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Tslaanalysis

Backtesting $TSLA on 4H timeframeContrary to popular belief I think Tesla respects price action as shown on the chart, Tesla has been on an uptrend since the market started recovering in late March. Due to big news from the stock split it dramatically increased throughout August until beginning its downtrend at around $503 on September 1st. I utilized the Fib retracement tool and placed it from the beginning of the uptrend to the end of it and outlined a perfect spot for an entry which would've been between the 0.618 and the 0.786 as that is where is the stock begins its reversal. For an options trader a slightly OTM Call option with 2 week expiration on September 9th would've been the best move here exiting the trade on September 14th at either Take Profit 1 (TP1) or Take Profit 2 (TP2). As for a long term trader who doesn't mind time decay the best time to exit would've been on November 19th or November 25th which is Take Profit 3 (TP3) and Take Profit 4 (TP4).
NASDAQ:TSLA
by sman579
TSLA: Tesla Gets Added to The S&P500Tesla (TSLA) is a one-of-a-kind electric vehicle company that is listed on the NASDAQ exchange. Just now, it has been announced that the stock will be added to the S&P500. In this analysis, we’ll take a look at the fundamentals of the company, as well as what this news means for Tesla. Some of the information in this post is based on the analysis I wrote in March. S&P500 Requirements - There are certain requirements a company must fulfill in order to be added to the S&P500. - The company must be a U.S. Company - Must have a market cap of at least $8.2 Billion - Must be highly liquid - Must have a public float of at least 50% of its shares outstanding - Its most recent quarter’s earnings and the sum of its trailing four consecutive quarters’ earnings must be positive. Tesla had a hard time fulfilling the last part of the requirement, as it was not profiting for a while. They demonstrated increasing revenue, but a lot of their profits were reinvested into building infrastructures/gigafactories, and R&D. Fundamental Analysis - Despite the Corona Virus (COVID-19), Tesla has managed to manufacture and deliver record-high number of vehicles for 2020 - Tesla ended 2019 with 6 Billion Dollars, and early this year, they raised an additional 2 Billion through stock offering - This indicates that Tesla had enough money to go endure the chaos caused by the viral outbreak - Tesla is one of the biggest beneficiaries of the Zero Emission Vehicle (ZEV) credit regulations, racking up huge ZEV credits that other automotive companies pay billions to purchase - In March 2020, Tesla has taken up 25% of the Chinese EV market, and further domination in arguably one of the most important markets is anticipated. - With Biden’s winning the election almost being certain, it’s anticipated that Tesla will heavily benefit from Biden’s green policies. Arguments against Tesla - Tesla has a negative Earnings Per Share ( EPS ). Negative earnings are a red flag for value investors - Tesla's operating margin is arguably too low, and not enough to be profitable for the long term - Tesla's Debt to Equity ratio is quite high, and is a reason for concern, as it suggests that Tesla is a higher risk investment - While gross income growth of Tesla for the past three years have been great, these are not sustainable numbers - There are arguments against Tesla's management; some argue that Elon Musk gave himself too big of a compensation package - This is concerning to investors, as the company has still not turned an annual profit. - Most of the arguments against Tesla are in regards to their rather questionable financials, which they have now proven to be solid by being added to the S&P500 Future Projections - While the Electric Vehicle ( EV ) Market continues to grow, Tesla's market share remains at 17~18% of a rapidly growing industry - Tesla's gigafactories have shown unprecedented progress in terms of how fast the factory was built, as well as the automated manufacturing process - Tesla has billions miles of autonomous driving data, which is more data than any other player in the market for self-driving cars - Based on the vast amount of data, Tesla's self driving cars will allow the company to generate software-company-like margins - Tesla has better battery efficiency compared to combustion engine cars, and can still benefit from economies of scale - According to EV experts, Tesla's vehicles are at least 4-5 years more advanced than those of its competitors. Technical Analysis - We can look at the daily chart for some insight regarding technical analysis - Tesla is notorious for ignoring a lot of the technical signals that appear on the chart. - As it’s more driven by news and fundamental developments, it’s best to merely reference the technical aspect. - We can see a clear uptrend marked by the ichimoku cloud support - Prices trading above the 100 Simple Moving Average (SMA) is a bullish sign - We can see that we have never broken below the 200 SMA since Nov. 2019 - As we consolidate in a bullish pennant pattern, bullish news is likely to cause a breakout near the apex of the pattern. Summary In summary, Tesla is not for the average value investor, seeking to purchase stocks at an undervalued price. It is, however, for the investors who know how to value the company by future expectations. I believe that Tesla is an automotive company to the same degree as Amazon is a bookstore. There is a lot more potential in the fundamentals of this company that many fail to recognize, and despite the short term hardships it may face, the innovative values that Tesla prioritizes is what brought the company to the S&P500. This obviously isn’t the end for Tesla. From a conservative view, I can see the stock easily double in price from these levels. A lesson to take from this investment is that if you have an in-depth understanding of the asset or security you invest in, despite volatile price actions and bearish news, the patience of holding can greatly reward you. If you like this analysis, please make sure to like the post, and follow for more quality content! I would also appreciate it if you could leave a comment below with some original insight.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Michael_Wang_Official
45
$TSLA - MOMENT OF TRUTH! Bullish pattern forming$TSLA is in a moment of truth here. #TSLA formed a bullish pennant after hitting all time highs. Pennants are considered continuation patterns (in this case a continuation of the violent uptrend). The volume is also declining in typical fashion during these types of continuation patterns. The Stoch RSI is oversold which TSLA responds well to on the 1D chart. The yellow arrows are when TSLA reported delivery numbers too. These have typically been the launch point to new breakouts. If TSLA can break out of the pennant, the expected mid term move is towards $616 where the 1.272 Fib extension is. This would also coincide with its inclusion in the S&P 500 at the end of the year or the beginning of 2021. Bullish pennants aren't a guaranteed bullish continuation though. They break to the upside a little more than half the time so prudent traders will want to watch for the breakout first. Like & share! 👍🏼📣
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TheTravel1ngTrader
Tesla bullish patterns + ideas Three major bullish indicators: - Purple: Descending triangle - Orange: Ascending triangle (was my most prominent idea until it broke below) - Blue: symmetric triangle My predictions: (1) Once Tesla passes the apex of the symmetric triangle I can see support begging to form, climbing up the blue support line, following this I am looking for a breakout above the orange resistance line. (2) Alternatively, Tesla can be exhausted as seen on the MACD, lower volume levels, and volatile charts (longer candles on the 1D chart), following this idea Tesla must break below the purple support level and then slowly climb down the old blue resistance line. The thick red line will act as heavy support, if this level is broken we might be witnessing a triple top and shoulders formation (variation of head and shoulders). Price targets (3-4 month): under scenario (1): $536 under scenario (2): $285 Notes: This week is very crucial for price action and TA, I believe the apex of the symmetric triangle is the most critical point. I am bullish and believe scenario 1 is the most possible. I also believe we will see further price volatility which might cause a fake breakout either above the orange resistance or below the purple support. I will update this chart throughout the week!
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by RaftoO
2
Should we buy TSLA ? Where is it headed ?@HTEEZY, @Nathan_Black, Hi Guys This is my TSLA Full analysis 500$ is all time high - this is a very strong resistance. 52 week high, 10 year high, all time high all are STRONG resistance. If you closely analyse TSLA it hasn't broken that for the last 2 months. Besides 52 week low was around 60$ Stock has gone up 10X and has gone for a split. TSLA might not go 10X in the next year from this price point. Highly unlikely. Still the technical indicate it has juice upside as the trend line is upwards - Higher lows every time. When a stock keeps coming back to a the same price many times it's a sign of weakness, when it tries to break a resistance many times it's a strength. TSLA has not gone anywhere near it's old peak. When you use price predictions always sell a few % below your target prices as this is a more realistic exit. Good luck ! P.S: If your looking to make 10X you need to look at alternatives. e.g Google- has a subsidiary called WAYMO. They own it 100 %, this self driving tech company will be spun off soon. Each share holder gets a free stock of WAYMO when it sins off GOOGLE .
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Bafiq
TSLA anticipated move to $540 then $600? Medium termTSLA has been the center of attention for the bulls and volatility for quite some time and it is forming a very interesting pattern that I cannot ignore. There are die hard TSLA fans there that believe in the company, there no real reason not to, and there are swing traders that love swinging it because it moves. It is due for a volatile move once again, should we break resistance we'll see a pop that could take up through the high once again. The technicals are building up for it, higher lows, EV potentially, a strong bull market its all coming together, just volume needs to come on board to the upside. We need to see a drastic increase in volume as we break the $460 threshold for the next leg higher. With the S&P 500 potentially hitting 3,600 and the Nasdaq futures led by tech about to make a new high. It just seems likely that TSLA is about to make a leg up pop that we've been waiting for. The targets to the upside are based on Fib extension lines and the volatility that TSLA is associated with could bring us there no problem. The prior TSLA idea we had, the market was forming a symmetrical triangle that could have sprung either way, the more recent price action is expecting a pop higher! this idea is for educational purposes only, any trade or investment is taken and the traders personal risk.
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by TRADEPROAcademy
4