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Usequities

Bearish DIv on the DJIThe market is extremely overheated, overbought, and is reaching a peak. US equities have been going up since March '20 and some traders are worried about a looming depression. The concern is valid. The government keeps printing money, spending money, raising the debt ceiling, COVID is STILL spreading, CDC changing guidance, tapering, interest rates, etc! YA-da-ya-da. IT feels like there are so many moving parts - how do you make sense of them? You just look at the charts and cut out the noise! After further review, the stock market is going to crash, it is just a matter of when and why. I believe the catalyst will be a news event that causes a massive sell-off, then, a dead cat bounce, followed by risk off event that sends US equities in a multiyear depression. Looking at the yearly chart of the $DJI from 1987-2021. There is massive bearish divergence there. There is even bearish divergence from '87-'21 on the RSI! EVERYTHING is overbought. COVID accelerated the transition to digitization and increased people's dependence on the internet. People are saving way more now too which is why the velocity of money has decreased... people are buying assets, houses, gold, and bitcoin. People are waking up and realizing that the US government has been debasing our currency since 1970. And they will continue to do so! People want to own assets, people want to save, people want to be protected from inflation. Robinhood helped democratize trading and access to the stock market and retail has played an increasingly important role in the market. I believe the market is set to crash next summer and that there will be a multiyear depression. Hyperinflation or stagflation seem to be the most likely scenarios as well. Runaway inflation will be the story. Biden's administration will be the scapegoat. Because let's be honest, every president is only concerned about one thing: getting RE-ELECTED. They don't care how much money they have to print, how much money they have to raise or how much debt they have to finance. Every politician, from Reagan, to Bush, to Obama to Biden, has continued to destroy the US currency. It will be no different with next president we "elect". In other words, Biden's administration is scapegoat for all of Washington and every state actor who has a role in fiscal and monetary policy. The market is overvalued, propped up by fear and a QE, and is facing a whirlwind of negatives to start 2022. The companies that survive this multiyear depression, will come out twice as strong. HODL. Buy Bitcoin. Best of Luck,
TVC:DJI
by TheJonesPortfolio-100T
5
US Micro-Cap Breaking Out?Here in this position, it is clear that intensive work has gone into supporting the entire global recovery. Moreover, we could already count the resilience in credit as ideal results from the covid siege. But now I want to focus on the US and small caps in particular are getting to work and the advance is leading to a more palpable exhaustion leg and opening some of the wildest trades for 2022 and beyond. You can see this is not the same position in China or Hong Kong. In the short and immediate term, we are witnessing capital rushing to park in US assets as the ONLY alternative. The pressure to park capital in 'safe assets' which are not threatened by the nanny state in the Far-East, Middle-East, Russia and now to a lesser extent Europe while it remains hijacked via Schwab. This more or less exhausts the options that we have and has clearly pinned both the Hang Seng and Shanghai Comp: Sure the "migration of capital" from East to West is underway but the threat of US losing its hegemony is a multi-decade process. I will be looking to fade the highs in US Microcaps from October time to ride profit taking into Q1 2022 before we start chapter two. Interested to gage the interest levels for ETFs here, if there is enough we can start to establish some levels, calls, and invalidation zones for IWC together in the comments.
AMEX:IWCLong
by ridethepig
1
US DOLLAR INDEX WILL BE BEARISHLast week I said that DXY will go bearish due to the fact that it was printing the same structure that was printed before. Because of this identical shapes, I mentioned that DXY will fall, repeating the same move that it made before. Unfortunately, we experienced a fake breakout that touched our SL. It should not yet be dismissed that this move will not unfold. After the breakout of the monthly high, we saw price closing below the high on Friday. For me, this is a sign that, that was just a fake-out and the coming week we might see price dropping. Traders, if you are trading this, I do really encourage to go in it softly, with reduced risks. Do not forget to show support with a LIKE, FOLLOW and Comment if you enjoy my contents.
TVC:DXYShort
by Forexintelligence_NA
4
4 June: US30 bearish play is coming Technicals: Price is testing the resistance zone, which is also in line with the fibonacci confluence area found. In terms of market structure, prices broke below the market structure and we could see further downside here. Take profit target would be based off the -27% and -61.8% retracement that was taken from the last move. Fundamentals: Market risk sentiment leans towards a more risk off session on Friday's as investors await US NFP data due later today. A better than expected reading could see the Dollar edge higher, while putting downward pressure on US equities as investors anticipate a shift in the Fed's dovish stance and tapering of bond purchases ahead of expectations. Recent ADP report recorded the highest number of jobs added in the US in 11 months and record service-sector growth and the dollar strengthens after the Fed announced on Wednesday of plans to begin unwinding corporate bond holdings acquired last year through an emergency lending credit facility gradually to minimise any potential impact on the markets.
OANDA:US30USDShort
by T3-Consultancy
Are you prepared for the END OF WAVE 5 in US Equities?If you have not been paying attention, get ready for some real volatility and big rotations/reversions in the markets. It is time to put on your BIG BOY/GIRL pants because the markets just exited a simple upside trend bias and entered CHAOS with a new downtrend setting up. If you don't know what to do, then you better start paying attention. This downtrend may last until 2025 or so and could extend a deep correction in the SPX500 to levels near $2200. Don't play a fool with this new trend. I'm warning you right now - this one could be very violent and wicked.
FX:SPX500Short
by BradMatheny
7
S&P 500 POSSIBLE NEW ATHShalom Wadu Community, In this Video we went over the UNEXPECTED BULLISHNESS that we have experienced within this past 2 weeks on this market. We Bounced up at Weekly support much higher than expected bringing us to the conclusion, it is likely possible we can see a NEW ATH on the S&P. There is a Valid Buy Setup Support at/around 3430-3440. In addition, we also talk about the Monthly Fibbonacci Retracement Levels (38, 50, 61) where we can expect S&P 500 to move down to when the time is right!
OANDA:SPX500USD
by DinoAlpacino