US DOLLAR INDEX (DXY) Expecting a BULLISH Move This WeekLooking for an Internal to External move this week.
Price is currently in a a +FVG, showing respect, and Friday's candle shows momentum towards the high of the previous week, which is the draw on liquidity.
Watch for the short term down move before the move up. Wed's opposing candle should act as support, and send price the other way.
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DJ FXCM Index
EURUSD Short-term Bull Flag targeting top of Channel Down.EURUSD held the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) as Support both today and on Friday and is rebounding. This is a short-term Bull Flag within the 4-month Channel Down pattern that is targeting its top (Lower Highs trend-line).
As per the previous Bullish Leg of the Channel, we are targeting the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level at 1.08300.
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USDMXN Strong sell opportunity on the 1D MA200.The USDMXN pair gave us a strong sell signal last time we looked at it (February 19, see chart below):
Now a new sell opportunity has emerged as it got rejected heavily at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 2-year Bearish Megaphone pattern and is now trading mostly below the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line).
According to the RSI fractal, this price action is similar to the December 2022 consolidation that kickstarted a heavy decline with first stop the -0.382 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we turn bearish again, targeting 15.7500 (just above the -0.382 Fib).
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🧑🎓 GPB/USD ANALYSE 📈 I UPDATED MORE READ THE CAPTION?By Wolrd Forex Traders Hello 👋
" GBPUSD Market Analysis 💡📊👀
3H Time Frame Chart 📈🕒
_Bullish Signal 🚀👍_
We're seeing a potential long opportunity in the GBPUSD market, with a current price of 1.25376. Our target is 1.27087, which is a key resistance level. A breakout above this level could lead to a significant price increase 📈💸!
_Analysis 🤔📊_
The 3H time frame chart shows a bullish trend, with a series of higher highs and higher lows. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is also indicating a bullish signal, with a reading of . The Moving Averages are aligned, providing additional confirmation for a long position 💪📈.
_Trade Strategy 💰📈_
Buy: 1.25376 (long)
Target: 1.27087 (next resistance level)
Stop Loss: 1.24650 (bullish warning) ⚠️🚨
Note: This analysis is based on a 3H time frame chart and is subject to market changes and fluctuations. Always use proper risk management techniques and consult with a financial advisor if necessary.
Follow me for more market insights and analysis! #GBPUSD #forex #tradingview #bullish #marketanalysis #trading #finance #investing"
USDJPY: Why It Dropped? 🇺🇸🇯🇵
This morning, USDJPY dropped by more than 500 pips this morning.
If you are looking for a reason why it happened,
remember that historical structure always leaves clues.
The price perfectly respected a historic structure of 1990th.
Today, we see a perfect example how important are historical levels,
and how the market remembers the things that happened more than 30 years ago.
Learn key levels because that is the key for successful trading.
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USDJPY: Key Resistance Ahead 🇺🇸🇯🇵
This bullish rally on USDJPY is absolutely crazy.
This week, we saw an exceptional growth.
Analyzing the historical price action, I see
2 significant resistances ahead:
160.0 - 160.5 is the resistance based on a price action of 1990th.
164.1 - 164.5 is the resistance based on a price action of 1986th.
I believe that we may see a bearish reaction from one of those structures
and the price will stop growing there.
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AUDUSD in the first half of 2024A glimpse of the AUDUSD in the first half of 2024
Stay with me to get more analysis after following me by sharing with friends and leaving a comment.
According to my risk and capital management system, the risk of each trade is one percent per position.
What do you think about this analysis and other analyses?
What symbol would you like me to analyze for you?
USDRUB On the key 1W MA50 pivot. Trade accordingly.The USDRUB pair has bee trading within a Channel Up pattern for the past 5 months and yet again is testing the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). This is a highly important Support level as it has been tested 4 times in 2024 and held (even closed the 1W candles above it) on all occasions.
Naturally, as long as it holds, we remain bullish targeting 96.8000 (1.236 Fibonacci extension, which is where the February 23 2024 Higher High was priced. If it closes a candle below the 1W MA50, we will take a quick sell and target 89.9400 (Support 1).
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Lets' see how the PCE affects DXY TodayTVC:DXY EASYMARKETS:USXUSD EASYMARKETS:EURUSD EASYMARKETS:USDJPY
Disclaimer:
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF: Waiting For Breakout 🇺🇸🇨🇭 ]
USDCHF is trading in a strong bullish trend on a daily.
The price is currently testing a key horizontal resistance.
I am waiting for its breakout - a daily candle close above, to buy.
Bullish violation of the underlined blue are will give us a strong bullish signal
that will push the prices at least to 0.92 level
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USDSEK Sell signal on the 0.786 Fib.The USDSEK pair hit the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level of the previous Lower High of the long-term Channel Down and has immediately reacted with a rejection. This rejection is the ideal short-term sell entry for a 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test, which the current Bullish Leg hasn't tested since March 21 2024. Our Target is 10.6000.
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Dollar Index (DXY): Important Breakout 💵
As we discussed on the yesterday's live stream,
Dollar Index broke and closed below a key daily structure support
after a consolidation
Retesting the broken support, we see a positive bearish reaction to that.
It makes me think that the market will drop lower.
Next support - 105.2
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Sell XAUUSD Bearish PennantThe XAU/USD pair (spot gold) on the M30 timeframe presents a potential shorting opportunity due to the presence of a bearish flag pattern following a strong downward move.
Potential Short Trade :
Entry: Consider entering a short position (selling) below the broken support trendline of the flag after confirmation. Ideally, this would be around 2330 or lower if the price continues to decline.
Target Levels:
2272: This represents the height of the flag, measured from the flagpole (initial downtrend) to the top of the flag, projected downwards from the breakout point.
2240: This is a further extension of the downside target, based on the height of the flagpole.
Stop-Loss: Once the entry point is confirmed, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the flag, ideally with some buffer around 2340. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
Buy XAUUSD Channel BreakoutThe XAU/USD pair (spot gold) on the M30 timeframe presents a potential buying opportunity due to a recent upward breakout from a well-defined bullish channel pattern. This breakout suggests a shift in momentum towards the upside and a higher likelihood of further price increases in the coming hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a long position (buying) above the broken resistance level of the channel, ideally around 2320 after confirmation of the breakout. This offers an entry point close to the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bullish targets lie at the following points:
2373: This represents the height of the channel, measured from the channel's base (opposite trendline) to the breakout point, projected upwards from the breakout.
2410: This is a further extension of the upside target, based on the height of the recent price movement before the breakout.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below the broken resistance line of the channel, ideally around 2290. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back downwards.
Thank you.
EGP short in Jan2025Egyptian Pound seems to be stable till the end of 2024 then a potential fallout to be $0.01 which means a $1=100EGP by the first of the year 2025 , unless a US dollar funds could be pushed to the Egyptian economy from the gulf then the fallout for the Egyptian pound will be delayed and will sustain till Mar 2026 , another notice that the falling pivot points happens in Jan and Mars!
Sell USDCAD Head & Shoulder PatternUSD/CAD H1 Chart - Potential Short Entry Based on Head and Shoulders Pattern
The USD/CAD H1 chart might be presenting a shorting opportunity based on a possible Head and Shoulders pattern.
Pattern: Head and Shoulders (Bearish Reversal)
Description:
This pattern consists of three peaks: a left shoulder, a higher middle peak (head), and a right shoulder that is lower than the head.
A neckline is drawn connecting the swing lows before the left shoulder and the right shoulder.
If the price dips below the neckline (support level), it could signal a potential sell entry.
Profit Targets: Potential profit targets can be based on the height of the head (measured from the head to the neckline) projected downwards from the breakdown point. Technical indicators can also be used for profit targets.
Thank you.
EURUSD above the 4H MA50 after 2 weeks.The EURUSD pair broke above the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) today for the first time in almost 2 weeks (since April 10). Our long-term bearish Target (1.05500) is intact, as called on April 02 (see chart below):
The 4H MA50 test should be a rejection though as it has been done while the pair is forming a Bear Flag. That is similar to the February 12 test which resulted into one final drop on the bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) of the long-term Channel Down.
We expect a strong medium-term rebound after the price hits 1.05500 and our Target will be 1.0800, which is marginally below the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level, the mark that priced the March 08 (Lower) High.
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Mighty Dollar Roars Back: A Wake-Up Call for Global MarkeThe financial markets of 2024 have witnessed a surprising resurgence: the unwavering strength of the US dollar. After predictions of a decline at the year's outset, the greenback has defied expectations, surging over 4% according to the Bloomberg dollar index. This unexpected power play by the dollar serves as a stark wake-up call for investors around the globe, forcing a reassessment of global economic dynamics.
Several factors are fueling the dollar's dominance:
• Resilient US Economy: Contrary to forecasts of a slowdown, the US economy has displayed remarkable strength. Robust economic data, coupled with persistent inflation, has prompted the Federal Reserve to take a more hawkish stance. Rising interest rates in the US make dollar-denominated assets more attractive to investors, increasing demand for the currency.
• US Exceptionalism Narrative: The perception of the US as a safe haven in a world riddled with geopolitical uncertainties is bolstering the dollar's appeal. Geopolitical tensions, exemplified by the ongoing war in Ukraine, are driving investors towards reliable and stable economies. The relative stability of the US, compared to global turmoil, strengthens the dollar's position as a go-to currency during times of crisis.
• Sticky Inflation: The Federal Reserve's fight against inflation is another key driver of dollar strength. The Fed's commitment to raising interest rates, while potentially slowing economic growth, is seen as a necessary step to curb inflation. This hawkish stance stands in stark contrast to the dovish policies of central banks in other major economies, like the Bank of Japan (BOJ), which continues to maintain ultra-low interest rates. This divergence in monetary policy further strengthens the dollar's relative appeal.
The Ripple Effects
The resurgent dollar has significant ramifications for global markets:
• Currency Devaluation: A stronger dollar puts downward pressure on other currencies. This can make imports into the US cheaper but exports from the US more expensive, potentially impacting global trade dynamics. Emerging market economies, particularly those heavily reliant on foreign capital, could face currency depreciation and capital outflows.
• Equity Market Volatility: The rising dollar can create headwinds for equity markets outside the US. As the dollar strengthens, foreign investments become less attractive, potentially leading to capital repatriation and reduced liquidity in other markets. This could lead to increased volatility in global stock markets.
• Commodities Market Impact: A strong dollar generally translates to lower commodity prices. This is because most commodities are priced in US dollars, so a stronger dollar makes them relatively more expensive for holders of other currencies. This could impact countries heavily reliant on commodity exports.
The Road Ahead
The future trajectory of the dollar remains uncertain. The path of US interest rates, the evolution of global economic conditions, and the persistence of geopolitical tensions will all be crucial factors shaping the dollar's strength.
The current scenario presents both challenges and opportunities for investors. A strong dollar can create opportunities in US assets but necessitates careful portfolio diversification to mitigate currency risks. The evolving global landscape demands close monitoring and a nimble investment strategy to navigate the volatility.
The resurgent dollar serves as a potent reminder of the US economy's enduring strength and its role as a global anchor currency. As the world grapples with geopolitical and economic uncertainties, the dollar's reign is likely to continue for the foreseeable future, demanding a recalibration of global investment strategies.