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KOG's RED BOXES - SILVERSILVER: Key level here is 29.63 with the bias being bullish above. Retracement needed with support just below at the red box which will need to break to go lower. Have a look at the previous pinned posts on Red boxes to familiarise yourself with how they are so effective in keeping traders the right side of the markets. Please do support us by hitting the like button, leaving a comment, and giving us a follow. We’ve been doing this for a long time now providing traders with in-depth free analysis on Gold, so your likes and comments are very much appreciated. As always, trade safe. KOG
OANDA:XAGUSD
by KnightsofGold
XAUUSD - AFTER FOMC SPEECH - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS In the month of August, prices started to increase until September by 10.04%, reaching a new historical peak of $2,600. As long as they remain below this level, it indicates a decline at a rate of 2.66%. Technically analysis : Gold reached a historical peak of $2,600 but began to decline following a speech by Jerome Powell. The decline was significant, hitting the target of +420 pips. Prices are now trading under downward pressure. The key levels to watch are $2,589 and $2,575. As long as the price remains below these levels, it indicates a downtrend If gold continues to stay below $2,575, it is expected to drop further to $2,551, and potentially down to $2,531. Conversely, if a 4-hour candle closes above $2,575, it suggests that prices could reverse upwards, targeting $2,589, and potentially returning to the all-time high of $2,600. overall , that the short-term outlook for gold is bearish, but there is potential for a bullish reversal if the price stabilizes above $2,575. Traders should monitor these levels closely to gauge the next move in the market. UPWARD TARGET : 2,589$ , 2,600$ . DOWNWARD TARGET : 2,551$ , 2,531$.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
USDCAD - UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HUSDCAD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Currently, prices are trading below the resistance trend line and the turning level at 1.361. This sets the stage by identifying that the price is under a key resistance line and turning level, specifically at the 1.361 level. The resistance line acts as a ceiling preventing further upward movement. As long as trading remains below this level, a decline is expected, potentially reaching 1.354 and 1.350. Here, you're forecasting a possible downward trend. If prices don't break through 1.361, the expectation is for them to move lower, first targeting 1.354, and possibly continuing to 1.350. These levels are likely key support level where the price could find temporary stability. However, breaking this level would indicate a rise toward 1.370. This section shifts the focus to an alternative outcome. If the price breaches the 1.361 resistance, it would signal the start of an upward movement, aiming for the next key level at 1.370. To confirm an uptrend, it is necessary to break through this level, which would then target the next level at 1.374. Finally, you're stating that for a true and sustained uptrend to be confirmed, the price must break through 1.370. Once this happens, the price is expected to head towards the next resistance level at 1.374. UPWARD TARGET : 1.370 , 1.374. DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.354 , 1.350.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
NAS100USD / KEY LEVEL 19,954 - 4HNAS100USD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Tendency , prices trading below 19,954 , it indicates under downward pressure Prices are expected to remain under bearish pressure as long as they trade below the key levels of 19,954 and 19,535. Should the price stabilize and remain below these thresholds, a decline towards 19,187 is anticipated. A breach below this point could signal a further drop to 18,688. On the other hand, if the resistance at 19,954 is broken, we could witness upward momentum, with prices potentially rising first to 20,194 and then extending to 20,714. UPWARD TARGET : 20,194 , 20,714. DOWNWARD TARGET : 19,187 , 18,688.
OANDA:NAS100USDShort
by ArinaKarayi
GBPUSD / UNDER BEARISH PRESSURE - 4H GBPUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The price movement reflects both technical and fundamental factors. The 3.58% decline in July can be attributed to global economic uncertainties, such as inflation fears or weakening consumer demand. This decline likely hit key support levels, prompting traders to adopt a more cautious stance. However, the 4.71% recovery in August suggests a reversal in market sentiment. This could be driven by improving macroeconomic indicators, such as better-than-expected GDP growth or reduced inflation, which restored confidence. Additionally, this rally may reflect a technical bounce off support levels, with short-term traders capitalizing on oversold conditions. The critical resistance level of 1.326 now acts as a psychological barrier. A failure to breach this level could confirm a bearish outlook, suggesting a downtrend continuation to the next support zones at 1.309 and 1.304. Market sentiment, geopolitical risks, or adverse economic data may further pressure prices. On the flip side, a decisive break above 1.326 would likely attract bullish momentum, setting the stage for higher targets at 1.329 and 1.335. In this scenario, buyers would anticipate further gains, with potential drivers such as positive earnings reports or an easing of economic uncertainties bolstering confidence. A sustained move above these levels could even signal a broader market rally. UPWARD TARGET : 1.329 , 1.335. DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.309 , 1.304
Short
by ArinaKarayi
EURUSD - TRADING TO REACH RESISTANCE TRENDLINE - 4HEURUSD - 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Tendency , trading under bullish pressure . Currently, prices are trading above the 1.102 level. As long as the price remains above this threshold and shows signs of stabilization, it is expected to rise further, potentially reaching 1.110 and then 1.113. Should the price surpass 1.113, there could be additional gains, with the possibility of reaching as high as 1.117. Conversely, if the price falls below 1.102, it may indicate a downward trend. In this scenario, a decline to 1.099 is likely, with the potential for a further drop to 1.094 if the bearish momentum continues. UPWARD TARGET :1.110 , 1.113 , 1.117. DOWNWARD TARGET : 1.099 , 1.094.
Long
by ArinaKarayi
ANTICIPATING TRADES BY APPLYING TADING STRETEGYAnalysis of EURUSD Forex pair carried out on 12 Sep 2024 by applying following trade strategy:- 1. Bearish trend 2. Bullish Divergence 3. No continuation pattern 4. Double Bottom reversal pattern formed 5. Bullish Harmonics pattern AB=CD pattern formed and chart near point D, PRZ 6. Anticipated that chart will go bullish by making HHs & HLs 7. Initiated two trades on MT4 by marking buy stop on first HH and stop loss at LL as no HL is still formed
Long
by akyzai71
1
10:1 Risk-to-Reward Setup - Bull Flag Breakout with Multi-TimeThis trade setup shows a confluence of multiple factors, aligning with a high-probability approach. Here's the breakdown: Bull Flag Breakout: The trade initiates after identifying a bull flag, which is a common continuation pattern following an impulsive upward move. This flag signals consolidation before a further upward push. The breakout from the bull flag gives a strong entry point. Entry Criteria: The entry was placed at 2560.404, slightly above the breakout area, ensuring momentum confirmation. A Stop-Loss (SL) of 30 pips was positioned below the structure, protecting the trade while allowing enough room for price fluctuations. This is crucial to avoid tight stops that may trigger prematurely​​. Key Support/Resistance Levels: 5M Lower Time Frame (LTF) S/R: This level acts as a lower frame confirmation zone, ensuring support below the bull flag breakout. 15M Support/Resistance (S/R): The larger structure aligns with the 5-minute support, adding strength to the trade by recognizing that price is supported by multiple timeframes​​. Target (TP) and Higher Time Frame (HTF) Confluence: 300 Pips TP is based on the HTF Trendline, offering a solid risk-to-reward ratio of 10:1. This suggests the trade is aligned with a broader market trend, increasing the probability of success​. Zone of Liquidity (LQZ): 5M LQZ represents a liquidity grab, further confirming that the market might push upwards after grabbing liquidity near support​​. Key Confluences: Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Price action supports the move on both lower and higher timeframes. Risk Management: A well-defined stop-loss ensures minimal risk with a substantial reward target. Pattern Identification: The bull flag within the trend adds reliability, as flags in impulsive moves offer strong continuation signals​​. This trade follows the "Rule of Three," where at least three confirmations (bull flag, multiple timeframe support, and risk/reward alignment) give the highest probability of success​​.
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Adlercon333
XAGUSD / BREAKING DESCENDING CHANNEL - 4HXAGUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS overall , under downward pressure as long as trading below supply zone . as long as remain below supply zone between 31.01 and 31.41 , it suggest decline to reach 30.57 , then breaking and stabilizing below it by open 4h candle expected further decline to 30.09 . however , stabilizing above 31.41 , it indicates still continues rising to reach 31.74 and 31.96 , then stabilizing above it reach a ATH at 32.50 . Turning Level : 31.01 and 31.41
OANDA:XAGUSD
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD / TRADING BELOW 2,572$ (ATH) - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS gold under bearish pressure if stabilizing below 2,570$ but breaking this level reach a new resistance zone between 2,580$ and 2,592$. As long as the price remains and stabilizes below $2,570, it suggests a potential decline, with the first target being $2,551. If the price falls below this level, further downside movement could lead to a drop toward $2,531. However, if the price breaks above the $2,570 resistance, it may initiate an upward movement, aiming for a new resistance zone between $2,580 and $2,592. This zone will act as a potential barrier to further upward momentum. Turning Level : 2,570$
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
EURUSD / UNDER UPWARD PRESSURE - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS EURUSD is currently trading above the turning level of 1.099 and remains above the support trendline, indicating upward momentum. There are two potential scenarios: The First Scenario , Since the price is trading above the turning level 1.099, it suggests an initial bullish sentiment , If the price rises and reaches the resistance level at 1.107, it indicates that the upward momentum is strong. A price movement above this level suggests further bullish potential , If the price stabilizes above 1.107 and continues rising, reaching 1.110 would confirm a sustained uptrend, as the market would have shown resilience and strength above previous resistance. The Second Scenario , If the price falls below 1.099 and closes a 4-hour candle below it, this indicates a bearish shift as the price has broken through a support level , A decline to the support level at 1.094 would be a further bearish signal, For a confirmed downtrend, the price needs to break through the established channel and stabilize below it. This would indicate that the bearish trend is likely to continue, as the price has not only broken support but also failed to recover. UPWARD LEVEL : 1.107 , 1.110 . DOWNWARD LEVEL : 1.094 .
Long
by ArinaKarayi
USDJPY / BREAKING THE CHANNEL - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS After breaking the channel, prices are attempting to reach the support level at 138.810. As long as they stabilize below 142.231, a decline is expected to reach 138.810, and further below that, 137.306. This downward momentum is contingent on maintaining resistance below 142.231. However, if 142.231 is breached, it could signal a potential rise toward the next resistance level at 144.401. Breaking this level would suggest bullish momentum, and for a stronger confirmation of an upward trend, prices need to sustain themselves above 144.401, eventually targeting the 147.401 level. TURNING LEVEL : 142.231
Short
by ArinaKarayi
XAUUSD / REACHED NEW HISTORICAL PEAKS - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS as mentioned in the last chart stabilizing above 2,526$ rising and reach historical peak , reached + 240 pip profit . Currently, prices are trading above $2,531. As long as they remain above this level, an upward movement is expected towards $2,560 and $2,570. This rise is likely to continue as long as prices trade above $2,526 and $2,519. However, if the price breaks below $2,519, a decline is anticipated, with the first target being $2,507, followed by $2,491. TURNING LEVEL : 2,519$
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArinaKarayi
NOTUSD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE - 4HNOTUSDT / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS Downward Condition: The fact that the price is trading below the 0.008 level indicates a bearish sentiment in the market. When prices remain below this level, it suggests that sellers are in control, applying downward pressure on the , If the price continues to decline, it will likely test the 0.007 level as the next support. If that level is broken, the next target would be 0.006, reinforcing the bearish outlook. These support levels are key indicators of how low the price might drop. Upward Condition: If the price manages to break above 0.008 with a strong close, it would signal a shift in market momentum. A 4-hour close above this level indicates that buyers are gaining strength, potentially reversing the downward , Once 0.008 is broken, the next resistance would be at 0.009. This level needs to be breached to confirm a sustained upward move , For a full reversal of the downward trend and confirmation of an uptrend, the price would need to break above 0.009, with the next target being 0.010. This would signify buyer dominance and a stronger upward momentum. Current Market Analysis: The market is currently under pressure, with sellers driving prices below 0.008. However, should buyers step in and push the price back above 0.008, the market could shift upward, targeting 0.009. Until the 0.009 level is broken, the market remains in a cautious state, and sellers may still hold influence. TURNING LEVEL : 0.008
Short
by ArinaKarayi
BTCUSDT: IDEA THAT MIGHT RESONATE SOONHello All, Welcome to the quick update of BTCUSDT . We have seen BTC touch the levels of $ 52500 and retrace a bit until $ 58000 but couldn't hold it. We can see it dumping and is currently trading around $56100. The next levels to watch out for are $54700 and $53800 . If this holds, we can see BTC pump again and might make a new high in a few months. Support levels: $54700. $53900, $49600 in the long run. Resistance levels: $58027, $61100, $64000, and $72000 in the long run. Let's wait and see how this pans out. Until then, stay tuned and trade with caution, ensuring strict STOPLOSSES !! This is not financial advice, please do your research before investing, as we are not responsible for any of your losses or profits. Please like, share, and comment on this idea if you liked it. ScramblerG is always there to help and trade with caution but DYOR.
Long
by ScramblerG
USDJPY / TRADING BELOW RESISTANCE TRENDLINE - 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS USDJPY , is currently trading below the turning level of 145.446 and remains below the resistance trendline, indicating downward momentum. There are two potential scenarios: The first scenario, Current price is trading below the resistance trend line at 145.446, If the price remains below this level, it is expected to decline , Target levels for this decline are 142.226 and, potentially, 140.745. The second scenario , If the price breaks above the resistance trend line at 145.446 and stabilizes above it , It suggests a potential increase , Target levels for the increase are 147.516 and, potentially, 149.310. UPWARD LEVEL : 147.516 , 149.310. DOWNWARD LEVEL : 142.226 , 140 .745.
Short
by ArinaKarayi
USOIL / TRADING ABOVE SUPPORT LEVEL - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The First Scenario , The support level at 65.35 acts as a critical threshold; as long as prices remain above it, buyers dominate, pushing the price towards 68.74 and then 69.98. This rise reflects increased confidence in an uptrend. For the trend to be fully confirmed, prices must stabilize above 69.98, signaling sustained momentum, which could lead to a further increase to 71.59. The Second Scenario , if the price breaks below 65.35 and stabilizes, it indicates a shift in market sentiment, with sellers gaining control and potentially driving the price down to 63.35, followed by 62.65 This technical analysis underscores the importance of price levels in predicting future market movements and investor behavior. UPWARD TARGET : 68.74 , 69.98 , 71.59 . DOWNWARD TARGET : 63.35 , 62.65 .
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
Why Most Traders Fail—and How You Can Succeed!The charts you provided showcase potential scenarios based on different liquidity zones (LQZ) on multiple timeframes, such as 15M, 1H, and 4H. Let's break down the key insights from the images: Key Levels: Weekly Flag Trendline: This yellow trendline represents the long-term trend and acts as a major resistance or support. It’s crucial to monitor price action around this level for significant moves. 4HR LQZ (Liquidity Zone) at 2,532.077: This level signifies an important area of liquidity on the 4-hour chart. It’s a potential reversal point or continuation area depending on how the price interacts with it. 1HR LQZ and 15M LQZ: These shorter timeframe liquidity zones are at 2,482.129 and 2,470.544 respectively. They act as interim targets or bounce zones based on the smaller trend movements. Price Action Context: Wedge Formation: The rising wedge pattern visible in all the charts, combined with slowing momentum near the top, suggests possible bearish pressure. Wedges often lead to sharp breakouts, so a breakout to the downside would align with the wedge structure. Multi-Touch Confirmation: The multiple touches on trendlines, both support and resistance, increase the probability of significant movements. This concept is supported by multi-touch confirmation techniques​. Scenario Planning: Upside Potential: A breakout above the 4HR LQZ suggests further bullish momentum, likely toward higher liquidity zones. This can result in a continuation to the upside, as shown with the green line projection on some charts. Downside Risks: A breakdown below the wedge support and failing to hold the 15M or 1HR LQZ may lead to a bearish move toward the lower liquidity targets. The yellow line projections suggest a pullback to 2,485.055 and potentially lower. The Trinity Rule Approach: Confluence Setup: If price interacts with three major zones (like the 4HR LQZ, wedge support, and Weekly Flag Trendline), we can assess whether these align with other signals. This rule adds extra confirmation for higher-probability setups, as discussed in your document​​. Overall, price action shows a decision point around the wedge and liquidity zones, with strong reactions expected in either direction.
OANDA:XAUUSDEducation
by Adlercon333
XAUUSD / TRADING SENSITIVE AREA - 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME HELLO TRADERS The overall trend is downward , until trading around 2,526$ and 2,531$ The expectation of prices rising to $2,526 and $2,531 before dropping can be explained by resistance levels at these points, which often cause a pullback in prices. If gold remains below $2,531, the downtrend is likely to continue, supported by technical indicators showing declining momentum. The forecast of a drop to $2,507 is based on previous support levels where the price tends to stabilize. However, if gold closes above $2,531 on a 4-hour chart, it suggests a breakout, signaling a shift in sentiment and potentially leading to higher prices, supported by market momentum. The projection of reaching $2,540 and $2,551 aligns with historical price peaks and psychological levels that traders often target in a rally. KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 2,507 . RESISTANCE LEVELS : 2,526$ , 2,531$ . SUPPORT LEVELS : 2,507$ , 2,475$ .
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArinaKarayi
USOIL / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE IN THE DAILY CHART - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME HELO TRADERS The overall trend is uptrend , until trading above demand zone in the daily chart . Current Position Prices are above the demand zone, which is a strong support area. This indicates that the current support level is holding and may lead to a price increase , For an uptrend to be confirmed, prices need to break and stabilize above turning level at 71.82 . Successfully doing so suggests that the bullish momentum is strong enough to push prices towards the next resistance levels at 74.24 and then 76.21. If prices fall below 71.82 and stabilize, it indicates that the support level is no longer effective, potentially leading to a decline , If prices reach 69.18 and a 4-hour or 1-hour candle closes below this level, it suggests a continuation of the downtrend. A further break and stabilization below 68.28 would confirm a sustained bearish trend, indicating further price decreases. KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 71.82 . RESISTANCE LEVELS : 74.24 , 76.21 . SUPPORT LEVELS : 69.18 , 68.28 .
TVC:USOILLong
by ArinaKarayi
USOIL / STILL CONTINUES A DOWNTREND - 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME The overall trend is downward , until trading below turning level at 71.85 . The significant decline in USOIL prices yesterday suggests a bearish momentum, which aligns with the observed price action falling below the critical level of 71.85. This indicates a continuation of the downward trend, making the next support level at 69.81 a logical target. If prices break this support, it would likely trigger further selling pressure, leading to declines toward 68.46 and 66.85, which are key levels of interest based on previous market behavior. On the other hand, for a reversal to the upside, the price needs to break back above 71.85, which currently serves as a turning point. Breaching this level would signal a potential shift in market sentiment, opening the way to test the resistance at 74.24. If the price stabilizes above this resistance, it would reinforce the bullish case, paving the way for further gains toward 76.21 and eventually 77.51. KEY LEVELS : TURNING LEVEL : 71.85 . RESISTANCE LEVELS : 74.24 , 76.21 , 77.51 . SUPPORT LEVELS : 69.81 , 68.46 , 66.85 .
TVC:USOILShort
by ArinaKarayi