeks because prices tend to get distorted. In any case the upside will very likely be limited now. Best bulls can hope for tomorrow is sideways around 20000. Any bounce above 20200 would surprise me. Invalidation is below 19800. bear case: Huge day for the bears and they want to accelerate this down to trap many late bulls. 19800 is the breakout retest and their next target. If we drop below, this could get really nasty. 19600 is close to the big bull trend line and other markets have already broken theirs, so it could happen this week. If you still have long positions, I would not hope for a huge year end rally and just get out. Invalidation is above 20400. short term: Neutral around 20000. Bears need follow through down to 19800 and they can get it but always remember, markets can have huge pullbacks and huge volatility comes with big risk, so trade small. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-15: Will write a new outlook for 2025 next week. current swing trade: None trade of the day: Choppy EU session and it closed near the open. FOMC totally changed the markets and now it comes down to tomorrow’s follow through by the bears. No trade of the day. You could not have known what Jpow says and how markets react. Don’t fool yourself.
EUREX:FDXSZ2024
by priceactiontds
2024-12-18 - priceactiontds - daily update - sp500Good Evening and I hope you are well. tl;dr sp500 e-mini futures - Neutral. Selling was too strong to be just a pullback in this bull trend. Best guess is that the trend is over and we are in a huge two-legged correction down to 5800 or lower. 5927 was the low from my W2 and we can expect sideways to up around this price. The lower bull wedge trend line should get a retest. comment : Bull trend is over. We are likely in a trading range the next weeks until we begin a new bigger bear trend. Bulls can still make a higher but it has gotten very unlikely after today’s selling. Huge follow-through would be down to 5800 but that’s a bit much for now. A bounce could retest the lower bull wedge line around 6000-6050, depending on when we get there, if we get there. current market cycle: trading range key levels: 5800 - 6050 bull case: Bulls might be running for the exits. Very interesting day tomorrow if bears can close another one below 6000 or if we trade back up. I would only take longs on very strong momentum. First target for bulls is 6000 and then 6050ish. Invalidation is below 5800. bear case: Bears with a huge surprise bar, changing the market character and ending this rally. Now their target is to keep the market below 6000 and then they have a chance of selling down to 5800. It is still somewhat unlikely to see bigger follow-through selling during these weeks of the year but it could happen. Right now it’s best to be flat and wait if bears want more blood. Invalidation is above 6100. short term: Neutral. Only small scalps for me to either direction. Can have bigger swings going into Opex on Friday. Expecting a bigger bounce going into the last 2 weeks of December and then much bigger selling in Q1 2025. medium-long term - Update from 2024-12-15: Will write a new outlook for 2025 next week. current swing trade: Nope trade of the day: Nothing. Don’t gamble FOMC or other news releases.
CME_MINI:MES1!
by priceactiontds
USDJPY - Potential Reversal and Key Levels to WatchUSDJPY - Potential Reversal and Key Levels to Watch USDJPY pair is currently trading around 154.60, showing signs of a possible correction after a strong bullish move and today's FOMC decision. The price touched a key resistance zone beginning at around 154.50, which aligns with historical supply levels. Elliott Wave Structure The current wave count suggests that we might be nearing the completion of a larger impulsive structure. The five-wave sequence to the upside appears to be reaching exhaustion, indicating that a corrective move (potentially in the form of an ABC pattern) could follow. The completion of Wave (5) near the recent highs reinforces this corrective scenario. Key Support Levels On the downside, significant support can be found around the 150.00-152.00 range, where multiple factors come into play: Strong institutional demand is likely in this zone, as indicated by a large order block. The 0.618 and 0.764 Fibonacci retracement levels from the previous bullish (beginning in early Dec. 2024) move also converge here, offering further validation for potential buy-side activity. If the price corrects further, we expect these levels to act as a major buffer against extended downside movement. A break below 150.00, however, could open the door for deeper retracements towards 145.00 and below. Upside Potential Should the current consolidation break higher, USD/JPY could aim to retest the critical resistance between 154.50 and 156.00. A clean break above this zone would invalidate the immediate bearish outlook and open the path towards new highs, possibly targeting the 160.00 psychological level. Momentum & Volume The VOLD shows a mixed picture, with momentum slowing down but not yet turning decisively bearish. This suggests that the market is at a key inflection point, where further price action will determine the next trend. Bulls need to clear the 156.00 resistance to regain full control, while bears will be watching for a breakdown below 152.00 for confirmation of a deeper correction. Conclusion USD/JPY is trading at a critical juncture. The resistance at 154.50-156.00 will be crucial in determining whether we see a continuation of the uptrend or a deeper correction. Traders should watch for a potential pullback to the 154.00-152.00 zone as a key area for possible long entries, while a break below these levels could signal a more pronounced bearish phase. On the upside, a breakout above 156.00 would suggest that the bulls are regaining momentum and aiming for new highs.
Long
by Ochlokrat