$BTC Showing More Downside AheadCURTAIN CALL FOR CRYPTOCAP:BTC 🧐
Need to close the Day above $99k to hold this uptrend and .786 Fib level
Tomorrow will be a big day to watch 🍿
If we get a 3rd bearish candle that will signal our final dump to $85-90k before we take our next leg up to $115k 🚀
Volume trending bearish along with the RSI showing more room for downside.
Don’t get shaken out!
Santa Claus is coming to town 🎅
Trend Lines
AES Corporation - Short term view with strong supportSo first of all both price and indicators are confirming the downtrend.
Today NYSE:AES opened with a gap succeeding yesterday's equilibrium in price with doji candles.
The price is still in the middle of the regression line and in the next few days the price don't seems to be close to upper 2 SD.
In the print above the yellow line shows the support at $11.43. The image's time horizon starts at the end of 2006.
Furthermore looking at short ratio available online the value is about 2,7 from mid October as well as more than 22M short interest
Ethereum Fibonacci Strategy SetupThis ethereum setup I use is on the 15 minute chart. The signals are SMA crossovers of the 13/55. And the moving average plots are using Golden Ratio numbers to forecast near term price movements. Lastly I use a sessions indicator to show the New York & Tokyo sessions. As well as a tick value indicator to show me how much the tick value of
the futures contract for Ethereum.
Crossover Signals:
Long - SMA 13 > SMA 55
Short - SMA 13 < SMA 55
Golden Ratio Plots (SMA):
111 - White
233 - Red
610 - Green
Timeframe:
15 minute
Binance stalled, but will go higherBinance coin is stalled undertaking a long-term inverted head and shoulders pattern. There is likely to be a bit more down, before busting through the upper trend line on to new all time highs. Keep a close eye on it, as it's buffeting nicely. I'd take a long trade once there's confirmation of the upper trend line being decisively breached. Else, we might see a failed head and shoulders. Keep a close eye and follow for more.
After the Fed’s Rate Cut: Gold’s Price Action and What’s NextYesterday was another wildly volatile day for OANDA:XAUUSD , with prices dropping approximately 600 pips following the Fed's rate cut.
After breaking below the 2645-2650 confluence support on Tuesday, the market entered a day of consolidation with a tight trading range.
However, the calm didn’t last long...
Yesterday's sharp decline took prices below the 2610-2615 technical support zone and even breached the critical 2600 level.
Overnight, Gold rebounded back above 2600, but in my opinion, this recovery is likely a normal retracement and does not signal a bottom for the yellow metal.
For bears, the sell zone begins at 2620 and extends slightly past 2630, accounting for the heightened volatility. This area presents an opportunity to look for short entries. The initial target for this move would be yesterday's low, but I wouldn’t be surprised to see Gold drop further toward the 2525 key support level in the near future.
As long as prices remain below the 2650-2660 resistance range, the outlook for XauUsd stays firmly bearish .
CADCHF Elliott Wave AnalysisHello friends
In the CADCHF currency pair, we expect the price to grow, but why?
In this currency pair, we are witnessing the formation of 2 5-wave patterns and 2 zigzag patterns, which can be called 1 or A and 2 or B and 3 or C.
In my opinion, considering the price drop and the formation of these patterns, it is evidence of a price reversal.
Therefore, I expect the formation of wave 5.
I also consider the stop loss at 0.62100.
If our theory is correct, we expect the price to grow to the level of 100% and then 161.8% Fibonacci.
To support me, I recommend installing the Trading View application on your phone and see my analyses and support me with your comments and Boost. Be successful and profitable.
Gold Drops $65 as Bearish Momentum Dominates Post-Fed DecisionGold Technical Analysis
Gold prices dropped approximately $65 yesterday following the Federal Reserve's rate decision. The market continues to exhibit bearish momentum as long as it trades below 2623 and 2612, targeting 2585. A break below 2585, confirmed by a 1-hour or 4-hour candle close, could push the price further down to 2558.
The gold market is expected to remain volatile, with the upcoming GDP report playing a crucial role:
If GDP comes in below the expected 2.8%, this could support a bullish move.
If GDP exceeds 2.8%, this could reinforce the bearish trend.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 2612
Resistance Levels: 2623, 2638, 2653
Support Levels: 2585, 2572, 2558
Trend Outlook
Bearish below 2623 and 2612
Bullish above 2623
$2800- $3000: how does gold hold steady amid global uncertainty?Gold has once again emerged as a focal point in global financial markets, gaining significant attention from investors amidst economic instability and geopolitical tensions. In 2024, the price of gold increased by over 28%, reaffirming its role as a reliable asset for capital preservation during uncertain times. Below, we explore the primary factors influencing gold prices, investment strategies, and future prospects for this precious metal.
What Drives Gold Prices?
1. Geopolitical Tensions as a Catalyst:
Political and military conflicts , such as those in the Middle East, amplify the appeal of gold as a "safe haven."
During periods of uncertainty, gold becomes a hedge against shocks in the global economy, prompting higher demand from both individual investors and institutions.
2. Impact of U.S. Federal Reserve Policy:
The Federal Reserve's monetary decisions significantly influence gold prices.
The current economic environment, shaped by pressure for lower interest rates, benefits gold as an asset class.
Under the influence of a potentially “dovish” U.S. administration, expectations of sustained inflation and reduced rates create a favorable backdrop for gold.
3. Increased Central Bank Purchases:
Central banks worldwide have been actively boosting their gold reserves.
Gold serves as a hedge against inflation and currency fluctuations, particularly for economies in regions like India and the Middle East, where the metal holds cultural and financial significance.
Investment Opportunities in Gold
Investing in gold offers diverse options, each catering to different risk appetites and levels of expertise:
• Gold ETFs:
Exchange-traded funds are an accessible entry point for novice investors due to their simplicity and low barriers to entry.
These funds allow investors to gain exposure to gold without the complexities of physical ownership.
• Shares of Gold Mining Companies:
Stocks in companies like Newmont (USA), Barrick Gold (Canada), and Freeport-McMoRan (USA) offer potential for higher returns compared to direct gold investments.
However, they come with added risks due to market volatility and company-specific factors.
• Gold Futures:
Futures contracts enable investors to lock in prices and mitigate volatility.
This strategy is best suited for experienced investors who understand market dynamics and risk management.
Outlook for 2025
The combination of geopolitical instability, high inflation, and low interest rates sets the stage for continued growth in gold prices. Over the next six months, gold prices are projected to reach $2800 per ounce. While crossing the $3000 mark may seem overly optimistic, it remains a possibility under certain geopolitical scenarios.
As global economic uncertainties persist, gold's role as a stable and reliable investment is likely to strengthen, ensuring its continued relevance in diversified portfolios.
NYSE:NEM
TSX:ABX
NYSE:FCX
Dow Plummets 1,100 Points Amid Fed’s Hawkish GuidanceMarket Reacts to Limited Rate Cut Projections and Elevated Economic Uncertainty
Dow Drops 1,100 Points in Turbulent Session After Fed Announcement
Investors rushed to reduce exposure to risk assets on Wednesday after Federal Reserve Chair Jay Powell signaled a shift in the central bank's outlook for 2025.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average plunged over 1,100 points following the Fed’s anticipated 25-basis-point interest rate cut and its updated forward guidance. While the rate cut was expected, the announcement that only two cuts are projected for 2024 rattled investors. Powell’s message marked the end of an extended period of monetary easing, further weighing on market sentiment.
This marked the Dow’s tenth consecutive losing session, a streak not seen since 1974, when the index endured eleven straight losses.
Technical Analysis
The Dow's price dropped more than 4.5% ahead of Powell's speech, maintaining a bearish momentum. Stability below the pivot point of 42,590 suggests further downside potential, while a close above this level could indicate a reversal.
Today, the U.S. GDP release will be a key driver of market movement:
If the GDP comes in below 2.8%, it may support a bullish move toward 42,770 and possibly 42,900.
If the GDP exceeds 2.8%, bearish momentum could drive the index toward 42,380 or even as low as 41,120.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 42,590
Resistance Levels: 42,770, 42,900, 43,190
Support Levels: 42,380, 42,150, 41,970
Trend Outlook
Bullish Momentum: If the price stabilizes above 42,590.
Bearish Momentum: Likely to persist with stability below 42,590.
GBP/USD Analysis:Hello Dear Traders,
Take a look at the weekly chart; a clear bullish channel is evident here. We tend to long the pair in this situation, given that we are around the bottom of the bullish channel. However, I don't trade based on the weekly channel.
On the daily chart, we see a bearish trend line and a gap towards the bottom of the channel. Breaking above the trend line on the daily chart would indicate more bullish movements in the future.
However, examining the 2-hour chart, it appears that there might be a reversal following a strong bearish candle. This candle was formed due to the FOMC voting, and I believe there may be some sell orders left from that. Therefore, I predict more bearish movements on the 2-hour chart during the reversal.
Ethereum Fibonacci Retracement SetupThis ethereum setup I use is on the 15 minute chart. The signals are SMA crossovers of the 13/55. And the moving average plots are using Golden Ratio numbers to forecast near term price movements. Lastly I use a sessions indicator to show the New York & Tokyo sessions. As well as a tick value indicator to show me how much the tick value of the futures contract for Ethereum.
Crossover Signals:
Long - SMA 13 > SMA 55
Short - SMA 13 < SMA 55
Golden Ratio Plots (SMA):
111 - White
233 - Red
610 - Green
Timeframe :
15 minute
Futures Steady After Wall Street Slump on Fed Rate Cut OutlookFutures Steady After Wall Street Declines on Fed's View of Fewer Rate Cuts
U.S. stock index futures edged higher on Thursday as investors assessed the Federal Reserve's revised projections, which include fewer-than-expected interest rate cuts and elevated inflation expectations for next year. These updates caused a significant sell-off on Wall Street the day before.
On Wednesday, the Fed announced its forecast of only two 25 basis point (bps) rate cuts in 2024, halving its previous projection from September. The central bank also raised inflation expectations for the early months of the incoming administration. These adjustments triggered the steepest daily declines in the three major U.S. stock indices since August.
S&P 500 Technical Analysis
The S&P 500 experienced a sharp decline of more than 3.5% due to the Federal Reserve's decision to reduce interest rates by only 25 bps. This decision created uncertainty and weighed heavily on investor sentiment.
Today, the U.S. GDP report is a key event that could significantly impact the market. The GDP growth rate is projected to decline by 2.8% compared to the previous period.
If the GDP data comes in below 2.8%, the market may turn bullish, potentially reaching 5971.
If the GDP data exceeds 2.8%, the bearish trend could continue, with the S&P 500 targeting levels of 5885 and 5863.
Key Levels
Pivot Point: 5932
Resistance Levels: 5971, 5988, 6020
Support Levels: 5885, 5863, 5837
Trend Outlook
Downward Trend: Likely to persist if the price remains below 5932.
Upward Trend: Potential recovery if the price breaks above 5932.
AVAX Short entryhello to everyone.
in this analysis the AVAX after changing character and becoming bearish completed its pullback phase and came and swept all the liquidity marked with the dollar sign.
this a very good confluence and after waiting for confirmation on lower time frame we finally got it and price became bearish in LTF as well.
so I set a limit order at a 30-minute order block and wait for the price to tag me in the trade if that happens the price could potentially go lower.
remember to manage your risk.
thank you and have a good night.
Reliance Swing TradeHello,
Trend-Based Analysis. Buy the Dips, Sell The Rallies, Also Following the Trend. Let's see where the Price Action takes us, Riding the wave. Potential trade setups based on trend momentum.
Technical analysis based on trend identification and momentum, Looking for high-probability setups within the prevailing trend.
Analyzing the current market trend and potential future price movement. Focusing on risk management and reward-to-risk ratios.
Details is Mentioned in Chart, Read carefully.. .
AUDUSD: If FOMC Vote on Stroner USD Federal Open Market Committee members could affect all markets including oil, stocks, Gold, Crypto and Forex Surely!
In case of any better than predicted Core Retail Sales, FOMC may avoid decreasing interest rate and thus the AUDUSD may fall.
ATTENTION: Strong fluctuations after the news release might occur.