Tesla's Shocking Plunge: Is the Bubble Finally Bursting?This is a Walk through of How i Took Advantage of the Giant Move on TSLA
Current Price Action:
The current price is $240.89, reflecting a decrease of $7.20 (or 2.90%).
Liquidity Zones (LQZ) / Take Profit (TP) Levels:
There are two marked LQZ/TP levels:
LQZ/TP 1 at $263.53
LQZ/TP 2 at $270.21
Support and Resistance:
Multiple dashed lines indicate key support and resistance levels:
$138.36, $142.18, $145.51 (support zones)
$159.45, $168.98, $173.21, $175.92 (support/resistance zones)
$260.27 (resistance)
$300.01 (resistance)
Trend Lines:
A downward-sloping trend line (dashed blue) from previous highs suggests a long-term bearish trend.
Price recently broke above this trend line, indicating a potential change in trend or a strong bullish move.
Candlestick Patterns:
Recent candlesticks show a strong upward move followed by a pullback, which is typical after a strong rally.
Volume:
Volume is indicated, with the latest volume bar showing 6.468 million shares traded.
Tslaanalysis
Tesla: BE CAREFUL We are currently at the 0.5 / golden ratio resistance levels, the recent spike was the market taking out late shorts. Notice that we are about to hit the last local high as well. I caution anyone to buy here as we may be running out of fuel. Looking at the ichimoku the general trend is also bearish at the moment. I would suggest anyone bullish to wait until this level is flipped, let price break through this resistance and ideally retest this level as support. Don't get sucked into the hype, the market is still generally bearish and inflation is still high. The market may have some relief but wait for confirmation
Tesla - Finally exiting consolidation...NASDAQ:TSLA has been consolidating for four years and is ready for a (bullish) breakout.
We have a beautiful repetition of cycles on Tesla: Long term consolidation followed by a qiuck and agressive move higher followed once again by a long term consolidation. Tesla entered such a consolidation about four years ago and is now simply ready for another bullish breakout and an agressive move higher. It is just a matter of time until the triangle pattern breaks...
Levels to watch: $120, $220
Keep your long term vision,
Philip - BasicTrading
TSLA - UniverseMetta - Analysis#TSLA - UniverseMetta - Analysis
The price after the previous review fulfilled local goals. Now you can observe a breakout of the global trend line with possible consolidation behind the line, which may suggest the beginning of a 3-wave structure; you can try to continue holding or gaining Long positions. the most likely option is a correction after a strong impulse, where you can buy at the best price. If a retest of the border occurs, it will be possible to safely hold it up to levels 300 -460.
Target 300 - 380 - 460
TSLA ( UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE ) ( 1D )TSLA
HELLO TRADERS
trend line : the price trade under resistance trendline , indicates the price is under bearish pressure , if the price breakout the resistance trendline reach to resistance level .
TURNING LEVEL : a gold rectangular a round 214.16 level , which indicates two cases , the first cases until the price breaking this level reach a resistance level , the second case the price trade below this level , the price reach support level .
RESISTANCE LEVEL : a green rectangular , an area above the turning level , around 263.13 and 295.97 , selling have already increase at this level .
SUPPORT LEVEL : a red rectangular , an area below turning level , around 152.72 , buying have already increase at this level .
PRICE MOVEMENT : the price is under bearish pressure until trade below turning level at 214.16 , it will attempt to reach support level at 152.72 , then trade below this level reach next target at 125.23 , if the breaking turning level and breakout resistance trendline trying to reach resistance level 241.15 and 263.13 , then stable this level reach next target 295.97 .
TARGET LEVEL :
TENDENCY : SHORT 214.16
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 241.15 , 263.13 , 295.97
SUPPORT LEVEL : 152.72 , 125.23
TSLA Elliott Wave Insight: A Bullish Path AheadTechnical Analysis of TSLA Based on Elliott Wave Theory
Overview
Based on the Elliott Wave Theory, we observe that TSLA has commenced a fresh impulse wave from the bottom of January 2023. This new wave marks the beginning of wave I in the red cycle degree, which concluded at the peak of July 2023. Following this, wave II in the red cycle degree began moving downward and concluded at the bottom of April 2024. It is crucial to note that wave II did not retrace beyond the start of wave I, confirming that the Elliott Wave principles have been adhered to. The bottom of wave I was at $101.43, and wave II concluded at $138.86, which is within the acceptable range.
Now, wave III in the red cycle degree has started its upward journey, which is expected to show significant strength and momentum. Typically, wave III can extend up to 161.8% of wave I, implying a strong bullish trend.
Subdivision of Wave III
Within wave III in the red cycle degree, there are five subdivisions expected, labeled as wave ((1)) to ((5)) in the black primary degree. Currently, we have embarked on wave ((1)) in the black primary degree, which itself should also subdivide into five smaller waves labeled wave (1) to wave (5) in the blue intermediate degree.
- Wave (1) and Wave (2) in Blue Intermediate Degree: These waves have already been completed.
- Wave (3) in Blue Intermediate Degree: We are likely in the early stages of this wave now.
Characteristics of Wave III
Wave III is often the longest and most powerful wave in the Elliott Wave sequence. Here are some key characteristics and signs to watch for:
1. Momentum and Strength: Wave III usually exhibits the strongest momentum and covers the most distance in the shortest time compared to waves I and V.
2. Volume Increase: There is often a significant increase in trading volume, reflecting heightened investor interest and confidence.
3. Impulsive Nature: Wave III is impulsive, meaning it moves in the direction of the larger trend. This is often driven by fundamental news and investor sentiment.
4. Extension: It is common for wave III to extend, reaching up to 161.8% of the length of wave I.
5. Subdivisions: Within wave III, there should be clear five-wave subdivisions in lower degrees, following the typical Elliott Wave structure.
Roadmap and Invalidation Level
The roadmap for TSLA suggests a bullish trend ahead, supported by the structure of the waves and the characteristics of wave III. The key invalidation level to watch is $138.86. As long as this level is not breached, the bullish outlook remains valid.
- Wave III Target: Ideally, wave III could extend to around 161.8% of wave I.
- Key Invalidation Level: $138.86. If TSLA breaks below this level, it would invalidate the current wave count and necessitate a reassessment of the wave structure.
Conclusion
The Elliott Wave analysis of TSLA indicates a strong bullish trend with the commencement of wave III in the red cycle degree. This wave is expected to show substantial strength and momentum, with a likely target near 161.8% of wave I. As long as the invalidation level of $138.86 holds, the bullish bias remains intact. Investors and traders should watch for the key characteristics of wave III and monitor the wave subdivisions closely to confirm the ongoing wave structure.
I am not Sebi registered analyst. My studies are for educational purpose only.
Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
I am not responsible for any kinds of your profits and your losses.
Most investors treat trading as a hobby because they have a full-time job doing something else.
However, If you treat trading like a business, it will pay you like a business.
If you treat like a hobby, hobbies don't pay, they cost you...!
Hope this post is helpful to community
Thanks
RK💕
Disclaimer and Risk Warning.
The analysis and discussion provided on in.tradingview.com is intended for educational purposes only and should not be relied upon for trading decisions. RK_Charts is not an investment adviser and the information provided here should not be taken as professional investment advice. Before buying or selling any investments, securities, or precious metals, it is recommended that you conduct your own due diligence. RK_Charts does not share in your profits and will not take responsibility for any losses you may incur. So Please Consult your financial advisor before trading or investing.
Can Humanoid Robots Propel Tesla to a $25 Trillion Market Cap?Elon Musk's Optimus Gambit: Can Humanoid Robots Propel Tesla to a $25 Trillion Market Cap?
Elon Musk, the ever-optimistic CEO of Tesla, sent shockwaves through the financial world at the company's 2024 annual shareholder meeting. He claimed that Tesla's humanoid robots, codenamed Optimus, have the potential to skyrocket the company's market capitalization to a staggering $25 trillion – a figure exceeding half the current value of the entire S&P 500! This ambitious statement has ignited a firestorm of debate, with analysts and investors left to ponder the feasibility of Musk's vision.
Tesla's current market cap sits around $580 billion, a significant achievement but a far cry from Musk's $25 trillion target. To reach that level, Tesla's stock price would need to undergo a monumental increase. For context, the entire S&P 500, a collection of the 500 largest publicly traded companies in the US, boasts a market cap of $45.5 trillion. For a single company to surpass half that value signifies a monumental shift in the technological and economic landscape.
Musk's optimism hinges on the capabilities of Optimus robots. These machines, still under development, are envisioned as general-purpose humanoid robots capable of a wide range of tasks. At the shareholder meeting, Musk offered glimpses of a future where Optimus robots seamlessly integrate into human lives, performing everything from domestic chores and factory work to potentially even childcare and education.
If Tesla can deliver on these promises, the ramifications could be immense. Imagine a world where tireless robots handle repetitive and potentially dangerous tasks, freeing up human labor for more creative and strategic endeavors. Manufacturing could be revolutionized, with robots handling intricate assembly lines with unmatched precision and efficiency. The potential economic benefits are undeniable, and this is likely the vision that fuels Musk's bullish prediction.
However, skepticism abounds. Critics point to the numerous hurdles Tesla needs to overcome before Optimus can become a reality. Developing truly versatile and capable humanoid robots remains a significant technological challenge. The cost of production, the robots' safety and reliability, and the impact on human employment are all significant concerns that need to be addressed.
Furthermore, some analysts argue that Musk's $25 trillion target is simply unrealistic. While Optimus robots hold promise, it's difficult to envision a scenario where they single-handedly propel Tesla to such an unprecedented valuation. The overall market size for humanoid robots and the timeline for widespread adoption are significant uncertainties.
Despite the skepticism, Musk's vision should not be entirely dismissed. Tesla has a history of disrupting industries, and its track record in electric vehicles and autonomous driving is undeniable. If Optimus lives up to its potential, it could become a game-changer, not just for Tesla, but for society as a whole.
The coming years will be crucial in determining the fate of Musk's audacious claim. Tesla will need to demonstrate significant progress on the Optimus project, effectively navigate the technical and ethical challenges, and convince investors of the robots' transformative potential. Whether Optimus becomes the key to a $25 trillion Tesla or remains an ambitious dream is a story that will continue to unfold.
Tesla: Leading the Charge in Autonomous Driving TechnologyTesla is making significant strides in autonomous driving technology, with its Full Self-Driving (FSD) system and Hardware 4 (HW4) leading the charge.
Nvidia’s Endorsement:
Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang recently praised Tesla’s dominance in the self-driving sector, highlighting the revolutionary capabilities of Tesla’s latest FSD version 12, powered by Nvidia’s advanced chips. Despite being a Level 2 system requiring supervision, Tesla’s FSD has logged over 1.3 billion miles since its 2021 launch.
Nvidia’s Automotive Ambitions:
Tesla’s reliance on Nvidia’s chips underscores the growing synergy between the tech and automotive industries. Nvidia’s automotive revenue, though a small fraction of its data center business, is expected to become its largest enterprise vertical. The future of autonomous cars demands vast computing power, exemplified by Tesla’s expanded FSD training AI cluster using 35,000 Nvidia GPUs.
Tesla Hardware 4:
HW4 represents a significant upgrade over HW3, featuring new sensors and a more powerful FSD computer. The sensor suite includes high-resolution cameras and potentially a new radar unit, while the FSD Computer 2 boasts 20 CPU cores and improved neural network accelerators, enhancing performance to 50 TOPS.
Rollout and Future Prospects:
Tesla began equipping its vehicles with HW4 in early 2023, with plans to integrate it across its lineup, including the Model 3 and Cybertruck. Although retrofitting older models is not planned due to complexity, Tesla assures that HW3 will achieve full self-driving capabilities.
Looking Ahead: Hardware 5:
Reports suggest that Tesla is already developing Hardware 5 (HW5), expected to support Level 5 autonomous driving, further cementing Tesla’s leadership in the industry.
Conclusion:
Tesla’s continuous innovation in autonomous driving technology, supported by partnerships with tech giants like Nvidia, positions it at the forefront of the automotive revolution. With HW4 rolling out and HW5 on the horizon, Tesla is paving the way for a future of fully autonomous vehicles, integrating advanced computing with automotive engineering for safer, smarter transportation solutions.
TSLA - UniverseMetta - Analysis#TSLA - UniverseMetta - Analysis
The price is near the lower border of the channel in which the price has been for almost a year, which makes it possible to enter from the borders and take away movements of 15-30%. There was a rebound from the border, which formed the 1st wave, and was able to correct to the area of 50%. Now an ABC structure has formed, which may suggest the beginning of a 3-wave structure or the 3rd wave; when the trend line is broken, you can try to gain Long positions. With targets towards the upper border of the channel, around $236 per share. If there is a retest of the border, it will be possible to hold it up to levels 300 and beyond. Local target 194 - 236
Target 194 - 236
Musk Prioritizes Other Ventures Over TeslaMusk Prioritizes Other Ventures Over Tesla: AI Chips Diverted to X and xAI
A recent leak from internal Nvidia emails obtained by CNBC has raised questions about Elon Musk's leadership of Tesla. The emails reportedly show Musk directing the chipmaker to prioritize shipments of thousands of artificial intelligence (AI) processors originally reserved for Tesla to two of his other companies, X and xAI. This move has caused delays in Tesla's receipt of these crucial components, potentially impacting the company's AI development goals.
This news comes amidst Musk's ambitious push to establish Tesla as a leader in the AI and robotics space. Tesla has significantly increased its purchases of Nvidia's flagship AI chip, the H100, aiming to grow its active chip count from 35,000 to 85,000 by the end of 2 024. To support this growth, Tesla reportedly allocated a significant portion of its budget to AI training and inference, estimated at $10 billion for the year.
Diverting these chips to X and xAI throws a wrench into Tesla's plans. The delay in receiving over $500 million worth of processors could potentially slow down Tesla's AI development initiatives. This raises concerns about potential conflicts of interest and the prioritization of Musk's various ventures.
Here's a deeper dive into the implications of this situation:
• Impact on Tesla's AI Development: The delayed arrival of AI chips could hinder Tesla's progress in areas like autonomous driving and other AI-powered features planned for its vehicles. This could lead to delays in the rollout of new features or impact the performance of existing ones.
• Investor Confidence: Tesla's investors might be wary of Musk's leadership if they perceive a lack of focus on Tesla's core business. Diverting resources to other ventures could raise questions about his commitment to Tesla's success.
• Conflict of Interest: Some may question the ethical implications of a CEO prioritizing chip allocation for his other companies over the one he leads. This could raise concerns about Musk's use of his position for personal gain.
• Transparency and Communication: The lack of transparency surrounding the chip allocation decision could further erode investor confidence. Tesla shareholders deserve clear communication regarding the rationale behind this move.
While the exact purpose of X and xAI remains unclear, some speculate these companies might be involved in ventures related to Neuralink, another of Musk's ventures focused on brain-computer interfaces.
The situation warrants further investigation. Here are some key questions that need answers:
• Justification for Chip Diversion: What is the rationale behind prioritizing X and xAI over Tesla for these crucial AI chips?
• Impact on Tesla's Roadmap: How will the delay in receiving the chips affect Tesla's AI development roadmap and the rollout of new features?
• Disclosure and Transparency: Were Tesla shareholders made aware of the potential delays caused by chip allocation to other companies?
Only time will tell how this situation unfolds. However, one thing is clear: the decision to divert AI chips away from Tesla has raised serious concerns that demand proper explanation and a commitment to Tesla's continued success in the AI race.
TSLA (Tesla) Technical Analysis and Trade Idea Upon analyzing TSLA (Tesla), we can see that it has been in a sustained downward trend. Notably, price has entered a critical support zone, exhibiting a double bottom pattern on the chart. Additionally, there has been a downward move beneath this double bottom, tapping into liquidity.
Given the significance of this support zone, I anticipate a reaction, potentially leading to a substantial retracement. Another noteworthy aspect is the imbalance above the current price range, which could serve as a target. Furthermore, I acknowledge the influence of seasonality in stock markets, a topic I delve into within the accompanying video. In the video, we explore trends, price action, market structure, and other essential elements of technical analysis.
Tesla - Triangle and -33% drop!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Tesla .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
With Tesla stock breaking above previous resistance in 2019 and coming back to retest it in 2020, this stock then took off and created one of the most insane rallies which I have ever seen. At the moment though, Tesla is consolidating in a descending triangle formation and there is a high chance that Tesla will again come back to retest the lower support at $110 for a third time.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla - Clear flag formation!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Tesla .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
After the triangle breakout and the bullish break and retest on Tesla stock back in 2020, we saw a significant rally of 1.500% towards the upside. For 3 years Tesla has now been trading in a decent bullish flag formation and just broke an important support area towards the downside. However at the moment Tesla is literally in no man's land so it is better to wait for the next retest of structure.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Should You Short Tesla? A Look at China's Potential RisksShould You Short Tesla? A Look at China's Market Rebound and Potential Risks
Tesla (TSLA) stock has been on a downward spiral in 2024, and some investors are considering shorting the stock. This strategy involves borrowing shares, selling them at a high price, hoping the price falls, and then repurchasing them at a lower price to return to the lender. While China's electric vehicle (EV) market rebound and competition from local players present challenges for Tesla, shorting the stock comes with significant risks.
China's EV Market Rebound: A Double-Edged Sword
China, the world's largest EV market, experienced a slow start in 2024 due to various factors, including supply chain disruptions and COVID-19 lockdowns. However, recent reports indicate a significant rebound in April. This is good news for the overall EV industry, but it's a mixed bag for Tesla.
Tesla's China Woes:
• Sales Slump: While Chinese EV makers like BYD and NIO reported strong sales growth in April, Tesla's sales in China dropped significantly compared to the previous month. This could be due to a combination of factors:
o Increased Competition: Chinese manufacturers are offering a wider range of EVs at competitive price points, catering to local preferences.
o Brand Perception: Recent quality control issues and negative publicity might be impacting consumer trust in Tesla.
Headwinds for Tesla:
Beyond China, there are other concerns for Tesla:
• Job Cuts and Demand Concerns: Tesla's recent job cuts fueled speculation about weakening global demand, potentially leading to production slowdowns.
• Macroeconomic Factors: Rising interest rates and inflation could dampen consumer spending on high-priced EVs.
• Increased Competition: Legacy automakers are aggressively entering the EV market with advanced technology and established production capabilities.
The Case Against Shorting Tesla
Despite these challenges, shorting Tesla comes with inherent risks:
• Short Squeeze: If Tesla's stock price unexpectedly rises, short sellers face significant losses as they scramble to repurchase shares at a higher price. Tesla has a large and passionate fanbase who might jump in to buy the dip, further squeezing short positions.
• Elon Musk Factor: Tesla CEO Elon Musk is known for his unpredictable actions and ability to rally investor sentiment. A positive announcement or innovation could trigger a sharp stock price increase, catching short sellers off guard.
• Long-Term Potential: Tesla remains a leader in EV technology and innovation. The company continues to invest in R&D and expand its production capacity, potentially positioning itself for future growth.
Alternative Strategies
Instead of shorting Tesla, investors might consider these options:
• Put Options: Put options allow investors to profit if the stock price falls. This strategy offers limited downside risk compared to shorting.
• Investing in Competitors: Investors could look at Chinese EV companies that are gaining market share, potentially benefiting from the rebounding market.
• Hedging: Combining long positions in Tesla with short positions in other EV stocks can create a more balanced portfolio.
Conclusion
TESLA MOTORS UPDATEDHello Traders and stocks holders. its been a while since my idea got doomed, but timely it will make a perfect decisions on buying this stock or you're doing a DCA, like buying the stock every Paychecks received.
This idea can be perfect or can be doomed again, lol. But still preferred on buying for longterm.
This is not a financial advice, you either trade it options or holding the real stock..
Final words all ideas are not perfect, "Only Gods and the dead can seem perfect with impunity"
Law 46
Tesla Takes Flight: Is China's Approval Enough to Go Long?
Tesla's stock price recently soared after receiving "in-principle" approval from Chinese authorities to deploy its driver-assistance system in the world's largest auto market. This news undoubtedly fueled investor optimism, but is it enough justification to take a long position on Tesla stock (TSLA)? Let's delve deeper into the implications and weigh the risks before making a call.
China's Green Light: A Major Tailwind
China's tentative approval for Tesla's driver-assistance system is a significant development. China represents a crucial battleground for electric vehicle (EV) manufacturers, and Tesla has faced stiff competition from domestic players like BYD. Gaining official sanction for its advanced driving system removes a potential hurdle and paves the way for increased sales in China. This could significantly boost Tesla's revenue and profitability in the long run.
Beyond China: A Broader Growth Story
Tesla's appeal extends far beyond China. The company remains a leader in the EV revolution, continuously innovating and expanding its product line. With the Cybertruck launch and the ongoing success of Model 3 and Model Y, Tesla is well-positioned to capitalize on the growing global demand for EVs. Additionally, Tesla's focus on autonomous driving technology positions it at the forefront of a potentially transformative industry shift.
Risks to Consider: Not All Sunshine and Self-Driving Cars
While the China news is positive, there are factors to consider before going all-in on Tesla. Regulatory hurdles remain, with the final details and limitations of the driver-assistance system approval in China still unknown. Additionally, competition in the EV space is fierce and constantly evolving. Established automakers are rapidly entering the fray, and new startups are nipping at Tesla's heels.
Furthermore, Tesla faces ongoing challenges related to production issues, battery supply chain constraints, and potential safety concerns surrounding its Autopilot technology. These factors can lead to stock price volatility and production delays.
Beyond the Headlines: Look at the Fundamentals
Making a sound investment decision requires looking beyond just the latest headlines. Here are some key metrics to consider for Tesla:
• Valuation: Tesla currently trades at a high valuation compared to traditional automakers. This implies that the market has already priced in a lot of future growth potential.
• Overall Market Conditions: The broader stock market can significantly impact Tesla's share price. Investors should be aware of potential economic downturns that could affect growth stocks like Tesla disproportionately.
The Verdict: A Calculated Approach, Not a Blind Leap
China's approval for Tesla's driver-assistance system is undoubtedly positive news. However, it's just one piece of the puzzle. Investors considering a long position on Tesla should conduct thorough research, understand the inherent risks involved, and carefully evaluate their risk tolerance. A diversified portfolio with exposure to other EV players and established automakers might be a prudent strategy.
Tesla is a company with immense potential, but its future success is not guaranteed. A well-informed and measured approach is crucial before taking a long position on TSLA.
TSLATsla share repumped today to retest the broken upper trend
There are a lot of movement expectations :
1- The Price close above the Key LVL 205.30 then we can find the prices go up again to try to rebuild new wave (not expected by myself)
2- The price is retesting the upper trend showing at the drawing, so later on we will see push of selling the share and this is my expectation.
if the price go down i preferer to invest on it with the suggested percentages
Thanks and Best regards