7 Dimension Analysis For USDJPY 🕛 TOPDOWN - Navigating Breakouts and Corrections
Overview: This currency pair broke a 25-year resistance level last year, displaying a fakeout. This year, a robust flow confirms the breakout, with potential for a yearly closing above this level. There's also proximity to breaking a multi-year head and shoulders pattern, accompanied by substantial multi-year buy volume. On the monthly chart, a cup and handle formation is observed, potentially forming a twizzer top for a last pullback. The weekly chart indicates a pre-breakout buildup, with the last week's liquidity sweep candle hinting at further upward movement, especially given its location above the yearly CIP levels.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: Daily
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bullish
🟢 Structure Behavior/BoS: Break of Structure
🟢 Swing Move: Corrective, but a classic bullish pinbar signals the end of correction and a valid high. The upcoming FVG area may guide the final decision based on potential rejection.
🟢 Inducement: Done; the next unmitigated order block is crucial if prices decline further.
🟢 1st Pullback: Possibly deep; internal structure is bearish corrective. Noteworthy is the liquidity sweep indicating potential fakeouts or continuations on the buy side.
🟢 Resistance/Support Areas: Resistance, supply, and trendline broken, yet resistance is yet to be broken. Buildup and pre-breakout QC suggest cautious optimism.
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS
Reversal
Rounding Patterns, Double Top.
Consolidation
Rectangle signaling a bearish breakout.
Raising Wedge with bearish breakout.
Shakeout Continuation, favorable for bulls.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS
Key Observations:
Long wicks: Hammer at yearly CIP.
Momentum candles: Engulfing/Fakeout/FOMO favor bulls.
Inside: Narrow Range 4, anticipating breakout direction.
Tower top/bottom signals climax players favoring bullish FOMO.
3️⃣ Volume: Average volume observed, necessitating observation during corrections and cycles.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI:
🟢 Momentum State: Sideways yet.
🟢 Range Shift: From super bullish to sideways.
🟢 Divergence: Back-to-back bearish divergence suggests a potential correction.
🟢 Grandfather-Father-Son Entries: Strongest buy area post-correction.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 Middle Band Trend: Bullish; crossing for buy signals.
🟢 Headfake: Lower line head fake signifies a strong buy signal.
6️⃣ Strength - ROC Values: JPY is the weakest against all currencies currently.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: Two areas for buy consideration - Daily (144.555) and Hourly (149.49).
✅ Entry TF Structure:
☑️ Current Move:
✔ Support/Resistance Base:
☑️ Candles Behavior: RSC, Longwicks, Doji, Inside, Momentum.
☑️ FIB Trigger Event
☑️ Trend Line Breakout
☑️ Final Comments:
💡 Decision:
🚀 Entry:
✋ Stop Loss:
🎯 Take Profit: 2nd Exit if Internal Structure Changes, 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO.
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio:
🕛 Expected Duration:
SUMMARY: The analysis showcases a bullish scenario with a breakout from a significant resistance level. While corrections are anticipated, the structure remains bullish, with potential buy entries on both daily and hourly time frames. Divergence signals caution, and key candle patterns, volume analysis, and strength indicators contribute to a comprehensive strategy for navigating this intricate market situation.
I will update this idea further with coming market condition and also update all tp and stop level
Usdjpyforecast
USDJPY I Rejecting support and potential riseWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
USD/JPY 💱 Moving in the Path of Least Resistance UsdJpy heading into Q4 23' . Interesting time because the USD may be over-extended but is it? What is the call for Q4 here Kingpin USD. Little weary to Sell UJ just because it is nearing the highs of structure.. Very likely we could continue highertimeframe momentum because wicks get filled in momentum. Taking a moment to look to the left, we may observe 152 is a range that we can go fill as the market moves to the upside with momentum. The Monthly timeframe is pushing up into the close of the Yearly candle. Next target that may occur for Q1 2024 is 155. What're your thoughts about medium term UsdJpy?
UDS/JPY Falling to 146.000!? Double Top Reversal Signal CompleteUDS/JPY has a double top reversal signal on the Daily candles and a triple top on the 4HR candles with a massive gap to fill. This reversal signal happened at a key level, 152.00 which is the previous high from October 2022. As shown in my previous prediction, a short position is reasonable at this level. The double/triple top is the confirmation of that short, which increases the probability of profit significantly.
If there was a time to short in this bull channel, it would be now .
Key Points
1. Double Top Reversal Signal on the Daily Chart
2. Triple Top Reversal Signal on the 4HR Chart
3. Gap to bottom of the channel at 146.000
4. The lowest target price is the Previous Channel High of 145.000
5. RSI at 52.00, Plenty of room to fall and supports #1-4
You are solely responsible for your trades, trade at your own risk!
Let us know what you think in the comment section below!
UsdJpy off to the Races or 1 more Retest 🏎 UsdJpy increases this week despite significant retail imbalances from last week failing to take price lower with notable inlfation data. We may observe a move to go down now after jumping up with news release volatility from last week. Otherwise, UsdJpy is currently testing a Daily Resistance level for the first time. We may anticpate a move down early in the week but consequential upside movement laster in the week. The Monthly candle has confirmed an upside breakout to our next monthly zone at 158. We may observe initial retest of 148.71 once more before seeing more upisde movement.
USDJPY: The USD weakened without the catalyst of important econoIn the foreign exchange market, the U.S. dollar weakened, closing at the day's low, extending Tuesday's losses. Data: October building permit applications were higher than expected, but did not provide much support for the dollar. Sterling fell by nearly 40 pips following October's retail sales data, but then rebounded sharply as the US dollar weakened. The yen led the rise among major currencies at the close of trading.
USDJPY 4H: Support further decline USDJPY
New forecast
The price of the dollar pair against the yen fell to exceed the level of 149.41, and now it is trying to stabilize below it, the support level of 148.35, and stability below this level will confirm the continuation of the dominance of the downward trend in the immediate term, and the way is open to heading towards our next target at 147.87 and 146.98.
Therefore the downward scenario will be remain valid once stabilized under 148.35 level , taking into account that failure to stabilized under 148.35 level and reversed above 148.89 will support the price to rise up again and do a positive correction .
The expect range trading for today it will between resistance line 149.41 and support line 146.98.
support line : 147.87 , 146.98
resistance line : 148.89 , 149.41
Thank you for considering my analysis and perspective and If this post was useful to you , don't forget to subscribe and like ❤️
Bearish Outlook [USD/JPY] Unveiling Double Top PatternThe USD/JPY currency pair is currently presenting a compelling technical setup on the daily timeframe, marked by a double top pattern. This pattern is characterized by two distinct peaks in bullish momentum, both displaying notable similarities in terms of pips gained. The initial bullish move saw an approximate rise of 300 pips, followed by a second surge of around 270 pips.
Divergence Analysis:
Adding a layer of complexity to this analysis is the examination of the Dollar Index (DXY), where a potential divergence is observed when comparing the tops of the bullish momentums. This divergence in the DXY could provide additional confirmation for a reversal in the USD/JPY pair.
Key Institutional Level:
The institutional level of 149.000 emerges as a critical point in this analysis. If the price breaks below this level, a scenario unfolds where a retest of the 149.500 area becomes likely. This retest could serve as a key turning point, signifying a potential shift in market sentiment and the beginning of a downward trend.
4-Hour EMA200 as a Confirmatory Signal:
Zooming in on the 4-hour timeframe, the Exponential Moving Average (EMA) with a period of 200 is notably positioned above the price chart. This configuration often acts as a technical signal, indicating a potential reversal in the prevailing trend. In this case, the EMA200 above the price chart adds weight to the bearish outlook for USD/JPY.
Timing Entry on Lower Timeframes:
For traders looking to capitalize on this potential bearish move, attention to lower timeframes such as 1-hour or 30-minute charts becomes crucial. The ideal entry point, in this analysis, is anticipated in the vicinity of the 149.500 area. Monitoring these lower timeframes will allow for a more precise timing of the entry as the price approaches the identified level.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the technical analysis of USD/JPY reveals a confluence of signals pointing towards a bearish trend. The double top pattern, coupled with similarities in bullish momentums, a potential divergence in the DXY, and the significance of the 149.000 institutional level, all contribute to a comprehensive bearish argument. Traders are advised to stay vigilant, especially on lower timeframes, for a confirmed entry opportunity around the 149.500 area, with the 4-hour EMA200 serving as an additional confirmation signal for the anticipated reversal.
USDJPY: It cannot be said with certainty that a weak JPY has a nBank of Japan Governor Ueda said:
It cannot be said that the weak yen will have a negative impact on the Japanese economy.
A weaker yen promotes domestic inflation due to higher import costs.
Weak yen has a positive impact on exports and profits of Japanese companies globally
We do not comment on exchange rate fluctuations
As we get closer to our inflation target, we will be discussing exit strategies and outlooks, including ETF purchases.
The Bank of Japan has no concrete plans to sell ETFs.
When we sell ETFs, we do so in a manner that minimizes market disruption and significant losses to the Bank of Japan's balance sheet.
USDJPY I Potential long from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
USDJPY: Comments on USDJPY on November 14Yomiru: Japan plans to reduce taxes for businesses that increase wages
A source from the Yomiuri website said that the Japanese Government is considering tax reductions for companies that increase wages by 8%.
The Japanese government wants to encourage wage increases as part of its fight to promote sustained and stable inflation.
If the wage increase is widely applied, it will create a premise for the BoJ's arguments around gradually reducing the level of monetary policy easing, thereby supporting JPY.
USD/JPY approaching historical resistance zoneDear traders, USD/JPY is approaching a historical resistance zone. There
could be a pullback from this level.
The area between 151.80-152.30 is a potential reversal zone as it happens
to be the confluence of both the channel resistance and horizontal resistance.
If there is bearish price action in this zone, traders can consider selling
USDJPY@151.80-152.30 with SL above 152.60 and TP at 146.50
USDJPY Long Term SELLING Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart USDJPY DAILY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today USDJPY analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (USDJPY market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on USDJPY Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
USDJPY: Asian foreign exchange market calms down, US dollar recoMost Asian currencies fluctuated in a narrow range on Wednesday, but the dollar pared recent gains after some Federal Reserve officials warned against betting the central bank would stop raising interest rates. Expanded.
This will focus attention on Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's upcoming speech as markets look for further signals on U.S. monetary policy.
Sentiment towards Asian markets remains subdued as traders remain nervous about hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve. Signs of continued weakness in China's economy also have traders wary of regional markets.
The Japanese yen fell 0.1%, remaining above 150 yen to the dollar, with dovish signals from the Bank of Japan and a strong dollar providing little support. The weak currency has traders bracing for possible foreign exchange market intervention by the Japanese government aimed at strengthening the yen. Japan's cabinet issued a series of verbal warnings against such moves in October.
Celebrate the Yen's Historic Low Against Euro and Dollar Picture this: the yen, once a mighty force in the currency market, is now presenting us with an incredible chance to capitalize on its current weakness. It's time to put on your trading hats and consider going long on the yen!
Now, you might be wondering, "Why should I care about the yen's historic low?" Well, my fellow traders, let me break it down for you. A weaker yen means that it takes more yen to purchase the same amount of euros or dollars. This situation can lead to potentially lucrative opportunities for those who are willing to take action.
Here's where the excitement builds up: by going long on the yen, you have the chance to profit from its potential recovery against the euro and the dollar. As the yen gradually strengthens, you can ride the wave and watch your profits grow. It's like catching a rising star in the currency sky!
So, how can you seize this golden opportunity? Here are a few steps to get you started:
1. Conduct thorough research: Dive into the current market trends, analyze historical data, and keep an eye on any relevant news or economic indicators that may impact the yen's future performance.
2. Develop a trading strategy: Craft a well-thought-out plan that aligns with your risk appetite and trading goals. Consider factors such as entry and exit points, stop-loss orders, and profit targets to maximize your potential gains.
3. Stay informed: Continuously monitor the market and stay updated on any developments that may affect the yen's trajectory. Being aware of market sentiment and adapting your strategy accordingly will help you stay ahead of the game.
4. Utilize risk management tools: Remember, trading involves risks. Implement risk management techniques such as setting appropriate position sizes, using stop-loss orders, and diversifying your portfolio to protect your investments.
5. Seize the moment: When you feel confident in your analysis and strategy, take action! Execute your trades and keep a close eye on the yen's performance to make timely adjustments if needed.
Remember, my fellow traders, fortune favors the bold! The yen's historic low against the euro and the dollar presents a unique opportunity for those who are willing to take action and ride the potential wave of yen appreciation. So, let's embrace this exciting moment and make the most of it!
USDJPY Take off??USDJPY, the double bottom pattern, might indicate a reversal of the previous downward trend. Traders often use the distance between the lowest low of the pattern and the resistance line to estimate a potential price target.
Based on this pattern, and major direction of trend, a projected target of 151 might be feasible. However, it's essential to apply technical analysis and consider other indicators to confirm the pattern and potential price target before making trading decisions.
USD/JPY Daily Analysis - The Pullback has Begun! Fall to 146.000USD/JPY has finally touched the previous high of 152.000 with a strong bull candle that we'll call a Bull Capitulation. Immediately after that price target was hit, we saw a series of bear bars falling to the 30EMA. We have now been above the 30EMA for 69 days and after touching a key price range, have a high probability of falling below down to the bottom of the bull channel at the 145.000-146.000 range.
Key Points:
1. We're in a Bull Channel which means we have a better chance of profit longing.
2. Previous High of 152.000 has been touched.
3. Bull Capitulation Candle on Oct 23.
4. DXY Strong Bear Signal Bar of the bottom of the bull channel.
5. JPXY Still at Risk of Bull Reversal, this week's candle may decide.
6. RSI has room to fall and while a weak indicator, supports the previous 5.
As always, trade at your own risk, you are responsible for your trades. I hope this analysis was insightful and useful.
Trade wisely and let us know what you think in the comment section below!
USDJPY Bears parade incoming! Weekly chart says it all.. the 2022 pattern is now repeating again for the USDJPY pair:
1- Top rejection
2- Bear Doji close
3- Waiting now for confirmaton: bear candle with body closing below previous and lower high
The volume seems to be lower this time so watch out for one last try to test the weekyl Top. Most likely will be rejected so thats a good point for a short!
USDJPY I Potential long from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!
USDJPY: Today's (November 3) USD exchange rate: Following the...The US dollar kept falling during the most recent trading session as traders gambled that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) had finished tightening its monetary policy and decided to hold interest rates steady.
As a result, the Fed resolved at its policy meeting in November to maintain current interest rates while assessing the financial landscape to gauge its capacity to contain inflation. Fed funds futures indicate that there is less than 20% likelihood that the Fed will raise interest rates in December, but investors continue to support the belief that US interest rates have peaked. Stocks have recovered as a result of that viewpoint increasing investors' risk appetite.
The dollar weakened 0.3% versus the Japanese yen to 150.44, retreating from this week's one-year high