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W-pattern

APLLTD- Bearish Trend ContinueAPLLTD is in a bearish trend and with its pattern probability to go down further, today it was consolidated in a very narrow range after a breakdown. So very high possibility of breakdown from the current consolidation zone and gives a very good risk reward. As you can also see POC created a very downside in the volume profile tool which gives very good confirmation. Entry Price:- below @571 Stop Loss:- Above @575 Target:- !:1 or 1:2 or more
NSE:APLLTDShort
by investing_views
HEAD AND SHOULDERS PATTERN - TRADING GUIDE Head and Shoulders pattern This lesson will cover the following What is a “Head and Shoulders” formation? How can it be confirmed? How can it be traded? The Head and Shoulders pattern forms after an uptrend, and if confirmed, marks a trend reversal. The opposite pattern, the Inverse Head and Shoulders, therefore forms after a downtrend and marks the end of the downward price movement. As you can guess by its name, the Head and Shoulders pattern consists of three peaks – a left shoulder, a head, and a right shoulder. The head should be the highest and the two shoulders should be at least relatively of equal height. As the price corrects from each peak, the lows retreat to form the so-called neckline, which is later used for confirming the pattern. Here is what an H&S pattern looks like. Other key elements of this pattern and its trade process are the breakouts, protective stops, profit target, and volume, which is used as an additional tool to confirm the trend reversal. So here is how you identify the Head and Shoulders pattern and how its individual components are characterized. Formation and confirmation In order to have a trend reversal pattern, you definitely need a trending market. Let's talk about the first model of H&S, the Inverse or Reversal will have the same methodology but exactly in the opposite way. While prices are trending up, our future patterns left shoulder forms as a peak, which marks the high of the current trend. For the shoulder to be formed, the price then needs to correct down, retreating to a low, which is usually above or at the trend line, thus, keeping the uptrend still in force. This low marks the first point used to determine where the neckline stands. Afterward, a new higher peak begins to form, stemming from the left shoulder low, which is our pattern head. As the market makes a higher high (the head), it then corrects back and usually, this is the point where the upward trend is penetrated, thus signaling a shift in momentum and a possible Head and Shoulders pattern. The second low that is touched after the retreat from the heads peak is the other point used to build the neckline, which is basically a line drawn through the two lows. The subsequent rebound from the second low forms the third peak – the right shoulder. It should be lower than the head and overall match the height of the left shoulder (keep in mind that exact matches rarely occur). It is also preferable that the two shoulders have required relatively the same amount of time to form as this would make the pattern stronger. In order for the Head and Shoulders pattern to be confirmed, the retreat from the third peak (the right shoulder) should penetrate the neckline and a candle should close below it. The neckline itself should be horizontal in the perfect case scenario, but that rarely happens. Instead, most often it is sloping up or down and that is of significance as well – a downward-sloping neckline is more bearish than an upward-sloping one. Volume As mentioned above, volume plays a key role as a confirmation tool and can be measured via indicators or by just analyzing its levels. Presumably, volume during the left shoulder advance should be higher than during the subsequent one, because as the head hits a higher high on the base of declining volume, this serves as an early signal for a possible reverse. This, however, does not happen every time. The next step of confirmation comes when volume increases during the decline from the head's peak and the last nail in the coffin are when volume gains further during the right shoulder's decline. Trading the pattern, stops and profit targets We said earlier that the Head and Shoulders pattern is deemed confirmed if the right shoulder's decline penetrates through the neckline and a candle closes below it. As soon as that happens and you are reassured that it is not a false breakout, you can enter into a short position. However, as you already know, no trading decisions should be made on the go, i.e. you need to have predetermined where your protective stop is going to stand and what your profit target is. Protective stop There are two common places where you can place your stop loss. The first one, which is more conservative, is right above the peak of the head, while a more standard position is right beyond the right shoulder. You can see those visualized in the following screenshot. The second option makes more sense because if the breakout through the neckline actually fails and the price rebounds back with such momentum that it rises beyond the right shoulder, then the whole pattern is flawed and you definitely do not need to wait for it to exceed the head as well. Besides, such a loose stop significantly increases the risk and reduces the risk/reward ratio, thus, reducing this pattern's trading appeal. Profit target The most common and often advised profit target is the distance (number of pips) between the head's peak and the neckline. Having estimated that distance, you then need to subtract it from the neckline, just like in the screenshot below. And how does that translate in terms of risk/reward ratio? If the breakout confirmation (the close beyond the neckline) appears very close to the neckline itself, and we enter into a short position there, we generally have a 1:1 risk-to-reward proportion, if we use a conservative protective stop. Why? Since our profit target is the distance between the heads peak and the neckline, if we decide to use the conservative option for a protective stop, then we will have the same distance as a loss limit, thus, reducing our risk-to-reward ratio to 1:1. This is why, in order to improve that ratio, most experienced traders place their protective stops more often above the right shoulders peak, given that they use the head-to-neckline profit target. However, keep in mind that this price distance should serve as a rough target, because things are usually not that straightforward and other factors such as previous support levels, crossing mid-term and long-term moving averages, etc. must be taken into consideration as well. Two ways to trade the Head and Shoulders Pattern There are generally two ways to trade this pattern, depending on how it plays out. The first one we've already mentioned. As soon as a candle closes below the neckline as a sign of confirmation, you enter into a short position with the respective profit target and protective stop described above. Now for the second way to trade the H&S formation. In this case, we have a pullback after the neckline penetration, which, once support, now acts as a resistance level. This time we need to go short once the price pulls back and tests the neckline as resistance. As soon as it rebounds from the neckline, we enter into a short position, using the same principle for placing the protective stop and aiming for the same profit as in the first scenario. Here is what this would look like.
Education
by FOREXN1
1
AUDNZD SHORTThis pair has been in a long term bearish trend with multiple tests against the channel's resistance. It has previously broken out of this channel and re-tested a horizontal resistance, which we are expecting it to test again here. The indicators have confirmed it is overbought on lower time frames, and are close to an oversold level on the higher time frames too. BDPO forex are keeping an eye on this but will wait for confirmation before making a decision. Follow for more.
Short
by BDPO_Trading
2
EURCHF LONGEURCHF is, and has been trading within a nice channel over the last month, and is continuing to range nicely. With anticipation of continuing this trend, and also by taking the trade at this key pivot point on the channel's support, we expect the price to come down to the support and continue to bounce to the upside. This also allows us to look at risk management and set a tight stop-loss below the support of the channel in the event of a breakout to the downside. Our risk reward ratio will also be 2+ due to the take-profit being within the channel (near the top of the channel with a partial exit within the channel). Follow for more.
Long
by BDPO_Trading
2
CADJPY SHORTlong term down trend on 4H timeframe. Recent tight range broken to the downside, with a strong reversal up to previous support. Now expecting this to act as resistance indicators suggesting an overbought price series and oscillators crossing to the downside for confirmation. Entering positions at support/resistance gives the trader a unique opportunity to be directional with a tight stop loss and setting take profit to support 1, 2 and 3. This results in a favorable risk/reward ratio. Follow for more
Short
by BDPO_Trading
How To Trade The W - V Pattern - ISRG SetupHello Traders, Here is an educational post about the W-V pattern. As of right now the W-V pattern is not fully formed and we are waiting for price to retrace to the neckline at $244 before we enter. The price target is technical resistance at $309, however you could exit half at the double top resistance near $275, then using a trailing stop the rest of the way up. Note: There is a high probability that price could trade down to $236 first to fill the gap and tag the 200 MA before reversing and trading to the upside. This is perfectly fine as far as long as the $236 level remains intact and price does not trade below it. Thanks everyone and best of luck!
NASDAQ:ISRGLong
by natef1