Gold Update | XAUUSD IdeaGold - XAUUSD short
✅ ✅ Risk warning, disclaimer: the above is a personal market judgment and analysis based on published information and historical chart data on The trading view,
And only some of these analyzes are my actual real trades.
I hope Traders consider I am Not responsible for your trades and investment decision.
W-pattern
AUDCHF AUDCHF
Keep in mind most of the minor swiss pairs they brewing for a break out either direction!
Highs: 0.64460
Lows: 0.63585
A break of the highs next area of interest would be 0.64980
A break of the lows next area of interest would be 0.63255
Clean set up! Don't forget to trade your own plan.
Trade Journal
BTC - Back to 20k?!BTC - Back to 20k?!
You either going to love this or hate this but I think we should re-visit the 19-20.5k areas, now what I think really doesn't matter.
However, the technicals is what really matters. If we don't stay above this elevated areas 19-20k but if we get bulls above and go above key resistance sure 25k easily but we do have FOMC this week and that is critical like I've stated many times no one really knows the definite outcome of FOMC and it is same as technicals but when you create edge you have mental support but right now FOMC that's coin flip event it's messy if you buy or even sell now you just get frustrated because you're stuck in this range. I've done this many times myself and I still do at times. Also,reality those who follow signal providers that's not real trading, that's just you wanting to get rich quick thinking trading is some kind of side hobby when it's not.
Now in front technically we know the levels where bulls can gain control and bears can gain control. You can even get a better view on daily but I wouldn't be surprised if we revisit 20k areas however, even if we get break above or below - I will be making sure it isn't a fake break out etc either direction and that's when your own trade plan helps.
When becoming a professional trader you have a plan and you execute with that plan. The 'wannabe' trader either usually follow signal provider or listening to outside noise. That won't help, unfortunately I haven't came across a successful trader which hasn't had yrs of struggles or there own trade plan. Not every trade plan is the same, that's what makes trading amazing, there no one set way. You can to choose the way you want trade by creating your own edge!
A great trader once stated ' Trade what you see, not what you think'.
It's important to keep your emotions in check at all times, you must be strong to ignore the noise.
Have a great week ahead,
Trade Journal
📍 The 5 Step Process1️⃣ MARKET STRUCTURE
The market structure has a significant impact on the formation of prices, dissemination of information, and execution of transactions. In the context of stock trading, market structure can also refer to the pattern of price movements in a downtrend, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. This pattern indicates that prices are consistently decreasing over time and that selling pressure is outweighing buying pressure. The market structure in a downtrend can provide important information to traders and investors about the overall sentiment in the market and can inform their decision-making process.
2️⃣ PSYCHOLOGICAL LEVEL
A psychological price level in trading refers to a price point that is believed to have a significant impact on market participants' behavior and decision making. These price levels are usually round numbers, such as $50 or $100, or important milestones, such as all-time highs or lows, and are often used as reference points in trading. Market participants often view psychological price levels as significant barriers that need to be breached or defended in order to signal a change in market sentiment.
3️⃣ FIBONACCI
Fibonacci retracement is a technical analysis tool used in stock trading to identify potential levels of support and resistance. It is based on the idea that prices will tend to retrace a predictable portion of a move, after which they will continue to move in the original direction. The tool is used by drawing a trendline between two extreme points and then dividing the vertical distance by the key Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50%, 61.8% and 100%.
4️⃣ TRENDLINE
A trendline in trading is a straight line drawn on a price chart to identify a current trend in the market. The trendline is drawn by connecting two or more price points and is used to identify the direction of the trend, either up, down, or sideways. If the trendline is sloping upwards, it is considered an uptrend, and if it is sloping downwards, it is considered a downtrend.
5️⃣ CANDLESTICK
A twizzer bottom is formed when a long green candle is followed by a red candle that closes below the midpoint of the first candle. This pattern indicates that the buying pressure that was present in the first candle is being replaced by selling pressure, and suggests a potential reversal from an uptrend to a downtrend. It's important to note that a twizzer candlestick pattern is just one piece of information and should not be relied upon solely when making trading decisions. It is often used in conjunction with other technical analysis tools and indicators to form a more comprehensive view of market conditions.
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Mouseworm/Weth I think this could be on a 3 wave, it's been getting some love last couple of days so i think it could have legs, i dont have any solid targets in mind yet really but i think it should make the 1.618 and then we will see from there, tiny market cap, just over 650k, but enough liquidity to not get rekt on slippage
AUDNZD AUDNZD
Another day, another great opportunity for us trades to take advantage of. AUDNZD We are at key resistance when it comes to higher time frame including daily and weekly.
We could say we are within the channel for now but if we break below 50 EMA & of trendline support expect 1.09170 areas to be target areas. However, if we break the highs of 1.09865 then I expect we retest the highs again.
There are really clear levels in this, you could call this bear flag but let's wait and see!
Don't forget ...It is a Friday!
Trade Journal
2/13/2023 Upcoming SPY and Market diveIn this Video I discuss upcoming events quickly, then dive into the weekly analysis of the SPY ETF which is a good proxy for the S&P500 that is often a tell on general market movements. We also discuss some recession indicators, and some pattern analysis. Also dont Forget CPI is released on the 15th.
You can jump to the below links and hit the play from the dates submitted and it will play out the bars from publishing until now. I will keep this going so we can follow outcomes to analysis!
BTCUSDTHello my dear friends
Looking closer at Bitcoin, the four-hour timeframe
We have an ascending wedge pattern at the end of the uptrend, which is accompanied by a negative divergence. But the support area of $22,213 has not been fully consumed, due to the fact that this area is not consumed, there is a possibility that the increasing trend will continue to higher areas.
But if the range of $22,213 is consumed, our wedge pattern is valid and we can expect the formation of a downward trend similar to the drawn scenario.
We would be happy to hear your opinion.
USTC/BUSD- Good chance of a breakout moveSemi fractal play, I think a lot of alts have done 1-2 moves, greyscale btc is popping so some green days seem likely at least in the short term , this has been pretty parabolic in the past with not much of a discernable wave 3 top just 1-2 then vertical 345 so we could get a move something like this
j.Hejazi | GBPCAD Bearish TrendThe GBPCAD currency pair has failed to make a higher high and instead made a lower high. It then broke the monthly trend line and the 50-day moving average, immediately testing the neckline of the double top pattern. On the last day of the previous week, the price managed to break that line with a high momentum candle engulfing all of that week's candles. Now, the price is clearly targeting the next support level at 1.58000 to make the first lower low in the bearish trend.
Jumping into this trade right now is not recommended due to the close target and far stop loss. Those who have not yet entered the trend can do so by waiting for any pullback and trying to sell from the highest available price.
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Ethereum- ETH in a bear paw pattern since last ALL TIME HIGH🐾👀ETH
Ethereum in a bear paw pattern since last ALL TIME HIGH🐾👀
What will you do the day we break to the upside dear Crypto Nation❓🚀
Let me know your thoughts in the comments🤗
⬇️⬇️⬇️
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Disclaimer:
Not financial advice
Do your own research before investing
The content shared is for educational purposes only and is my personal opinion
Bitcoin Potential Cup and Handle PatternCurrently shows cup pattern with the potential to form handle, once the handle pattern breaks upside could result in bullish uptrend.
The drawings are just to get an idea, as the price may not match 100% to it.
If you have any suggestions feel free to write in the comments below.
Thank you
BTC - Final Boring Torturing Phase Before BreakoutAs we can see BTC is behaving very simmilary of what XRP did after the SEC lawsuit in 2020. Wyckoff accumulation pattern is almost done, we just have to go through last boring phase, which could drag quite some time. We could be doing a simple ABC correction. Its a phase where a lot of retail will sell, specially those that bought back in at this recent 24k high. Imagine if prices were to stay hoovering here till Sep., when most of retail tought we are already breaking out.
For those who understand Wyckoff accumulation pattern, we are currently in SOS (Sign Of Strength) phase and are haeding to LPS (Last Point of Support) in an ABC style which could be as low as 18.3k so don't get scared if that happens.
As far as ABC correction goes, we could be already be done with an A wave and are heading up a bit for a B, but i'm not shore about that as A wave could still be in the making.
I am not expecting any violent breakdown as there are just to little long positions open as opposed to short ones.
DISCLEMER:
I am not a financial advisor so non of this should be taken as a financial advise. Be well.
BNB: Unstoppable BullsHello Traders!
Welcome back to another Post with analyst Aadil1000x.
This is another beautiful post and i loved the way patterns are forming in BNB not only are many steps predictable in BNB but we are not here to trade every step of BNB but i am here to advise you for some long-term holding.
In my post, many traders might not agree with the directions of the breakout of the patterns because I have broken many rules. It is surprising that the wrong way of pattern trading is the most liked post and people argue on the correct way of trading. Figuring out the perfect chart is tough so they chose the easy way to analyze and market makers take benefit of their capability. I crack a perfect chart after understanding the user manual of brokers/market makers.
Let's inspect the chart now. There is a bear flag pattern in the bigger picture and we can clearly see there is a reversal pattern after a breakout and market showed a nice bullish move and the last pattern is a rising wedge pattern. If we go blindly then selling a rising wedge will give you a 35% of time profit and buying will make a profit of 65% time. If we don't go blindly and do deep analysis then we can crack the next move with up to 95% accuracy.
This time this is a bullish formation and BNB will break through the roof and will not stop even after breaking the roof.
Don't forget to hit the like button and follow to stay connected.
GBPAUD short setupOn a daily time frame, GA has formed H&S and it's in a downtrend, so overall bearish setups are preferred.
Price is now on a very good position for sells, we have:
1. Clear downtrend
2. Retesting a structure
3. 4H 50EMA
4. 50% fibs
5. Bigger pattern in play
All I want so see is 30m wedge or pennant just so price can move sideways to touch the trend line, and ofc this can be a sign for a rejection from this level.
j.Hejazi | SPX500 Triangle BreakoutThe SPX500 failed to reach a new high when it hit resistance at 4160.0, forming a triangle pattern. The price has broken the ascending trend line and the 4-hour 50 moving average, and a break to the downside of the pattern at 4080.5 would confirm a new downtrend, signaling a sell with a target of 4006.0.
On the other hand, if the price breaks the pattern to the upside, we must wait for it to clear the 4186.0 level before considering buying opportunities.
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DAX - ☕DAX - ☕
One of my most favourite patterns! Cup & Handle pattern - Inverse!
I've back tested this pattern many times and it never has failed me with the correct amount of risk etc. What states on your plan, that's the greatest importance.
Highs: 15420
Lows: 15280
A break above the highs this trade plan is no longer valid. A break below the lows I expect the continuation of bearish price action to continue and breaks below the trendline then we may go towards 200 EMA area.
Have a great week ahead,
Trade Journal
Key tip: Ignore the noise
BTC 3-day A follow on to our last 2 charts covering BTC's 3-day Pattern!
The 1-day Golden Cross has occurred and each time that it has in the past, BTC retraced just before or just after.
Also following the cross of the 21 Moving Average Crossing above the 50MA, BTC retraced back to the 50 as id did in 2021, and crashing through it in 2015 and 2020.
I have also noted that on the 1-day chart, BTC has been forming Bearish Divergence. 2021 was 28 days, current price action is 25-days!
Will BTC follow these past patterns or can it do the unexpected and break through our 100EMA and out-trend resistance?