KOG - Simple Trading Strategy Simple Trading Strategy - Generate your own take profit targets.
Today we're going to share with you a simple yet effective trading strategy that can be used on any instrument. Like any other trading strategy its not 100%, but, you can see from that illustration how effective it can be in keeping you in the right direction on a pair. You can add Moving averages to this as well as which ever indicators you prefer to use and fine tune the strategy to make it work for you. We must stress, with this strategy you have to have a confident ability in charting and have an understanding of support and resistance levels as well as key zones and regions of liquidity.
The bonus with the strategy is it can be applied to all time frames, it can be used to swing trade on longer time frames and to scalp on short time frames. So when we publish our daily morning reviews with our levels and say "LEVEL TO LEVEL" trading, this strategy gives you an idea of what we're suggesting. Also, when we share our 15M levels and zones you can apply this strategy to trade your way up or down to the target.
So lets begin:
1) Start with the 4H chart
2) Look for price action where the price was previously in the same range
3) Use the highs and the lows of swings to plot your support and resistance lines
4) Switch to the 1hr chart
5) You are looking for candle body closes above or below the support or resistance lines. The bigger the candle body close the more accurate the target above is.
We can use this strategy to take numerous trades in up and down until the target level is reached.
This strategy also helps you with your entries and exits. Once you plot the lines and see the price is in between two lines of support and resistance, you will know not to enter a trade. Wait for the pull back on the smaller timeframe or for your chosen indicator to give you the signal!!
NOTE:
• Lines can never be accurate but try to get them as precise as possible
• You must update your lines daily as support and resistance levels change
• You must have a risk strategy in place. On most occasions there will be a pullback or retracement on price which can put you in drawdown.
• Money and risk management are priority when using this strategy.
• Nothing is 100% but once you add the Excalibur target to the chart you have clearer idea of direction.
ALWAYS REMEMBER:
MAs and indicators are lagging, when using this strategy try to keep it simple and clean. Basic support and resistance levels along with a decent candle body close.
Try it, backtest it, apply it. Let us know your findings.
As always, trade safe.
KOG
Tradingstrategy
If a short-term price adjustment occurs...Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The upper line of the Price Channel indicator was created on February 17th, confirming the high point.
Accordingly, the possibility of a short-term price adjustment is increasing.
As the decline progresses, a new HA-High indicator appears to be being created.
Accordingly, if the HA-High indicator is generated around 50862.10, I think it is important to see whether it receives support or resistance around this area.
The difference between the 5EMA line and the HA 5EMA line is the source value.
5EMA: Closing price
HA 5EMA: (Heikin Ashi’s closing price + Heikin Ashi’s opening price) / 2
Therefore, from a short-term trading perspective, it is highly likely that the upward trend will be maintained if 5EMA > HA 5EMA is maintained.
There is a possibility that the section consisting of the 5EMA, HA 5EMA, and HA-High indicators may become a support section.
If there is no support in this area, it is expected to touch the MA-Signal indicator, that is, near the M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart.
Ultimately, in order to continue the upward trend, the upper point of the Price Channel indicator must be broken upward, so the final support point can be said to be near the upper point of the Price Channel indicator.
(1W chart)
Since the upper line of the Price Channel indicator on the 1W chart is not currently visible on the candle, you can see that the high point has not yet been confirmed.
Accordingly, even if there is a short-term price adjustment in the 1D chart, the decline is expected to be small.
However, you should check whether the upper line of the Price Channel indicator is displayed when next week's candle is created.
The area expected to be a resistance area is around 53256.64-59370.07.
(1M charts)
This flow is expected to proceed in the direction of the arrow.
The support zone is expected to be around the Fibonacci ratio point of 0.618 (44234.54).
Therefore, the maximum range of short-term price adjustment is expected to be around 44200.0-47600.0 as the support range.
---------------------------------
Since I will be traveling from February 19-21, my next publish will be on February 22nd.
Please check the movement until this volatility period (February 21st) and find a purchase point for the coin (token) to proceed with the transaction.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
Next volatility period: around February 15-20Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
If you can't predict the direction of BTC, if you don't know whether it will rise further or fall in the future, why are you analyzing charts?
Through chart analysis, we are traders trying to make a profit by trading.
In order to trade, you need to create a trading strategy and react to price movements.
At this time, the important thing is that you need a trading strategy to reduce losses, not a trading strategy to gain greater profits.
A trading strategy created to gain greater profits will act as a disadvantage in psychological warfare, and if these psychological instability factors accumulate, you will eventually end the transaction with a loss.
---------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT chart)
I think what you need to pay close attention to in the charts above is the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
Currently, only the 1W chart has failed to enter the overbought section.
When next week's candle is created, it is necessary to check whether the StochRSI indicator on the 1W chart enters the overbought zone.
When the StochRSI indicator falls from an overbought zone, you need to check at which point or zone it is supported or resisted.
---------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
(USDC chart)
USDT and USDC are still on the rise.
Although USDC has been showing a gap decline since February 11, it is expected to eventually maintain an upward trend if it remains above 26.525B, which was an important point.
A rise in the gap between USDT and USDC means that funds are flowing into the coin market.
Conversely, a falling gap means that funds are flowing out of the coin market.
Therefore, this rise shows that funds are flowing out through USDC.
Since I believe that the increase or decrease of USDT or USDC through trading is expressed as a candle, I believe that the meaning of the gap is the inflow and outflow of funds.
I think that if you know the fund flow in the coin market, you can ultimately know the movement of the coin market.
Accordingly, the movement of the USDT or USDC chart can be said to be an important chart for individual traders to view the fund flow in the coin market.
Among them, I think it is especially important to check the movement of USDT because USDT has the greatest influence on the coin market.
-------------------------------------------------
Once you have confirmed the flow of funds in the coin market, that is, the inflow and outflow of funds, you need to check how the funds flowing into the coin market are moving.
(BTC.D chart)
(USDT.D chart)
Such movements should be confirmed by movements in BTC dominance and USDT dominance.
BTC dominance lets you know whether funds are concentrated towards BTC or altcoins.
Accordingly, a rise in BTC dominance means that funds are being concentrated towards BTC.
To know the overall trend of the coin market, you can find out to some extent by checking the dominance of USDT, which has a great influence on the coin market.
What is important in USDT or USDC charts is that the gap rise continues to occur.
This is because funds will flow into the coin market.
If funds continue to flow in this way, the corresponding dominance will inevitably rise.
Therefore, when looking at the BTC dominance or USDT dominance chart, you should look at whether the current candle is a falling candle or a rising candle rather than the trend.
Otherwise, if you judge the dominance chart as a trend, there is a high possibility of getting incorrect forecasts, so be careful.
The coin market is showing an upward trend as USDT dominance falls below 5.89.
If it falls below 4.97, I think there is a high possibility that the coin market will show a major upward trend.
However, in order for the mainstream upward trend to begin, it is expected that BTC dominance must rise in the 56.78-62.47 range or higher and then begin to decline.
If not, it is expected that an altcoin bull market will begin rather than a mainstream bull market.
An altcoin bull market means a bull market in which you can ultimately make a profit no matter what altcoin you buy.
A major bull market refers to a bull market in which most coins are likely to hit new highs (ATH).
Therefore, it is necessary to see what BTC dominance looks like in the future.
For an altcoin bull market to begin, it is expected that BTC dominance must fall below 50.
-------------------------------------------------- ------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
It is showing a significant rise, rising above the Fibonacci ratio point of 0.618 (44210.08).
The resistance area of this rise, that is, the area that will determine the trend again, is expected to be around the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.886-1.0.
(1W chart)
If you check this in more detail, it is expected to be in the range 53256.64 -66401.82.
However, if it enters the 53256.64 -66401.82 section, the 59370.07 point is expected to be the critical point.
Caution is needed because there is a possibility that the price will rise around 53256.64 and then shake up to break above it.
(1D chart)
What is important to look at in this shakeup is whether there is support around 49676.20.
If it rises around 53256.64 and then falls below 49676.20 and shows resistance, caution is needed as it could lead to a further decline.
The most important indicator to look at in my charts is the MS-Signal indicator, that is, the M-Signal indicator on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts.
If the price stays above this indicator, it will eventually continue its upward trend, otherwise it will show a downward trend.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1D chart shows short-term trends,
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W and 1M charts indicates mid- to long-term trends.
Therefore, you need to identify trends and create a response strategy that matches your trading strategy, that is, your investment period.
Since the MS-Signal indicator on the 1D chart, that is, the M-Signal indicator, passes through the 45135.66-46431.50 range, if it falls to around 46431.50, you should check for support and respond in the short term.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing around 41253.4, so an appropriate response is needed.
Both the StochRSI indicator and the BW indicator hit their highest points.
Accordingly, if the price shows a slight decline, it will show a reversal.
However, if the StochRSI indicator does not fall below the overbought range, it means that the strength of the rise is strong, so you must check and respond to support and resistance at the support and resistance points or sections.
In other words, how well you find support and resistance on the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts is the most important factor required for trading in chart analysis.
No matter how much you can tell the trend through chart analysis, if you ultimately fail to find support and resistance points, trading may proceed in the wrong direction.
Therefore, support and resistance points should be points that anyone can understand and predict.
If you do not explain the interpretation of support and resistance points, it will be difficult to utilize the support and resistance points, so although it may be a good article for chart analysis, it will be an analysis that cannot be used for trading purposes.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
5 Important Trading Protection LevelsREMEMBER
No matter what stock, index, Forex or other markets you’re trading, every trader needs 5 protection levels.
Stop loss to stop yourself from furthering losses
Time stop loss to get you out of non-performing trades
Adjusted stop loss to lock in profits when the market moves in your favour.
Risk % per trade to only lose a certain amount of your portfolio
% of Drawdown before you HALT trading – when the market is not in a favourable environment to your strategy.
Short and sweet but VERY powerful to apply to your trading.
Do you have any other protection levels?
Rise above 42151.24-43823.59 is importantHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
An important selling zone is formed around 42283.58.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 42283.58 and rise above 43823.59.
(1W chart)
The important section containing the psychological resistance zone is the 42151.24-43823.59 section.
Therefore, I think it is highly likely that a trend will form based on this important section.
However, when viewed from the overall flow of the chart, the 37253.82-46431.5 section can be considered to be the starting boundary section of the high point section.
Therefore, if it rises above 46431.5, it can be said that it has entered the high point in the overall trend of the chart.
Based on the current price and trend, if it falls below 37253.82, the trend is expected to turn to the downside.
The 32917.17-35045.0 section is a strong support zone, and if it falls below this zone, it is expected to enter the bottom zone.
(1D chart)
This period of volatility will last until around February 7th (February 8th).
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Gold Weekly Update 12-16 Feb 24The market appears to be moving sideways from 2021 to 2030, with minimal fluctuations expected in the next one or two days. However, a breach below the 2020 level on Monday could lead to a downward trend, potentially reaching 2010-2005, marked as Target 01. If the downtrend persists, further decline to 1990-1980 is anticipated, labeled as Target 02. Conversely, breaking above 2036 may propel the market upwards, with a potential target of 2055. Stay tuned for updates and follow for more information.
Are we in LAZY FEBRUARY traders? Q. "I heard that there is a phenomena called “Lazy February”. Could you explain why it’s called that and what I should watch out for as a trader?”
A. I have not heard that term in eons! Here’s my 10 cents on how Lazy February got this name.
Short month effect
February is the shortest month of the year.
And because so much happens in February, many investors like to play it safe and observe.
Most investors tend to wait for March when the markets have chosen a direction, earnings are out, taxes are paid and they are ready to invest again.
Year-end position squaring
Traders often close out their positions at the end of the year right through to January.
And this is for accounting, performance evaluation and tax purposes.
This process is known as "position squaring”.
But the big influencer is tax.
Closing off the tax year
In many countries, February is a time when individuals and corporations start preparing for tax filings.
And this can influence investment decisions which can lead to either selling their positions or adjusting their portfolios for tax efficiency.
After February and going into March, we should see a higher volume of buying and investing in the markets.
Earnings season
February is also known for major earnings releases – Especially in the U.S.
Investors during this period prefer to watch and observe. This way they’ll be able to see the forecasts versus the actual results.
Once the numbers are released, that’s where they’ll have more of an idea of what they want to invest in and what to buy or sell in March and the coming year.
Q. WILL A 125BPS CUT IN INTEREST RATES DRIVE UP GOLD?
A. Remember when it comes to interest rate cuts it means the following:
Stimulates economic growth
This makes borrowing cheaper as interest rates are lower.
And it encourages more spending and investments by individuals and businesses.
Boosts buying from consumers
Also, with low interest rates it entices people to buy more.
And this is because the cost of loans drops.
This leads to them buying more homes, cars, and other goods.
There are other elements, but you get the idea.
Now, lets consider why lower interest rates could mean the gold price will rally
Reason #1: Lower interest rates and a weaker US dollar helps the gold price
When interest rates drop, the yield on bonds and savings accounts typically declines.
And a weaker dollar makes gold cheaper for people with other currencies.
It's like gold goes on a global sale, and everyone wants a piece!
So, this will drive up its demand and the price.
Reason #2: Investors get out of low yielding markets and into gold
Remember that when interest rates are high, investors move to high yielding markets.
They like to keep their money in the banks, bonds, money market or any other high interest savings accounts.
But when interest rates drop, investors don’t make much of their money from these assets.
And so, they will look to invest in markets like gold, which will drive the price up.
Reason #3: The golden safe-haven will prevail!
With interest rate cuts, it normally signals signs of economic uncertainty or weakness.
And during these times, investors will often seek out safe-haven assets.
Gold is a classic example of a safe haven that investors will look to buy.
And this golden attraction will help push the price up.
XVS: Expecting Further Sideways Movement and Long Position AccumI anticipate XVS to continue trading within its current sideways range, as the price is currently near the lower boundary of this range. Therefore, I've taken a long position with the strategy of trading from the range boundaries. Over the course of several days, market makers are likely to accumulate positions within this range. This accumulation may lead to an upward move towards the upper boundary of the range, or at the very least, towards the midpoint.
ETH: Anticipating Multiple ScenariosFor Ethereum (ETH), there are currently several scenarios in play. The first involves breaking out of the current range, followed by a retest, and a potential move towards the 2352 level. The second scenario envisions a correction to a key trading area, followed by a push towards the 2352 level. Let's take a closer look at these possibilities.
Important section : 42141.24-43823.59Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
A new candle has been created.
The 42283.58 point is an important point and forms the volume profile section.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 42283.58 and rise above 43823.59.
If that happens, the next resistance area is expected to be the Fibonacci ratio range of 0.886-1.0.
If it falls below 42283.58, it is expected to maintain an upward trend only if it receives support around 37253.81.
(1W chart)
What is important to look at in the 1W chart is whether the price can be maintained above the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart.
The HA-High indicator is currently at 42141.24.
Accordingly, it can be seen that the section 42141.24-42283.58 corresponds to an important point.
As the price moves, trend lines are created, and you can see that it is moving within the rising channel of the rising trend lines (2)-(3).
Channeling doesn't actually have any special meaning, so it's best not to worry about it too much.
I think it just applies to the display method in chart analysis.
By combining this rising channel with the points mentioned above, we can calculate a period of volatility to some extent.
In that sense, the period of volatility on the 1W chart is expected to be around the week of March 11th.
(1D chart)
The key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above the psychological resistance zone of 43160.043823.59.
Accordingly, it is necessary to check whether the downward trend line (1) and (1-1) can be broken upward.
An upward trend line (2) is formed near the important point of 42141.24-42283.58, so it is important not to fall below this trend line.
If it falls below 41732.35, you need to check whether it can rise with support in the 39845.44-42053.66 range.
In any case, what is important is which direction it deviates from the 42141.24-43823.59 range, which is the range located during the period of unusual volatility (until February 8).
Even if it rises beyond the psychological range, there is a possibility of resistance in the 44200.0-47600.0 range, but if it rises this time, it is expected that it will succeed in breaking upward.
The reason is that funds are continuously flowing into the coin market.
If altcoins rise along with the price of BTC, it means that they have risen above a critical point.
In that case, if BTC dominance shows a decline, altcoins are expected to continue their upward trend.
On the other hand, if BTC dominance shows an upward trend, altcoins are likely to gradually sideways or decline.
Therefore, if you buy wrongly when an altcoin is rising, you may suffer, so it is better to buy before it rises or wait until BTC dominance shows a decline.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
💹 KUJI Trading Strategy 🌐📊 Current Market Status:
KUJI at $2.70 - $3.00 area of support.
📈 Chart Analysis:
Identified support zone.
🔄 Longing Strategy:
30% Allocation: Spot long position with 30% of intended funds in the $2.70 - $3.00 support area.
30% at Breakout: Allocate another 30% once the price breaks through the resistance line.
Remaining 40% on Retest: Deploy the remaining 40% on a retest of the break of the resistance line.
⚖️ Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Around $2.47.
Take Profit 1: $4.00 - $4.20.
Take Profit 2: $5.00 - $5.20.
📣 Market Caution:
Note the current volatility, especially as BTC undergoes correction after a massive run.
Trade wisely! 📈💡 #KUJI #TradingStrategy #CryptoMarket 🌐📊
⚖️💹 NAKA Trading Strategy 🌐📊📊 Current Market Status:
NAKA trading in the $1.15 - $1.30 area of major support.
📈 Chart Analysis:
Major support zone identified.
🔄 Longing Strategy:
30% Allocation: Long position with 30% of trade funds in the $1.15 - $1.30 support area.
30% at Breakout: Allocate another 30% after the price breaks the descending resistance line from early December.
Remaining 40% on Retest: Deploy the remaining 40% on a positive retest of the resistance line.
⚖️ Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Set at $1.12.
Take Profit Areas: $1.59 and $2.
📣 Conclusion:
Strategic longing plan with gradual fund allocation based on key chart patterns.
Risk management in place with specified stop loss and take profit levels.
Trade wisely! 📈💡 #NAKA #TradingStrategy #CryptoMarket 🌐📊
⚙️💹 BONK Trading Strategy 🌐📊📊 Current Market Status:
BONK consolidating in a support area at around $0.00001.
📈 Chart Analysis:
Tight range between current support and descending resistance line from mid-December.
🔄 Accumulation Strategy:
30% Allocation: Accumulate a long position in the support area.
30% at Breakout: Deploy another 30% at the break of the resistance line.
40% at Retest: Deploy the remaining 40% at a retest of the breakout.
⚖️ Risk Management:
Stop Loss: Set at around $0.0000088.
Take Profit: Targeted at the next area of resistance, around $0.0000168.
📣 Conclusion:
Trading strategy involves strategic accumulation and deployment based on chart patterns.
Risk management in place with specified stop loss and take profit levels.
Trade wisely! 📈💡
#BONK #TradingStrategy #CryptoMarket 🌐📊
WOO: Preparing for Long Entry at Key 1H LevelThe WOO token is currently at a pivotal juncture, showing signs of a potential correction as it approaches a significant level on the 1-hour (1H) chart. This level has elicited a notable reaction, indicating its importance in the market's dynamics. My approach is to closely monitor for a solid entry point, which will be based on the price behavior at this level, along with the general market structure, especially in leading cryptocurrencies. If these factors align positively, I'm considering taking a long position. It's a critical time for traders to watch WOO, as the setup suggests a promising opportunity for a long trade.
EXPLAINED: Odd Lot Offer EasilyWHAT IS AN ODD LOT OFFER?
An odd-lot offer is a financial transaction.
It is where a company offers to buy back small quantities of its shares from shareholders who hold fewer shares than the typical trading unit.
Usually it’s under 100 shares.
In the context of stock markets, an “odd lot” refers to a number of shares that is less than the standard trading lot.
Here are the key points about an odd-lot offer:
Target Audience:
Aimed at shareholders who own fewer shares than the standard trading unit (commonly 100 shares).
Purpose:
Typically initiated by a company to reduce the number of small shareholders and simplify its shareholder structure.
Offer Terms:
The company specifies an offer price at which it is willing to buy back the odd lots of shares. This price may be at a premium to the current market price.
Voluntary Participation:
Shareholders are not obligated to participate; it’s a voluntary decision on their part.
Cost Reduction:
Companies may implement odd-lot offers to reduce administrative costs associated with managing a large number of small shareholders.
Shareholder Choice:
Odd-lot shareholders can decide whether to sell their shares to the company at the offered price or to retain their shares.
Tax Implications:
Companies may structure odd-lot offers in a way that has specific tax implications for shareholders. It’s common for the offer to be treated as a return of capital rather than a dividend.
Approval Process:
In many cases, such offers require approval from the company’s shareholders, often obtained at a general meeting.
Let’s use an example with City Lodge in 2023.
1. What’s Going On:
As of October 16, 2023, there were a bunch of small-scale shareholders in City Lodge, each holding fewer than 100 shares.
These investrs are referred to as “Odd-lot Holders,” which make up 58.22% of all City Lodge shareholders.
However, when you look at the total shares they own, it’s just a tiny 0.06% of the market.
Now, managing these tiny portions costs a lot, creating a headache for everyone.
2. The solution
To solve this issue, at City Lodge’s board of directors are suggesting an Odd-lot Offer.
This means they want to buy back the small amounts of shares from these Odd-lot Holders, making life simpler for everyone involved.
3. So what do these Odd-lot holders get?
If you’re one of these Odd-lot Holders, you get a chance to cash at a price that’s 5% more than the average value of City Lodge shares over the past 30 days.
It’s like a special deal, and you won’t have to pay any fees to make the transaction.
4. How it works
To make this happen, City Lodge needs approval from its shareholders.
They discussed it at the Annual General Meeting on November 23, 2023.
If the plan gets a green light, Odd-lot Holders can decide to sell their shares at the offered price or keep them.
5. The tax story
They considered the Odd-lot Offer isn’t a dividend but more like a return of capital.
This decision has some tax implications, so they suggest you chat with your tax expert for the details.
City Lodge wants to simplify its shareholder list, and if you’re an Odd-lot Holder, you have a choice to make – take the deal or keep riding the City Lodge wave.
Does that help and did it help you?
Examples of how to draw and use trend linesHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(1W chart)
Usually, the way to draw a trend line is to connect the high point and the high point where the trend changes, or to connect the low point and the low point to display the trend line.
Then, a channel is formed to express movement within that channel.
It is a relatively simple analysis tool that anyone with a good understanding of charts can draw trend lines.
However, I think whether you can use it in actual trading depends on how much you trust the trend line.
However, due to the nature of the trend line, it is expressed as a diagonal line, so it has a fundamental problem that it is not easy to respond even if it deviates from the trend line.
So, in order to trade with information obtained from chart analysis, you must draw support and resistance points close to the horizontal line.
Therefore, in chart analysis, you must have a basic understanding of the candle arrangement.
In my chart, the StochRSI indicator is
1. Use the waves of the StochRSI indicator to check support and resistance at support and resistance points.
2. Used to draw trend lines.
When drawing a trend line with the StochRSI indicator, the oversold section is below 20, the overbought section is above 80, and the trend line is drawn by connecting the points where the vertices are created.
However, the trend line drawn between high points is drawn based on the opening price of the falling candle.
Therefore, draw a trend line by selecting the peak of the StochRSI indicator or the opening price of the nearest bearish candle.
You can draw a trend line by connecting the low points of candles corresponding to the vertices of the trend line, which is drawn by connecting the low points.
For detailed instructions, please refer to the trend line displayed on the chart.
Among the trend lines drawn on the chart, I think that the trend line drawn almost horizontally is actually important.
Otherwise, I think it is a trend line drawn for chart analysis because it is difficult to use diagonal trend lines for trading.
In order to utilize a trend line expressed as a diagonal line, support and resistance points must be displayed together to be considered a trend line that can be used for trading.
When using various chart tools that are used by specifying a selection point, how the selection point is specified is very important.
Therefore, if the criteria are not clear when specifying the selection point, what is drawn using various chart tools cannot be trusted.
To solve this problem to some extent, we used the StochRSI indicator to draw a trend line.
(1D chart)
If you look at the trend lines drawn on the 1D chart, you can see that the two trend lines at the current price position are drawn close to the horizon.
Therefore, the key is whether the price can be maintained by breaking above the trend line of 1.
If this is not the case and it falls below trend line 2, it can be seen that there is a high possibility that it will lead to a further decline.
In that sense, the key is whether it can rise above the HA-High indicator, that is, above 43K.
If it falls, it is likely to touch the HA-Low indicator, so it is important to check for support near the HA-Low indicator when it is generated.
When drawing a trend line using the StochRSI indicator, vertices formed outside of oversold or overbought areas are excluded.
The reason is that the upward or downward intensity is weak.
This is to prevent confusion because if the rising or falling strength is weak, it is likely to be a fake or whipsaw.
It is important to draw in a way that has a solid basis so that you can trust the tools you draw on the chart.
StochRSI settings : 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D)
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
USDT : Breaking away from the downtrend by increasing the gapHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
(1D chart)
It appears that the gap decline that started on January 19th has stopped and a larger gap rise has occurred.
Due to this gap increase, the reported price (ATH) was renewed again.
-------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
It is still on the rise.
The key is whether USDC can continue its gap upward trend above 26.525B.
I believe that the gap between USDT and USDC shows the inflow and outflow of funds into the coin market.
Therefore, the gap rise can be interpreted as funds flowing into the coin market.
Since the movements of USDT or USDC through transactions are expressed as candles, I think the occurrence of gaps should be distinguished.
---------------------------------------
(BTC.D chart)
You need to check in which direction it deviates from the 51.17-51.98 section.
----------------------------------------
(USDT.D chart)
(1D chart)
USDT dominance is entering a period of volatility from January 22-27.
Accordingly, after the volatility period has passed, you need to check which direction it deviates based on the 5.89-6.39 range.
When a gap rises in USDT, a gap rise in USDT dominance also occurs.
Accordingly, USDT or USDT dominance is likely to show an upward trend.
However, USDT dominance can be seen decreasing through trading.
A decline in USDT dominance means that buying power has increased through many transactions in the USDT market.
Therefore, if USDT dominance falls, the coin market is likely to show an upward trend.
Even though USDT is renewing its new high (ATH), USDT dominance overall is showing a downward trend.
In order for this downward trend to turn into an upward trend, it is expected that it will have to rise above 7.14.
The most important question is whether the coin market becomes more active and more transactions occur, leading to a continued downward trend in USDT dominance.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
39845.44 The importance of branchesHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)
The trend shifted from USDT to an upward gap faster than expected.
Accordingly, I think the coin market has gained the strength to rise again.
However, it is necessary to check whether the HA-Low indicator can be newly created and rise while moving sideways in the current section.
In order for the HA-Low indicator to be created, the price must be maintained below 39845.44 to cause the HA RSI indicator to enter the oversold zone.
If that is not the case and it rises, I think there is a high possibility that it will meet resistance by touching the MS-Signal indicator.
Currently, the MS-Signal indicator is located around 42141.24.
The key is whether the HA-Low indicator can be generated and rise before the next volatility period around January 30th.
If BTC rises above the 42141.24-43823.59 range, altcoins are expected to rise in unison.
This is because I believe that the 42141.24-43823.59 range corresponds to the psychological resistance range.
However, for altcoins to continue their upward trend, BTC dominance must fall below 50.
If this is not the case and BTC dominance rises, altcoins are likely to gradually sideways or decline.
The BW indicator is recording a strong downward trend.
Additionally, the StochRSI indicator is also located in the oversold zone.
Therefore, if you wait, you will see that the StochRSI indicator is trying to break out of the oversold zone.
At that time, you can proceed with the installment purchase.
However, as mentioned above, there is a possibility that resistance will be encountered when touching the MS-Signal indicator, so that is the first selling period.
It is time to buy when the BW indicator shows an upward trend and rises above the MS-Signal indicator.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Comprehensive analysis : short-term decline in fundsHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(USDT chart)
(1D chart)
The most recent decline was on August 8, 2023.
Before that, a precursor to a downward trend occurred starting on June 18th.
Currently, the gap has begun to decline since January 19th and has fallen below the HA-High indicator.
If the gap decreases due to this movement and falls below the MS-Signal indicator, it is expected to record a downward trend for a while.
(1M charts)
However, this decline is likely to be a short-term adjustment of about a month, such as in August 2023.
In order to record the downward trend that started in May 2022, large gap declines must occur in succession, so we still need to monitor the situation.
Therefore, I don't think there is any need to have much fear just yet.
---------------------------------------
(USDC chart)
While USDT has begun to gap down, USDC continues to gap up.
If the gap continues to rise above 26.525B, it is expected that USDC will likely continue its upward trend.
I believe that this gap increase is evidence that funds are flowing into the coin market.
Therefore, it is expected that a new market will begin to change hands.
This is because USDC is viewed as a leading funding channel for American investment institutions and investors.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT chart)
(1W chart)
The main question from this week will be whether there is support or resistance near the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart.
The HA-High indicator on the 1W chart was created at 42141.24.
Therefore, if the price is maintained above the 42141.24-43823.59 range, you can be considered to be at the starting line of the major upward trend.
Therefore, it corresponds to a major bull market, that is, a buying period for a full-fledged uptrend.
It is the movement of altcoins that allows us to piecemeal know whether these movements are correct.
All you have to do is check whether the altcoins show signs of rising in unison when they rise above the 42141.24-43823.59 range.
(BTC.D chart)
As mentioned in the USDT explanation above, this decline is expected to last about a month in the short term, so we need to check whether the BTC dominance rises by more than 61% or falls below 50%.
In order for a major bull market to begin, it is expected that BTC dominance must rise by more than 61% and then begin to decline.
This is because it is expected that an altcoin bull market will begin when BTC dominance falls below 50%.
Therefore, if the BTC price maintains the price above the 42141.24-43823.59 range and the BTC dominance rises by more than 61% and then begins to fall, the coin market is expected to begin a major bull market.
A major bull market refers to a bull market in which most coins (tokens) are likely to renew their all-time highs (ATH).
An altcoin bull market refers to a bull market in which you can make a profit no matter which altcoin you buy.
--------------------------------------
It is said that price and volume are important when trading in the stock market, and in fact they are important.
However, trading volume in the coin market has less meaning than in the stock market.
This is because trading volume is spread across multiple exchanges.
Therefore, I believe that transaction volume in the coin market should be judged by the flow of funds.
Therefore, I believe that the gap between USDT and USDC has important implications.
Changes in USDT or USDC due to transactions are expressed as candles.
Therefore, the inflow and outflow of funds is expressed as the occurrence of a gap.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting zone, you should check the movement when this zone is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Traders Don’t Fail – They QuitIt’s been a very tough year for swing traders.
Go long the market drops. Go short the market rallies.
Don’t do anything and you save from the burn.
But in the bigger scheme of things, it looks like we are in an accumulation phase.
The accumulation phase is a period in which smart money (informed and experienced traders or institutional investors) is believed to be accumulating a particular asset while it is still relatively undervalued.
This phase occurs before a notable uptrend or bullish move in the market.
Key characteristics of the accumulation phase include:
Sideways Movement:
Prices move within a trading range, often forming a base or a consolidation pattern.
The range represents a period of equilibrium between buying and selling forces.
You can see the JSE ALSI has been in a tight range this entire year.
Decreasing Volume:
Volume tends to decline during the accumulation phase, indicating a decrease in overall market activity.
Lower volume signals that the asset is not attracting significant attention from the broader market.
There have not been huge orders on the JSE ALSI like other years. It could be because there are LESS investors buying shares and more going into derivatives and margin trading.
Or because they are worried about the state of the economy with load shedding, foreign direct investments pulling out, the country being rated down or people fleeing the country.
Smart Money Accumulation:
Informed traders or institutional investors quietly accumulate the asset during this phase.
Their accumulation is not typically evident in the overall market activity due to the relatively low volume.
Now with December, we could see investors piling into trades from their bonuses, offsetting taxes, preparing for the next year or with optimism with the festive season.
Transition to Markup Phase:
After a sufficient accumulation, there is an expectation that the asset’s price will break out of the trading range.
This breakout marks the end of the accumulation phase and the beginning of the markup phase, characterized by a sustained uptrend.
So, my hopes and bets are UP.
I think once we break out above the range, we could see the JSE ALSI rally a good 10 -20%.
But geez, we need strong catalysts to kick in.
Even if it’s international markets helping us run up with Dual LIsted companies or America’s leading influence.
What are your thoughts? You think we’ll get our long waited for rally?
Traders and investors who stay in the game will reap the rewards.
Patience is a trader's virtue.
Impatience is the reason why traders quit. They don’t FAIL – THEY QUIT.
Next volatility period: around January 30thHello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT chart)
(1W chart)
The HA-High indicator is expected to be created at the 42141.24 point.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support around 42141.24 and rise above 43823.59.
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support around 41350.0 and rise above 42141.24.
If not, and it falls below 39845.44,
1st: 37253.81-38531.90
2nd: 32917.17-34110.32
You need to check if you receive support near the first and second levels above.
The M-Signal indicator and important trend line on the 1W chart are passing near the first section, so it is important to receive support in this section.
It fell below the psychological resistance range of 43160.0-43823.59, falling below the MS-Signal indicator.
And, the MS-Signal indicator has switched to a downward sign.
Accordingly, it has transitioned into a short-term downward trend, but if it receives support around 41350.0 and rises, it is expected that there will be a rebound to convert to an upward trend.
In order for the rebound to turn into an upward trend, the price must be maintained by rising above the MS-Signal indicator.
If it is not supported by the HA-High indicator and falls, there is a high possibility that it will basically touch the HA-Low indicator.
Currently, the RSI indicator has fallen below 50, so if the price falls further, there is a high possibility that a new HA-Low indicator will be created.
It appears that the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart is about to be created at the 42141.24 point, which is a higher point than near the first section where it was expected to be created.
Accordingly, the HA-Low indicator on the 1D chart is also expected to be generated at a higher price than expected.
If the HA-Low indicator appears to be about to be newly created, an important issue is whether support can be obtained in the vicinity.
The next period of volatility is around January 30th.
(4h chart)
However, it is necessary to check which section receives support or resistance after the time indicated on the chart.
The point that forms an important point from a mid- to long-term perspective is the 42283.58 point.
Therefore, the 42283.58 point corresponds to an important volume profile section.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-------------------------------------------------- -------------------------------------------
** All explanations are for reference only and do not guarantee profit or loss in investment.
** Trading volume is displayed as a candle body based on 10EMA.
How to display (in order from darkest to darkest)
More than 3 times the trading volume of 10EMA > 2.5 times > 2.0 times > 1.25 times > Trading volume below 10EMA
** Even if you know other people’s know-how, it takes a considerable amount of time to make it your own.
** This chart was created using my know-how.
---------------------------------
Forex Fundamentals: Building Winning StrategiesForex trading success hinges on a well-defined strategy, as it sets a clear direction and methodology, whether it be scalping, day trading, or another approach. Key to this is understanding the market conditions under which your strategy thrives, as different strategies perform variably across market environments. Employing technical indicators is crucial in providing insights and aiding in decision-making, but they must align with your overall strategy for coherence and effectiveness.
The core of any trading strategy lies in its entry and exit criteria. These criteria ensure disciplined and non-impulsive trading decisions, allowing for entry and exit from the market at the most opportune times. Equally vital is stringent risk management, which protects your capital by defining the risk per trade and setting maximum drawdown limits. In tandem with this, appropriate position sizing mitigates the risk of substantial losses and maintains the health of your trading account.
Backtesting the strategy against historical data is indispensable for understanding its potential effectiveness and challenges. This, followed by forward testing in real-time conditions, often in a demo environment, allows for fine-tuning and adaptation to current market dynamics. Constant adjustments and optimization of your strategy are necessary as financial markets are ever-evolving, and a static strategy is often a recipe for failure.
However, the strategy itself is only part of the equation. The psychological aspect of trading – maintaining discipline and managing emotional responses – is equally critical. Regular performance evaluations and reviews provide insights into the strategy's effectiveness and areas that require improvement, fostering a cycle of continuous learning and adaptation.
In the realm of Forex trading, patience and consistency are not just virtues but necessities. The development, implementation, and refinement of a trading strategy is a meticulous and ongoing process. Success in trading emerges from a disciplined approach, a willingness to learn continuously, and an adaptability to evolving market conditions. It's a journey where each step, from understanding market conditions to psychological resilience, plays a pivotal role in shaping a trader's path to achievement.