GOLD → Consolidation after the fall. Trading inside the rangeFX:XAUUSD is forming consolidation in a new bearish plane after a strong fall on Wednesday. The emphasis is on 2622 - 2581. The fundamental background is negative and technically the price is testing the lows.
On Wednesday, the Fed adopted a more conservative approach to monetary policy, laying down only 2 rate cuts in 2025, which generally had a negative impact on the whole market except for the dollar, which is breaking through local highs.
Today traders await the release of the PCE, which is the Fed's preferred measure of inflation. Any surprise in the PCE data or an escalation of political uncertainty could push metal prices up.
From a technical point of view, the gold market remains in the previously mentioned consolidation, and prices fluctuate in wide ranges, which is generally logical for the end of the calendar year: reduced liquidity and increased volatility...
Resistance levels: 2616, 2622
Support levels: 2589, 2581, 2560
Since the price is inside the consolidation, it is worth considering trading from the boundaries of this range. In the long term, I expect a retest of the key resistance 2616-2622 in the form of a false breakdown and a fall towards local lows
Regards R. Linda!
Trend Line Break
Gold Next Week Timeframe :
D1 trendline broke
H4 Bullish eng
H1 Bullish eng + FVG
D1 trendline has broken the down trendline, H4 has bullish engulfing at demand zone, H1 has also bullish engulfing and Fair Value Gap (FVG).
Entry :
According to H1 TF, entry point is 2643 at the area of FVG and Bullish engulfing.
Stop loss 2630 and Target is 2723.
Its possible to achieve target next week in FOMC.
this is why BTC dropped from a technical standpoint this is what I see:
BTC is testing the biggest challenge which is the YEARLY top trendline so it can be tough to break
the PULLBACK can be painful for investors if btc cant break this zone (especially alts)
But if and when btc finally breaks that, it will be huge and we might not see btc below that trendline again in the future
only time will tell
ETHEREUM → Consolidation after a bearish trend breakBINANCE:ETHUSD is consolidating within the flat boundaries of 4085 3530. In general, there is a bullish trend, the fundamental background is also favorable except for yesterday's news, which creates a small risk...
The price is at a strong resistance between 4090 and 4100 and it will take a lot of energy to break this area. Yesterday's news was generally controversial but with a negative bias. Despite the decline in interest rates, there were strong hints of stopping the decline and taking a hawkish course. Bitcoin is giving a small correction against this backdrop, which is negative for altcoins.
Ethereum technically did not break the bullish structure, a very strong support area of 3530 - 3440 is formed on the chart and with high probability a retest is possible, a liquidity grab with the aim of further growth. There are risks for further fall, they can be taken into account, but we can consider an attempt of growth as a priority.
Resistance levels: 4086, 4100, 4372
Support levels: 3530, 3440, 3261
Since the price is inside the consolidation, our strategy is simple - trading from the channel boundaries. Accordingly, based on the current situation, we should consider a retest of support before further growth.
Regards R. Linda!
NZDUSD → The price could fall another 2.5%FX:NZDUSD is forming a return to a strong support zone after testing it after a year. Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, the chances of a support breakout are growing.
The downtrend, rising dollar, weak fundamental background for NZD play a key role in forming a bear market. The price is testing the key resistance and trying to enter the selling zone. At the moment the price is restrained by the descending channel support and if the price manages to break this line and consolidate below, strong selling may be formed further, as there are no obstacles below it until 0.562.
Resistance levels: 0.577, 0.5817
Support levels: 0.575, 0.562
I do not exclude the possibility of correction if the buyers hold the support. But there is no chance of a trend change. Another retest of the support may lead to a breakdown and further fall to 0.562
Regards R. Linda!
AUDNZD strong bullish expectations
AUDNZD pair which I am watching last 5 months, other my analysis on AUDNZD are attached, plus I am attach and CADCHF analysis its interesting to look, its almost same based on SYMMETRICAL TRIANGL.
AUDNZD price is make bounce on trend line, its break upper trend line-SYMMETRICAL TRIANGL, plus CHANNEL on 4h TF is visible and its also breaked.
Technicalls on medium and long term are strong bullish, when take all this parameters i am here still bullish.
SUP zone: 1.09200
RES zone: 1.11500, 1.12400
USDJPY → Consolidation of price in the sell zoneFX:USDJPY reaches a strong resistance at 153.87 within an uptrend. Will this direction continue, as the Fed rate meeting is ahead....
Fundamentally, today is a big day for the markets. At 19:00 GMT the Fed rate meeting, where with a 93% probability the decision to cut interest rates by 0.25% will be made, which will make the dollar less attractive, but for how long, given Trump's policy?
Accordingly, the dollar is in a consolidation phase, traders are waiting. If the dollar starts a downward correction, it will affect the currency pair accordingly. But I do not exclude that on the background of high volatility the price may form a retest of resistance and a false breakout.
Resistance levels: 154.95, 156.75
Support levels: 151.44, 159.69
At the moment, after the retest of 0.79 fibo and the key resistance at 153.877, the price is consolidating in the selling zone. The fundamental background may increase the pressure, which may lead to a fall.
Regards R. Linda!
WHERE DO YOU THINK SOLANA WILL GO?Solana's price chart tells a powerful story, featuring a symmetrical triangle that will trigger a volatility surge. The recent consolidation phase showcases strong bullish sentiment, with higher highs and higher lows.
The 5EMA lines provide a solid foundation, supporting price movements reliably. As the price approaches the 12-period EMA, it outperforms longer-term averages, highlighting the impressive strength of the uptrend. This mirrors the 2020 crypto market surge, where similar technical indicators signaled a robust upward trend.
The MACD indicators offer a balanced view, reflecting short-term momentum and subtle divergences that demand attention. The CM Ult MACD takes a neutral stance, warning of a potential slowdown in the upward trend, reminiscent of the cautious optimism seen during the 2017 crypto bull run.
Volume will dictate the next move. A significant increase in volume during an upward breakout will confirm bullish expectations, similar to the 2021 surge of theuron (URNT), where rising volume drove the token's value. Weak volume will raise concerns, echoing the 2018 crypto market downturn.
The $300-$500 target range is within reach, provided the triangle's upper boundary is breached decisively. The broader crypto market recovery, similar to the rebound following the 2018 crash, supports this outlook.
Stay vigilant. Watch for breakouts accompanied by rising MACD and volume, like the 2021 Dogecoin (DOGE) surge. If bearish forces gain momentum, the lower triangle boundary and the $177-180 range will provide crucial support, similar to the $100 support seen during the 2020 Bitcoin (BTC) correction.
Solana's bullish traits dominate this consolidation phase, echoing the optimism of the 2021 crypto market boom. The forthcoming pattern resolution will determine its next significant move, and traders must prepare for either outcome.
IF BREAK OUT OCCURS WITH HUGE VOLUMES YOU CAN SEE A SURGE OF $150 TO $300 IN MID TERM HOLDING .
Is AUD/NZD Ready to Resume the Downtrend on the Daily Chart?Context on AUD/NZD Technical Factors
On July 30 and November 22, the AUD/NZD pair encountered significant resistance, reaching the 1.1150 level. The price's failure to break above this resistance has resulted in the formation of a double top on the daily chart. The candle on November 22 also indicated a false breakout of this resistance, signalling a notable influx of selling pressure. On November 29, AUD/NZD broke below its nearest uptrend line on the daily chart, prompting a decline to 1.0925 before recently rebounding to 1.1050, the level where the uptrend line was breached.
The current price level of 1.1050 aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent decline and represents the same area where the uptrend line breakout occurred. This suggests that once support is broken, it may serve as resistance going forward.
Key Elements of Analysis for AUD/NZD:
Double Top Formation: Indicates buyers’ inability to maintain prices above 1.1150.
Break of the Uptrend Line: Confirmed decrease in upward momentum.
Fibonacci Confluence: The breakout level coincides with the 50% Fibonacci level of the recent downtrend.
Possible Short Entry
Given this confluence of factors, there is a possibility that AUD/NZD may resume its downward movement in the coming days, especially if the price manages to close below 1.1000 on the daily chart.
Possible Targets:
The next support levels that could serve as potential targets include:
1.0880: This level acted as support in August and September, representing an approximate target of 120 pips. It is also in line with a rising trend line established since March 2020.
1.0780: This level was a support point on September 9, offering a potential target of approximately 220 pips.
Alternative Scenario: Bullish Reversal
An alternative scenario may unfold if the AUD/NZD breaks and closes above 1.1065 on the daily chart. In this case, the price could continue to rise towards historical resistance at 1.1150. A successful breach of this level could see the pair advance towards the next resistance at 1.1250.
Important Considerations
Investors should pay close attention to the upcoming release of New Zealand GDP data on December 18, as this could significantly impact the AUD/NZD pair. Additionally, key news concerning the Trade Balance for NZD should also be taken into account.
In summary, AUD/NZD is at a critical juncture, with technical indicators suggesting the potential for a downward move. Traders should closely monitor price action, particularly around the 1.1000 level, while remaining aware of upcoming economic data that could influence the market.
Disclaimer
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EURUSD → Consolidation before Fed Interest Rate DecisionFX:EURUSD is in a consolidation phase, as is the dollar index. The outcome could be decided this week. Traders are waiting for the FED meeting on US interest rates
Globally the trend is neutral, but the price is consolidating near the key support that has been holding the market for two years. Aggressive interest rate cuts in Europe are putting overall negative pressure on the currency pair. The dollar may go into a downward correction if the decision to cut interest rates is made on December 17-18. But any hint of hawkish policy on the part of the Fed may strengthen the dollar, which will intensify the decline in EURUSD
Resistance levels: 1.0607, 1.065
Support levels: 1.045, 1.033
Based on interest, amid the downtrend, the price has not yet reached the key liquidity zone. Before important news, the market may reach 1.0607. But based on the technical and fundamental background, the fall may continue, and a breakdown of 1.0448 will strengthen this fall.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Consolidation before the breakout. When do we go up?BINANCE:BTCUSD continues to consolidate, but within a strong bullish structure. The price is approaching the trigger, the breakout of which may provoke the formation of an upward impulse
Globally, the coin is still in the phase of realizing a global " cup and handle ", which I reminded one of the first back in August:
A good signal that hints that the growth is likely to continue is the fact that after a strong growth and testing 100K the price does not fall, but consolidates with gradually rising local lows, it is also worth paying attention to MA-50, which acts as a strong support. Within this consolidation we have clear zones, within which the price is trading and accumulating potential, and there is also a clear trigger, the breakout of which can provoke the continuation of growth (distribution).
But next week is the Fed meeting on December 17-18, and there may be short-term market manipulative reactions. Be careful
Resistance levels: 101.8K, 104.1K
Support levels: 98.9K, 94.15K
Technically, the focus is on 101.8 - 98.9. Consolidation is forming inside this channel. I do not exclude a chance of support retest in the format of a false breakdown before further growth. Another deep correction to the lower liquidity zone - 94.1K is also possible. But until the price breaks 101.8, bitcoin will not go up, and based on the chart, the event is close and the chance is high
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Google - Catch The 2025 Bullrun Now!Google ( NASDAQ:GOOGL ) is preparing for a strong year 2025:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
So many confluences on Google are pointing to a strong year of 2025. First of all we have the resistance trendline breakout which we saw a couple of months ago and bears were also not able to significantly push price lower after we saw the retest of resistance. This is soo bullish.
Levels to watch: $220
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
EURUSD → False breakout of resistance. DowntrendFX:EURUSD is testing resistance in the downtrend phase. The maneuver ends with a false breakout of resistance at 1.0607
On the daily timeframe the price is squeezed between the strong resistance at 1.06011 and the local support at 1.05. So, if the bears keep the defense below the key resistance, the currency pair will continue to fall in the short term. The target in this case may be the area of 1.05 - 1.044.
But, technically, the retest of 1.0607 may provoke a local breakout of the level and the price movement to the channel resistance against which there will also be a high probability of formation of a false breakout.
Resistance levels: 1.0607, 1.965, 1.076
Support levels: 1.0448, 1.0331
Emphasis on resistance. Confirmation of the nearest resistance in the form of price consolidation below the level, if retested, could be a good entry zone. But if resistance is broken, the focus will shift to 1.065 - 1.067
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ FX:EURUSD ;)
Regards R. Linda!
Gold Pullback to Buy Zones Before 2737 TargetTrading Idea Summary CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD
The price has been very **bullish**, and the initial expectation was for it to reach and test the **4-hour order block at 2737**. However, it is now pulling back to **strong buy zones** before continuing higher.
---
Updated Analysis:
1. **Pullback to Key Buy Zones:** The price is approaching critical support levels, such as **Fibonacci 0.5** and high-volume areas.
2. **Preparing for Further Upside:** These zones can serve as good entry points for the continuation of the bullish trend.
---
Strategy:
- **Entry:** Around Fibonacci 0.5 (2,669-2,670) or the "golden pocket" zone (0.71-0.75).
- **Target (TP):** 2737 (4-hour order block).
- **Risk Management:** Stop-loss below high-volume areas, maintaining at least a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio.
### Conclusion:
The price is showing a healthy pullback, creating a great buying opportunity before resuming the bullish trend towards 2737.
Gold Pullback to Buy Zones Before 2737 TargetTrading Idea Summary CAPITALCOM:GOLD TVC:GOLD
The price has been very **bullish**, and the initial expectation was for it to reach and test the **4-hour order block at 2737**. However, it is now pulling back to **strong buy zones** before continuing higher.
---
Updated Analysis:
1. **Pullback to Key Buy Zones:** The price is approaching critical support levels, such as **Fibonacci 0.5** and high-volume areas.
2. **Preparing for Further Upside:** These zones can serve as good entry points for the continuation of the bullish trend.
---
Strategy:
- **Entry:** Around Fibonacci 0.5 (2,669-2,670) or the "golden pocket" zone (0.71-0.75).
- **Target (TP):** 2737 (4-hour order block).
- **Risk Management:** Stop-loss below high-volume areas, maintaining at least a 1:2 risk-to-reward ratio.
### Conclusion:
The price is showing a healthy pullback, creating a great buying opportunity before resuming the bullish trend towards 2737.
BNB → Big accumulation. In step with the distributionBINANCE:BNBUSDT is trying to move into the realization phase after quite a long accumulation, thanks to which the coin can give a very good growth
The coin tested the strong support of 645 within the correction. False break of the support and quite aggressive buyout of the fall indicates buying potential. Bitcoin, which is testing the highs and ready to go even higher is a good driver for BNB
Accordingly, the focus is on near-term levels. If the price can break the near-term resistance and consolidate above, the market will further go to break ATH and try to renew it.
Resistance levels: 761, 793
Support levels: 691, 645
I don't exclude that the unexpected correction of bitcoin can provoke a correction in the cryptocurrency market, but in general the structure is bullish. High probability of resistance breakdown with the purpose of continuation of movement
Regards R. Linda!
EURUSD → False breakout of resistance. DowntrendFX:EURUSD is testing resistance in the downtrend phase. The maneuver ends with a false breakout of resistance at 1.067.
On the daily timeframe the price is squeezed between the strong resistance at 1.06011 and the local support at 1.05. So, if the bears keep the defense below the key resistance, the currency pair will continue to fall in the short term. The target in this case may be the area of 1.05 - 1.044.
But, technically, the retest of 1.067 may provoke a local breakout of the level and the price movement to the channel resistance against which there will also be a high probability of formation of a false breakout.
Resistance levels: 1.067, 1.965, 1.076
Support levels: 1.0448, 1.0331
Emphasis on resistance. Confirmation of the nearest resistance in the form of price consolidation below the level, if retested, could be a good entry zone. But if resistance is broken, the focus will shift to 1.065 - 1.067
GOLD → Retest 2720. CPI ahead, what to expect?FX:XAUUSD is coming out of a long consolidation and testing 2688. Bulls are trying to keep the defense above this zone, but the risks are increased by the publication of CPI...
Gold was boosted by the escalation of the conflict in the Middle East and renewed buying of gold reserves by China. Amid looming tariffs announced by Trump and weakening labor market conditions, the US inflation report will be crucial in determining the Fed's easing trajectory in the coming months.
Further upside for gold prices hinges on the release of US CPI data, which is likely to set the pace for US Fed action early next year.
Technically, gold is heading towards broad range resistance as well as the 2720 liquidity zone. The chances of reaching the target are high, but a sharp approach and high news volatility could trigger a false breakout.
Resistance levels: 2705, 2720
Support levels: 2688, 2675, 2658
The CPI data may trigger both a rise in the dollar and a deep correction, depending on the interpretation of the current US economy. Gold may react accordingly, but it all depends on the actual data.
Regards R. Linda!
BITCOIN → Trend reversal? The end of growth? Or ...BINANCE:BTCUSD still maintains a bullish market structure as evidenced by the local upward channel within the broader consolidation channel. After a strong rally, the price is moving into consolidation.
several possible scenarios regarding current levels and the current situation
Consolidation is the accumulation of a position. Accordingly, there can be different situations inside such a figure: traps, traps, false breakdowns, unpredictable impulses and so on. And it all has one goal - accumulation. Technically, the bullish market structure is not broken. Globally - flat. Locally - an ascending channel.
The risk of breaking the bullish structure will be if the price starts to approach 91K - 85K. Then the question about deeper correction or even reversal will become more serious, but not now.
The bulls are actively defending the boundaries of the local ascending channel and it may lead the price to retest 99-102K, but at the moment there are no preconditions for strong growth. The market will need a few days to recover its strength. Just during this period of time, the asset may show further intentions.
Resistance levels: 99K, 101.3K, 104K
Support levels: 95.9K, 91.6K
If the bears hold the defense below 99K and the price starts to fall down, then pay attention to 95.9K. Further fall or consolidation inside the channel will depend on this level.
If the bulls will be able to keep the defense inside the channel (above the support), then in the medium term we can count on the continuation of growth
Rate, share your opinion and questions, let's discuss what's going on with ★ BINANCE:BTCUSDT ;)
Regards R. Linda!
S&P 500 Index→Simple Analysis SP:SPX The S&P500 index (SPX) has had an excellent run since the time (August 28, see chart below) we introduced the following piece of analysis on the similarities between the 2015 - 2017 fractal and today's 2022 - 2024:
If it continues to replicate the past pattern into the 2018 fractal as well, then we may experience the last correction of the Bull Cycle around March 2025 towards the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) as it happened in February - March 2018 and then the final rally to a new All Time High (ATH) towards the end of the year (October - December 2025).
What this pattern shows, and what we've presented to you as a possible scenario on previous analyses, is for a new Bear Cycle to begin in 2026, four years after the Inflation Crisis of 2022, that will once more test the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the market's long-term Support.
As a side-note to investors, it is important to understand that corrections are cyclical and crises systemic. Long-term, multi-year patterns like this, help us understand with a certain degree of efficiency, when to enter and when to exit. Timing is at times (especially on such long-term horizons), more important than pricing.