EURUSD - Trend-Following Buy Setup ↗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
EURUSD has been overall bullish making higher highs and higher lows, and it is currently in a correction phase retesting the red trendline.
Moreover, it is approaching a strong demand zone 1.067
🏹 So the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and red trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
As per my trading style:
As EURUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
W-pattern
Swing Trading - Concept of Accumulation and Distribution Following stocks have been discussed in the video
1. HG Infra
2. NFL
3. SPIC
Accumulation - Is always found on downside and any breakout may give 8-14% returns in short trade
Distribution - Is always found on top from where the price may reverse to downside
This video is made only for educational purpose. Do your own study before taking any trades.
🔥 ADA Aggressive Bull-Flag SignalThis signal is based on the idea that ADA is currently trading inside a bullish flag pattern, consolidating before the next break out.
We're going to assume that the lows of the flag are already in and that the break out will occur shortly, hence the aggressive nature of the trade.
Stop below the recent low, target at 0.6$. A more patient trader might want to wait for the break out to be confirmed, which will result in a lower risk-reward.
Double Bottom - AUHere I have AUD/USD on the 1Hr Chart with what looks to be a Double Bottom Pattern!
We were given a Higher High then the one on Tuesday which was preceded by a Lower Low late on Wednesday!
Following the negative news on the Consumer Debt Today and with Non-Farm Employment, Unemployment Rate and Average Hourly Earnings Tomorrow, I will be looking for Price to retrace a little lower testing our EMA Spread, finding Support, then going HIGHER!
*It's important to observe the Intensity of how Price Action revisits our area! Updates will be made.
I also see the RSI giving us quite a Strong Divergence which strengthens my Bullish Bias!
*TRADING INVOLVES RISK! DO NOT TRADE WHAT YOU DO NOT UNDERSTAND OR HAVE NOT TESTED BEFORE! THIS IS NOT TRADING ADVICE. EDUCTIONAL PURPOSES ONLY!*
-Pattern CONFIRMED by Higher High Break
-BUY-
{ SL } .65520
{ ENTRY } .65838 - .65782
{ TP } .66520
🔥 Ethereum Highest Value In 1.5 YEARS: Bull-Market Started?Ethereum has managed to break through the main bearish resistance line that has been keeping the price in check for well over a year. With this break out, ETH has broken of the 1.5 years of accumulation and has arguably started a new bull-run.
I'm looking for a longer-term move all the way towards the 3600$ area. This can take a while, so don't see this as a short-term trade.
Now that ETH has also left bearish territory, things are looking very good for crypto.
🔥 Bitcoin Bull-Flag: Road To 48,000$After a massive pump towards 44k, BTC has been consolidating for a couple of days now. My expectation is that this period of consolidation is only temporary and that we will break out in the near future, confirming the bull-flag pattern on the chart.
Patient traders will wait for the price to break through the top resistance of the pattern, potentially even for the retest of said resistance.
My target for 2023 has been 48k for a while now, so I'm aiming for a move towards that area, plus minus a percent or two.
Patience is key!
🔥 Bitcoin 8 Green Weeks In A Row! Closing In On 2017's RecordAs of this week, BTC has produced 8 green weeks in a row. The last time that this has occurred was during the heights of the 2017 bull-market and took us from 1100$ to 2900$. Seeing that the 'real' bull market hasn't even started yet, these 8 green weeks are impressive to say the least.
However, in 2017 we saw a sharp 40% drop after these 8 weeks. I doubt that we're going to experience a 40% drop in the near future, but some kind of correction is to be expected from a technical point of view.
Like said in my previous analyses, my target for 2023 remains at 48k.
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🔥 Bitcoin Fibonacci Analysis Suggests 48k Target 🚀In recent analyses I've been making multiple statements that my target for 2023 is placed at 48k. This number is derived from the late March 2022 top.
Interestingly enough, this number coincides with the 0.618 Fibonacci Retracement. The same Fibonacci Retracement was the high of the 2019 bear-market rally that took us from 3,100 to 13,500.
The market rarely copies exact moves, but it often rhymes. The fact that so many key resistances are placed around 48k makes me believe that that area will function as a key resistance for the current move up.
I'll be genuinely surprised if BTC will confidently pierce the 48k resistance and stay above it. My expectation is that that's the main area of resistance and will cause some kind of reversal, be it either long or short-term.
For now, there's another 10% to gain before we reach said area.
🔥 Altcoins Most Bullish Since Summer 2022The total altcoin marketcap (which is the total marketcap minus BTC's marketcap) has reached a new high since the August 2022 top. With a BTC trading around 42k, it was a matter of time before rest of the market started moving upwards as well.
In my view, this is one of the most bullish things in the market since it has been overall just a Bitcoin party (check out the Bitcoin dominance for example). Let's see if we can convincingly break out of the ~1.5 years of accumulation.
For now, I'm looking at a near-term target of 860B and a 1.25T long-term target, which is essentially a 2x on the entire market. We will get there somewhere next year.
Things are looking great for crypto.
🔥 Bitcoin History Repeats! Fractal Correctly Predicted Pump 🚨Last week I made an analysis on BTC where I compared the current state of the market with two historical patterns. The pattern that I'm talking about is a bullish channel after a big pump that results in another big pump.
Seeing how the market historically behaved, I made the assumption that BTC would follow this fractal and break out of the channel in the near future.
One week later, and BTC has successfully broken out of the channel, as predicted by this fractal analysis.
As described in my analysis below, I'm currently looking at 48k as the next target. Seeing how these fractals historically behaved, 48k should be fairly easily reached?
Share your thoughts in the comments. Are we going straight up, or do you expect a correction?
Inverted Head & Shoulders - UCHFHere we have USD/CHF on the 30 Min Chart! It looks to be outlining a potential Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern upcoming!!
The First Low or "Shoulder" @ .86792 followed by the Lower Low or "Head @ .86662 with price moving back up to the Confirmation of Pattern or "Neckline" @ .86973 makes me believe we will get a BREAK of Confirmation @ the 3rd touch of the Neckline with price continuing HIGHER!
The RSI indicator is also throwing out a Slight Divergence, strengthening Bullish Bias on this possibly imminent Reversal Pattern!
Fundamentally this week:
USD - JOLTS (Tues) Non-Farm Payroll (Wed) Unemployment Claims (Thur) Non-Farm and Unemployment (Fri)
CHF - CPI (Mon) Currency Reserve (Thur)
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
-Pattern Prediction-
*If Price Breaks and Closes below .86792, Pattern INVALIDATED!
*If Price Breaks and Closes above .86973, Price Action will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
🔥 XRP: The Biggest Bull-Flag In Crypto Will Break Out SoonXRP has been trading inside a consolidating pattern since the massive pump at the height of the 2017-2018 bull-market.
During this time, the price has made higher-lows and lower-highs, forming a triangle pattern, which I classify as a bull-flag since it has been formed directly after the 7,000x in 2017.
This huge pattern will explode at some point in 2024, with the most likely move being a bullish one with the halving in mind.
My target for the break out is placed at 25$. It might be too high, but ADA also made a top 6x higher than the previous one last cycle, so why not? With a relatively tight stop and a far target we're able to create a signal with a risk-reward of almost 80, a potential game changer for anyone's portfolio.
🔥 Bitcoin 1.5 Year Rising Wedge Break Out: Pump Coming?Rising wedges are classically bearish trading patterns, but can often break bullish during strong trends (same goes for falling wedges during bearish trends).
As of yesterday, BTC has officially broken out of the rising wedge pattern that has been formed over 1.5 years. Bears have been looking at the pattern for a long time now, but are likely wrong on this pattern since the price broke through the top resistance.
It's likely that bulls have been waiting for this break out in order to start buying again. As per my analysis below, a strong volatile move is expected in the short-term.
Keep in mind, a fake-out is still in the cards. Nevertheless, it's more likely that this break out is the real deal. I previously mentioned that 40k was the target for this year. Now that we're trading 3% below 40k, it seems that we will reach it shortly. After 40k, I'm looking at 48k.
As per my fractal analysis below, I think we're going to see some fireworks in the near future.
Share your thoughts 🙏
Bitcoin's - not so - Unexpected Rally: Two Patterns, Two TradesDear Esteemed TV Members,
B efore diving into the Bitcoin price analysis, it's crucial to emphasize that price alone doesn't tell the whole story. A bullish price forecast doesn't automatically translate into a secure investment. I want to clarify that I recently sold most of my BTC holdings due to liquidity concerns. The crypto market can be unpredictable, and a substantial increase in demand, which we witnessed, can lead to liquidity challenges. It's essential to consider various factors when making investment decisions. Let me share my insights into BTC's price and what indicators hinted at the recent developments on the chart.
T he two positions on the chart are the pattern indications we'll focus on in this tutorial. I'll highlight two patterns that foretold BTC's bullish trajectory, but please note that other patterns and indicators could have pointed in the same direction. These are just two examples that caught my attention.
Rounding Bottom
L et's start with the first position, a trade from October 14th to October 24th, aptly named the Rounding Bottom. As the name suggests, this pattern resembles the lower half of a circle or an oval. Rounding Bottoms typically emerge after extended bearish trends. In bearish trends, bearish candles tend to outweigh the bullish ones, leading to increased volatility. The heightened volatility often results in corrective bullish candles that might surprise inexperienced investors. Many people mistake these bullish candles for a full reversal or overextend their positions. However, it's essential to remember that strong trends, whether bullish or bearish, can be quite volatile.
S trong trends also tend to form bottom formations. While these bottoms can take various shapes, the Rounding Bottom is the focus here. One insight to observe is the decreasing candle sizes. After October 11th, the volatility decreased, leading to both smaller bearish and bullish candles. It indicates a change in the trend, though not necessarily a bullish one.
A nother critical aspect to consider is decreasing volume. Reduced volume doesn't automatically signify a reversal. Bottom formations can include scenarios where the volume spikes before a sharp price increase. However, the decreasing volume in this context indicated a shift.
I n addition to reduced volatility and volume, the candles started to form the characteristic oval structure. The price also stabilized on multiple Exponential Moving Averages (EMAs). To identify the pattern as a Rounding Bottom, I had to monitor the candles for a few more days, relying on not only their appearance but also considering volatility, volume, liquidation data, and EMA analytics.
T he Rounding Bottom aligning with these indicators provided a degree of confidence in its bullish nature. However, the job was far from done. My initial target price was set based on a resistance trendline drawn from previous local tops, depicted on the chart in purple. AI analysis indicated that the price was likely to reach at least this level. Indeed, it did, and while the rally could have concluded there, the absence of clear top formations and the price stabilizing above EMAs 20, 50, 100, and 200 prompted me to keep the long position until October 24th.
Broadening Wedge
D uring this period, my pattern recognition algorithm identified a signal of a different formation between October 24th and 27th, a Broadening Wedge. Now, a different formation doesn't necessarily signify a reversal. Broadening Wedges often indicate an escalation of the existing trend, which, after the Rounding Bottom, had been bullish. This aligns with the general behavior expected in textbook examples.
B etween these two long positions, there's a notable period where I refrained from taking a position. I also closed any existing positions due to the limited number of candles to identify any pattern with confidence. It's important to note that the more time you can observe a pattern forming, the higher the probability of getting it right. Jumping to conclusions based on just a few candles might lead to incorrect assessments.
I n both the Rounding Bottom and Broadening Wedge, I excluded numerous other patterns. When analyzing the market, it's vital to exclude multiple possibilities before settling on a particular pattern. This increases the chances of accurately identifying the pattern in question.
T his tutorial offers insights into pattern recognition, target price setting, and stop loss selection. However, remember that these are potential approaches to expand your understanding. Historical results don't guarantee future results. While these patterns proved helpful in this instance, other investors might have identified different patterns leading to similar or even better outcomes.
"Too long to read, but I want to learn"
tl;dr I found a Rounding Bottom, then a Broadening Wedge. Rounding Bottom shifted the trend from bearish to bullish, and Broadening Wedge continued the bullish trend. It's only a short-term insight from the past and doesn't necessarily reflect my long-term view about the asset or any future view.
Kind Regards,
Ely
Head and Shoulders - EUHere I have EUR/USD on the 30 Min Chart!
We have 3 sets of Highs in the shape of what looks to be a Head and Shoulders on top of the Support or "Neckline"!
Price has been traveling up so we may be getting a Reversal here now!
**Chart Patterns are known to fail 1/3 of the time so BEWARE OF FALSE BREAKS!!
-Pattern Prediction-
If Price Breaks and Closes above 1.09945, Pattern INVALIDATED!
If Price Breaks and Closes below 1.09725, Pattern is CONFIRMED and will initiate my Trade Action Plan!
The Triangle Of The Year => BTC 🏆Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
🏹 After a 50% surge from 25,000 to 38,000 , BTC has entered a consolidation phase within the confines of a symmetrical triangle, as highlighted in orange.
This development holds significant importance as it aligns closely with a yearly resistance zone between 38,000 and 40,000. The resolution of this pattern will likely dictate market sentiment for the remainder of the year.
📈 Should the triangle break to the upside, confirmed by a daily candle closing above 38,000, we anticipate a bullish continuation targeting the resistance range up to 40,000.
📉 Conversely, a downward break of the triangle, confirmed by a daily candle closing below 35,600, would signify bearish momentum, potentially leading to a substantial correction towards the 30,000 - 32,000 support and demand zone.
For now, we wait! ⏱
Which scenario do you think is more likely to happen? and why?
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
Xau/Usd Hello traders!
It can be seen that the pair has touched the level (2018.00). In my opinion, the pair will touch the level (2021.00) since it is also a Fibonacci level. Then I expect a decrease to the level (1929.50). Be patient and wait for the breakout to enter the trade. Be careful!
Don`t forget to look at the economic calendar!
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🔥 Bitcoin Reversing Again: Watch For Chop!BTC made a new yearly high 2 days ago, but has yet again failed to keep the gains (for now). The 38.000$ area is a very strongly defended area by the bears, which has resulted in an extremely choppy market for nearly a month at this point.
Longer-term oscillators like the RSI and Stochastic are still oversold, so it might be that the bulls are just waiting for these indicators to cool off. However, we have to consider the idea that the bulls can potentially lose the short-term fight and give up after yet another 38k rejection.
Share your thoughts in the comments 🙏
Key area is the bottom dotted support area. As long as the bulls can defend this area, there's nothing to worry about. However, if the bears manage to get a daily close below this important support it might signal that there's more pain to come.
Worst case bullish scenario would be a retest of the bottom support. On the other hand, the previous 3 times that we touched 38k the sell-off was much stronger and took us down more. This sell-of has thus far only been a couple of percent in 2 days.
I still hold the idea that 40k will be reached this year, but the loss of the bottom support will likely change that.
🔥 Ethereum MASSIVE Bullish Triangle Nearly Broke Out 🚨As seen on the chart, ETH has been trading inside a bullish triangle pattern for over 1.5 years.
In my eyes, a break out from this pattern might result in big gains for ETH, since it will burst through an area full of short-trade stop-losses which will be forced to buy back their positions.
Consequentially, a break out will trigger a long-term trade that I've been looking at for some time. With a stop below the recent swing low and a target around the current ATH, we can construct a very decent long-term trade for this big token.