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TSM

The CHIP War has begun........Read some of these articles to have a background knowledge here . here , here here On a simpler note, we are aware that the global economy is becoming more digitalised, though not moving at same velocity and growth. The chips are the "heart' of what goes into many things that are used in our daily lives , whether we are aware of them or not - from smart phones, data centres, military equipment, computers, etc. What are the global players like TSMC and ASML charts telling us ? So, the SMH ETF is not doing too bad either if you are not good at picking up individual stocks. The black dotted line shows all 3 have broke out from their bearish trend and are moving up higher weeks after weeks. Please DYODD and all the best to your investment!
NYSE:TSMLong
by dchua1969
TSMC to break higher?Taiwan Semiconducotor - 30d expiry - We look to Buy a break of 83.72 (stop at 81.28) Short term momentum is bullish. In our opinion this stock is undervalued. 83.63 has been pivotal. A break of the recent high at 83.63 should result in a further move higher. We are trading at oversold extremes. This is curremtly an actively traded stock. Our profit targets will be 93.93 and 94.93 Resistance: 83.63 / 87.50 / 91.94 Support: 78.50 / 76.00 / 72.84 Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Signal Centre’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Signal Centre.
NYSE:TSMShort
by VantageMarkets
1
TSM in an ascending triangle.Taiwan Semiconducotor - 30d expiry- We look to Buy a break of 83.22 (stop at 79.92) Prices have reacted from 59.44. Short term momentum is bullish. Price action has formed a bullish ascending triangle formation. A break of the recent high at 83.18 should result in a further move higher. Our outlook is bullish. Our profit targets will be 91.48 and 92.48 Resistance: 83.20 / 84.00 / 88.00 Support: 81.50 / 79.50 / 76.20 Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features. Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
NYSE:TSMLong
by Saxo
TSM, 7d/+20%rising cycle 20% in 7 days. ================================================================================================================================================================== This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
NYSE:TSMLong
by Tonyder
Taiwan Semiconductor - A Precarious Situation, Warren Bought...Apple apparently uses TSM chips with plans in the future to use more. My old friend Warren bought some recently, I noticed a gap in the chart after he bought. He bought quite a lot... I am wondering if we will fill the gap then go up. Or is it possible that we could go lower after testing the gap? Could Warren B wrong? This is one tough chart to predict! Just pointing out important levels where we can pivot. NFA, DYOR. Info to consider: Apple is a priority customer for TSMC's advanced manufacturing process. According to equipment manufacturers and Apple's production chain, Apple will use TSMC's 3nm wafers for the first time in the second half of the year. seekingalpha.com
NYSE:TSM
by ChartProphet
1
TSM | Very Overbought Buffett Pick | SHORTTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices in Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, the United States, and internationally. It provides complementary metal oxide silicon wafer fabrication processes to manufacture logic, mixed-signal, radio frequency, and embedded memory semiconductors. The company also offers customer support, account management, and engineering services, as well as manufactures masks. Its products are used in mobile devices, high performance computing, automotive electronics, and internet of things markets. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
NYSE:TSMShort
by DivergenceSeeker
4
TSM | Oversold Semiconductor | LONGTaiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited manufactures, packages, tests, and sells integrated circuits and other semiconductor devices in Taiwan, China, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, Japan, the United States, and internationally. It provides complementary metal oxide silicon wafer fabrication processes to manufacture logic, mixed-signal, radio frequency, and embedded memory semiconductors. The company also offers customer support, account management, and engineering services, as well as manufactures masks. Its products are used in mobile devices, high performance computing, automotive electronics, and internet of things markets. The company was incorporated in 1987 and is headquartered in Hsinchu City, Taiwan.
NYSE:TSMLong
by DivergenceSeeker
TSM, 6d+/64.99~58.08shaking at 58.05~64.99 in 6 days. ================================================================================================================================================================== This data is analyzed by robots. Analyze historical trends based on The Adam Theory of Markets (20 moving averages/60 moving averages/120 moving averages/240 moving averages) and estimate the trend in the next 10 days. The white line is the robot's expected price, and the upper and lower horizontal line stop loss and stop profit prices have no financial basis. The results are for reference only.
NYSE:TSM
by Tonyder
SMH ETF (Global Semiconductor’s trend”..20/Oct/22VanEck ETF which “tracking /invest” on 25 global major semiconductors stocks. Probably found its “base” @ around 148.90 - P/s. Probably the “next recession” might be caused by “geopolitical tensions” cause by 2 big brothers..A kinds of “wars e.g chips war, trade war, or “actual war”....” Probably an “Imposed /sanctioned by” a “freedom democracy/free trade” country toward “a so called not a democracy country”..
NASDAQ:SMH
by SteveTan
TSM: What do you see BULL or BEAR?????#Ticker Symbol: TSM #Timeframe: 4 Hour #4X BEAR Pattern #Investment Strategy: Short TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: - Rejection of Trend -Closed below 9EMA -Money Movement shifting downward -Formation of Red dot line with Big Red dot (i.e. (EMA crossover) means bearish #####Follow for daily stock, crypto and forex technical analysis.##### ⚠️ Trading is risky, and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
NYSE:TSM
by Red_Green-TA
SOXS to SOXL ratio DAILY CHARTAMEX:SOXL This chart strives to setup a trading plan where the SOXS and SOXL are oscillated. They are 3X leveraged ETFs with great range. SOXS was up 400% YTD at its peak. The new CHIPS ACT is a catalyst for US semiconductor manufactures Right now the ratio is on a downtrend, meaning Sell SOXS or BUY SOXL or a combination of each. I believe that this strategy could yield 5X annually to investors or long-term swing traders with little effort especially if an alert is employed to notify the ratio is changing trend direction at a pivot. The timeframe could be lower but then the number of trades is likely to increase as is the amount of profit. This could be backtested by those familiar with the mechanics of doing so.
AMEX:SOXSLong
by AwesomeAvani
Double whammy of demand contraction and political leverageSummary The semiconductor sector is expected to enter a difficult period with demand contraction due to recession and crypto winter. As the US government is increasing the effort to use semiconductors as a leverage to put pressure on China, companies in the sector might be forced to prioritize the national political agenda against profit and growth , which further amplifies the negative impact from slowing demand. Demand contraction The US economy officially entered a technical recession as the GDP figure announced this week unexpectedly shrank again by 0.9% , making a 2 quarters consecutive decline. Large employers such as Amazon are also announcing their layoff plan to better weather the worsening economic outlook. Companies downsizing will reduce the demand for office electronics such as laptops and work phones. Although the commonly reported U3 unemployment rate remains stable at 3.6%, the U6 unemployment rate has actually increased for 2 consecutive months from 6.6% to 7% . With states continuing to pair back the covid unemployment benefit, more people are forced to re-enter the job market which in some cases the pay are not even as good as the unemployment benefit they have been receiving. The reducing disposable income of the US consumers is likely to negatively impact the demand for goods, especially for the non-essential durable consumer product such as electronics. High food and energy prices also contribute to such change in spending allocation. Political leverage Semiconductor chips are one of the most critical building blocks for most electronic products. The new product trend such as electric vehicles further push up the demand for chips. To put it into perspective, a Ford Focus uses roughly 300 semiconductor chips, whereas the electric Mach-e utilizes almost 3,000 semiconductor chips. The US government has been using national security reasons to block companies from selling gears for fabricating advanced chips (<10nm) to China since the Trump era. This week, the Biden administration has notified equipment suppliers such as NASDAQ:KLAC and NASDAQ:LRCX that the restriction is further tightened to <14nm , and it will also cover fabrication plants run by non-Chinese companies such as NYSE:TSM in China. Semiconductors will continue serve as a tool to slow Chinese growth at the cost of industry profitability. Earlier this week the US Congress had passed the chips act and approved $52 billion in funding for domestic semiconductor manufacturing. While there is definitely a strategic necessity to rebuild the US fabrication ability given the political tension between China and Taiwan , the difficulty to establish a fabrication facility should not be underestimated, if you look at how hard even for Samsung to catch up TSM on defect rate especially for the <7nm advanced chips. For most semiconductor companies it is not just about the funding but also if there is a profitable way out for domestic production, or it is going to be a capital blackhole that keeps sucking investment without meaningful outcome. Technical discussion The US equity market is currently rebounding as rate expectation cooled off due to increasing risk of recession. S&P500 and Nasdaq100 have already broken through the 50 days moving average and are now challenging the Jun rebound peak. The 20 days moving average is also catching up and is about to sit on top of the 50 days moving average. In fact, the sustainability of this rebound will depend on how long can the 20 days stay above the 50 days moving average, as (1) upward pointing 20 days and 50 days moving average, with (2) 20 days higher than the 50 days moving average are the basic forms of a bull market. S&P500 NASDAQ100 In this regard, by comparing SOXX and QQQ, one can visualize the sector discount due to the double whammy discussed above. Although SOXX has also broken through the 50 days moving average, the 20 days moving average is still further away from the 50 days moving average , which makes it a better short candidate compared to QQQ for those who believe the recent uptrend is a bear rebound but not the beginning of a bull. Here are the levels SOXX trader should pay attention to: Downside Resistance 370 - 385: 20 days and 50 days moving average levels 326.7: Jul-05 52 weeks low 270-280: Post-covid bull breakout level in 2020-Jun Upside Resistance 433.99: Jun-02 rebound peak 455-465: 250 days moving average level 501.09: Mar-29 rebound peak While our view toward the semiconductor sector remains bearish, shorting too early in a rebound can be very costly to traders. It is recommended to scale in the position either when SOXX itself, or at least until the border markets show sign of momentum decline (e.g. reverse hammer candlestick pattern) Note: For traders who wish to trade leveraged ETF such as AMEX:SOXL (3x bullish) or AMEX:SOXS (3x bearish), it is still recommended to use the non leverage version SOXX for technical analysis purposes. As the daily 3x process sometimes will shift the resistance level and make the reading less accurate.
NASDAQ:SOXXShort
by geoffreyip523
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing (TSM) LONG!! Semiconductor industry is poised for a decade of rapid growth, with many end products relying heavily on the essential supply of semiconductor chips and products. Automotives, mobile phones, laptops, tablets and the like all require chips to work. Amongst this industry lies a semicon giant poised to rear its head: TSM. TSM is the main supplier of chips for AAPL, with a huge backlog of stocks yet to be supplied. Fundamentals: - TSM is poised to produce 2NM chips by 2025. - Chips are price inelastic, demand normally has to contend with rising costs imposed by suppliers. - Innovation is strong in the semiconductor industry with huge capital spend on R&D for better and smaller chips Technicals: - MACD oversold with MACD line slopping upwards - MACD selling momentum weakening with histogram shortening - Prices have reached and bounced from the 200 TEMA + 61.8% fibonacci retracement levels - Price action show huge BULLISH ENGULFING candle TARGETS: 108.4 96.3
NYSE:TSMLong
by Gold_D_Roger
2