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Trend Analysis

BTC - The path to $74kBtc is well on its way to $74,000 pull back area. The path is tradeable as a short, but will have steep counter rallies. See below. Murrey Math, Elliot Wave, and Kumar Wave are being used for this analysis. After this wave is complete, I am not sure that a new high will follow immediately afterward. A more protracted 3 wave multi year bear is certainly possible taking us down to the $50 - $40k range, but I will review that more closely after the shape of this decline takes hold. I would recommend shorts for now and then buys near the $75k level.
KRAKEN:BTCUSDShort
by Urbanmove
XAG/USD 2-Hour Chart Analysis: Buy OpportunityA bullish CHoCH (Change of Character) pattern has been observed in XAG/USD after several BOSES (Break Of Structures) indicating a potential trend reversal from downward to upward. A valid Order Block has been identified, and the current price is slightly above it. The market is attempting to fill the Fair Value Gap (FVG), presenting a buying opportunity. Buy Entry: 29.3500 S.L: 28.7000 TP1: 29.7500 TP2: 30.1500 TP3: 30.5000 TP4: 30.9000
TVC:SILVERLong
by Chart_Champ1
2025 BITCOIN PRICE PREDICTIONBased on the current market, all the fundamentals and technicals considered i think BTC could hit $150,000 in 2025 on the next bull run, but first we need a large pull back to complete the fib's retracement levels. On the monthly time frame the candle formations have started to clearly show signs of deceleration and liquidation as the market slows down, we also have a high test / reversal candle which does indicate the market could be starting to reverse which would make sense after a large pump like the one we saw to $100k, the market needs to offer relief and pull back. On the weekly we have again signs of deceleration and a few recent candles that signal bearish momentum is incoming. All of this coupled with a large liquidation percentage as BTC famously hit $100k does clearly indicate a move on bigger time frames to the down side. My target for the downside move / pull back is around the $71,000 level, this is due to this being the next major support level and it also aligns nicely with the 61.80% fib retracement level which adds some correlation to the strategy. If we get this large pull back / dump to $71,000 i would expect BTC to reject the support / fib level, this area will attract a lot of attention from buyers / traders and will likely see aa large influx of liquidity to support a rejection and pump to the upside, this is likely the price area w would see BTC change it's trend from bearish to bullish. The fib generates a potential target of $150,000 on this move which also aligns very nicely with a psychological level, a lot of traders will target / take profit at the $150k mark purely because it is a nice round number, similar to $100k. Remember ALT's move in correlation to BTC, so if this move does play out it will also give us plenty of massive opportunities to get in on some good ALT's like SOL, ETH etc and catch the ride as they'll also pump with BTC, so if BTC creates new ATH's at $150k then so will the majority of the ALT coins.
COINBASE:BTCUSDLong
by h77nry
Litecoin the Rumpelstiltskin of Crypto Ready to Wake UpI hope Santa treated everyone well for the holidays. It’s been a while since I’ve shared some TA, I thought it might be good to check out a dark horse which has been showing some signs of life and a bit of buzz lately. Dino-Coin everyone loves to hate – Litecoin. On the LTF (1D) Point and Figure, the formation is currently printing a reaccumulation pattern, with strong support consolidating around the $97 handle after printing a Shakeout Spring pattern to the $87 handle in Phase B, a subsequent test of that support at the $97 handle, and a Jump Across the Creek (JAC) in Phase C. The horizontal price count suggests a potential near-term move to the $140 from a Sign of Strength (SOS), with the potential to cap out the Buying Climax (BC) at the $170 handle. Given Bitcoin PA appears to be in Phase E of a distribution pattern targeting the $87,000 handle, it’s possible the $87 handle would be tested during this Bitcoin distribution cycle. Should Litecoin break support at the $97 handle and successfully retest support at the $87 handle, the horizontal price count in this scenario suggests a potential near-term move to the $129 from a Sign of Strength (SOS), with the potential to cap out the Buying Climax (BC) at the $170 handle. A break below $86 would show a Change of Character from accumulation to distribution, which would invalidate the formation. Always remember this is not trading advice. Outside of that, Happy Trading.
KRAKEN:LTCUSDLong
by FOFAgent1
Benner's cycle tops Benner Cycle is a chart depicting market cycles between the years 1924 to 2059. The chart was originally published by Ohioan farmer Samuel Benner in his 1884 book, "Benner's Prophecies of Ups and Downs in Prices". The chart marks three phases of market cycles: A. Panic Years - "Years in which panic have occurred and will occur again. B. Good Times - "Years of Good Times. High prices and the time to sell Stocks and values of all kinds. C. Years of Hard Times, Low Prices, and a good time to buy Stocks, 'Corner Lots', Goods, etc. and hold till the 'Boom' reaches the years of good times; then unload.
SP:SPX
by ipitch
Bitcoin analysis strategy,Looking at the chart, we can see how the price started trading inside the pennant and bounced off the support line and almost rose to the support level, which coincides with the buyer's area. In the pennant pattern, BTC started to rise inside the ascending channel, breaking through the 92600 level, and then rose to the channel resistance line, after which it corrected. Next, the price continued to rise, and then rose to the resistance level, coinciding with the seller's area, and then corrected to the buyer's area. After that, the price continued to rise inside the channel, and soon reached the 103000 resistance level and broke through it. Next, BTC reached the channel resistance line, coincided with the pennant resistance line, and moved strongly downward to the pennant support line, exiting the channel and breaking through the resistance level. After this movement, the price started to pick up and started to rise near the pennant support line, and now I think BTC can exit the pennant and fall to the support level. Then it will pick up and start to rise to the 103000 resistance level, which is my target price.
Long
by SPPOK1
TKC Connecting the DotsTurkcell (TKC) is building strong bullish momentum, with a gap forming around the $6.25 level. A breakout above the $6.94 resistance would signal further strength, positioning the stock to target the $8.46 monthly resistance. This setup offers an attractive risk-to-reward ratio, with downside risk managed via a stop-loss at $5.91. As a leading telecommunications provider, Turkcell benefits from its dominant position in the Turkish market and its diversified revenue streams, including mobile, fixed-line, and digital services. With increasing demand for data and digital transformation in emerging markets, Turkcell’s innovative approach to expanding its product offerings strengthens its growth potential. This combination of technical momentum and favorable market fundamentals supports a bullish push toward $8.46, presenting a compelling opportunity for traders and investors alike. NYSE:TKC
NYSE:TKCLong
by The_Trading_Mechanic
ES Weekly Trading Plan: Balancing Market Strategy 12/29 🚨Trading Plan: Balancing Market Strategy with Failure Scenarios 🚨 Market Context The market is currently in a balancing phase, with defined extremes of the balance zone at 6164 (high) and 5898 (low). Our approach will focus on trading around the midpoint and targeting key levels, while remaining aware of potential failure scenarios where the market tests beyond the extremes but fails to sustain momentum. Key Levels Balance Zone High: 6164 Balance Zone Low: 5898 Midpoint (Pivot): 6031 🎯 Upside Targets: 6072 6108 6144 📉 Downside Targets: 5999 5964 5928 🧑‍💼 Strategy Overview Objective: Trade within the balancing market, utilizing the midpoint as a pivot for directional bias, while also preparing for failure scenarios at the balance zone extremes. Risk Management: Place stops just outside the balance zone extremes to avoid being caught in a breakout trap. Execution Plan: Follow a systematic entry and exit plan based on price action near key levels, with heightened focus on failure scenarios at the extremes. Trade Execution Plan Pivot Zone: 6031 If price holds above 6031: Look for long opportunities targeting upside levels. If price breaks and holds below 6031: Look for short opportunities targeting downside levels. Upside Trade Setup: Entry: Enter long positions near 6031 on confirmation of support (e.g., strong buying momentum, bullish candlestick patterns). Targets: 6072 → 6108 → 6144 → Stop Loss: Place stops just below 5999 to protect capital. Downside Trade Setup: Entry: Enter short positions near 6031 on confirmation of resistance (e.g., strong selling momentum, bearish candlestick patterns). Targets: 5999 → 5964 → 5928 → Stop Loss: Place stops just above 6072 to protect capital. ⚡ Failure Scenarios Looking Above 6164 and Failing: Scenario: The market breaches 6164, signaling potential breakout buyers, but quickly reverses and re-enters the balance zone. Trade Opportunity: Short the market on confirmation of failure (e.g., rejection candlesticks, increasing sell volume). Targets: 6144 → 6108 → 6072 → Midpoint (6031). Stop Loss: Place stops just above 6164 to avoid prolonged breakout risk. Looking Below 5898 and Failing: Scenario: The market breaches 5898, signaling potential breakout sellers, but quickly reverses and re-enters the balance zone. Trade Opportunity: Long the market on confirmation of failure (e.g., rejection candlesticks, increasing buy volume). Targets: 5928 → 5964 → 5999 → Midpoint (6031). Stop Loss: Place stops just below 5898 to avoid prolonged breakout risk. Fake Breakout from Midpoint (6031): Scenario: The market shows a directional breakout from 6031 but fails to sustain momentum, reversing back into balance. Trade Opportunity: Trade in the direction of the failed breakout, targeting the opposite side of the balance zone. Stop Loss: Place stops just outside the failed breakout level. 💡 Risk Management Position Sizing: Risk no more than 1-2% of account balance per trade. Use tight stops to minimize loss in failure scenarios. Break-Even Adjustments: Move stops to break-even once the first target is hit. 📈 Trade Monitoring Order Flow Analysis: Continuously monitor volume and order flow near extremes and the midpoint for signs of breakout or failure. Market Context Update: Adapt the plan if the market establishes a new range or breaks out of balance. 💰 Exit Plan Take profits incrementally at each target. Exit immediately if the market signals sustained breakout momentum beyond the balance zone extremes. 🔔 Stay disciplined and adapt to the price action! #BalanceZone #MarketStrategy #RiskManagement #SPX
CME_MINI:ES1!
by dhjesus
Macro Drivers to Watch for WTIMacroeconomic Cross-Analysis: 1. Global Oil Supply Dynamics OPEC+ Production Decisions: Production Cuts: If OPEC+ continues or deepens production cuts, expect a bullish reaction in WTI prices. This would align with the bullish OB zone at $69.16–$71.83, acting as a strong support and entry zone for a potential rebound. Output Increases: If OPEC+ decides to increase production due to geopolitical pressure or demand concerns, WTI could break below the $69.16 level, leading to a bearish continuation. US Shale Oil Production: Higher shale production in response to rising prices could limit WTI’s upside, particularly near the $78.50–$80.05 bearish OB zone. 2. Geopolitical Events Middle East Tensions: Escalation (Bullish for Oil): Any escalation in conflicts involving key oil producers like Saudi Arabia, Iran, or others in the region could lead to supply disruptions. Such events would likely push WTI toward the $74.00 FVG zone or even the $78.50–$80.05 bearish OB zone. De-escalation (Bearish for Oil): A resolution or stabilization in these regions would alleviate supply concerns, increasing the likelihood of WTI breaking below $69.16, targeting the $65.19 bullish OB zone. Russia-Ukraine Conflict: A prolonged conflict could disrupt global energy markets, particularly if sanctions reduce Russian oil exports. This would support higher WTI prices, making $74.00–$78.50 a strong target zone. Alternatively, increased Russian exports via alternative channels (e.g., to China and India) could dampen bullish momentum. 3. Demand-Side Dynamics China’s Economic Recovery: Bullish Scenario: If China’s economy recovers strongly, its oil imports will rise significantly, supporting WTI prices and potentially pushing price action toward $78.50–$80.05. Look for data on industrial production, PMI, and oil import volumes from China. Bearish Scenario: A sluggish recovery or further economic weakness (e.g., due to COVID-19 policies or property sector struggles) would cap oil demand, likely leading to WTI testing support near $69.16 or even $65.19. US and Global Growth: Strong GDP growth in the US and other major economies (e.g., Eurozone) would boost oil demand, aligning with bullish technical zones. A global slowdown or recession, however, would reduce demand, increasing the likelihood of a bearish breakdown below $69.16. 4. Inventory and Supply Data US Crude Oil Inventory Reports (EIA/API): Lower Inventories: Unexpectedly low inventory levels indicate strong demand or constrained supply, likely driving WTI prices higher toward $74.00–$78.50. Higher Inventories: Rising inventories signal oversupply or weakening demand, increasing the probability of a bearish test of $65.19. SPR (Strategic Petroleum Reserve) Releases: Further releases from the SPR would pressure prices lower, targeting $69.16 or below. 5. Monetary Policy and USD Strength Federal Reserve Policy: Hawkish Fed: A strong USD due to higher interest rates makes oil more expensive for non-USD buyers, pressuring WTI prices lower. This could lead to a breakdown below $69.16. Dovish Fed: Rate cuts or dovish guidance would weaken the USD, making oil more attractive globally, supporting WTI’s bullish trajectory toward $74.00 or higher. BOJ Policy Impact on JPY: As oil is traded in USD, shifts in major currencies like the yen (JPY) can influence demand. A weaker yen supports USD-denominated oil prices. 6. Market Sentiment Risk-On/Risk-Off: Risk-On Environment: Optimistic market sentiment (e.g., equity rallies, strong growth outlook) supports higher oil demand and prices, aligning with a bullish break toward $74.00–$78.50. Risk-Off Environment: A risk-off shift (e.g., due to geopolitical tensions, financial instability) would increase demand for safe havens, potentially pressuring WTI lower to test $69.16 or $65.19. Speculative Positioning: COT Reports: Track speculative net positions in crude oil. A rise in long positions could support bullish moves toward $74.00 and above. Sentiment Drivers to Watch OPEC+ Meeting Announcements: Key supply-side drivers. Global Economic Data: Watch PMI, GDP growth, and industrial output figures. Geopolitical Updates: Any tensions in key oil-producing regions. USD Movements: Strong correlation with WTI price action. Energy Transition News: Long-term focus on renewables could dampen bullish sentiment. Technical Zones + Macro Alignment Bullish Entry: Zone: $65.19–$69.16 (Bullish OB): Look for confirmation here if macro factors (e.g., OPEC cuts, lower inventories) support a rebound. Bearish Entry: Zone: $78.50–$80.05 (Bearish OB): Short this zone if supply concerns ease, inventories rise, or demand weakens. Neutral Play: Monitor price within $69.16–$74.00 for consolidation, driven by mixed macro signals.
BLACKBULL:WTI
by TalkativeJuan