Tslaanalysis
Tesla -> Ready For The PumpHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Tesla stock is about to once again retest a previous weekly support zone exactly at the HKEX:175 area.
You can also see that weekly market structure is bullish again so I am now just waiting for a deeper retest of the area before I then do expect a pump away from the support zone to retest the next resistance at $195.
On the daily timeframe you can see that Tesla stock already had a first initial rejection away from the zone, showing that there is definitely some buying pressure at the support area, so I am just waiting for a daily retest and then a rejection towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
TSLA Future Outlook | Technical Analysis | Support & Resistance - TSLA is currently in a neutral trend, sitting close to support but also right under 186.5 range resistance
- TSLA has been performing relatively weaker than QQQ as of this week.
- Earnings seasons are coming up and there's fear of earnings recession so either earnings come in normal and the fear alleviated and we get bull moves or vice versa.
- QQQ also closed right at resistance on Friday, if QQQ dont continue moving higher its going to drag TSLA down as well.
Tesla WEEKLY BULLISH Inverse H&S, 217.65 Key level- Bullish inverse H&S weekly time frame
- Bullish cup and handle pattern
- 217.65 break of that level will form weekly and monthly uptrend for the bulls
- delivery number will be key (i mentioned the wrong date its not this weekend)
- QQQ is very extended might see some consolidation next week which may effect TSLA as well
TSLAUpdate! I gave you the bottom of TSLA at 100, but we're in need of an update. TSLA's gigarange, from its 420 highs to 100 lows has a 258 mid, which is confluent with a variety of open (unfilled) gaps in that vicinity. So long as it holds above its first quartile retracement of the gigarange (180-190 area) then I'd anticipate that it makes its way to range mid 258s.
$TSLA Future Price Outlook, Support & Resistance Analysis- TSLA is in a healthy daily uptrend atm, we just need bulls change the hourly trend change back up.
- QQQs Equilibrium Pattern will be breaking with volatility on Monday, so which ever way it breaks will be effecting TSLA
- Weekly Cup & Handle forming, - daily inverse Head & Shoulders forming as well.
Check out my QQQ / SPY XLF breakdown on my previous video.
Tesla -> Time To Move HigherHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Tesla stock is about to create a quite nice inverted head and shoulders with the neckline being exactly at the $220 area.
You can also see that market structure is currently bullish, we just had a rally followed by a healthy correction so from a weekly perspective I just expect a break above the neckline and then more continuation towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that Tesla stock is right now retesting previous daily support which is now turned resistance so I do expect a short term rejection away from the resistance area but then definitely the longer term continuation towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
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tesla is heavily overbought we a correction is on waytesla is going to bearish as we can see that tesla went to 214 from 100 in 4 weeks the rsi shows that the stock is overbought that will require a correction we see that tesla will fall to the 150 area before making any bullish moves .
good luck to you all
Tesla's stock price to fall below $100?!
It is reported that Tesla's vehicles are not allowed to enter government institutions in China. Recently, there have been news that some cities in China have been planning restrictions, which will limit Tesla's access to more places. If this news is true, it will be very unfavorable for Tesla.
China is a populous country with a huge demand for vehicles, especially given the strong support from the Chinese government for new energy vehicles. By the end of 2022, Tesla's sales in China ranked first in the region. If Tesla loses the Chinese market, the consequences can be imagined, and its stock price may fall below $100!
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TSLA G3 DUMP? Markets bounced strong today... but will Tsla join or be the one to take the hit so the other stocks can run?
TSLA had a Rough Day I'll Keep this simple..
Here are my thoughts on Distribution Schematic:
114% Bull Run in 1 Month - Mainly Short-Squeeze Move
We could see one more move up in a Wyckoff fashion - this will burn the $200 call options along with all the puts added in past 2 days, setting up a Bear Trap and generating more FOMO for Bull Trap 3 thus providing Liquidity for "Composite Man" to make the most $$$
-I also believe that a Markdown is needed for Institutional Buyers to get back into the stock @ lower pricing.
Both Scenarios are viable, yet I'm leaning towards#1 .. but will be prepared to go with the trend.
Long-Term Bull/ Short-Term Bear
good Trading Today
Tesla -> First Drop And Then PopHello Traders,
welcome to this free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis .
On the weekly timeframe you can see that Tesla stock is now perfectly rejecting a quite obvious previous weekly support zone, which is now turned quite strong resistance.
However Tesla stock is also approaching a previous weekly support zone, from which we could potentially also create a right shoulder, forming an inverted head and shoulders pattern, so from a weekly perspective I do expect a retest of the $170 and then a rejection towards the upside.
On the daily timeframe you can see that market structure is currently massively bearish, but as mentioned above I am now just waiting for a retest of the previous support zone at $170 from which I also do expect a daily rejection towards the upside.
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
You can also check out my previous analysis of this asset:
TSLA Kangaroo Market 3/1VIP Day for TSLA *DUMP & PUMP or PUMP & DUMP... Manipulation is Strong at these levels
This Consolidation will end soon leading to continuation break-out or distribution
Bullish Target $221.5 + Close above $224 will show Buyer Commitment
Bearish Target: Close below $197 *POC
My Patterns & Targets are on Chart
Detailed Insight from: 2/28
TESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution"
I can see "Pump & Dump" -Final UTAD and Possible Continuation through Wednesday with Distribution.
****TSLA is BULLISH - do not mistake my bearish insights as a short confirmation *Daily Chart is very Bullish (The best moves keep going in the same direction) I
Technical/Trend/Patterns:
200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too ..
-^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220-$224 area
-^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side
BEARISH:
-Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61 (MACRO-2-3 weeks)
--Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr)
-Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit if a new High is made (speculation)
-OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is low -contrary)
-Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution
_____________________________
-***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days
*Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP
This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends ( Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March)
-
Options
Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall
-Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5
-Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump
Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low
Positives:
-Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again..
-Berlin Higher production levels
--QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally
Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/ Bearish (Long-Term Bullish )
My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ...
$200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234.
Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap ( 0.618 retracement )
Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down"
*watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area
-I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of"
-Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
TESLA BUY the Rumor Sell the FactTESLA is currently one of if not the Strongest Stock and is helping to hold up the Markets. Strong Move today on Lower Volume. I believe that the Rally is close to wrapping up at this stage of the "Mark-UP" *Wyckoff Distribution"
I can see Possible Bullish Continuation through Wednesday.
Technicals/Indicators/Patterns:
$200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets too ..
-^Bullish double bottom pattern places TSLA move to $220 area
-^Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side
BEARISH:
-Bearish Rising Wedge on Daily- if pattern completes, measured move will go to fill gap @ $147.61
--Bearish Divergences are formed on lower time frames (4hr-1hr)
-Daily Bearish Divergences are looking to follow suit
-OBV & Momentum indicators are diverging to the negative (OBV is High but Momentum is contrary)
-Price has been moving down but A/D Line continues rising *I analyze this as Higher Distribution
_____________________________
-***TIME FRAME: Analyzing consolidation patterns and impulse moves (Mark-UP) - I am seeing Consolidation on average of 25-27 days and Impulse Moves lasting 14 days
*Tesla is going to hit 27 days of consolidation on Wednesday I can foresee the Markdown Phase Beginning for 2 weeks and moving into consolidation until before next earnings in April before the Next Mark-UP
This aligns up with Seasonal Market Trends (Bullish in Jan - Decline mid Feb to mid March)
-
Options
Current Options info: *$200 Call Option Wall
-Contrarian view is that with High Call Options @ $200 price will close below that by end of week (Market Makers do not want to pay-out) Max-Pain is currently at 197.5
-Bullish view: amount of options could create a "Gamma Squeeze" -Squeezing Tesla to test or surpass Highs in the short-term, ***Short-term pump & Dump
Weekly Expected Move: $215 High $197 Low
Positives:
-Investor Day is Hyping up the bullish trend as everyone is preparing for Elon to showcase "GEN 3" platform -a new commodity vehicle for $25-30k before mark-up. This has retail piling into TSLA stock with an enormous $200 call Option wall again..
-Berlin Higher production levels
--QQQ Potential Island Reversal to the bullish side - Help to continue Rally
Analysis: Short-Term Neutral/Bearish (Long-Term Bullish)
My bias is Bearish with a possible pump & dump scenario in play ...
$200 Daily MA & 0.382 Fib are psychological zones that Bulls will want to ensure TSLA gets to .. If Tuesday shows strong Commitment and closes at the highs.. We could see Bullish continuation to $234.
Tomorrow is VERY CRITICAL - Monthly close above $200 shows strong buyer commitment - if there is a sell-off and we see a close below $197, I feel confident that Tsla will retrace to $145 area to fill gap (0.618 retracement)
Tsla Closing strong tomorrow will lead me to believe that consolidation may continue through next week until we get March Payroll Data (this puts my target price to $232-$234 before we see "Mark-Down"
*watch how TSLA reacts to Weekly Expected high at $215 area
-I am staying away from Options except for "Day-Of"
-Day Trading has been exceptional - waiting 15min after market open has proved beneficial
TSLA Revised DistributionRevised Distribution - TSLA is beginning or completing final Phase of distribution, I would like to see one more Liquidity grab (UTAD) to 0.382 Fib from all time Highs ($221) , but $200 call option wall may prevent this.
I would think that today would be the day to rally past $214 and drop below $200 in order for Wall-street to make most $ from Options. ... Still we could see this pattern continue into next week before final distribution.
*Past $224 with-out strong pullback or rejection will indicate that $214 was Buying Climax- not first UT* and $187.4 was the CHoch This could put UTAD past $240 before distribution -
We will see how price reacts with retest of $214 again
$TSLA bulls keeping the TSLA alive!$TSLA holding it own this morning, keeping the momentum up just above $200 level. tesla must stay above the $190 to $200
to continue its momentum to upside. no new catalyst for tesla except the anticipation of the new tesla model 3 which still no
further announcement. also Elon Musk face class action lawsuit from shareholders, overstating the effectiveness and safety of
the company's autopilot and full self driving technologies.
below is the price level I'm looking for $TSLA:
TGT average price move per day is $7-12 per day depending on market volatility and catalyst.
Below is the price level I'm looking for entry and exit for TSLA:
Buy call above 209.26 and sell at 211.73+ or above
Buy puts below 204.17 and sell at 201.52 or below
make sure that you set up alerts on those key level so you wont miss the move.
and always to take your profits as you see one.
Tesla Time To RetraceHere Is My Study on Tesla Chart. Is To Much Extended. I Think Its Time To Retrace a Bit.
This analysis is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. The information presented in this analysis is based on my own research and is subject to change without notice. The analysis is not a recommendation to buy or sell any specific cryptocurrency Stocks Or Forex, including This Pair. Please conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
TSLA setting up for a pull back?$TSLA slightly pulls back after soaring for couple of weeks. this pulls back is expected and it might setting up for another pulls back or consolidate
if needs to cools off. TSLA bulls needs to hold the 190 level or bears might gain some momentum here to break below 190.
no majors news to push the TSLA except the analyst upgrade to buy rating.
TSLA average price move per day is $7-$13 per day depending on market volatility and catalyst.
Below is the price level I'm looking for entries and exit for TSLA:
Buy call above 203.31 and sell at 205.90+ or above
Buy puts below 196.61 and sell at 194.50 or below
make sure that you set up alerts on those key level so you wont miss the move.
and always to take your profits as you see one.
Why you should get out of your TESLA Long positions soon TSLA has been on the rise from the beginning of the year with a wave of optimism. It bottomed out at 104 and has risen to 218. If you were fortunate enough to get it at that price, perhaps it is time to think about closing your long as the market looks like it will come down again.
1) The Daily RSI is overbought
2) The H4 RSI is overbought
3) There is a lot of H4 RSI divergence
4) The S&P has topped out at around 4180 and heading lower
The reality of another round of rate hikes in March (Perhaps another 0.5%) has also spooked the market. Inflation isn't abating with the last one being at 6.4% which was higher than the Fed and market expected so don't be surprised if we see a few weeks of weak stock market movements.
As for me, I will go short on the stock with stop losses above 245 and aim for the 100 barrier.
Will Testa stay above 200? Hmmm...Like all stocks, also Tesla recovered strongly since the beginning of the year, and, in its case, this recovery is, in fact, a doubling of its value.
At this moment the price of Testa is 208 and, one may wonder if it will continue its rise.
Leaving aside this extreme optimism since the start of the year and getting back to Earth, there are no fundamental reasons for continuation.
Technically, this zone is very strong resistance and even considering only profit taking we will have a ceiling in this zone (100% gains in 2 months is immense as a return)
In my opinion, Tesla will roll back down, and is more probable from this point to drop to 150 than to rise to 250.