PEPE’s Next Move: Anticipating a Correction Amidst OvervaluationIn the wake of the recent rally in BINANCE:BTCUSDT , BINANCE:1000PEPEUSDT.P has followed suit, joining the upward momentum and achieving fresh higher highs. Looking at historical patterns, it's plausible that we could witness a 10% retracement in the coming days, as corrections have been common following similar surges. Furthermore, we’ve been tracking a month-long upward trend where strategic pullbacks have consistently set the stage for new highs, reinforcing the potential for a short-term decline.
The current price action appears somewhat inflated, especially when considering key indicators such as the EMA200 and Bollinger Bands , both of which suggest overvaluation at this stage. With these confluences in mind, I foresee a potential move towards filling the imbalance that has been left behind by recent price spikes.
For this setup, I have identified two target profit zones:
TP1: 0.0100676
TP2: 0.0096963
To manage risk, the stop-loss is placed at 0.0112460, allowing for a balanced approach that accounts for market volatility while still capturing potential downside movement.
Trend
XAUUSD 13/10/24This week, gold's price action dropped and took out the liquidity to the left, as we discussed in last week's analysis. This move provided enough momentum to fuel a bullish shift, suggesting higher prices are likely, as indicated in our previous analysis. Looking left, there are two liquidity highs that are likely to be targeted next, followed by the all-time high, which is our primary target.
Based on the principle that we may see a pullback into bearish pricing, we have identified an area of demand. If this demand zone delivers a bullish setup, we can look to go long from here, aiming for the all-time high. However, if there is no reaction at this demand zone, we will look for the liquidity below to be taken. Should the price not pull back at all, we will then anticipate the all-time high to be taken directly.
Trade safe and follow your plan.
Have a great trading week!
EURUSD 13/10/24Starting off the week with the US dollar, we saw a significant sell-off last week, which eventually led to consolidation as the week progressed. Price action currently suggests a potential move higher before any long-term downward trend continues. As mentioned in previous weeks' analyses, there is now a buyer's market emerging.
We expect the current price action to persist. While pullbacks are not guaranteed, a broader move towards lower prices in the long term is anticipated. However, short-term reaccumulation is also likely, meaning a push higher is just as probable as a continued sell-off at this stage. We are not expecting a substantial pullback, but the long-term outlook remains bearish.
Key areas of interest include a significant supply zone and a liquidity high. If the price moves up to this level, a strong sell-off could occur. Nevertheless, the overall expectation is for the price to decline further before reaching these points.
Stick to your risk and follow your plan!
BTC - Do You Remember This? Now What?Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders,
📍Following my last BTC Monthly log view analysis on November 11, 2022 , we anticipated the bulls taking control after rejecting the lower green trendline and horizontal support.
Currently BTC is approaching its all-time high!
What's Next?
📈 If the current all-time high (highlighted in red) is surpassed, we anticipate a 254% increase, mirroring the last bull cycle. This aligns with the upper boundary of the green channel and the 200k - 250k round numbers.
⚠️ However, the journey may encounter bumps, leading to sharp correction movements to shake out weak hands.
This bearish scenario, would mean retesting the lower green trendline before surging!
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Richard Nasr
GBPJPY - Technical Analysis [Long Setup]🔹 GBPUSD Analysis on 15m chart
- The current Trend is BULLISH
- Simple trade on HHs HLs
🔹 Trade Plan
- Entry Level = 194.393
- Stop Loss = 194.110
- TP1 = 194.680
- TP2 = 194.937
🔹 Risk Management
- First TP is 1:1
- Second TP is 1:2
🔹 How to Take Trade?
- Only risk 2% of your portfolio
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:1 RR
- Take 1% risk entry with 1:2 RR
Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea! ✌🏼
AUDUSD - Follow the Bulls!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AUDUSD has been overall bullish, trading inside the rising channel in green.
Moreover, it is approaching a massive demand zone in blue.
🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and lower green trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDUSD is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
CSI 300 [Weekly Chart]The similarities of market movement in the CSI 300:
1. 2006-2007
2. 2014-2015
3. 2020-2021
After which we see a crash in the CSI 300 following a 8 months to 1 year (est.) rally.
The rally leading up to the crash also comes generally in 2 stages.
"History doesn't repeat itself, but it often rhymes"
SOL - Are these moves big enough CRYPTOCAP:SOL is facing some market indecision and is at a fib retracement level of the 382 after hitting the .618
As often seen in the market price retracts in search of liquidity and confirmation of support.
we have a long legged Doji candlestick on the Weekly close that is showing market indecision and could indicate an end to the downward momentum. We need to confirm this before we can be sure of this reversal and are watching for support to be found on the 382.
Barring support being found we will see price go lower into the accumulation price area and we must confirm the trend reversal before entering a trade.
If we can setup the trade and catch the reversal we could see anywhere from 20% to 40% returns on a day position and may want to look towards entering into a 30 day long at this point as well for even larger possible returns as SOL could be in the 170 area in a month if we break out of the overall larger downtrend
UPTOBER: Bitcoin’s Pump and Higher Low FormationSince May, Bitcoin has been trapped in a bearish price structure, characterized by lower highs and lower lows . Every attempt to break out was met with resistance, pushing the price lower. However, after the August lower low , Bitcoin began a reversal , producing two consecutive higher highs and higher lows . This shift is crucial because it indicates a bullish price structure, meaning the market is finally beginning to move upward again.
While a small reset in Bitcoin’s price from $66K to $60K was expected and I stand here to say, I was wrong and I apologize to fail giving you the other side of the apple for being bearish during my live stream and other documents and shot calls, the retracement was largely influenced by external factors, specifically the geopolitical tensions in Israel. Even though the pullback occurred earlier than anticipated, the market structure remains bullish, and we could soon see Bitcoin break through the $68K resistance level. As the chart shows, Bitcoin has created a solid foundation for this next leg of the rally.
Pepsico (PEP): Breakout or Rebound? Earnings Report IncomingThis week, Pepsico is set to announce its earnings, and we continue to monitor the same pattern that has persisted for a while now.
PepsiCo's recent $1.2 billion acquisition of Siete Foods is a strategic move to expand Frito-Lay's "better-for-you" snack segment. Although the near-term impact on revenue is expected to be minimal, Citi predicts a modest contribution to overall growth. The deal is anticipated to close in 2025, broadening PepsiCo's multicultural portfolio.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:PEP is still moving within the established range. We've added zones above and below the range and highlighted each instance when NASDAQ:PEP broke through the range. Except for one occurrence, all these breakouts provided good entry opportunities. The future direction remains uncertain, but the key is whether Pepsico can hold its level upon breaking through the range—it needs to hold to sustain momentum rather than falling back.
For now, we continue to keep a close watch on NASDAQ:PEP and are waiting for this week's earnings report to provide further clarity. ✅
NAS100 (OCTOBER 2024)New ALL TIME HIGH in the near future for NAS100???
While the possibility of a new All Time High and a push up further up for NAS100 is foreseeable. We have to keep in mind that there is a strong resistance level (0.618 shown) that has been holding its ground, to say the least.
October could set the tone for the remainder of the year, if it could go above and close the month off above that 0.618 level ($20 163.90). Should that happen, we could see a nice bull run to very nice and new highs for the rest of the year.
It is worth noting that the Fibonacci Trend Based Extension (plotted in blue) is based of the 12M timeframe which would hold the most amount of weight to the areas. If you take a look at the chart you would notice the rejections and breakthroughs in certain months and what followed those accordingly.
As it is still early day's of the month, it would be better paying attention towards the last few day's to see if this month would breakthrough the 0.618 or reject off it to know what type of market we heading for in November.
Until then, tread cautiously & HAPPY TRADING :)
Trend Based Fib Extension (PRO HACK) SUPPORT & RESISTANCE is one of the most important key elements in trading.
Without knowing the key Support & Resistance levels, you will never have a true understanding of where the market could go to or reverse from.
One very important factor worth knowing is the markets overall, trend Support & Resistance levels. While there are a lot of different methods in finding these levels, like pivot points, previous day high and low, or monthly or yearly and so on. One of the most promising, tried and tested ways is to use a Fibonacci Tool.
Now YES, there are MANY Fibonacci Tools to choose from and use but if you need to know the fib levels for a trend, use the TREND BASED FIB EXTENSION.
Along with using the TREND BASED FIB EXTENSION, you need to know the correct time frame to actually plot this tool on.
There is no right or wrong time frame nor is there no right or wrong way in plotting this tool, BUT we need to know and understand the overall picture of the market as a whole and if you are thinking about the market as a whole, we need to use the correct time frame to show us that.
So we turn to the 12M TIME FRAME!
The 12M Time Frame is what's going to show us the OVERALL TREND of the asset we are looking at, from the start right to current time.
Now keep in mind that this can work on EVERY SINGLE ASSET.
We use the 12M time frame because we need to plot the trend base fib extension to show us our MAJOR FIBONACCI SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS. These levels are for the OVERALL TREND OF THE GIVEN ASSET. By plotting it this way we actually have an idea as to where the market is going LONG TERM.
So head over to whichever asset you are tracking, choose the 12M time frame and make your chart large enough to fit the screen.
In order to plot this tool, you need to know your highs and lows because this tool is used from your lowest point to the first swing high and down to your next swing low, once those 3 are connected the tool will automatically plot your levels.
One easy way to find your swing highs and lows is to use a ZIGZAG with a length of either 1 or 2. That setting will give you the most accurate points.
In the drawing tool box you can you the TREND BASED FIB EXTENSION tool, once you select it and you know where your 3 points are then you plot it accordingly, you will start from your Lowest, to your Swing High and then down to your Swing Low.
To get accurate plots, use the data window and get the exact low and high prices and enter the accordingly into the fib tool settings (coordinates tab).
Adjust your settings with your style preferences, the fib levels that you want to see on your chart, and once done, lock the tool in place and BOOM, YOU NOW HAVE YOUR MAJOR ALL TIME SUPPORT AND RESISTANCE LEVELS PLOTTED ON YOUR CHART.
Now you have a full understanding on the market overall trend by knowing where the major support and resistance levels are.
You can go back to your lower time frame in which you trade from and now you will have a much clearer understanding as to where the market might stop or reverse from, according to the bigger picture.
With that in place, you can use other methods of confluence to get entries, set stops, find direction, you can even go down to lower time frames to use a Fibonacci retracement tool or the trend based fib extension to get sniper entries and set targets.
The key takeaway from this is for you to know the overall direction of the market you are trading and to know where potential areas of support and resistances are which leads to the major reversals in the market.
I do hope this publication helps you in some way or another, even if it helped just 1 person out of many, I will be glad.
HAPPY TRADING :)
==if you have any questions then please drop a comment, thanks==
BITCOIN looks to push UPBitcoin recently hit a support level which for the past 4 days has been rejecting and bouncing off from.
The support level consisted of a Monthly Pivot Point and a Fibonacci Golden Pocket (ratios 0.618 and 0.65).
Today the market is trading above a Daily Pivot Point.
We now have our first Resistance Level which is the Fibonacci Golden Pocket at 63944.45 to 64144.18.
====
(When the first Daily candle gets to this level, should it break through and close above, BITCOIN will be heading more up, should it reject on this level, the market is either going to consolidate or retrace from there).
Should the market break through the first resistance it will be clear to be heading towards Resistance Level 2 which is at 68120.58 to 68282.28.
====
(There again we need the first day candle to break through and close above that in order to know that we are still in the uptrend, should the first day candle reject of that area, we are looking at some consolidation or possibly a retracement from there).
<<<<<<<<<< Now This Is IMPORTANT To Note >>>>>>>>>>
Resistance Level 3, this is an area that needs to be watched carefully, simply because we have not only a golden pocket at around, 70500 to 70600 BUT we have a MAJOR all time Trend Fib 0.786 level just below that.
Should the market push up in time through the first 2 resistance levels, once it gets to the 3rd we will more than likely see a push through these Resistance 3 Levels with a Hard Pullback Rejection as this is targeting the ALL TIME HIGH AREA. Along with a Fibonacci Golden Pocket, A Fibonacci Trend Retracement Level, that area also includes Monthly Pivot Point Resistance Levels R2 and R3, which all in all is adding a lot of weight to that area making it very strong.
Will XAUUSD Bounce or Slide?Hello Traders!
Today is going to be a tough day because gold can take a lot of sls today because the position of the market is slightly hard to analyse.
so here we have 3 buying levels and 3 selling levels and theres also a news today which would affect us.
Selling levels:
this will work as if market give respect to any of those level and retest it as resistance then we can consider selling.
1. 2639 - 2642
2. 2653 - 2656
3. 2665 - 2671
Buying levels:
also works same as selling levels
1. 2626 - 2623
2. 2614 - 2611
3. 2605 - 2600
we have to monitor the market when it come to these and watch carefully for any breakouts or retest the support or resistance then we can enter.
supporting by follow and liking would be highly appreciated.
BTC - One More Impulse...Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 BTC has been overall bullish, trading within the rising flat wedge in orange.
Currently, BTC is undergoing a correction phase and approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, the $63,000 - $63,500 is a strong demand zone.
🏹 Thus, as long as the lower orange trendline holds, we expect the bulls to kick in soon!
📚 As per my trading style:
As #BTC approaches the orange trendline, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
XAUUSD 29/09/24This week on gold, we maintain a similar overall outlook, with the price action expected to continue moving upward. Take note of the previous high. If a pullback occurs due to any fundamental factors, particularly the potential conflict in the Middle East, there may be opportunities to go long from the highlighted areas. However, if no pullback occurs, expect the price action to continue rising.
If we move higher from the current levels, the recent high will likely be taken out. Conversely, if we move lower from our current position, the probability of reaching the high remains strong. Be sure to note the liquid lows, which are in line with both the short-term trajectory and the longer-term trajectory, aligned with higher timeframe demand.
EURUSD 29/09/24Starting the week with the Euro to U.S. Dollar. Following last week, we saw a clear push to the upside, with price action generating solid movement in an uptrend. We expect this momentum to continue as the U.S. Dollar shows signs of weakening. This suggests a high probability of price action moving toward the previously established high, which serves as a key area of trajectory, clearly pointing upwards. This is a leading indicator of a potential new high being formed.
Additionally, there are areas of liquidity and demand, which are crucial points of interest should we see a pullback. Keep in mind, our daily trajectory is clearly bullish. However, if we break below the trajectory low and fail to react to the demand area, I would expect price action to decline further, taking us to the lower end of the range on the higher timeframe.
Stick to your risk. Always follow your trading plan.
BULLISH September !!Hello guys, after 2 months of agressive downtrend we are seeing some bullish signs. In previous TA IDEA I was looking for claiming 54200(BTC broke even this lvl ). Because of high volatility it was impossible to catch the lows. But last 7 days we are seeing successful retesting and holding supports. Next lvl to watch is between 0.618 and 0.786 ( 60k TO 62,5k). I really like to watch at liquidation heat map and there is accumulating a lot of shorts between 59k -67,5k. I believe these levels will be claimed in next couple of weeks ( months)!!Good luck !! Keep it green!!