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Volumepriceanalysis

HBL POWER - High Probability for further up MoveThe stock faced price rejection around 612 on its upward journey and it was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. And it moved almost sideways for 6 months. Multiple attempts to take out the rejection zone failed and recently it did succeed in moving out of the rejection zone. But it again went back to test the rejection zone. Now again it is moved up above the rejection zone and also the supply shadow of the BC bar of the 15th of July. As you can see the money flow is positive and the relative strength is also positive now. Th e volume has substantially increased and also the delivery volumes have increased in the recent past. All this does indicate that this current breakout of the rejection zone will sustain and it is highly probable that the stock will move up further.
NSE:HBLENGINELong
by karthikmarar
Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Volume and Price DynamicsVolume Spread Analysis (VSA): Understanding Market Intentions through Volume and Price Dynamics. █ Simple Explanation: Volume Spread Analysis (VSA) is a trading technique that identifies key market patterns and trends by analyzing the relationship between volume and price spread, revealing traders' actions and market behavior. Essentials in Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Laws. VSA Indicator. Signs of Strength. Signs of Weakness. Note that while the provided examples are excellent for illustrating the points, they are unlikely to play out perfectly in most scenarios. █ Laws Three basic laws forming the foundation of Volume Spread Analysis (VSA). The Law of Supply and Demand This law states that supply and demand balance each other over time. High demand and low supply lead to rising prices until demand falls to a level where supply can meet it. Conversely, low demand and high supply cause prices to fall until demand increases enough to absorb the excess supply. The Law of Cause and Effect This law assumes that a 'cause' will result in an 'effect' proportional to the 'cause'. A strong 'cause' will lead to a strong trend (effect), while a weak 'cause' will lead to a weak trend. The Law of Effort vs Result This law asserts that the result should reflect the effort exerted. In trading terms, a large volume should result in a significant price move (spread). If the spread is small, the volume should also be small. Any deviation from this pattern is considered an anomaly. █ VSA Indicator This indicator simplifies the identification of Volume and Spread Levels. It provides options to display volume and/or spread bars. An enhanced version of the indicator auto-scales both volume and spread for optimal chart presentation, reloading every time the chart is moved. Levels: Representing the levels of both volume and spread using the terminalogy of low, normal, high, and ultra. Indicator Version 1: Display volume and/or spread bars. When both are displayed, the spread bars are shown in a fixed quantity. Indicator Version 2: Display both volume and spread bars, with the spread bars scaled to the volume bars. █ Signs of Strength Indicates that the market is likely to experience bullish behavior. Down Thrust: Indicates strong buying interest at lower prices, suggesting a potential upward reversal. Selling Climax: Signifies a reversal point as panic selling exhausts and smart money starts accumulating. Bear Effort No Result: A large downward price move without strong selling effort (volume) indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting the down move may be unsustained. No Effort Bear Result: Strong selling effort (volume) fails to push prices down indicating an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting a potential lack of downward momentum. Inverse Down Thrust: Shows buyers overpowering sellers, likely leading to a bullish market reversal. Failed Selling Climax: Failed selling effort suggests strong buying support and a possible upward trend reversal. Bull Outside Reversal: Indicates strong buying reversing a downtrend, confirmed by higher close. End of Falling Market: Signifies strong buying absorbs panic selling at new lows, likely leading to stabilized price or reversal. Pseudo Down Thrust: Suggests weakening of the downward momentum with a potential upward continuation if broken above high. No Supply: Indicates a lack of selling interest at lower prices, potentially setting up for a price rise. █ Signs of Weakness Indicates that the market is likely to experience bearish behavior. Up Thrust: Indicates sellers overpowering buyers during a price rise, suggesting a potential downward reversal. Buying Climax: Represents peak buying, typically at price highs, with potential for reversal as sellers take control. No Effort Bull Result: A large upward price move without strong buying pressure (volume) indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting the up move may be unsustained. Bull Effort No Result: Strong buying (volume) fails to drive prices higher indicates an anomaly where the result doesn't match the effort, suggesting a potential lack of upward momentum. Inverse Up Thrust: Increased selling pressure during an uptrend suggests a possible shift to a downtrend. Failed Buying Climax: High buying volume fails to sustain higher prices, indicating a potential reversal to downtrend. Bear Outside Reversal: Strong selling pressure reversing an uptrend, signaling a potential downtrend. End of Rising Market: Indicates buying saturation at market peaks, suggesting a possible reversal as demand exhausts. Pseudo Down Thrust: Indicates weakening upward momentum with potential for downward continuation if broken below low. No Demand: Indicates reduced buying interest at higher prices, possibly leading to a price decline.
INDEX:BTCUSDEducation
by TanHef
9
AFFLE - A stock to watchThe stock has been moving almost sideways for more than two years. Early this year it attempted to take out the old price rejection zone of two years at 1336 level, it failed and it was pushed down again below the 200 DMA. From there it started recovering and in the month of May the stock did make an attempt to take out this price rejection zone. It failed and again was pushed down below the 200 DMA. Now again it is making an attempt and it is crossed the rejection zone with a “Buying Climax” like Bar with a with widespread up bar on very high volume. Now the level 1390 is very significant now because once the price goes above this level it would cross the previous resistances from 2022 and also it would go above the supply shadow of the “BC” like bar which happened today. A bullish close above 1390 will take the stock higher. All other parameters like Relative strength, Money Flow, Buying Pressure and Momentum seem to support. The up move could struggle till 1510 level above which the ease of movement would be much better.
NSE:AFFLE
by karthikmarar
1
EURCAD POTENTIAL SUPPORT BREAK?????Pair: EURCAD Timeframe: 30M Analysis: Trend line, volume profile , support and resistance, trend break, consolidation, ascending triangle pattern ————— Key Takeaway: Been a alot of consolidation between 1.47450-1.47200 and we could finally see a break. Need to look for a close below dynamic support and our trend line and then a retest of these levels before entering short. ————— Level needed: need a close bellow 1.47200 ————— Trade: SHORT RISK:REWARD 1:4 SL: 1.47340 TP: 1.46950-1.46640 ————— DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
Short
by TheGoldRoom
4
BLS - Gearing up for 15% - 20% move ?In early Feb, the stock faced price rejection around 430 levels and was pushed back to the 200 DMA levels. From there, it has been consolidating for almost three months. Now it is attempting to move up, it is about to cross the current price rejection level at 358. The relative strength is also turning positive and the money also started flowing into the stock. The volumes have been increasing including the delivery volumes indicating committed buyers are stepping in. The momentum has and Buying Pressure have been increasing recently. Once we have a positive close above 358 levels, we could see the stock testing the supply zone around 430 levels. This is a stock to watch.
NSE:BLS
by karthikmarar
GREENPLY INDUSTRIESThe stock was moving up and in the last week of February, it encountered a BC bar or a buying climax like bar. Then because of the supply of the BC bar, it was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. From there, it started recovering. Then it attempted to take out the Supply shadow of the BC bar but did not succeed. Then again recently did try to go into the shadow of the BC bar. It was struggling and pulled back a little and then now it has moved past the supply shadow of the BC bar. It would mean that all the supply has been fully absorbed now and the stock would be ready to move up. As you can see, the relative strength is becoming positive and the money is also flowing into the stock. The momentum is also positive and increasing and the volume has also increased. Also, we can see the good increase in the delivery volumes indicating committed buyers stepping in. Now with a positive close above 287, the last close would take the stock into the next higher trajectory. So, it is a stock worth watching.
NSE:GREENPLYLong
by karthikmarar
GRANULES - A stock to watchThe stock after facing price rejection around 466 to 480 area was pushed down to the 200 DMA levels. It took support from there and started moving up and now it's making a higher high and higher low. The relative strength is also positive and we can see good volumes coming in. Money is flowing into the stock and the momentum is also positive and increasing. Also, we can see good increase in the delivery volumes recently indicating committed buyers stepping in. A bullish close above 480 would take the stock to the next higher trajectory.
NSE:GRANULESLong
by karthikmarar
2
ADANI PORTS - Ready to Move to next upper Trajectory?The stock on its upper trajectory faced a price rejection around 1425 levels and it was driven down to below the 50 DMA levels. From there it took support and then started recovering. Recently there was an attempt to take out the price rejection zone but that move did not succeed and it was pushed back to test the price rejection zone. Now it is again attempting to take out the rejection zone. We can see increasing momentum and also the relative strength is positive. The money flow needs to become positive. We can see some increase in the volume as well. Now this stock is likely to succeed in taking out the rejection zone. A good close above 1457 would take it to the next upper trajectory.
NSE:ADANIPORTSLong
by karthikmarar
UNION BANK - Gearing up for a Break out?The PSU bank index has been moving in a slightly inclined upward channel showing positive bias. However, this stock has been moving in a sideways range for almost four months now. Now the stock is testing the top of the sideway range. The MFI indicates money is flowing into the stock. The momentum is also positive and increasing, the relative strength is also turning positive. We can see increases in the volume as well. Also, we can see increases in the delivery volumes indicating some interested buying coming in here. The minor trend and the immediate trend are also up. Looks like the stock is gearing up to break out of the range and move into the next higher orbit. So the level to watch out is 162. This stock should find a place on your watch list.
NSE:UNIONBANKLong
by karthikmarar
6
KNR CONSTRUCTION - A watch list StockThe stock after facing rejection at 317 levels was pushed down below the 200 DMA level. From the bottom in June 22, the stock has been moving almost sideways for almost two years now. Finally, the stock seems to be making an attempt to move up. It is about to take out the minor price rejection zone. You can see an increased volume and also you can see that the money flow has been increasing. Now the relative strength is also turning positive. So once now the stock is likely to test the major rejection zone at 317 to 343 levels. Once that is taken out, that is if we have a bullish candle above the 343 levels, we can expect this stock to go into the next phase of uptrend. A stock to watch.
NSE:KNRCONLong
by karthikmarar
JUBLI FOODS – Confirming Reversal and ready to move higher?The stock after making a high of 586 last December has been going down. It has been making lower highs and lower lows with each price wave was getting lower. After reaching a bottom of 421 it started reversing. Then it started making higher highs and higher lows and each price wave was getting higher and higher. Now it has crossed above the 3 short-term moving averages and today it moved above the 200 DMA as well. You can see that the volumes for each wave was getting higher. The money flow had remained positive from April onward and in May the relative strength also turned positive. The stock also exhibited strong momentum in May. Recently the delivery volumes have also increased indicating interested buyer stepping in. Now the stock is likely to teat the previous high of 586. 520 levels could offer some resistances.
NSE:JUBLFOODLong
by karthikmarar
1
Chota Packet Bada Dhamaka Supreme Power Equipment LtdTransformer Market size is valued at USD 54 billion in 2022 and is anticipated to grow at a CAGR of 7.2% between 2023 and 2032. o Large scale integration of renewable energy sources coupled with increasing electrification programs primarily across the emerging economies will accelerate the industry scenario. o Expanding urban infrastructure to proliferate product demand for commercial & industrial applications Power transformer market from the commercial & industrial applications segment is expected to exhibit nearly 7% growth rate between 2023 and 2032. o The global power transformer market size was valued at $27.7 billion in 2019, and is expected to reach $50.8 billion by 2027, registering a CAGR of 7.9% from 2020 to 2027. Indian Transformer Market Size o The India transformer market is expected to rise at a CAGR of more than 5% during the forecast period. o The Transformer market in India can be pegged at more than INR 12,000 Crores. Power Transformers contribute 45 percent of the total market and distribution transformers, 55 percent. o Anticipating the huge domestic, requirement of power sector expansion and overseas demand, the transformer industry in India has more than doubled its manufacturing capacity over the last five years. o Transformer manufacturing capacity in India stands at ~370 GVA with capacity utilization rates hovering around 60- 70 percent on an average over the last 5 years. Power Sector o India is the third-largest producer and consumer of electricity worldwide, with an installed power capacity of 416.59 GW as of April 30, 2023. o India's power generation witnessed its highest growth rate in over 30 years in FY23. Power generation in India increased by 8.87% to 1,624.15 billion kilowatt-hours (kWh) in FY23. o According to data from the Ministry of Power, India's power consumption stood at 130.57 BU in April, 2023. o The peak power demand in the country stood at 226.87 GW in April, 2023. Attractive Opportunities In Union Budget 2023-24, the government allocated US$ 885 million (Rs. 7,327 crore) for the solar power sector including grid, off-grid, and PM-KUSUM projects. • To meet India’s 500 GW renewable energy target and tackle the annual issue of coal demand supply mismatch, the Ministry of Power has identified 81 thermal units which will replace coal with renewable energy generation by 2026. In Budget 2023-24, Government has committed an outlay of Rs. 10 lakh crore (US$ 120 billion) during 2023-24 towards infrastructure capital expenditure compared to Rs. 7.5 lakh crore (US$ 90 billion) (BE) during 2022–23. Company has reduced debt. Company is almost debt free. Company has delivered good profit growth of 108% CAGR over last 5 years. Company has a good return on equity (ROE) track record: 3 Years ROE 67.2%. Debtor days have improved from 114 to 83.3 days. Company's working capital requirements have reduced from 87.0 days to 67.8 days
NSE:SUPREMEPWRLong
by iism-ExpertTrading
8
EXIDE INDUSTRIESThe stock after a good up move has been re-accumulating for almost a month and half. Now the stock is on the verge of breaking out from this re-accumulation zone. The relative strength is turning positive and the money flow is also on the verge of reversing. Momentum which was weak has started picking up. The volume in the last two sessions has been high. The delivery volumes is also increasing. A good close above today's high, that is a good close above 500 will take the stock to the next orbit and it will move much higher. We had caught the earlier breakout from the Rejection zone at 280 as well.
NSE:EXIDEINDLong
by karthikmarar
GENERAL INSURANCE CORPORATIONThe stock after facing price rejection around 440 to 467 levels came back to below 50 DMA levels. It has been consolidating since then for almost 3 months now. Finally, today we saw it breaking out of the consolidation zone. We saw a widespread bar on very high volume. The relative strength is also turning positive. The money flow has been positive for the last few sessions. We can also see a reversal in the momentum to the positive side. If the stock sustains above the high of today's bar, we can see the stock testing the previous price rejection zone at 440 to 467 levels. Now the only point of caution here is today's very high-volume bar, it is like a BC bar which can cast a shadow of supply bringing the stock down back into the consolidation zone. So that is why we need to have positive close above the shadow of the BC bar for the stock to move higher. So, it is a stock worth watching.
NSE:GICRELong
by karthikmarar
ADITYA BIRLA FASHIONS - Poised to moved up ?The stock saw a huge fall of about 50% from a high of 359. From the bottom, it has been struggling for almost a year to reverse the trend. And of late, you can see the attempt to move up, seeing some success. You can see a break of structure in the daily and now a break of structure in the weekly as well. The relative strength is also positive. The money flow which had dipped is now recovering. The momentum also had weakened recently and is now picking up. Today the stock moved past the price rejection zone at 277 with wide spread up bar with volume support. In the last few sessions, we saw some increase in delivery volumes indicating some interested buying coming in. If the stock sustains above 277 levels, we can see the stock moving up further north. The next destination could be 315 levels.
NSE:ABFRLLong
by karthikmarar
DEEPAK NITRITEIn early January, the stock faced rejection around 2520 levels and it retreated to sub 200 DMA levels. From there, it recovered. In early May, it made an attempt to take out the price rejection zone. There was a move on very high volume. Unfortunately, that move did not succeed and it was pushed back below into the supply shadow of the BC bar which happened on the April 24th. Now, again it is attempting to move above the shadow of the BC bar and the price rejection zone. The relative strength is still positive but the money flow is lacking and also the volume is very low. The momentum has also dropped. So, once this stock succeeds in taking out the price rejection zone and goes above the shadow of the BC bar, the stock is likely to move up higher. We also see a very nice consolidation pattern almost like a cup and handle pattern. So, we need to wait and watch for the volume to increase and the money flow to be positive and the momentum also to come in. So, this is a stock worth watching
NSE:DEEPAKNTRLong
by karthikmarar
1
HBAR Trading ScenarioWe're looking at how the price of HBAR has been moving recently. After dropping to a low of $0.0666, it bounced back up to $0.1818. The growth was more than 170%. Then, the price dropped back down to $0.0903. Right now, the asset price is trying to strengthen. As for now, the market is showing that sellers are in control, so we can probably expect the HBAR price to keep dropping. If you're looking to get in on this, you might want to consider buying when the price touches the 200-day moving average or when the volume level POC declines.
by Rick_SimpleSwap