Closing The BuysHello Traders!
Welcome back to another trade with analyst Aadil1000x.
Previously we bought BTC from 22734 and were holding it for good profit but the market situation is changing and bears want to take control.
This post is all about the next move of the BTC. Once BTC completes this move we will analyze the next few steps. After this move, some tricky phases will start and we will make the decisions wisely.
In the recent breakout, we don't see a strong breakout so I am expecting a drop that will break this expanding triangle pattern.
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W-pattern
XXII - Falling WedgeOn the chart we see a falling wedge occurring. We are expecting a breakout in the near future.
There are regular bullish divergence that will play out at some point.
The stock is down 87% from its ATH. The trend reversal may be around the corner.
Target is shown on the chart - good luck!
ALIBABA ($BABA): Technical Analysis on daily chartHi everyone!
The main trend of $BABA is bearish on the daily chart, but most of the bearish momentum has already been worked on by the market. Having said that, even in the short term I remain bearish at least up to the support area, from there I cannot exclude some Reversal Pattern (see chart below). If this happens, an update to this analysis will be necessary because before trying to take a long position I want to wait for at least one clear signal (for example, an impulsive structure on the hourly chart).
POTENTIAL REVERSAL PATTERN
If we look at the Daily Chart, the support area could turn into something like a Right Shoulder of a potential "Inverted Head & Shoulders".
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N.B.: Updates will follow below
OP - Similar signs to BTCWas I wrong about OP back in December? Yep. I sure was. I'm not afraid to admit it, either. Nobody is right 100% of the time and if they claim to be, they're lying to you.
Alright, now that we have that behind us, lets look at OP from a purely tecnicaly perspective. I'm going to focus on the wavemaster and the momentum indicators and check the confluence they have with each other here on this 4h timeframe.
The red eyes on the chart are displayed when buy or sell signals formed on both indicators. The most recent orange eye happened to occur when the wavemaster indicator signaled a sell, but the momentum indicator showed that we weren't at the top of the momentum channel (not displayed).
We're also starting to see some signs of bearish divergence on these higher timeframes and we're also starting to see patterns of higher highs and higher lows with some compression evidence as well. I'd rather wait to see how the formation breaks vs trying to just simply short here and hope for the beest.
If you tried to short back in December, for instance, and had no risk management, your face got ripped off completely. At least exit with some dignity and know when you're wrong. Leave the asset and move on to something else if you're wrong. You can always come back and revisit another day which is exactly what I am doing with OP now. I walked away, let it go nuts, and now I'm back watching the formation to see what is coming next.
I'll continue to wait. The formation we're in typically resolves down, but we'll have to see what BTC decides to do and see if alts follow suit. Pay attention to USDT.D and BTC.D on higher timeframes. They'll give you the first clue as to what the market wants to do.
Bearish Pennant Formation on CADCHF?The CADCHF is currently forming a bearish pennant, which could signal a significant downside move if the price breaks out to the downside, toward the previous swing low at 0.66 from March 2020.
This would be a similar pennant pattern (November 2022) leading to a move to the downside, with the price dropping to test the 0.68 support level.
Additional downward pressure could come from further weakness in the Canadian Dollar, especially with the employment data due to be released later in the week
USDCHFUSDCHF
USDCHF Within channel - We are currently mid range
Highs: 0.93050 Break / close above expect 200 EMA to be target areas
Lows: 0.91460 Break below expect it to retest the lows .90800-500 areas
We do have important data next week US CPI and for today unemployment claims.
Trade your own plan!
Trade Journal
BTCUSDT: This is the timeHello Traders!
Welcome back to another post with analyst Aadil1000x.
This is the pattern that I have in my mind when this accumulation/expanding triangle started. This is not the first time I am watching this pattern but we have seen this pattern doing the exact same moves that I have drawn many times before I am also adding the old post with the same pattern.
Normally after a breakout, there is a strong reaction and because of that most of the time market moves back inside the pattern and sometimes after moving back it breaks the trendline which is at the top of the pattern. This time it will break the trendline which is at the top because there is huge bullish pressure and it is aiming to break 29K. This move can move up to our Next True Reversal Point which is at 29327.
Same pattern in an old post
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📊 Chart Pattern CheatsheetChart patterns are visual representations of a stock's price movement over time. These patterns can provide traders with information about the stock's trend, momentum, and potential future direction. Continuation and reversal patterns are two types of chart patterns that traders use to identify potential entry points. When considering entry points for both continuation and reversal patterns, traders often use a combination of technical indicators and price action analysis. They may use tools such as moving averages, oscillators, and trendlines to confirm a pattern's validity and identify potential entry points. Additionally, traders may set stop-loss orders to manage risk and limit potential losses.
🔹 Continuation patterns
Continuation patterns are chart patterns that suggest that the current trend will continue. They occur when the stock price consolidates in a certain range, showing a temporary pause in the trend. Some common continuation patterns include triangles, flags, and pennants. Traders may look to enter a long position when the stock price breaks out of the pattern, typically on higher than average trading volume.
🔹 Reversal patterns
Reversal patterns, on the other hand, suggest that the current trend is likely to reverse. These patterns occur when the stock price has reached a high or low point and is likely to move in the opposite direction. Some common reversal patterns include head and shoulders, double tops and bottoms, and the "V" pattern. Traders may look to enter a short position when the stock price breaks below a support level or the neckline of a pattern.
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GOLD BEAR FLAG UPDATEOur GOLD BEAR FLAG literally could not have played out any better. USD strength is being bolstered by multiple good data releases but that final rate hike and impending recession is on the horizon, gold eventually will be the best buy BUT Anyone who was not expecting this drop is realistically suffering from "Over-Analysis" as this example of a BEAR FLAG is so TEXTBOOK that it could be used as a "Forex Tutorial" on what a proper bear flag should look like. From here on out GOLD is essentially in a FREE FALL. Any buyers are going to be completely and utterly demolished, until a BOTTOM is found and this bottom isnt going to come EASILY.
FIB extension tells the clear story, gold has a LONG WAY TO GO FROM HERE
Do not get caught on the wrong side of this falling knife. Looking to enter long term buy swings at key fib levels: 1780, 1730
Inverse Head and Shoulder BTCUSDBased on the current Bitcoin chart, we can see a potential inverse head and shoulders pattern forming. The neckline is around the $24,600 level, and if Bitcoin breaks above this level, it could confirm the pattern.
If the inverse head and shoulders pattern is confirmed, the target price for Bitcoin would be the distance between the head and the neckline projected upwards from the neckline. In this case, that would give a target price of around $26,111.
It is important to note that the inverse head and shoulders pattern is not a guarantee of a trend reversal. Traders should always use other indicators and analysis techniques to confirm their trading decisions. Additionally, the cryptocurrency market is highly volatile, and prices can move quickly and unpredictably. Therefore, traders should always use proper risk management techniques and be prepared for unexpected price movements.
j.Hejazi | USDJPY shortingAfter reaching resistance at 134.50, USDJPY appears to be forming a double top pattern with a divergence. If the closing price of a 2-hour candle falls below 133.774, this could indicate a sell signal, with a target to retest 132.800.
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EURGBPEURGBP (Range Trade)
I was long took partials, I still prefer the long side of EURGBP due to higher time frame confirmation.
Now, we are stuck within a range and a pattern brewing:
Highs: 0.89025
Lows: 0.88730
A break to either direction...
If we break lows expect: 0.88490
If we break highs expect: 0.89275
Trade Journal
AUDUSD AUDUSD
Aussie, I am bullish the dollar short/medium term view.
I have been short most of FX major pair and scaling out but we are currently stuck within range on all FX majors. The commodity FX pairs have had more downside and that is being reflected on EURNZD / EURAUD. However, overall when we look just at Aussie we are within a range and it is a break to either direction and what's beautiful about this chart, look at the trendline support - Perfect!
Lows: 0.68580
Highs: 0.70165
A break to either direction. If you were to go to lower TF. There is a pattern brewing M.
Have a great day ahead,
Trade Journal
Don't forget to trade your own plan.