TESLA pulling back on Q3 deliveries. Is there a reason to panic?Tesla (TSLA) opened considerably lower today as they announced Q3 deliveries of 463000 units, below the heightened expectations of around 470,000 from the buy-side and just slightly above the consensus estimate of 462,000. Is this a typical market overreaction on data or the start of a stronger correction ahead of the Robotaxi event next week?
Well from a technical standpoint, our thesis on Tesla is well known and hasn't changed since the August 15 update (see chart below), where we called for a $380 target within the long-term Channel Up:
Even on the more short-term 1D time-frame, we can see that the stock is respecting a Channel Up pattern that started on the August 05 bottom and for the past 30 days has been supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
The last correction like the one we're having this week, was from August 20 to 28, which then rallied by +30.50%. As a result, the minimum Target now for November is $310.
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Tesla Motors (TSLA)
Tesla Stock Slips as Deliveries Miss ExpectationsTesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) saw a notable decline of 5% in early trading Wednesday following the release of its Q3 2024 delivery and production numbers. While the electric vehicle (EV) giant reported 462,890 deliveries—slightly above analysts' predictions—investors had anticipated higher performance, leading to a sell-off. This drop brings NASDAQ:TSLA down to $244.86, reflecting the ongoing battle between Tesla’s robust market presence and increasing competition from global automakers.
Q3 Delivery Report: Falling Short of the Hype
Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) delivered just under 463,000 vehicles in Q3 2024, surpassing the 461,000 estimate, but investor sentiment seemed to have set loftier expectations. The production numbers were similarly positive, with Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) producing 469,796 vehicles, up from the 430,488 vehicles produced a year ago. Despite this growth, the stock slipped as the market had expected a more substantial increase to sustain the company’s valuation, which had already jumped 32% in the previous quarter.
Analysts from Wedbush described the report as "a step in the right direction" but also noted that some investors may have been looking beyond these delivery figures, anticipating the October 23 earnings report and the unveiling of Tesla’s much-discussed "robotaxi." Still, Tesla faces ongoing headwinds, especially in the competitive EV landscape.
Competition Heats Up
Tesla’s dominant position in the EV market is increasingly challenged, especially by Chinese automakers like BYD and Geely, as well as emerging rivals Li Auto and Nio. In the U.S., Rivian, Ford, and General Motors are all making headway into the EV space, with GM recently reporting a 60% year-over-year increase in EV sales. Even with Tesla maintaining a significant lead in the U.S. market, these rising competitors are placing pressure on its growth trajectory.
Tesla’s lack of specific delivery guidance for 2024 raises additional concerns. Although the company’s sales are growing, its ability to maintain such momentum amid fierce competition is in question. Analysts will be closely watching Tesla’s October 23 earnings report, with a particular focus on profit margins and how Tesla navigates the balance between maintaining its market share and controlling production costs.
Technical Analysis: The Chart Speaks Volumes
On the technical side, NASDAQ:TSLA ’s stock is showing signs of weakness. As of the time of writing, the stock has dropped 3.57%, with a Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 57.43—an indicator that the stock is losing its buying momentum and moving closer to a neutral or selling zone. While Tesla (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:TSLA ) remains above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting underlying strength, the dip in RSI indicates potential volatility.
Tesla’s ability to stay above key moving averages amidst such market pressure will be critical in determining its next moves. Investors should keep an eye on whether the stock can sustain levels above its moving averages or if further selling pressure will drag it down into a correction territory. As the market awaits the earnings report later in the month, these technical patterns could provide a roadmap for short-term traders.
Tesla’s Future: More than Just Deliveries
Tesla’s long-term growth story remains intact, bolstered by innovations like self-driving technology and upcoming projects like the robotaxi. However, the EV maker must continue to outpace competitors and reassure investors that it can meet growing demand without sacrificing profitability. As the global EV market matures and competition ramps up, Tesla’s ability to innovate while maintaining healthy margins will be the key to its future success.
In conclusion, while Tesla’s Q3 delivery numbers met expectations, they fell short of the hype, leading to a sell-off. The stock remains technically strong, but investors should be cautious as it approaches critical RSI and moving average levels. With earnings just around the corner and Tesla’s next big product reveal on the horizon, the coming weeks will be pivotal for the company’s stock performance.
Tesla - Breakout After Almost 4 Years!Tesla ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) is finally breaking out of the triangle pattern:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After a 4 year consolidation, Tesla is finally attempting to break out of the long term bullish triangle pattern. The monthly candle still needs to close but everything is pointing towards a major move higher, with the first target being the previous all time high from 2022.
Levels to watch: $250, $370
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Tesla are we going to 268 or 272 which one is IT???? Good morning Traders
Grab some coffee or a tea and lets get into it
First I do a little bit of wave counting to get you up to speed on where we are going and why
Second I do some four hour projections and 30 minute to figure out our levels going up
Third add in a little spice and throw that pitchfork in to wrap it up all nice
Enjoy the video, if you want more videos or different types of videos please let me know in the comments section.
My ultimate goal is give you the audience what you need and the skills to become a more profitable and better trader so you too can hit your trading and lifestyle goals
Happy hunting for those trades
MB Trader
Tesla Trades That Hit The Mark: 75% and 30% Gains Explained!
Two successful Tesla trading ideas, one from April and one from August.
April entry would now be around 75% up, and August entry around 30%.
Both ideas show how technical analysis can accurately time the market and generate returns.
Future resistance levels could indicate potential price consolidation.
This year, I shared two ideas about Tesla:
The first idea in April.
The second idea in early August.
If you bought Tesla stock in April and still hold it, you should be up about 75%. If you entered in August, your position should be up around 30%.
Both ideas played out exactly as predicted, proving once again that technical analysis helps to time the market and put your money to work as quickly as possible. While fundamental analysis tells what should happen, technical analysis shows what actually happens.
April Idea Criteria:
Strong area, confirmed by powerful candles in late 2022 and early 2023.
Mid-round number of $150.
Small liquidity zone around $150.
Smooth descending price movement into the zone I shared.
August Idea Criteria:
Break above $200 with a powerful candle.
Break above a long-term trendline, again with a strong candle.
Price pulled back to the breakout area: 3.1 Retest of $200, now acting as support. 3.2 Trendline retest. 3.3 Historically strong area around $200 – several rejections before.
What’s Next?
If you are still holding, the next target could be around $280–$300. This is the next strong resistance level. As you can see from the chart, this area has multiple rejections in the past. It might be a good idea to take some profits, as the price could get stuck here for a while, and it’s uncertain how and when it will break through.
Summary:
This is a great example of how technical analysis can guide you to better price entries, potentially leading to higher returns in the future. It does take some experience, but these criteria are not hard to spot once you know what to look for. It’s definitely not rocket science to master the basics.
All the best,
Vaido
GOLD H4 RE-ACCUMULATION FINAL TP 3 000 USD🔸Hello guys, today let's review 4HOUR price chart for gold. Ongoing -RE-accumulation in progress, strong chart overall, BULLS maintaint control. Accumulation not complete yet, so we are not ready to hit 2750/3000 yet.
🔸Key s/r zones defined at 2250 usd / 2500 usd / 2750 usd / 3000 usd.
So this a list of the key s/r zones in play right now, we are trading well
above strong s/r zone at 2500 usd so currently limited downside.
🔸Previously gold accumulated ins 2300/2450 usd range before finally
breaking the 2500 usd psyuchological resistance level. Currently
2500 usd flipped from resistance to support, therefore bulls maintain
strategic advantage overall.
🔸new re-accumulation zone bulls 2565 / 2685 usd.
🔸Recommended strategy position traders: BULLS should wait for
re-accumulation to complete and buy low near 2565 usd.
initial TP is 2750 USD and towards end of 2024 - 3000 USD.
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
Is Tesla's Robotaxi the Future of Urban Mobility?Tesla, the electric vehicle pioneer, is poised to disrupt the automotive industry once again with its highly anticipated Robotaxi. As the company prepares to unveil this groundbreaking innovation, the world is abuzz with excitement and anticipation. But can Tesla truly revolutionize urban mobility, or will the challenges of autonomous driving prove too insurmountable?
The Robotaxi industry is still in its infancy, with companies like Waymo and Baidu taking early strides. However, Tesla's entry into this space could have a profound impact, given its strong brand recognition and loyal customer base. The company's advanced Full Self-Driving technology, coupled with its expertise in electric vehicles, positions Tesla as a formidable competitor.
Yet, the road ahead is fraught with challenges. Regulatory hurdles, safety concerns, and intense competition will test Tesla's mettle. The company must navigate a complex regulatory landscape, ensure the safety of its passengers and pedestrians, and develop suitable infrastructure to support the widespread adoption of Robotaxis.
Perhaps Tesla's greatest advantage lies in its existing customer base. Tesla owners are known for their early adoption of new technologies, which could give the company a leg up in gaining acceptance for its Robotaxi service. However, public trust and acceptance will be essential for the success of this revolutionary concept.
As Tesla prepares to unveil its Robotaxi, the world watches with bated breath. The future of urban mobility hangs in the balance. Can Tesla overcome the challenges and usher in a new era of transportation? Only time will tell.
Tesla Full Analysis Weekly to 30 minute Must Watch Good afternoon everyone
In this video I give you in full detail a full analysis of Tesla where it is going and why and the tools I use to see everything in between.
If you have any questions or comments I am an open book and want to make the best videos I can for everyone.
MB Trader
Happy Hunting
TESLA SWING SHORT|
✅TESLA is about to retest a key structure level of 271.58$
Which implies a high likelihood of a move down
As some market participants will be taking profit from long positions
While others will find this price level to be good for selling
So as usual we will have a chance to ride the wave of a bearish correction
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
Stock Market | TSLA NVDA AAPL AMZN META GOOG MSFT AnalysisQQQ Forecast
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Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
Tesla (TSLA) AnalysisCompany Overview: Tesla NASDAQ:TSLA continues to lead the electric vehicle (EV) market, and its ambitious leap into humanoid robotics with the Optimus robot could open up massive new revenue streams. CEO Elon Musk projects this venture could unlock a $200 trillion opportunity, particularly in household and manufacturing applications.
Key Catalysts:
Optimus Robot: Visionary investors like Cathie Wood of ARK Invest estimate a $12 trillion market for humanoid robotics, where Tesla aims to be at the forefront, revolutionizing industries.
Full Self-Driving (FSD): Tesla's advanced FSD technology could be licensed to other automakers, creating new revenue channels. Musk’s long-term goal of launching an autonomous ride-hailing business or robotaxi fleet offers additional upside potential, which could reshape the automotive and transportation landscape.
Expanding Market Potential: Beyond EVs, Tesla's expansion into AI-driven robotics and autonomous vehicles places it at the intersection of multiple high-growth markets.
Investment Outlook: Bullish Outlook: We are bullish on Tesla above $193.00-$195.00, signaling strong confidence in its continued leadership in both the EV and emerging robotics sectors. Upside Potential: Our target for TSLA is $360.00-$370.00, driven by the potential commercialization of humanoid robots and further advancements in autonomous driving technology.
⚡️ TSLA—Driving the Future with Innovation in EVs, AI, and Robotics. #EVs #AI #AutonomousDriving
TSLA has a notable gap above the earnings high from July.NASDAQ:TSLA has formed a notable level at $235, which has been rejected multiple times since reporting earnings in July. If TSLA can reclaim and build over this key supply, it may fill in the gap on the daily chart that was created after the earnings drop.
Lucid Group Trip Down to Lower $3's Before Uplift?! - LCIDHere I have Lucid Group, Inc - LCID on the Weekly Chart!
First, Technical. We see Price rock bottoms to its Lowest @ $2.29 on April 22 2024 and just after the Negative Earnings and Revenue report on May 6th 2024, Price creates an Equal High @ $3.35 followed by a Violation of Structure giving us a Higher Low @ $2.48 finding Support in the $2.50 Area to then make a Higher High @ $4.32!
Turning this once looking Downtrend to an Uptrend.
Prices Higher Highs and Lows are now being halted at the $4.20 - $4.40 Range where I suspect Price will need to find more Support before it can continue on to what I believe will be its next Target being the Next Swing High @ $5.31!
*Divergence in the Highs of Price relative to the Highs on RSI show Bearish Signs
The Bullish Rally in Price on August 19th left open quite a Gap to Fill from $3.83 - $3.30 and If Price is willing to fill it, the $3.46 - $3.13 Area looks very Valuable being there's:
1) - Equal High @ $3.35 being Potential Support
2) - Golden Fibonacci Zone @ $3.34 (55.9%) - $3.22 (61.8%)
(Based from HL @ $2.48 to HH @ $4.43)
3) - RSI after Breaking EQH, starts Trading Above 50
4) BBTrend Printing Smaller, Dark, Red Bars
All leading to Bullish Markers!
Now, Fundamentals. Lucid Group announced that it is set to launch not only 3 new affordable EV's but that it also plans to unveil the Gravity SUV later in the year "highlighting the company's advanced technology and mileage range on electric vehicles." In competition with Tesla's long reign.
www.tradingview.com
The "Fastest Armored Car On The Planet" is sparking investor interest with Lucid Air Sapphire is giving serious challenges to Tesla!
www.tradingview.com
The past 2 Earnings & Revenue Reports have both been Disappointing for the company but the most recent Report on August 5th compared to May 6th tell a slightly different story ..
May - Revenue Estimate (173.544M) / Reported (172.2M) = -844.404k
Aug.- Revenue Estimate (190.303M) / Reported (200.6M) = +10.279M
*Next Earnings and Revenue - November 5th 2024
LCID will be worth keeping a watch on .. Stay Tuned!!
TSLA four-hour chart shows a potential Gartley harmonic.NASDAQ:TSLA is forming a potential bearish Gartley on the four-hour chart, which would result in bullish price action on the C to D leg, as long as point C on the chart holds. Point C on the chart also corresponds to the daily 200 SMA, and is right above the psychological $200 level, which adds confluence to the long entry at $202.50.
TSLA potential Buy setupReasons for bullish bias:
- DOW theory, Entry at HL
- Price is at a strong support zone
- 0.5 Fib level
- RSI is synched(No divergence)
Here are the recommended trading levels:
Entry Level(CMP): 207.92
Stop Loss Level: 165.35
Take Profit Level 1: 250.49
Take Profit Level 2: 293.06
Take Profit Level 3: Open
TSLA: Insanely Bullish - Next Key Points to Watch.In our last TSLA analysis we warned about resistance at $233 and that a breakout would take us to the next target at $245 to close the gap. Now, two weeks later, our target has not only been reached, but broken.
So I'll update you on the next key points to keep an eye on. Our last public TSLA study was done two weeks ago here on TradingView, and the link to it is below this post.
Daily Chart (Left):
Resistance at $265.13: The price is climbing toward the resistance at $265.13, which is a significant level as it marks the high from July. The price recently broke above $245.63, indicating strong upward momentum and clearing a key resistance level. Now, this previously broken resistance could act as a support.
Support at $233.09: The $233.09 level has held as a key support after the breakout in Sep 19, and the price has trended higher since bouncing off this level.
Trendline Support: The ascending purple trendline provides dynamic support, and the price has consistently respected it during this upward move. A break below this line could signal a potential change in trend, but for now, the trend is bullish.
Weekly Chart (Right):
Bullish Continuation: On the weekly chart, the price continues to show a strong bullish trend as it climbs higher after bouncing off key support at around $180. The recent price action suggests the potential for testing the $265.13 resistance.
Momentum: The 21-week EMA (blue line) continues to provide support, reinforcing the uptrend. This moving average has been well respected in the past, and the price staying above it is a positive sign for bulls.
Conclusion:
Tesla’s price action looks strong as it approaches a critical resistance at $265.13. If the price breaks and holds above this level, it could open the door for further gains. However, traders should monitor the $245.63 level, as it now acts as a support zone, while the purple trendline continues to offer a guide for the uptrend.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
TSLA ( Tesla ) BUY TF H1 TP = 248.08 Good luck!On the H1 chart the trend started on Aug. 8 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 248.08
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading