27 crude oil market analysis, rise or fall today?The crude oil market is currently at a crossroads, balancing geopolitical tensions in the Middle East with economic factors and policy speculation.
Although oil prices fell in early Asian trading on Wednesday, they surged more than 2% earlier this week to reach their highest level this month. Inventory reports further affected the market outlook. Forecasts show U.S. crude inventories will fall by 2.6 million barrels, while distillate and gasoline inventories are expected to rise. These insights provided by the American Petroleum Institute (API) and the Energy Information Administration (EIA) are critical for traders to gauge supply levels. Yesterday (December 26) crude oil closed up. Last week, the weekly closed positive for the second week and rebounded. But whether it can continue is a question. Whether it continues to close positive this week or turns negative and falls back will determine the direction of the market outlook.
The 1-hour chart tested twice near 76 and was suppressed. Today we still need to pay attention to the pressure break at the high point. It is currently rebounding, but whether it can continue further requires breaking through the resistance of 76 to open up space. Below, focus on the two previous lows of 73.2 and 72.5. If they fall below, it means the end of this stage of the rise.
If you currently hold orders, you can send them to me and I will give reasonable suggestions based on the market conditions!
Usoilshort
Things to note when trading crude oil this week! Day analysiTraders this week must contend with both declining liquidity and potential tensions caused by Yemen's Houthi rebels. If the shipping crisis in the Red Sea region persists, it will not only provide some support for WTI crude oil prices this week, but also create opportunities for speculative buying.
Traders will need to be cautious about risk management this week due to the Christmas holiday. WTI crude oil bears may believe that there will be a high technical reversal, and they will also pay attention to Middle East shipping news.
Last week, the market fluctuated upward, and closed the positive line with a long upper and lower shadow line, indicating that the market was more volatile. However, the market is still running below the 20-day moving average, and the overall trend is still bearish. During the day, focus on the first-line pressure of $74 at the top and the first-line support of $72.0 at the bottom. At present, the technical indicators have completely turned bearish, and it is recommended to mainly go short on the rebound!
Oil operation suggestions for next weekAngola may increase oil production after it withdraws from OPEC. However, good news about the U.S. economy and attacks on ships in the Red Sea caused hundreds of ships to change routes and increase delivery costs, causing oil prices to fall before the Christmas holiday weekend. Although oil prices rose about 3% this week, crude oil prices still posted their largest weekly gain in two months.
Technically we see crude oil futures support at 72.5 and resistance at 75.3. This week, the 30-minute long and short trend has repeatedly appeared. Crude oil continued to fall before the close on Friday, and the short energy distribution continued to build up at $74 to suppress the market.
From a daily perspective, crude oil fell in late trading on Friday, and profit-taking before holidays is a very normal operation. Judging from the current technical indicators, it has completely turned short. It is recommended to focus on rebounding and shorting!
The specific direction will be decided after the market opens on Tuesday.
USOIL: The rise is blocked and will fall in the short termInternational oil prices rose. Originally affected by the increase in U.S. crude oil inventories, oil prices first rose and then fell. However, the risk of interruption of the Red Sea transportation channel still provided support for oil prices, helping to keep oil prices above the 21-day moving average.
Yesterday, the market rose first and then fell as expected, reaching the upper line of 75.40 and falling back. Despite this, oil prices finally closed higher. Government data showed that U.S. inventories increased significantly and production reached record levels, exacerbating continued concerns about oversupply. The U.S. market yesterday evening The second upward attack pierced 75.3, and then it fell back and fluctuated downward to break the bottom and close. The daily line closed higher and fell back. The overall price showed a stagflation pattern above the 75 mark. Today, we can go short first and then look at the shock and fall.
Bear Market
The free signal given to you today is the USOIL trading strategy, because there is EIA data today, and the data is as expected, which is favorable to the bears.
Because there has been no significant decline so far, we have only closed some orders, and there are still some holdings waiting for the market to go lower further to expand profits.
The 3h chart of gold is favorable for shorts, and 30m is testing the resistance level. I focus on shorting, with the purpose of trading the large-level trend. (Resistance 2038-2043, support 2029-2026)
USOIL: Bulls are about to start
With the EIA data today, the market is bound to experience significant fluctuations. From the current point of view, I think the probability of an upward trend is relatively high, so my trading strategy is to go long.
During this process, since the fluctuations will be very large, you must do a good job in risk management and never let your transactions bear too much risk.
Each of our transactions should involve small risks and large gains. Only such transactions will be long-lasting.
Analyzing the market is a complicated matter, but if you can master a method proficiently and get it verified, your trading will become simple.
I hope all my friends can profit from the market! good luck!
USOIL: 14/12 market analysis, plans to sellCrude oil (USOIL): Yesterday, crude oil broke through the 68 area, reaching the lowest position of 67.7. Today opened at 69.8, and the amplitude of five or six dollars in the morning was not too big. It broke below yesterday, but it did not stay too much. In the evening, the decline was gradually recovered, and the daily K closed a green line. There was only one explanation given, short correction, just like the previous two days. Only after correction can the short acceleration be ushered in more smoothly! Crude oil trading signal sent later
USOIL: Crude oil continues to sell at high prices on 11/12Crude oil (USOIL): Today opened at 71.1, the Asian market rose by 6 US dollars, the daily chart continued to rise, the upper pressure is in the area of 72.2-72.3, today we will first see whether the upper resistance is effective.
I will update the crude oil signal later
USOIL: 8/12 crude oil market analysisCrude oil (USOIL): Crude oil opened at 69.7 today and rose by 7 US dollars in the morning. Yesterday, we planned to go short near the daily pressure of 70. In the afternoon, it broke through the 70.4 line and stopped falling at the 68.8 line in the evening. We successfully made a profit, but It did not fall to my ideal point of 68, but has since rebounded and returned to the 70.4 line. At the end of today's weekly line, the market has been volatile, so we have to be on guard and be more prudent in our layout. The top focus will be on the 71.2 area. After the bullish sentiment in crude oil is released, it is time for us to take action! !
Crude oil trading strategy on December 7
Yesterday, the market rose first and then fell in the evening. It once reached the 69.10 line below and is still rebounding slightly. Now there is a desperate counterattack signal at the 69.10 line. It is expected that a rebound is about to happen. It depends on the strength of the short-term rebound. The short-term general direction remains unchanged. In the short term, we will continue to short on rallies. Specific suggestions are as follows:
Crude oil 72.60 and 74.60 are short respectively, with stop loss of 70 points and take profit of 300 points;
Crude oil is long at 69.20 and 66.30 respectively, with a stop loss of 70 points and a profit stop of 500 points.
USOIL: How does crude oil trade today? ↓Crude oil (USOIL): Crude oil broke the bottom yesterday and stopped at 69.1. It opened at 69.2 today and rebounded at 69.8 in the morning. The trend is not much different from the morning trading of the previous two days, and the trend continues to be bearish! The Japanese K has fallen for five consecutive times, and the short sellers have almost reached the bottom. If the 68 position below cannot be supported anymore, the short sellers will continue to attack 63. However, at the current position, we have to be wary of the bulls’ counterattack. After all, the current position has also reached the daily line. support! Today, the top will focus on the 70.1/70.2 area, and the bottom will first look at the 68 break.
No bullish sign
Crude oil fell below 70, with no bullish signals in the short to medium term. Oil prices have continued to fall since the second rebound in late October failed, and eventually formed a downward trend. Oil prices have hit the August low of 77.80. Oil prices showed a minor shock pattern around the lows, forming a flag relay pattern. Oil prices successfully fell below the lower edge of the flag pattern.
Overall, oil prices have been weak, facing pressure from a variety of sources, including oversupply, doubts about planned production cuts, global economic uncertainty and weak gasoline demand. Investors will pay close attention to market dynamics to obtain signals on the future trend of oil prices. The focus this week will be Friday’s U.S. non-farm payrolls data.
Oil prices are currently bearish, pay attention to 71.5 above.
USOIL is heading Lower and lower (~67$)Hello Traders
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USOIL: Crude oil analysis today, continues to fallCrude oil (USOIL/XTIUSD): Yesterday, crude oil entered the market as planned and harvested profits, reaching a perfect position of 72.2, with a profit of 140pips. Today it opened at 72.1, rising by 5 US dollars in the morning and then falling back, similar to the trend of the previous two days. The bulls resisted tenaciously in the morning. Although there is strong support at the low level to resist the decline, the downward trend remains unchanged. The focus is on the 72.9/73.4 position at the top today. With the strength of the shorts, we are firmly bearish on the acceleration of the bottom break!
Signals will be sent in real time
USOIL: 5/12 Today’s Trading StrategyCrude oil (USOIL): Crude oil opened at 73.3 today. It was volatile in the morning and the market was running slowly. Yesterday’s crude oil was long and short in shock, and the range also had an amplitude of 20 US dollars. However, the overall trend was still suppressed by the pressure from above and could not break through. The bulls were not to be outdone. , which has resulted in the current volatile situation, but the general trend is still there, so we can just continue to take advantage of the trend and go short! ! The daily K-continuous negative trend went very smoothly, and new pressure formed yesterday above, so today we will focus on the pressure of 73.6-73.7! !
USOIL SELL:73.6~73.7
SL:74.3
TP1:73
TP2:72.6
TP3:72.2
Since the quotes from brokers are different, please refer to Tradingvew’s quotes.
XAUUSD/USOIL:The bear is about to fight back
After this sharp rise, the 1h chart once again showed a top divergence, with supports located at 2039, 2031, and 2023. The market is very close to the high of 2076, so long transactions should be cautious. My trading today will be mainly short positions.
At the same time, some will be reserved for waiting around 2020. If your account has enough margin, you can also do this.
In addition, there is EIA data today, which has a high probability of being negative for OIL. If you want to participate in this data market, you can consider shorting. Since the data market is highly volatile, I hope everyone can control risks during the transaction to ensure the safety of the account!
good luck!
USOIL: Oil prices rose sharply due to a storm in the Black Sea Oil prices soared as storms in the Black Sea region disrupted oil exports from Kazakhstan and Russia, raising concerns about tight supply as investors awaited a major OPEC+ decision.
Severe storms in the Black Sea region have disrupted oil exports of up to 2 million barrels a day from Kazakhstan and Russia, state and port authorities said. The Ministry of Energy announced that Kazakhstan's largest oil field will see a 56% decline in total daily oil production by November 27.
Hiroyuki Kikukawa, president of NS Trading, a division of Nissan Securities, said:
“Investors are locking up short positions ahead of the OPEC+ meeting amid concerns about supply disruptions from Kazakhstan.”
“Attention is focused on OPEC+ policy and demand outlook for the second half of this year, and unless OPEC+ makes significant production adjustments, WTI is expected to remain around $76 in the short term and fluctuate above and below $5. .”
OPEC+ is scheduled to hold an online ministerial meeting on Thursday to discuss production targets for 2024, after postponing its Nov. 26 meeting. Four OPEC+ officials said negotiations would be difficult and there was a possibility of an extension of the previous agreement rather than deeper production cuts. A weak dollar and a decline in US crude oil inventories also supported crude oil prices. The dollar fell near a three-month low as market expectations grew that the Federal Reserve could start cutting interest rates early next year. Meanwhile, U.S. crude oil inventories fell by 817,000 barrels last week, market sources said, citing data from the American Petroleum Institute. On average, eight analysts polled by Reuters expected oil inventories to fall by about 900,000 barrels in the week ending Nov. 24. The US government's weekly oil inventory statistics will be released this evening.
Usoil:What exactly is OPEC+ going to do?
I reminded yesterday that oil fell rapidly because of the postponement of the OPEC+ meeting, but the final time was set to be held again on November 30, so oil prices began to rebound yesterday.
As can be seen from the chart, the trend of oil after the rebound is relatively weak, and today it did not break through the point where it started to fall at 77 yesterday.
So today you can still choose to sell below 77. If you break through 77.2, you need to re-observe. As long as you strictly set the stop loss and follow my trading, your success rate will be greatly increased.
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USOIL (CRUDE OIL ) SELL ON REJECTION HELLO TRADERS !!!
As i can see CRUDE OIL 🛢️
The anticipated OPEC+ meeting set for this weekend to a postponement to Nov 30th. The delay stemmed from challenging discussion between Saudi's and fellow members regarding oil production levels....
Saudi Arabia currently implements an additional 1 Million barrel per day output cut since July engaged in talks without specifying the cause for the delay....
Recently weeks have seen oil prices fluctuate amir signs of expending supply.....
CRUDE OIL 🛢️ INVENTORIES ROSE 8.70 MILLION BARREL
while this presents another bearish factor 🔥
and technically it is showing us a rejection here on a fake breakout of trend line so we planing for these design TP and expected more fall in USOil its just an trade idea do a proper analysis before trade on ur real account share ur trade idea with us it will help alote the trader community
US Crude OIL 4H : DESCENDING CHANNEL US Crude Oil
New forecast
The price of oil continued the upward push to reach the top of the descending channel and test the resistance of the descending channel at 77.20. We expect the price to continue to decline as long as it trades within the descending channel to visit the 74.41 level as a negative target and extend towards the 72.90 level again.
Therefore the downward scenario will be remain as long as price trade at the bearish channel and moving average 50 still support the price to decline , taking into account that stabilized above 78.83 will force the price to get out of the descending channel and will start a positive trades .
The expected trading range for today is between support 74.41 and resistance 78.83 .
Be careful because of the war between Palestine and Israel, we may witness unexpected movements .
support line : 74.41 , 72.90
resistance line : 78.00 , 78.83
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