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Usdjpyforecast

USDJPY I Wait for pullback to key level and bullish continuationWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
2
USD/JPY carving out an M-Top candle pattern - SHORT from 149.82USD/JPY has hit resistance at 150.38 and is retreating south. There's a clear M-Top candle pattern forming.This along with W-Bottom's are 2 of the most relaible candlestick patterns you should look for. If the price declines to 149.82 then this will be our entry SHORT. STOP is above the recent highs and take profit is the 200 EMA on H1 at 149.40 though as ever these STOPS and TP's are guidelines as all my trades are actively managed so these levels will frequently change. Note that we have potentially significant USD news at 13:30 GNP in less than an hour. US news this week has so far seen some large moves with many numbers missing by several percent. News at 13:00 is PPI which is usually a huge market mover but any large deviation from the expected 1% estimate will no doubt shift the USD. We also have Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment which isn't usually a huge mover but we must also rmember its Friday and in 3 hours or so traders will be leaving their desks so volumes will shrink and this can either lead to wild swings or sideways movement of price.
Short
by forextraplaces
USDJPY H1 / Short Trade Entry Alert! ✅💲Hello Traders! This is my idea related to USDJPY H1. I see a double reaction from the FVG H1 and I expect a continuation of a bearish market until the price of 149.500 where we have the OB level. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
Short
by GoodTradeST
2
USDJPY: The USD is stable in the context of the Fed cutting specThe yen showed resilience, up 0.23% against the dollar at 150.26, although Japan's GDP figures showed a larger-than-expected recession and Germany overtook Japan as the world's leading economic power. third largest economy in the world. Commonwealth Bank of Australia currency strategist points out that the technical recession in Japan has minimal impact on the dollar/yen exchange rate, with upcoming spring wage negotiations seen as has more influence on the policy direction of the Bank of Japan and the performance of the yen. The market is still considering the high possibility of BOJ raising interest rates in April, despite negative GDP data.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
USDJPY I Potential pullback and more growth Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** USDJPY Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Short
by BKTradingAcademy
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upExplore the latest market dynamics in our new video as we analyze the USD/JPY movement, surging over 0.90% to 148.05 following a robust US jobs report and elevated Treasury yields. The addition of 353K jobs in January has shifted Fed rate cut forecasts, reflecting a tightening labor market and bolstering confidence in the US economy. However, amidst this positive momentum, factors such as heightened conflicts in the Middle East are fostering cautious sentiment among investors. The Japanese Yen, drawing in some buying potential, cannot be overlooked. Additionally, the Bank of Japan's recent hawkish stance signals potential shifts away from extensive stimulus and negative short-term interest rates, potentially providing support to the Yen. As we navigate these intricate market dynamics, this video serves as your guide, offering insights on how to plan your positions strategically for the upcoming week. USDJPY Technical Analysis: As discussed in the video, the recent upward momentum is showing signs of easing, leaving room for a possible USD pullback. However, for a confirmed uptrend continuation, we need to see sustained trading above 148.500. Our detailed technical analysis focused on the current bullish market structure, with particular attention to the crucial level of 148.800, set as a pivotal point for the upcoming week. This level gains significance as a potential catalyst for a clear uptrend if buying pressure persists. The market's response to this level at the beginning of the new week will strongly influence the direction of price action in the days ahead. Join me in exploring potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Stay connected to my channel, follow updates, and actively participate in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you success as you navigate the USDJPY market this week! #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
USDJPY: The yen is at a 10-week low as the dollar rose for a fouThe Japanese yen remained near a 10-week low on Friday, with currency markets adjusting expectations around interest rate movements from global central banks. The yen traded slightly changed at 149.315 against the USD, after falling to 149.48 in the previous session, marking its lowest since November 27. Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida's comments on Thursday suggested the central bank is unwilling to raise interest rates quickly even after potentially ending its negative interest rate policy, which some Market participants predict it could happen as soon as next month. Despite careful monitoring of foreign exchange movements by Japanese Finance Minister Shunichi Suzuki, who reiterated that monetary policy decisions belong to the central bank, the yen did not show a significant reaction. The dollar index, a gauge against six major currencies, remained steady at 104.15. It rose 0.1% on Thursday after data showed resilience in the US labor market, dampening expectations of an imminent interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve. For the week, the dollar index was up 0.18%, boosted by strong monthly payrolls data last Friday and hawkish comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell in a "60" interview. minutes" aired on Sunday. Upcoming US economic data includes the Consumer Price Index (CPI) inflation report for January, which will be released on Tuesday. Traders have significantly reduced the odds of a rate cut at the Fed's March policy meeting to just 16.5%, down sharply from 65.9% a month ago, according to CME Group's FedWatch Tool .
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
Bullish or bearish signs build in USD/JPY? Bullish or bearish signs build in USD/JPY? The USD/JPY surpassed a crucial resistance level at 148.650 on Thursday and hit its highest value since November 2023. The obvious next step is of course to explore the 150.00 threshold. However, any incremental advance beyond this point should be eyed with caution and uncertainty. The Yen faced is facing pressure due to dovish remarks from Bank of Japan (BoJ) Deputy Governor Shinichi Uchida, where he emphasized a gradual approach to policy tightening. On the other side of the trade, unexpected selling pressure might find defence around 148.300. Further downturns below this technical support may bring attention to 147.800, followed by 146.00. Notably, economists at ANZ Bank anticipate a near-term recovery for the JPY against the USD, projecting the USD/JPY to trade within the range of 146 to 148.50. A substantial decline to 136.00 is then envisaged by the end of 2024.
by BlackBull_Markets
USDJPY: Fed Chairman Powell: An interest rate cut in March is unFed Chairman Powell participated withinside the American tv program "60 Minutes": With the economic system strong, we sense the want to take into account the timing of hobby price cuts carefully Confidence is rising, however we need to be even greater assured as we take the `very critical step' of beginning to reduce hobby rates Achieving desirable development on inflation An early selection can be made if exertions marketplace weak spot is mentioned or there's convincing proof that inflation is surely falling. An hobby price reduce in March is not going Inflation expectancies will hold to say no withinside the first 6 months of this yr because of essential impacts Expect the 12-month inflation index to say no this yr Most 19 policymakers see hobby price cuts this yr as appropriate We do now no longer convey politics into our selection making There isn't anyt any excessive opportunity of recession Do now no longer take into account business actual property loans because the purpose of the disaster as withinside the past China issues are not going to have an effect on the United States economic system, there'll likely be a few impacts, however they may now no longer be large Geopolitical danger is taken into consideration the largest short-time period danger, however for different areas of the arena it's miles even more than the United States
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
USD/JPY bulls eye a move to 150Trading conditions have been choppy over the past week and a half for currency traders whilst the US dollar index has remained trapped between its 50 and 20-day EMAs. But USD/JPY shows the most promise for a breakout, which we suspect could be to the upside. A false break below 147 last week suggests the corrective low could be in, and a 3-day bullish reversal (Morning Star pattern) hints of an upside breakout from its consolidation. The 10-day EMA is also providing support on the daily chart. From here, we're looking for dips within the bullish pattern and ideally for prices to hold above the 10-day EMA to initiate a long. Whilst prices remain above last week's low, the bias is for a move to the 149.58 - 150 zone.
Long
by CityIndex
USDJPY M30 / Bullish Move Forecast 💲Hello Traders! This is my idea related to USDJPY M30. I expect a continuation of the bullish trend and I will look for a long entry on USDJPY. We have a very strong bullish move and I want to see a retracement at the FIB 50% level. Traders, if you liked my idea or if you have a different vision related to this trade, write in the comments. I will be glad to see your perspective. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
Long
by GoodTradeST
USDJPY | Perspective for the new week | Follow-upThe Tokyo Consumer Price Index (CPI) for January witnessed a deceleration in Japan's national capital, dropping to 1.6% from the previous reading of 2.4%. This marks the first time in almost two years that consumer inflation has fallen below the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) 2.0% target. Additionally, the Core CPI (YoY) experienced a decline from 3.5% to 3.1%. The Bank of Japan's December meeting minutes shed light on the monetary policy outlook and Yield Curve Control (YCC). Members of the BoJ Board expressed a consensus in favor of "patiently maintaining an easy policy." Several emphasized the need to observe a positive wage inflation cycle before contemplating the cessation of negative rates and YCC. BoJ Governor Kazuo Ueda reaffirmed a strong commitment to achieving the 2.0% inflation target. His statements hinted at a potential gradual reduction of extensive stimulus measures in the future, aligning with the central bank's objectives for inflation and economic stability. On the flip side, the USD is experiencing a recovery driven by market adjustments in response to the Federal Reserve's (Fed) rate cut expectations. Despite soft Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) figures from the US in December, which didn't significantly impact market expectations on the upcoming Fed meeting, there is speculation about a delay in the easing cycle from March to May. However, the Fed's tone in the upcoming meeting could alter these expectations. Given these recent developments, how should we navigate the current market conditions? USDJPY Technical Analysis: As discussed in the video, the recent upward momentum is showing signs of easing, leaving room for a possible USD pullback. However, for a confirmed uptrend continuation, we need to see sustained trading above 148.800. Our detailed technical analysis focused on the current bullish market structure, with particular attention to the crucial level of 148.800, set as a pivotal point for the upcoming week. This level gains significance as a potential catalyst for a clear uptrend if buying pressure persists. The market's response to this level at the beginning of the new week will strongly influence the direction of price action in the days ahead. Join me in exploring potential trading opportunities using trendlines, key levels, and chart patterns. Stay connected to my channel, follow updates, and actively participate in the comment section as we navigate the dynamic USDJPY market together. Wishing you success as you navigate the USDJPY market this week! #USDJPY #technicalanalysis #tradingopportunities #inflation #monetarypolicy #Fed #interestrates #economicanalysis #Forextrading Disclaimer Notice: Please be aware that margin trading in the foreign exchange market, including commodity trading, CFDs, stocks, and other instruments, carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. The content of this speculative material, including all data, is provided by me for educational purposes only and to assist in making independent investment decisions. All information presented here is for reference purposes only, and I do not assume any responsibility for its accuracy. It is important that you carefully evaluate your investment experience, financial situation, investment objectives, and risk tolerance level. Before making any investment, it is advisable to consult with your independent financial advisor to assess the suitability of your circumstances. Please note that I cannot guarantee the accuracy of the information provided, and I am not liable for any loss or damage that may directly or indirectly result from the content or the receipt of any instructions or notifications associated with it. Remember that past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Keep this in mind while considering any investment opportunities.
by darcsherry
2
USDJPY The Dollar Looks UnstoppableHi Traders! USDJPY looks to be targeting the 150.000 psychological level long-term, as the US dollar currently looks unstoppable. The market is also about to break its bull flag formation. Here are the details: After consolidation in the bull flag pattern, we have now had huge bullish momentum, and the next target is the current yearly high at 148.808. The fundamental news also supports our bullish view. Earlier today, the NFP announcement came in at a staggering 353K, which was surprising and much better than the expected forecast of 187K. Traders will read this as massive strength for the US dollar. We are now looking for a break and a close above the yearly high at 148.808. Preferred Direction: Buy Technical Indicators: 20 EMA Please make sure to click on the like/boost button 🚀 as your support greatly helps. Trade safely and responsibly. BluetonaFX
Long
by BluetonaFX
USDJPY → Bull Trend Over! Short to 145.000? Short Answer, Yes!USDJPY completed its third leg up in this bull trend then failed to break the Resistance Zone on a second attempt, creating a double top reversal pattern. It followed by breaking the Bull Trend Support line. Should we short? How do we trade this? 🤔 We have three legs up, failed to break the Resistance Zone on the third leg, then a second attempt, followed by a strong close below the Bull Trend Support line, which is right on the 4HR 30EMA. This is an ideal time to short. Entering a 1:2 Risk/Reward trade with a 1:1 Take Profit target for half of my position. Once the first take profit is hit, the stop loss moves up to the entry price to lock in profits. The second half will be held to the second take profit of 145.515 or if there is a major reversal signal that is clear. This analysis works directly off my last one, reference here: 💡 Trade Idea 💡 Short Entry: 147.207 🟥 Stop Loss: 148.055 ✅ Take Profit #1: 146.355 ✅ Take Profit #2: 145.515 ⚖️ Risk/Reward Ratio: 1:2 🔑 Key Takeaways 🔑 1. Double Top Reversal after the third leg up in a bull channel 2. Near a Resistance Zone 3. Broke the Bull Trend Line 4. Gap to 4HR 200EMA and Support Zone 5. RSI at 38.00 and Below the Moving Average Supports a slight pullback and then fall. 💰 Trading Tip 💰 The longer a trend continues after 3 legs, the probability of that trend continuing lessens. Because of this decreased probability, we ought to reduce our risk when entering trades. ⚠️ Risk Warning! ⚠️ Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. You are solely responsible for your trades. Trade at your own risk! Like 👍 and Follow to learn more about: 1. Reading Price Action 2. Chart Analysis 3. Trade Management 4. Trading Psychology
Short
by TraderEngineering
1
USDJPY: The dollar was little changed before the European sessioVolatility among major currencies was relatively mild ahead of today's European session. The Australian dollar edged up slightly, building on yesterday's sharp recovery during the US session. Notably, AUD/USD bounced off the December low and 100-day moving average at 0.6525-30 but is now returning to its previous accumulation phase near 0.6600 USD/JPY fell to a more than two-week low and tested the 146.00 level yesterday. That comes after Treasury yields fell sharply again, which made things more complicated this week. There are no data of note on the economic calendar in Europe today. Thus, all focus and attention will be on the upcoming US employment report.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro