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VIX CBOE Volatility Index

spx 2hour advanced xabcd short from resistanceHello traders, this is 2hour chart of SPX (S&P500). Currently looking at speculative XABCD setup, advanced entry on sell side from overhead resistance at point C, which is 4218. Points X/A/B confirmed already. Pattern overview and levels: X at 3742, A at 4173, B at 3853, point C and 4218 and point D/PRZ at 3615 (extension). Point C/D also coincide with liquidity gaps, so this improves odds of putting on a successful trade at C/D. Recommended strategy: wait for price to max out near C at 4128 and short sell from overhead resistance, bears will target point D at 3615 to complete the pattern structure. Later on bulls may look for a reversal near point D, but right not it's too early to look for bullish setups in this market. 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
SP:SPXShort
by ProjectSyndicate
17
Watch the Gap, 22 Mar 2023🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Another positive day in equity markets and I'm sensing some kind of pattern. Small cap caught up a bit with the main indices. ➤ Today (Wednesday) is the main event. It's the US Fed interest rate decision day. There's no doubt everyone has an eye or ear on the announcement. ➤ Before you ask, I have no clue on the outcome per se and I don't particularly care. I don't have skin in the game so I'm not gonna be losing any sleep over it. BUT I'm of course interested in the price action post data release. I'm hoping the price action isn't too messy and ruin a good potential trade set-up. ➤ In terms of likely movement, there is an open price gap in the SPY due to Tuesday trade. Price can easily close that gap. The sequence of events would be interesting. Will the gap be closed immediately with a downward spike or will it be closed after a failure of an initial bullish phase? I again have no idea. ➤ Conclusion: Price action so far points to a bullish bias. We saw a similar set-up in Sept 2022. That time, price reversed immediately. Take care. EQUITY TREND: ⦿ Short-term (weeks) - DOWN ⦿ Medium-term (< 6 months) - UP ⦿ Long-term (>6 months) - DOWN
AMEX:SPY
by mrstockyetoro
None The Wiser, 21 Mar 2023🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Positive day in equity markets and for once Nasdaq lagged in the advance against other major indices. ➤ There's lots of conjecture out there about the outperformance of the Nasdaq and for that matter Bitcoin over recent days during banking crisis. In my opinion, this was all directly related to the massive drop in yields in the Bond market. Lower rates generally benefits tech valuations (through their ability to borrow cheaply i.e a lower cost cost of capital). This risk-on mode also benefits Bitcoin. The high correlation between Tech and Nasdaq still hold. ➤ There is the argument that Bitcoin is now showing signs of "de-coupling" due it's "safe haven" status and being the anti-thesis of a de-basing fiat system. It may be true on the margin but in my view there is insufficient evidence. ➤ In terms of the overall price action today in equities, I am none the wiser to what happens next. Once again, the price was engulfed within the large Bullish bar on Thursday last week. VIX dropped marginally too but it is still elevated. Overall, it provides a slight bias towards the Bulls. ➤ Conclusion: I'm looking forward to less ambiguous price action. This may occur post Wednesday's Fed interest rate decision. NOTES: 200-day Moving average back into the mix.
AMEX:SPY
by mrstockyetoro
$VIX - Something is brewingIn my previous post, I outlined where $SPY rejected off the bear flag resistance. You'll see that those two times correlate with the two times $VIX tested pennant support. With the third VIX retest, we may see $SPY near my gray TL of ~$400 (see related idea linked). I'm still expecting another leg down, and will take a short position if I see optimal R:R (I'll update). No doubt, today was a boring day for $SPY. As I outlined in my update above, staying patient and understanding the right time to execute is what'll get you the W. Good luck!
TVC:VIX
by theapearmy
$SPY - Watch for another leg downI plan to WIN on this upcoming trade with optimal risk-to-reward: I pointed out yesterday that we'll see slow upward movement on $SPY. I'm still expecting another leg down, and will take a short position if I see optimal R:R (I'll update). In my subsequent post, you'll see that the two times $VIX tested pennant support, $SPY rejected off the bear flag resistance (in this graph). With the third VIX retest, we may see $SPY near the gray TL of ~$400. I'm waiting for this likely scenario to take my short and am holding my long stance.
AMEX:SPYLong
by theapearmy
Mixed Territory, 20 Mar 2023🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Friday trade in Equities ended down. However, when viewed from the candlestick charts, you can see that the price action was fully "engulfed" by the Bullish candle/bar on Thursday. The interpretation of this action should therefore place more importance on the dominant Bullish candle. ➤ In early Monday Asian trade, things are positively biased. However, we should be aware of the current short and medium technical set-ups in and around the news flow. ➤ In the short-term (since Jan 2 high), we are still in a down-trend (lower lows, lower highs) but in the medium-term (since Oct '22 low), we remain in an up trend (higher highs, higher lows). This paints a mixed picture. When we are in this territory, prices tend to fluctuate more due to the conflicting positioning of market participants. ➤ First and foremost, I think VIX will settle down lower in the immediate term. It may then spike again. That may present a great short opportunity. Keep in mind that the Wednesday 22nd Fed rate decision will probably be the most watched market event ever. ➤ Conclusion: Stick closely to your trading/investment plan, don't get swayed by the news flow. NOTES: BTC and Gold are well supported. I will provide an update on Gold price action later today.
AMEX:SPY
by mrstockyetoro
The Fed's Pivot - What to Expect in the Months Ahead In this video, I explain what to expect in the months ahead, following the Fed's pivot back to monetary easing. Also, I wanted to make several notes: When I said that it's almost never better to own derivatives than holding an asset outright, I do realize the importance that derivatives can play with leverage and risk management. When I said that fear is always highest at the +2 standard deviation of the log-linear regression channel, this was confusing because typically fear is highest when price reaches the -2 standard deviation. In this particular ratio chart, fear over the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust was highest when Bitcoin outperformed it enough for the BTC/GBTC ratio to reach the +2 standard deviation. When I said that the log-linear regression channel is one of the best indicators, I do realize that compared to other statistical methods, this indicator is quite rudimentary. Nonetheless, I find it to be quite useful. I apologize for the poor audio, this seems to be a matter of how TradingView is uploading my audio. On my end, my audio is very clear. Important Disclaimer Nothing in this post should be considered financial advice. Trading and investing always involve risks and one should carefully review all such risks before making a trade or investment decision. Do not buy or sell any security based on anything in this post. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any financial decisions. This post is for educational purposes only.
FRED:WALCL
by SpyMasterTrades
38
vix 8 hour chart another 150% spike in April?Hello traders, today let's review VIX 8hour and daily chart . Is it possible that another 150% burst is in the making now? Entirely plausible, in fact based on advanced XABCD setup the current pullback/correction might be over near 15/16.00 later in April. Based on time/price symmetry point C of the XABCD pattern structure might come in at 15/16.00 sometime in April 2023. The pattern is defined by point X at 33.00, point A at18.50, point B at 30.00, expecting point C print at 16.00 and point D print at 38.00, based on 127 extension. Recommended strategy: buy calls / write puts once we land near point C near 16.00. this is a higher risk entry strategy, so always do your own due dill and use other indicators to confirm the entry. good luck! 🎁Please hit the like button and 🎁Leave a comment to support our team! RISK DISCLAIMER: Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss. Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
TVC:VIXLong
by ProjectSyndicate
21
Spot On, 17 Mar 2023🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Thursday trade saw the biggest one day gain of the year for equities. There cannot be any doubt of it's Bullish intent. For the past few days we saw prices being supported after bouts of selling pressure. This absorption of the selling is what has led to the huge move. ➤ I was spot on with that observation having taken a long position the day prior. I have now sold my position and sitting once more on the sideline. Price may continue to move higher but I'm happy to have grabbed a quick win along with a decent earlier win on the Short trade. ➤ The higher price gap was immediately filled and there are no more open price gaps at this juncture. ➤ What to expect next? Despite the bullish move, the price structure as I see it still provides an opportunity for a drop. The VIX remains elevated relative to recent history and may again spike higher. There is still fear in the market place. It's too early to say if the low set on Monday will be surpassed but there may be an attempt to test that if it will hold. ➤ Conclusion: I expect further trade opportunites next week. NOTES: Tech continues to outperform. S&P500 has not made a new low, medium uptrend remains intact. Bank failures/support and recent economic data likely moving Central banks to a dovish tone.
AMEX:SPY
by mrstockyetoro
Expect the Unexpected, 16 Mar 2023🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equities once again recovered the majority of losses to finish the day with positive momentum. If you read my post last week about the "Follow-Through" this is exactly what I meant. Despite the sharp drop and fear in the marketplace, there was no follow-through. Thus the signs point to a rebound higher and I'm now positioned that way with a moderate long position. ➤ As you know, I'm only talking about the very short-term i.e. a few days at the most. That is where I get most transparency and the reason why I operate in this space as a short-term Trader. ➤ The lower price gap in the S&P500 was immediately filled and now a higher gap has been left open. I'm hoping this will get filled in favour of my long position. ➤ Conclusion: With heightened volatility, you can throw a large amount of logic out of the door. Emotional responses are the main driver. Often this is no rational. Expect the unexpected. NOTES: Tech continues to outperform. S&P500 has not made a new low as yet. Medium uptrend remains intact.
AMEX:SPYLong
by mrstockyetoro
Dollar & VIX ripping, Yields cratering, Stocks fallingGood Morning! We've been mostly cash when it comes to #stocks. Been defensive as we have #GOLD #SILVER #BCH #BTC (#crypto #altcoins in personal) some $VIX & some bigger VALUE names, added some more today $AMGN $VZ as examples. We've reduced the exposure as the direction seems south but anything can happen. FEAR is the word. #Dollar ripping again & bond buying. $DXY looks good & bounced off of support. Look @ yields CRATERING again. 1Yr & 2Yr #yields COLLAPSING! 10Yr HOLDING MAJOR SUPPORT & back at level it was 2 days ago. We noticed something some time ago & will post soon. $VIX is trading in a new range now & closing in on the TOP part of range. 2 things can happen here. Either we rip through, likely causing a COLLAPSE in #stockmarket OR IT pulls back to the 23ish range and keep in this new range & fear eventually subsides.
TVC:DXY
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
"Th-Th-The, Th-Th-The, Th-Th... That's all, folks!", 15 Mar 2023🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equities recovered all losses since last Friday when things really started to fall apart. In the words of Porky Pig: "Th-Th-The, Th-Th-The, Th-Th... That's all, folks!" With a bit of a stutter, the crisis is all but averted. Sound the all clear! ➤ Well, that's my view in the very short-term from a technical basis. The only thing that I'm waiting for is an exit signal and/or a signal to reverse my short position to a buy/long position. What happens after the very short-term is anyone's guess. ➤ I note that there is a lower gap that has formed as a result of today's price action. Let's see if the gap is filled immediately or at a later date. ➤ From a fundamental perspective, if the crisis is resolved/contained, then there is no reason for the Fed to pause rising interest rates. They can keep pushing rates higher in order to fight inflation until "something" else breaks. That means there is no immediate "pivot". ➤ Conclusion: Watch the VIX to see if volatilty remains heightened or it continues to collapse post assurances by the US regulatory authorities. NOTES: Tech outperformed last couple of days. I assume much of this is based on the "pivot" or lower rate expectations.
AMEX:SPYShort
by mrstockyetoro
Defended, 14 Mar 2023🖼 Daily Technical Picture 📈 ➤ Equities finished lower on Monday trade. If you had shut your eyes and ears over the weekend and arrived right now after market close, you’d think the market performance at the index level was just like any usual day in the past year. It was volatile, but it was certainly nothing extraordinary. In that respect, the regulatory authorities have done their job to “calm” markets. However, the movements in the regional banks and hyper volatility in Bonds tells us it was anything but ordinary. ➤ S&P500 price fell but was defended at the congestion zone that includes the level at which the year started. VIX hit 30 at my panic level and then receded. I expect things to settle down for a little while until market participants fully digest the ramifications of the policy changes and post mortem of the last 72hrs. There is however a slew of economic data this week starting with CPI Tuesday! ➤ I took off half of my short positions to lock-in profits given the above price action. ➤ In the short-term, prices are in a downtrend having established lower highs and lower lows. In the medium-term, the uptrend remains in tact although barely. A move below the 22nd Dec low would set a lower low and void the uptrend based on classical definition of an uptrend. ➤ Conclusion: Lots of volatility means lots of opportunity. Good luck All! NOTES: $BTC and crypto reacted very well in contrast. Small cap continues to underperform.
AMEX:SPYShort
by mrstockyetoro
$VIX hits top part of Symmetrical triangle$VIX rarely tends to trade in a small & tight range. #VIX Sold off big last couple months & traded in a decent range for a bit & recently, including today, popped big. As you can see it hit the top part of the Triangle Formation. Hard to call here but stocks gaining some momentum, being that many were OVERSOLD, including $DJI & $NDX, $SPX and so on, is not out of the question. Risk reward @ day lows in #stocks was good. A lot of fear out there is good for reversals. Keep eye out on 4 hour charts for a good idea of where we stand. FYI $DJI 4hour close was NOT the best setup BUT it did form a BULLISH Engulfing with GOOD VOLUME. IMO 32.5k on #DJI is good & if it breaks & holds that is a good sign.
CBOE:VIX
by ROYAL_OAK_INC
High IV sets up premium selling environmentWith VIX ripping on today's bank FUD the IV Rank and IV Percentile of SPY is the highest in a year's worth of trading days. This sets up opportunities for premium selling that have not existed for a very long time. Rules: SELL the 20 Delta Strikes at 45 DTE or greater in monthly expirations. BUY wings at 10 Delta Strikes same DTE That ended up being: SELL May 350 Put SELL May 414 Call BUY May 325 Put BUY May 425 Call For 4.64 Credit. The plan is to "manage deltas" and keep this position delta neutral through the duration until 50% credit received. That means if the sides get tested directionally roll up the untested side, increasing credit, to get the delta back to as close to 0 as is reasonable.
CBOE:VIX
by norok