Retail Traders Poised for Yen Rebound - Consider Shorting USDJPYI am writing to bring to your immediate attention a critical development in the forex market that could present a significant trading opportunity.
As many of you are aware, the recent slide in the Japanese yen has been a point of concern. This depreciation has heightened the probability of Japan intervening in the market once more to stabilize its currency. Historical patterns suggest that such interventions can lead to rapid and substantial movements in the yen's value.
Currently, it appears that retail traders are reloading their bets in anticipation of a rebound in the yen. This collective action underscores a growing sentiment that the yen is poised for a recovery, potentially driven by governmental measures to curb its decline.
Given these circumstances, it may be prudent to consider positioning yourselves for this anticipated rebound. Specifically, shorting the USD/JPY could be a strategic move. By doing so, you could potentially capitalize on the yen's resurgence if Japan steps in to support its currency.
I urge you to review your portfolios and assess the potential benefits of shorting USD/JPY in light of the current market dynamics. As always, ensure that any trading decisions are made with careful consideration and risk management.
Stay vigilant and informed. The forex market is highly dynamic, and timely actions can make a significant difference.
Usdjpyanalysis
USDJPY ( NEW HISTORICAL PEAK ) ( 1D )USDJPY
HELLO TRADERS
for this week , the price attempt to create a new historical peaks
ENTRY POINT : the price is under bullish trend at 158.253 , the last week the price stable in buy zone , for this week it continues trade in buy zone and will attempt to create a new historical peaks , if breaking the entry point for any reason by open candle 1D below 158.253 active sell zone
ACTIVE BUY ZONE : for this week , if the price stable at 158.253 active buy zone , the price will attempt to reach resistance point 160.196 and 161.816 , it will be the creations of new historical peaks
ACTIVE SELL ZONE : if the price breaking entry point at 158.253 for any reason active sell zone , the price by open candle 1D below entry point reach a155.592 and 154.273 , stable this level reach 151.727
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
* Thank you , if you support this idea with your likes and comments , I hope you a profitable week 🤍
USDJPY keeps breaking recordsThe USD/JPY pair traded near a seven-week high above 158.00 during today's European session. The rally appears to have paused amid uncertainty over the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate path and the release of Japan's national Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May , will be announced on Friday.
Market expectations for the Fed to start cutting interest rates from its September meeting intensified after US Retail Sales data for May missed estimates. Monthly retail sales increased 0.1%, slower than expectations of 0.2%. The Retail Sales report also showed households cutting back on discretionary spending, suggesting weak purchasing power due to high inflationary interest rates.
At the Tokyo front, the Japanese Yen weakened despite the minutes of the Bank of Japan's (BoJ) June meeting showing that Governor Kazuo Ueda advocated raising interest rates earlier than expected. BoJ Ueda advocates further policy tightening due to rising inflation risks due to the weak Yen. Japan's exports have become competitive in global markets and import costs have increased, which could push price pressure higher.
This week, the main factor affecting the Japanese Yen will be the national CPI data. Annual national CPI excluding Fresh Food is expected to increase to 2.6% from 2.2% previously.
The pair will likely continue to increase by more than half with the expectation of the upper border at 159,600-160,200. At this point, it is necessary to have adjustment policies of the Japanese economy as the currency and economy become increasingly weaker.
USDJPY - Look for a long !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. I want price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
DeGRAM | USDJPY decline in the channelUSDJPY is moving in an ascending channel between the trend lines.
The chart has formed a pattern AB=CD.
The price has reached the resistance level, which has already acted as a reversal point.
We expect a decline.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
USDJPYUSDJPY analysis
Daily and weekly time frame
The trend of this currency is still upward in the weekly time frame, but it has decreased in the daily time frame. If the ceiling of the daily supply area is touched, the daily trend of this currency will be upward and we can still have higher goals for this currency pair. Support and resistance areas are marked on the chart.
USD/JPY continues to struggle ~158Over the past three days we have seen two false breaks above 158, both resulting with a daily shooting star reversal. The upper wicks also serve as a double top above 158, and with US economic data slowly souring, the case for a top on USD/JPY is building.
Prices have found support around the May high, and another crack at 158 would not come as a surprise. Yet given that the daily RSI (2) is overbought and has formed a bearish divergence on the 4-hour chart, and the highest volume of yesterday coincided with a large bearish bar, the bias remains to fade into rallies around 158 or Friday's high in anticipation of its next leg lower.
157.30, 157 and 156.60 are the next downside targets for bears to consider.
USD/JPY: Keeping an eye on false breaksOn Friday we saw USD/JPY failed to hold onto intraday gains above 158 following the BOJ meeting, and close the day back beneath the prior 'MOF intervention' level to form a shooting star candle.
Prices drifted higher on Monday on relatively low volume, putting us once again on guard for either a false break of 158 or Friday's high.
We're seeing a simple countertrend move back down to the high-volume node around 157.30 or even 157, should US data surprise enough to the downside later today.
USDJPY SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisUSDJPY is moving in an ascending channel, move to the resistance level and We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity USDJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
-------------------
Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
USDJPY - Expect retracement !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look only for long position. For now I expect price to make a retracement to fill that huge imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block
Fundamental news: Tomorrow (GMT+3) we have important news in USA, we will see results of CPI and Interest Rate. As well on Friday we will have news regarding Interest Rate in Japan. Pay attention to the result in order to validate the analysis.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Short Idea on USDJPYUSDJPY made an attempt to breakout from symmetrical triangle pattern on 12/6/2024 before US CPI Data released.
After US CPI Data released on 12/6/2024, the USDJPY dropped tremendously from 157.37 to 155.75 level.
Today 13/6/2024, USDJPY climbed to sensitive rejection level 157.35 again.
On 4-Hours Timeframe Chart, you can see a potential Head & Shoulder Formation.
The USDJPY Price is currently forming a possible right shoulder, which potential peak will be at between 157.30 to 157.40 area.
If a Solid Bear candlestick formed break the support of 156.90 Level, you will see a waterfall happening to 154.90 level.
My Entry Price: 157.26
Profit Target: 154.90
Stop Loss: 158.15
Risk : Reward: 1 : 2.61
Volatility strikes USD/JPY within rangeThe whipsaws for the US dollar around US CPI and the FOMC meeting made its mark on USD/JPY, which closed the day with a large hanging man candle beneath the May high. Markets are still deciding whether to pay closer attention to softer inflation data or the Fed's relatively hawkish meeting, and that likely means confusing price action on USD pairs.
The 1-hour chart shows strong volume accompanying the rally from Wednesday's low, which suggests another crack at breaking above the week's high. But with plenty of resistance overhead, bears may be tempted to fade into rallies on hopes of driving the pair back to the range lows around 155.
USD/JPY Ready For Sell After Daily Closure , Are You Ready ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
DeGRAM | USDJPY rebound from the accumulation zoneUSDJPY is moving near the upper boundary of the accumulation zone.
The accumulation zone has already triggered three times as a rebound point.
The chart has successfully consolidated above the dynamic support.
We expect the rebound to continue.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
USDJPY sideway waits NONFARM to break narrow marginThe Japanese yen was flat on Friday after the Japanese finance ministry announced Japan's foreign exchange reserves.
Japan's Ministry of Finance announced that he will take action on excessive JPY exchange rate volatility when necessary and will evaluate the effectiveness of the intervention. He emphasized the importance of maintaining market confidence in the JPY while also mentioning that there is no limit to the resources for the foreign exchange intervention fund.
The dollar is struggling after weak US employment data raises hopes that the FED will lower interest rates twice in 2024. Economists predict a rate cut in September in addition to the possibility of another cut. The possibility of the FED lowering interest rates in September.
In the h4 time frame, there have been signs of a bearish reversal in the USDJPY pair. The 34 EMA has crossed down to the 89 EMA and the recently created highs are getting lower. Overall, the pair is still stuck in a narrowing price band and is waiting for Nonfarm today to break out of the band.
Pay attention to important support and resistance zones:
Support: 156,400-153,600
Resistance: 154,500-157,700
USDJPY TO 160+ 12H CHARTI have USDJPY going to 160 and beyond..... price may be a little choppy until then but I am Long on this pair and I've been using every dip (when price takes bearish dive) as a buying opportunity. I can see price testing the previous highs of 157.844 (yellow level) and eventually breaking and closing above it, once this level of previous resistance (157.844) is then used as support; that will act as yet another form of confirmation that price in en'route the 160 level.
USDJPY: Swing Sell Happening! AB=CD PatternFX:USDJPY
Price is currently in process of making AB=CD pattern; after USDJPY created a record Higher High, most of the traders were expecting price to drop heavy and it just did that. After dropping heavily, price made some correction and formed a AB=CD pattern which is where we can expect price to drop exactly in same amount as A to B made. Our final target is 145-147 which will be somewhere 800-1000 pips. Use proper risk management.
DeGRAM | USDJPY pullback from the channel boundaryUSDJPY is moving between the trend lines in a descending channel near the upper boundary.
The price has been rising for a long period of time without pullbacks and is now approaching the resistance level, which coincides with the 62% retracement level of the last bearish impulse.
We expect a pullback.
-------------------
Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!