USD/CHF H4 | Bearish momentum to extend?USD/CHF is falling towards a potential breakout level and could drop lower towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 0.88518
Why we like it:
There is a potential breakout level ( wait for the 1-hour candle to close below 0.88518 for a breakout confirmation )
Stop Loss: 0.89374
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level
Take Profit: 0.87725
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level
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USDCHF
USDCHF - 4hrs ( Sell Trade After Retest - Target Range 120 PIP )💵Pair Name USD/CHF
Time Frame : 4 hrs
Scale Type : line chart + Candle Stick
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🔗 Key Technical / Direction ( Short ) After Retest
Type : Mid Term Swing
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Bearish Retest
0.88900 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Counter Trend Line
- De Value Area
- inner choch Area
Bullish reversal
0.87500 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / W
- Pattern Target
- Pattern Lower Band
- Fixed Poc Area
- De Po / value
USDCHF, Range play setup.USDCHF / 1D
Hello Traders, welcome back to another market breakdown.
USDCHF is trading in a downtrend. However, the price bounced back from a Macro level which sent the price up changing the current trend.
Probability suggests we get at least a few more sideways for now down then another leg higher.
Check out the chart for what I'll be waiting for after price action confirmation on LTF.
Trade safely,
Trader Leo.
Strifor || USDCHF-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: SELL
Comment: The Swiss franc also performed well on our previous trading ideas, where the entry strategy was “border to border”. The medium-term prospects here are also not in favor of the US dollar , but in the long term, we consider USDCHF more in favor of the buyer.
At this stage, for a medium-term sell-deal, we highlight two scenarios, where the Scenario №1 is more likely and involves a false breakout of the upper balance line. Scenario №2 also assumes a false breakout of the upper border, but deeper towards the level of 0.90000. For now, we consider the target to be no lower than the lower border of the balance, namely the level of 0.87610.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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USDCHF H4 | Bearish reversal?USDCHF is rising toward resistance and could potentially fall to a support level
Alternatively, if price breaks above the pivot, it could continue to rise to the next resistance level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension
Pivot: 0.8899
Support: 0.8851
Resistance: 1.8935
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF : Long Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the USDCHF chart. The price is moving in an ascending channel and after failing to break the specified resistance level, it has had a correction to the specified support level. We expect this level to maintain the upward trend of the price and the price will once again grow to the resistance level. Good luck.
USDCHF M15 I Bearish divergence?Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 0.8883, which is a multi-swing high resistance.
Our take profit will be at 0.8843, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.8908, which is above a swing-high resistance level.
Please note that there is a bearish divergence vs. RSI
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Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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USDCHF:Potential Upsides as we approach the FOMCHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring USDCHF for a buying opportunity around 0.88400 zone, USDCHF is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 088400 support and resistane area
adding a fundamental layer, the last CPI and PPI both came hot and the labour market is solid, if Fed goes hawkish as anticipated we may see USDCHF breaking previous highs.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bouncing off 38.2%USDCHF is falling toward a support level and could potentially bounce off a pivot that is close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and rise toward the multi-swing high resistance
Alternatively, if price breaks below the pivot, it could continue to fall to another overlap support level
Pivot: 0.8811
Support: 0.8781
Resistance: 0.8849
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USDCHF - the risk vs reward trade off this week Put USDCHF on the radar - while there are many different ways this could play out this week, here are 2 clear scenario's that are front of mind.
Upside - the fed's 2024 dot moves higher in tomorrows FOMC meeting to show 2 cuts (from 3). We could also see the SNB cut rates - this is a non-consensus call with 4/24 economists calling for a 25bp cut (to 1.5%) and the Swiss swaps market pricing this outcome with 30% chance
Downside to price - the Fed leave the 2024 dot unchanged at 3 cuts, and we see 2024 GDP median estimate upgraded to 1.8% (from 1.4%), and the SNB leave rates unchanged
Risk vs reward - If the upside scenario plays out then price will likely have a far bigger move to the upside, than potential downside if scenario 2 plays out.
The daily chart looks ominously poised to breakout - momentum and trend traders will be watching to see if this triggers a move that has some duration.
USDCHF Short IdeaMARKET PHASE
OANDA:USDCHF is in a long term downtrend (daily) with a short term corrective structure that has been taking place (4 hour).
AREA OF VALUE
Price continued to break new highs within this corrective structure. Eventually, price reached an area where sellers stepped in, resulting in a buildup of liquidity (buy stops, longs, short stop losses) above the corrective structure swing highs. Price violently moved up to trigger the buy stops (liquidity) to pair against the sell orders needed to take price down. Price has started it's initial move down but due to the velocity of the downward move, it's gapped some orders around 0.88378. Price is likely to retrace to this level before continuing downwards.
TRADE
I will be entering short on OANDA:USDCHF with the following parameters:
Sell Limit: 0.88378
Stop Loss: 0.88543
Take Profit: 0.88048
Sell USDCHF Channel BreakoutThe USD/CHF pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined bearish channel pattern. This technical setup suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside and a higher likelihood of further declines in the coming minutes or hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.8830, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels: Initial bearish targets lie at the previous support levels within the channel, now acting as potential resistance zones: 0.8798 and 0.8770. Further downside targets could be determined using other technical analysis methods like Fibonacci retracements or extensions.
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above the broken support line of the channel, ideally around 0.8855. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you
USDCHF Struggling on the 1W MA50. Long-term bullish above it.The USDCHF pair is on very critical crossroads as for the past 5 weeks it has been testing the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) but has so far failed to close a 1W candle above it. Going back to late September 2023, we can see that the 1W MA50 has been again tested for successive weeks, but again failed to close a candle above it. In fact the last time it did was back on the week of October 31 2022, which was during the previous Top on the Lower Highs trend-line of the 8-year Bearish Megaphone pattern.
As a result, as long as the pair fails to close that weekly candle above the 1W MA50, we 'have' to stay bearish on the medium-term, targeting just above the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level at 0.8500.
If however we do get that 1W closing above the 1W MA50 delivered, we will turn bullish long-term, despite the presence of the Inner Lower Highs and the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), as in early 2021, and target the top of the Bearish Megaphone at 0.97000.
Notice that this scenario attracts stronger probabilities as the 1W RSI has been on a Bullish Divergence from oversold territory since the December 25 2023 Low. This Divergence is similar to the bottom formed on the January 04 2021 candle.
Observe also how efficiently the Sine Waves have grasped the Tops and Bottoms of this Bearish Megaphone. Right now they show we are on a bottom formation.
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USDCHF Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
USD CHFMy analysis on USD CHF, I use limit orders so I don't need to be in front of the chart all day.
To consider this a good entry there are certain criteria to follow:
1. Clean BoS with IMB.
2. * Look for areas where liquidity has been purged.
3. * Stochastic: in uptrend 0-15, in downtrend 85-100.
( * ) = Not optional but increases our probability.
I use Fibonacci to get these extreme points and my preferred one is 75% retracement, with a risk-reward of 1:3.
Set and forget.
Trade carefully,
This is not financial advice, DYOR.
USD/CHF SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello,Friends!
USD/CHF pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is obviously rising on the 9H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.878 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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USDCHF Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for USDCHF.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.879.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.887 level soon.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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USDCHF - Long from bullish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on USDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 1H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a long. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 0.88000.
Fundamental news: Next week is full of news with high impact on USD and CHF, we will see results of Interest Rate in both countries.
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