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Vixfutures

VIX is getting for its own prime timeWatching 20-21 zone for a support. Historically VIX 20 zone is the bear/bull line. I expect that to me either tested or even broken for a fake move down and then start to explode. When VIX is at 45+ watch for the market capitulation. Ideal target for the VIX is 65+ early next year. When its moving above 35 and especially 45, no no longs for me period, only sell the rips (if there will be any) Im in with Apr VIX 35 calls, will add tomorrow and on the 28th
CBOE:VIX
by RealTima
6
What do USD/MXN and S&P 500 VIX have in common?The Mexican peso (MXN) is one of the conventional high-beta currencies traded on the forex market, making it extremely susceptible to changes in risk sentiment on global financial markets. When MXN inflows occur, it usually signals that investors are willing to take risks. In the last three months, USD/MXN has lost 3%, making the peso one of the best-performing currency in 2022. Much of the MXN's outperformance has been the result of a very hawkish Mexican Central Bank, which hiked interest rates up to 9.25%, the highest since 2005. Another 75bps hike is expected at November 10th meeting, which would bring Mexican rates to 10%. Aside from the Banxico hiking cycle in Mexico, the Peso has a strong correlation with global risk factors, namely the stock market volatility. To put it another way, historically, the USD/MXN pair and the S&P volatility index ( VIX ) have behaved similarly. What are we seeing now? The USD/MXN 14-day RSI indicator has entered oversold territory, highlighting the need for caution for investors willing to take on more risk at this stage, as MXN valuations are beginning to appear rather stretched. Therefore, the bearish momentum for both USD/MXN and the VIX might have reached a peak. Aside from the results of the midterm elections, investors will almost definitely have to digest another strong US CPI data this week. Analysts predict 8% annual inflation in October, with core inflation at 6.5%. If actual results match or exceed estimates, Fed interest rate expectations will likely be reassessed higher. As the U.S. and Mexican economies are highly interdependent, the anticipated cyclical weakening of the U.S. economy bodes poorly for the Mexican economy and adds to MXN downward pressures. Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodity market specialist at Capital.com
by Capitalcom
VIX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022 VIX Weekly Volatility Forecast 31/10 - 04/11 2022 Currently the volatility for this week is around 12.11% , up from expected 8.8% last week. According to ATR calculation, currently the volatility is located around 10th percentile. Under this circumstances the expected movement of the candle is : BEAR : 9.4% from the opening point of the weekly candle BULL : 11.6% from the opening point of the weekly candle At the same time, currently there is 22.8% that the movement within this weekly candle is going to break and close either above or below the next channel: TOP: 29.3 BOT: 24.5 Lastly, taking into account the previous weekly high and low there is a : 35% chance that we are going to touch the previous week high 60% chance that we are going to touch the previous week low
TVC:VIX
by exlux
Long Volatility into AugustBy now you all know the drill. Let's start with an initial framework, assess the current environment, and evaluate all below questions. are we trending or ranging? - a series of higher highs, higher lows - sellers structure is broken, we are tracking whether buyers will protect or find it difficult to hold discount? - we are tracking the lows for the previous wave block - Support 20, Pivot 25, Resistance 38 managing trade? - Trading and assess based on quarters, 00, 25, 50, 75 - Market participation in form of current strength/weakness, when market is weak we are sellers and when strong we are buyers This position, technically speaking, is very similar to the swing we traded in 2020. Buyers have developed a structure of higher highs, and higher lows, and desire their chance to go over to a direct attack on the highs. In this case the result is not certain; but since attacking in this fashion is characteristic of a volatility event. There are two lines, assuming the 20 support holds. In the first case, as well we need to track 25, the combinatory breakout of 25 will allow buyers to continue their summer dance with a romantic hue, unlocking 38 for August.
TVC:VIXLong
by ridethepig
5