Crude oil: all the way down
Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that yesterday’s market rebound was unable to continue the downward trend. It has now reached the 82.3 line and has slowed down the downward trend. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that a phased bottom signal has appeared again. In the last time When it appeared, it rebounded slightly and reached the No. 2 pressure level above and then fell back. At present, the No. 1 pressure level above has in turn become the first pressure. In the short term, we will continue to focus on shorting on rallies.
Strategy: 84.1 short
Usoilsignal
USOIL: Empty orders gain 10 points
The daily arrangement of 89.2 line empty, currently down 10 points, the stable can reduce the position out, the rebound of the European short position near 89.3 can continue to be empty, want to do more suggestions can pay attention to the 88.0 line support can hold, hold it is expected that crude oil is a wave of short-term rebound demand, so want to do more suggestions first pay attention to the 88.0 support break situation and then consider it, Do not break can light warehouse to do a short line, break is to give up multiple single
USOIL will rise after trending back.n yesterday's trend, USOIL rose and fell very obviously. Today it is around 88.2 to 88.3, and the resilience at this position is very strong. I will test this support level and if there is no decline then I think it will rise to around 89.3 and 89.5.
In addition, the United States will release EIA crude oil inventories for the week of September 29 in five hours, which will be an important factor affecting the trend of USOIL.
USOIL:Fluctuation in the range
Last week, oil broke through the range of 88.3-91.2 and rose as high as near 95.
Last week, I predicted that if it breaks through 91.2, it will be more likely to rise, but I did not expect that oil will rise so much. Every time it rises rapidly, there will definitely be a reversal. Now the oil is around 89.7 and it is back in the range, so now we still judge the transaction based on 88.3-91.2.
If the oil falls below 88.3, then it is necessary to judge that the range is invalid, so you need to observe more when trading, or strictly set the stop loss.
It is still possible to buy at low levels and sell cautiously at high levels in the range.
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Crude Oil: Today’s Strategy
Crude oil enters the market empty at 88
Continue to watch the decline, continue to watch 82, or even 75 line
Any position where crude oil rebounds is short. The current rebound of the big positive line is to enter the market for shorts. Once again, the 88 line enters the market for shorts. Get ready for a sharp drop to harvest. Crude oil rebounds, but it is still below the middle track of the Bollinger Bands. The short position is empty.
Operation strategy: short crude oil at 88, stop loss at 89, target at 82
Crude Oil: Analysis Strategy Today
Through the analysis of the hourly chart of crude oil, we know that on the previous trading day, it first fell, then rose and then fell, forming a wide-ranging shock trend, which converged at the moving average support level below. We can clearly see from the attached picture below that in the previous transaction The market had already entered the weak zone on the day before, and the rebound was weak. It is still running in the weak zone, indicating that there is still room for adjustment in the short-term market.
Crude oil is long at 90.70 and 88.90 respectively, with a stop loss of 70 points and a profit stop of 300 points;
Crude oil is short at 92.20 and 93.30 respectively.
Gold: It may fall to 1800! ! !
Gold fell from around 1930 to around 1845, with basically no rebound, that is, the bulls surrendered directly. This trend is obviously a short trend, and the lows continue to fall. Even a rebound of a few dollars is directly swallowed up by the big negative line. This It’s short energy.
The four-hour line of gold price has entered the next level. It continues to be a negative line. The era of shorts is obviously coming. The sword below is pointing to the 1811 line, or even near 1615. Anything is possible on the K-line. At the same time, the 50-day moving average continues to run downward, continuing to compress the bulls' Space, there is no possibility of rebound at all, the K line is suppressed by the 50 moving average throughout the whole process, and it is pressed to the floor and rubbed, empty, 1834 empty
USOIL: Crude oil analysis and operation
With Opec + pledging to curb oil supply until the end of the year and Asia's economic recovery expected to expand again, we expect global oil inventories to fall by 70 million barrels over the next three months. As a result, we now see Brent averaging $91 / BBL in the second half, up from $81 / BBL previously. Still, our forecast for 2024 remains at $90 per barrel, thanks to an increase of 1.2 million BPD in non-OPEC supply from Guyana, Canada, U.S. shale, and Brazil. In addition, if sanctions on Venezuela and Iran are further eased, supply will increase by 450,000 BPD in 2024. As Opec + politics and global geopolitics allow, the increased supply will help restrain further price increases. Oil prices surged 3.50 per cent yesterday, with intraday highs above $95. After the opening of the morning, oil prices surged on the inertia, the high point entered the $95 mark, and the current pressure is below 94, and the momentum of turning the gun is still strong. In operation, it is still a reasonable choice to short the rally. Short-term strategy reference: High probability scenario: bearish below 95.0, target 93.0-92.0; Low probability scenario: Bullish above 92.0, target 95.0-96.2.
USOIL:Range fluctuation
The oil is back in the range again. If you trade according to my range, I think you can have a great time today.
Today, the oil price fell to near 88.2, and the low point was tested again, but it still returned to the range, so now we have adjusted the range, the range is: 88.3-91.2
The adjustment of the range range increases the success rate of our trading. As long as it is within the range, we still buy at a low level, sell at a high level, break through the range and then re-observe.
Today, the low was tested for the third time and rose again, so we must observe whether the position above 91.2 will break through. If it breaks through, it is more likely to rise. If you want to sell, pay attention to setting a stop loss.
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Crude oil: Crude oil rebounds to highs
U.S. oil WTI once fell below $89 and pushed down to $88. It fell as much as $1.48 or 1.7%. After turning up, it returned to the psychological integer level of $90. The more actively traded Brent December futures once fell to US$90 or fell as much as 1.6%, then turned higher and then returned to US$92. The futures about to be delivered after expiration turned higher and then rose above US$94. They had previously fallen below 93 US dollars. and $92.
Oil prices turned higher and broke off two-week lows, with U.S. oil returning to $90
In the third quarter, U.S. oil rose by more than 26%, and Brent oil rose by about 24%. Both are expected to record the largest increase in more than a year since the first quarter, and both oil prices will achieve cumulative increases in every month of the third quarter. Mainly because the prospect of tight supply outweighs concerns about economic and oil demand uncertainty in a period of high interest rates. However, some analysts worry that the U.S. government shutdown may make it difficult for Brent oil to rise to $100.
Go long near 92.0, stop loss: 89.90, the target is 92.0-95.0 if it breaks.
Crude Oil: Strategy Advice Short
The oil supply outlook remains tight, with Russia and Saudi Arabia both cutting output through the end of the year, while the number of operating oil rigs in the United States has dropped to its lowest level since the end of the year. U.S. refiners are also cutting production capacity, further tightening supply.
While these factors are expected to continue to support prices, overall economic concerns are limiting oil prices' upside potential. In the short term, oil prices will continue to be impacted by the above factors. Rising interest rates, a stronger dollar and worries about the global economy appear to be offsetting the benefits of limited supply. However, with the start of China's National Day Golden Week, a potential rebound in tourist numbers may bring some support to oil prices. But until global economic concerns are eased, oil market sentiment tends to be bearish.
Short-term strategy reference: High probability scenario: bearish above 90.6, target 90.0-90.6. Small probability scenario: bullish below 88.8, target 88.5-88.9 Market comment: RSI technical indicator runs downward!
USOIL:Range fluctuation
Oil is still fluctuating in the range, reaching a minimum of around 89 today.
The oil has not chosen the direction yet. Last time we judged that the oil was going to test near the support point of 88.9.
Now the oil is near 89.9, and the direction is still not confirmed, so this range is still valid. You can still sell at the high point, buy at the low point, and wait for the oil to break through the range to confirm the trend.
We can't blindly think that oil will fall now, because we have tested the low twice in a row, but it has not fallen. We trade in the range. If we break through the range, we will strictly set a stop loss.Wait for the funds to choose the direction.
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USOIL: Crude oil analysis and planning
Last Friday opened 89.5, went up to 90.3 and then fell back up again at 89.7 to be supported, crossed the previous high of 90.3 to 91.2, which is near the upper edge of the adjustment range said before, the price fell as scheduled, was supported at 89.2, 91 short orders gained more than 10 points last week, and rebounded to 90.4 after being supported. The last line was pulled in at 90.2, and the day line recorded a small Yang of a long shadow line.
The crude oil adjustment level now comes to the 4-hour level, the adjustment range is 91.3 to 88.4, because the adjustment level has just been expanded from the 1-hour level to the 4-hour level, and it is still much lower in this range today.
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Crude Oil: Today’s Strategy Advice!
The top of crude oil is empty near 92-92.3, and the defense is 93.5, and the target is around 90 and 89.5. The bottom is long near 89.5-90, and the defense is 88.5, and the target is around 89.2-88.7. Specifically, wait for the real-time strategy to update the entry point, and you need to follow up offline. Friends who do not follow up in real time may make operational mistakes. You can join the group to pay attention to the latest news and follow market trends in real time. Strategies are subject to change at any time.
Crude oil: short at high points
Crude oil fell first and did not give short-selling opportunities. Then short-selling can only be considered when it goes up to the support line. The short-selling opportunities in the 90.8-91.6 area were also prompted in the roadshow and in the group (as shown below). . With the sharp counterattack of crude oil, bulls began to save themselves, but eventually gave up most of the gains. At present, oil prices have fallen into short-term shocks, and bulls and bears are expected to compete here. Crude oil is expected to rebound, so it will fall back first and wait for the counter-draw. , as to whether this is a reversal topping stage or a rise relay, currently I personally prefer the first.
The main reason for the rebound in crude oil is that the overall upward trend of wave 3 has most likely ended. Starting from the high point of 92.41, there is a high probability that it will enter the mid-term 4-wave adjustment. The specific breakdown is in wave 4 A of it. Crude oil pressure 90.85~91.45,
USOIL:Trading strategy
Oil is the same as I predicted yesterday. Today, it fell directly and broke through the support point, but Russia suddenly announced a ban on the export of gasoline and diesel, causing oil to rise again. Now the trend of oil has become blurred.
Now we can only observe the resistance and support points of the range
The range is 88.9-91.1
So we can trade in the range.
Strictly set the stop loss and wait for the trend to become clear
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USOIL: Today's operation plan
Crude oil on Wednesday morning: At present, crude oil is the daily low of 89.8 line, whether the bears begin to force or a false shot to see today to verify, so first maintain the range of 89.3-91.8.
Today's operation suggestion:
Rally to 90.6-91 short;
Retracting to 89.3 Try a long light position.
USOIL: Crude oil analysis and layout
Crude oil last week unilateral strong pull up, is currently in high volatility, this wave is still not over, is still a callback to do more, four-hour chart, last week fell back to the mid-track quickly pull up, back just to prepare for the rise, this week is still open at a high level, the current volatility around 91.3, intra-day focus on important support level 89.5/90.3, This position is also the support point of the rail in the four-hour chart, and the position of the tail plate can be more!
Specific layout:
USOIL:BUY@89.5-90.3 TP 92.0
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Crude oil: trend analysis continues to push back more
Although we are currently at the end of a phased rise in crude oil, the bulls are still very strong and continue to hit new highs. Therefore, we still maintain a bullish and long thinking before the necessary turning signal appears. The only thing that needs to be paid attention to is the number of each transaction. Risk control must be strictly implemented to prevent emergencies from occurring. Still looking for opportunities to continue trading lower during the day.
The main reason why crude oil is bullish is that the upward trend of wave 3 and wave 5 is still continuing, and there is still a slight retracement on the way, and it is still bullish. It has now entered the final peak moment of wave 3 of wave 5-5. Crude oil pressure 91.30~92.10, support 91.4
Directly empty, ready to plummet to the 80 line
Crude oil is about to plummet to the 80line, if you have any questions, come to me, it is so domineering
Crude oil’s daily line is obviously in the trend of multiple tops, at least a quadruple top. Every time it rushes to around 82, and then is suppressed strongly. At the same time, there is a waterfall downward, and the Bollinger Bands have closed. already empty