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DJ FXCM Index

GBPUSD Rebound expected but bearish overallThe GBPUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down (dotted) since the March 08 2024 High, which can be considered a Lower High on a potentially emerging (dashed) Channel Down. At the same time, the downside on the long-term is limited by a Higher Lows trend-line that was initiated on the March 08 2023 Low. We will formulate our strategy accordingly. On the short-term we expect a rebound towards the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level (such as the August 30 2023 High), targeting 1.2570. On the medium-term, we will stick to the (dotted) Channel Down, targeting the Higher Lows trend-line at 1.2300, which is also above the 0.786 Fib (the October 03 2023 Low hit it marginally). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
US30 HEAD AND SHOULER??Simple trading - Head and shoulders Us30 has broken the neck-line of the Head and shoulder pattern on the 4hr. US30 is bullish on the higher time frames so always be ready for a pullback to the upside. Looking at the daily chart to see if the price will retest previous support and turn resistance. Due to the lack of bullish momentum on the smaller timeframes, I would NOT advise taking a buy trade to previous support as the market is making lower highs and lower lows. This clearly indicates that the bears are in control. At any moment the price could drop and you do not want to be caught in that. Be patient and wait for the price to play out. Look to take a sell positions in the short term at respectable levels
FX:US30Short
by nikdobii
Usd clearly break up, could pullback this weekHello fellow traders , my regular and new friends! Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post. On the backdrop of the CPI data hinting that inflation is still hot, FED kicked the interest cut ball lower down the street ( later than Jun, i believe). Therefore the strength in USD i guess. Majors capitulated. Watch for some bounce if u want to long pairs like EU GU for a quick run. But likely overall is a short majors for me ( e.g. EU GU) Do check out my stream video for the week to have more explanation in place. Do Like and Boost if you have learnt something and enjoyed the content, thank you! -- Get the right tools and an experienced Guide, you WILL navigate your way out of this "Dangerous Jungle"! -- ********************************************************************* Disclaimers: The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes. *********************************************************************
TVC:DXYLong
by Shadowing_The_Big_Boys
The USD in a ConundrumThe USD at the start of the year was trading near the 100 lvl but has managed to push above the 106 lvl in a little over a few months. If price is able to break out of the 107 lvl, there isn't to many resistances for the USD to break (the 108 could be one) and price might be able to hit the 114 lvl made in 2022. With the CPI data coming in a little higher then expected and traders/investors/analysts speculating that the FED will likely hold off on reducing rates (currently, FED Rate Monitoring tool is showing a 71.7% chance of FED holding rates), the elections coming up, conflicts in the Middle East/Europe/Asia, continued government spending (which keeps increasing), not enough government revenue which leads to more borrowing, this puts the FED between a rock and a hard place. Will the FED continue to hold rates and potentially push the economy to a recession (and a real one not one that did happen but supposedly didn't happen, back in 2022 Q1/Q2) or continue on with lowering rates, keep the economy going and potentially cause inflation to spike? Either way it is No Bueno. What is interesting is how commodities such as Gold/Silver/Oil are pushing up higher while the USD pushes up higher. These products are typical non correlated to each other, yet, currently they are. The USD shot up to 106. Silver from the start of the year pushed up from near 22 to now coming close to hitting 30 before pulling back to below 28. Gold pushed lower to below 2,000 in the beginning of February and pushed above 2,440 before pulling back to 2,360. Oil began near 70 and is trading above 85. So, when things return to the mean (non correlated), either the USD will take a hit or commodities will. The main things is how much of a hit will happen. Risk assets such as the stock market are finally taking a hit as the market just kept climbing and climbing, with the DJ Futures Market pushing past 40k and finally being cracked in the beginning of April. I am thinking that the USD might be able to hit the 108 lvl as other Central Banks are holding onto rates (just recently the ECB stuck to holding rates). If the FED holds onto current rates and other banks decide to reduce rates, the USD will skyrocket higher. If other banks decide to keep holding rates while the FED does, it will likely be whose economy can withstand the higher rates the longest. Protect yourselves with either reducing position sizing to withstand a large move, hedge, or do not be in a trade and see if price moves how you are speculating it. I have no position on the USD or in Forex itself (I'm tied up in other trades), but I am watching this because it is part of the plan I have when my other positions in other trades are completed. Y'all have some great trading out there.
INDEX:DXYLong
by DollarSaenz
USDJPY: Back to 1990's 🇺🇸🇯🇵 152.0 key horizontal resistance kept absorbing bullish pressure for almost 2 years. This week, with the release of CPI data, that structure was broken and the market set a new very important higher high. The next historical structure that we can find is based on the price action in 1990th. 159.0 - 160.0 resistance cluster is the next, closest key resistance. A recent bullish breakout opens a potential for a further bullish continuation to that psychological structure. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Long
by VasilyTrader
3
USDJPY Top of Channel Up. Sell signal.The USDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the July 14 2023 Low on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). Currently it is about to exhaust the 2nd Bullish Leg of this Channel as it approaches its top (Higher Highs trend-line). It begun with a Low on the 1W MA50 (red trend-line) and then a Higher Low on the 1D MA200. With the 1D RSI overbought for the first time since July 05 2023, we are turning bearish on USDJPY after a long time but only for the short-term. Our target is 146.500 (Support 1). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
1
DXY Uptrend entering its final phase.The U.S. Dollar Index (DXY) hit the first out of our two bullish targets (January 24, see chart below), and despite a minor divergence, remains well within our pattern: That is the 2nd Bullish Leg of the long-term Channel Up pattern. We are past a 1D Golden Cross with the short-term pull-back finding support on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The last 1D Golden Cross was on September 20 2023 and it gave one last rally before forming a Higher High just below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension and completing a +7.85% rise from the Low. Symmetry plays a key role on this pattern, so we will pursue our final 108.500 Target whih is exactly at +7.85% from the Higher Low and marginally below the 1.236 Fib. An additional indicator that can tell us when to sell could be the 1D MACD. If it hits the Resistance Zone and then forms a Bearish with the price in decline, then consider it an early sell signal. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
TVC:DXYLong
by TradingShot
Dollar Index (DXY): Multiple Time Frame Analysis & Plan 💵 After a breakout of a key daily structure resistance yesterday, Dollar Index is consolidating within a horizontal range on an hourly time frame. For those, who are looking for an intraday signal to buy, a bullish violation of the resistance of the range - an hourly candle close above 105.32, will give a strong bullish confirmation. A bullish continuation will be expected at least to 105.6 level then. ❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
TVC:DXYLong
by VasilyTrader
1
USDCNY Above the 1D MA200 and looking bullish as ever.The USDCNY pair gave us an excellent sell opportunity on October 02 2023 (see chart below), as it stayed below Resistance 1 and hit our 7.1225 Target: The price has since started to rise after hitting the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the long-term Rising Wedge, and now sits above the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), past a 1D MA50/100 Bullish Cross. We expect a slow and steady extension of this rise, targeting 7.3500 (Resistance 2). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
USDINR Sell opportunity to the 1D MA50The USDINR pair made a direct hit on our 82.700 Target, which we set on our last analysis (January 10, see chart below): Right now we see the price pulling back within a Channel Down. This is a standard pattern within the long-term Rising Wedge pattern, which as you see out of 7 Bearish Legs all broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and only 1 managed to make just a hit-and-rebound. As a result we are going for a moderate sell Target at 83.100 and then we will reverse to buying, targeting Resistance 1 at 83.700. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot