Gold breaks the downtrend With RSI (14) additionally breaking the downtrend, evidently the fairly pessimistic image of the beyond month is turning into brighter for buyers, giving investors a caution of a retest of report highs. transaction. MACD has now no longer but showed the signal, even though it is displaying symptoms and symptoms of bottoming.
We noticed a small pullback throughout early Monday buying and selling in Asia, as costs retested the small uptrend from mid-September, which had furnished aid till broken. broke early closing week.
If the charge holds above this level, keep in mind shopping for above with a good forestall underneath to defend the goal push to a report excessive of $2,685.7. If it breaks, investors can search for a push to $2700.
💎 XAUUSD sell 2652-2654💎
✔️TP1: 2645
✔️TP2: 2640
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2660
💎 XAUUSD buy 2642 - 2640💎
✔️TP1: 2652
✔️TP2: 2665
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2633
Tradingsignals
EURUSD week 42 analysis🌐Fundamental Analysis
EUR/USD consolidated near 1.0930 in New York trading on Friday. The major currency traded sideways as the US Dollar (USD) remained flat despite the release of US Producer Price Index (PPI) data showing that producer inflation accelerated faster than expected in September compared to a year earlier. The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback against six major currencies, hovered around 103.00.
Higher-than-expected US producer inflation following stubborn inflation data has raised the risk of persistent inflation. However, according to CME's FedWatch tool, this is unlikely to affect market expectations that the Federal Reserve will cut interest rates by 25 basis points (bps) in November. In contrast, Atlanta Federal Reserve Bank President Raphael Bostic has suggested keeping interest rates unchanged at 4.75%-5.00% in November.
🕯Technical Analysis
EURUSD's bearish wave has not stopped yet as the pair's DOW waves have not yet shown strength. The strong reaction at 1.090 has established this area as an important support area for the pair next week. The upper limit in front of us is the peak area of 1.0980. The widest trading range that the pair will operate next week is around the support area of the previous month's bottom around 1.080 and the disputed resistance area of 1.104. The SELL point coincides with Fibonacci and EMA so we can put our trust in trend SELL orders.
📈📉Trading Signals
BUY EURUSD 1.080-1.078 Stoploss 1.076
SELL EURUSD 1.104-1.106 Stoploss 1.108
ANALIZING PALANTIR ITS JUST COMMON SENSE... BUT BE VERY CAREFULLLet’s welcome Palantir (PLTR) into the weekend analysis!
As we can see in the chart, today I wanted to do general structure analysis not too specific, as we are practically touching the highest level again in nearly 4 years.
Congratulations to all who bought at $12–16 per share and are still holding Palantir, but as I show in the chart, from point A to point B, it took almost 4 years to reach these levels again.
But here’s my question: WHAT WOULD YOU DO IF YOU BOUGHT AROUND $40 IN 2021?
I’d love to know, as this situation can greatly influence each person’s psychology when making a fundamental decision in trading.
(LEAVE YOUR OPINION IN THE COMMENTS)
I want you to know that I don’t just focus on price analysis. I also study company valuation. Based on a fundamental analysis of its balance sheet and recent moves by PLTR, I’ve concluded that Palantir is currently 171% above its intrinsic value.
In my personal opinion, my decision leans more toward common sense…
What do I mean?
1. Palantir is 171% overvalued.
2. Palantir is diluting its investors like crazy! In every quarterly report.
Do you know what dilution is?
Stock dilution can be harmful to shareholders because the value of each share is reduced, even though the investor holds the same number of shares. This is because the total value of the company doesn’t increase proportionally with the number of shares.
Palantir is an excellent company, although it’s a bit complicated to understand what they do and how they make money. But in my personal opinion, a company that dilutes its investors is nothing but a red flag to me—and a big red flag—because I call this the silent killer for investors.
At this point, PLTR is more on the hype side!
If Palantir reports well in November, we could see the stock above $50 per share, BUT if Palantir reports anything that doesn’t meet investor expectations, any data that falls short… Buckle up!
But how much could it fall? The truth is, I don’t know. But if we base it on technical analysis, I have an important inflection point (purple zone) where I expect the price to bounce after a sharp drop. BUT CAUTION! Only if Palantir doesn’t meet expectations.
An inflection point in trading refers to a critical moment on a price chart where the trend or price direction is expected to change. It marks the transition from one phase of price movement to another, often signaling a turning point in market sentiment or momentum. Traders pay close attention to inflection points as they may indicate a radical trend shift.
Traders use these points to adjust their strategies, such as entering or exiting positions, to capitalize on the expected change in price direction.
BUT WHAT WILL REALLY HAPPEN? I don’t know, maybe this time it will be different—who knows? But the only thing I can tell you is that numbers don’t lie, and neither does price action.
So, I hope the decision you make is the right one!
Thank you for supporting this analysis.
Sending you my best regards!
BTC's situation+next targets and expected movements.(Daily)I still stand by my opinion and haven’t changed my mind that Bitcoin should reach $73,000. Now let’s analyze this technically. Recently, Bitcoin managed to break this triangle strongly and rose to above $66,500. However, The price has now been corrected and it can go up to 67k, and then breaking the head and shoulders pattern, and finally reach the megaphone top.
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Best regards CobraVanguard .💚
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✅Thank you, and for more ideas, hit ❤️Like❤️ and 🌟Follow🌟!
⚠️Things can change...
The markets are always changing and even with all these signals, the market changes tend to be strong and fast!!
Chart for trading on time frame charts below 1D chart
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click "Boost".
Have a nice day today.
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This is an indicator created for trading on time frame charts below 1D charts.
Therefore, there is nothing to explain.
This is because trading should be conducted according to your own trading strategy or response strategy.
However, I hope that it will be a reference material that allows you to create a trading strategy or response strategy that suits you by looking at the points where you can start trading or the points where you can respond.
To use this chart, click the three dots below this idea and click Grab this chart.
---------------------------------------------
The basic trading method is as follows.
1. The BW 0 line or BW 100 line is the standard line for trading.
Therefore, to start trading for the first time, you will trade with a buy (LONG) or sell (SHORT) position depending on whether these two lines are supported.
2. The Mid (50) line is the position conversion line.
Therefore, when trading with a sell (LONG) or sell (SHORT) position, if you touch the Mid (50) line, you should proceed with a split transaction or liquidate depending on the situation.
3. The High (80 Down), Low (20 UP) line plays the same role as the Mid (50) line, but it is a line for the main purpose of a split transaction.
Therefore, in the case of a low time frame chart, it may be more helpful to deactivate the High (80 Down), Low (20 UP) lines.
-
The additional trading method is as follows. 1. If it falls below the BW 0 line, it is likely to lead to a stepwise downtrend.
2. If it rises above the BW 100 line, it is likely to lead to a stepwise uptrend.
Therefore, if 1 and 2 occur, you should conduct split trading near the Mid (50), High (80 Down), and Low (20 UP) lines.
To determine this, it is recommended to conduct trading by referring to the movement of the StochRSI indicator.
If the StochRSI indicator has entered the overbought zone, it is highly likely to lead to an additional rise.
Therefore, if it falls in the overbought zone and changes to a state where StochRSI < StochRSI EMA, the price is likely to continue to decline.
Conversely, if the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, it is highly likely to lead to an additional decline.
Therefore, if it rises in the oversold zone and changes to a state where StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, the price is likely to continue to rise.
With this interpretation method, I recommend using it as a basis for judging how to proceed with a transaction when the price is located near the BW 0 line and the BW 100 line.
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When trading, it is recommended to proceed based on the trend of the 1D chart.
In other words, if the 1D chart maintains an upward trend, it is recommended to proceed with a transaction to maintain a long position.
If you need to trade in the opposite direction of the 1D chart trend, remember that a short and quick response is required.
In order to see the overall trend, the M-Signal indicators of the 1M, 1W, and 1D charts have been added.
For scalping or day trading, the 5EMA indicator of the 1D chart has been added.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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Gold Price Analysis October 11Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices eased from a three-day high and traded around $2,640 in early European trade on Friday, still up more than 0.40% on the day. A rise in US weekly jobless claims pointed to signs of weakness in the labour market and will allow the Federal Reserve (Fed) to cut interest rates further. This, in turn, triggered a slight decline in US Treasury yields, which, coupled with softer risk sentiment, helped the non-yielding yellow metal gain positive traction for a second straight day.
Investors, meanwhile, have fully priced in the possibility of an excessive rate cut by the Fed in November following the release of stronger-than-expected US consumer inflation figures on Thursday. In turn, this helped the US Dollar (USD) halt the previous day's downside correction from its highest level since mid-August and act as a drag on Gold prices. Traders are now looking to the US Producer Price Index (PPI), the Michigan Preliminary Consumer Sentiment Index and Inflation Expectations, and the Fedspeak for short-term momentum.
Technical Analysis
2650 remains an important psychological port if gold pushes down before PPI, this zone can still be SELL today. The market is sideways around 2640 waiting for PPI promising a big volatile day today with the upper limit around 2658-2660 as the market watches the news and the US session pushes forward. In the support zone, scalping breakout is believed to be around 2628 and the important point today 2620 is still the breakout zone.
SELL 2658-2660 Stoploss 2665
BUY 2620-2618 Stoploss 2615
XAUUSD / TRADING INSIDE SUPPLY ZONE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Supply Zone ,The price is trading between $2,652 and $2,639, which is identified as a sell zone. This range suggests a likelihood of downward price movement as long as the price stays within this zone.
If the price remains in this range, it is expected to decline to the demand zone, which is between $2,610 and $2,604.
This would indicate potential buying opportunities, as the demand zone typically reflects areas where buying interest might emerge and support the price.
If the price breaks and stabilizes above the $2,652-$2,639 zone, it suggests an increase in price.
In that case, the price is likely to target the next supply zone between $2,668 and $2,685, signaling further upward momentum.
The overall tone of the analysis indicates that the market is under bullish pressure, meaning that the expectation is for price increases unless the bearish scenario plays out.
Supply Zone : 2,652$ and 2,639$ , 2,668$ and 2,685$.
Demand Zone : 2,610$ and 2,604$.
EURCHF: Is That a Bearish Trap?! 🇪🇺🇨🇭
Looks like we have a nice example of a bearish trap on EURCHF:
after a violation of a key support level, the price formed a cup & handle pattern
and started to recover rapidly.
With the violation of the neckline of the pattern,
the price successfully returned above the broken structure.
It looks like the pair may continue growing now.
Goal - 0.9388
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Asian and European session price on October 11The price zone 2648 and 2658 are being watched at the moment to prevent gold price from increasing further. The Asian session is looking at this zone to execute SELL signals. Our target is being watched at the 2630 zone which was the breakout point in the last evening session.
Gold Analysis October 10Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices attracted some buyers on Thursday and now appear to have snapped a six-day losing streak to a near three-week low around the $2,605-2,604 region tested the previous day. However, the rally lacked bullish conviction and is likely to run out of steam amid growing bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will cut its benchmark interest rate by 25 basis points (bps) in November. This has helped the US Dollar (USD) maintain its recent strong gains to an eight-week high and will act as a drag on the non-yielding yellow metal.
Traders may also prefer to stay on the sidelines and wait for the release of key US consumer inflation figures later in the North American session. The important US CPI report could influence expectations for the size of the Fed rate cut next month, which would boost demand for USD and provide some meaningful impetus to Gold prices. In addition, developments surrounding the ongoing conflicts in the Middle East will be looked at to capture short-term opportunities around the safe-haven precious metal.
Technical Analysis
The price range to watch for CPI trading strategies. The upper price range of 2626 and 2638 became one of the first major SELL zones in the Asian session yesterday. The 2638-2640 area is the critical zone of the EMA.
The lower price range is focused on the US session around 2605 and the important breakout zone of 2594 will be notable in today's US session. This short-term downtrend is not over yet as the gold price has not been able to close the day above the 263x area. Wishing everyone a successful trading.
BTC BIG PICTURE One of the lagre picture that I am following in the coming months. Everyone expects 100k, which is possible because you see targets 1 and 1,618, but since the first wave was impulsive, I don't believe it will have a big extension.
Targets 74k and 95k until the price tells me otherwise. As for the smaller tf, I will comment below
First look at the smaller time frame , I expect price to make 3-3-3-3-3 and confirm the final diagonal.
Another view is that this move has already started its third impulsive wave. Disability zones 62k-63k where I will know which side it will go after price test those levels
Heading Into Earning With a Bearish FlagNASDAQ:ASML a leading chipmaker is showing an interesting pattern!
In the short term, momentum appears bullish as the price has crossed the 20 SMA and is approaching the 50 SMA, with analysts expecting positive earnings. However, on the daily and weekly charts, a bearish flag pattern is forming, which suggests a potential downtrend. If the price breaks above the 849 resistance, the bullish momentum could continue, but if it fails, the downtrend may push the price towards the 775 support level.
Economic data more supportive of 25 basis point cutThe market is still waiting for data to be more certain about the next move of the US Federal Reserve (FED). Analyst Giovanni Staunovo of UBS said that since the payroll data was released last week, the market has been discussing whether the world's leading economy is in a soft landing scenario. Staunovo added that the upcoming inflation data will partly answer that question.
This morning, gold prices continued to decline after the FED released the minutes of the September 17-18 meeting, in which it noted that the pace of future cuts will not be determined by the initial cut (the FED just cut interest rates by 0.5% last month).
Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan said she wanted smaller cuts in the near term, due to the remaining inflation risks and significant uncertainties about the economic outlook.
According to the World Gold Council (WGC), central banks around the world have slowed their gold purchases in 2024 compared to 2023, but still maintained higher purchases than before 2022. This is partly due to the People's Bank of China stopping gold purchases since May until now...
💎 XAUUSD Buy limit 2606 - 2608💎
✔️TP1: 2615
✔️TP2: 2625
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2597
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎XAUUSD Sell limit 2632 - 2634💎
✔️TP1: 2624
✔️TP2: 2614
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2642
World gold price continued to decreaseWorld gold fee endured to decrease, right all the way down to 2,609 USD/ounce, thirteen USD decrease than yesterday. This is the sixth consecutive decrease, bringing gold costs to the bottom withinside the beyond month. The predominant thing inflicting gold to move down is stated to be the upward thrust of the USD as traders now no longer count on a good deal that the United States Federal Reserve (Fed) will considerably lessen hobby quotes on the November meeting.
The Fed has simply launched the mins of its September 17-18 meeting, which stated that the tempo of destiny discounts will now no longer be decided through the preliminary reduction (the Fed simply decreased hobby quotes through 0.5% closing month). . Dallas Fed President Lorie Logan stated she needs smaller cuts ahead, given lingering inflation dangers and substantial uncertainties approximately the financial outlook.
💎 TVC:GOLD Buy limit 2604 - 2607💎
✔️TP1: 2617
✔️TP2: 2627
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2595
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎 TVC:GOLD Sell limit 2637 - 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2627
✔️TP2: 2617
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2653
(CPI) in September 2024 expected to increase 2.3%The median estimate (yr-over-yr, now no longer seasonally adjusted) for the client rate index (CPI) for the month of September 2024 is 2.3%.
If 2.3% is the real yr-over-yr growth withinside the CPI, it'll mark the smallest growth withinside the quantity because February 2021 (1.7%).
The August 2024 client rate index expanded through 2.five% (yr-over-yr, now no longer seasonally adjusted), in comparison to the median estimate of 2.6%. Over the beyond 12 months, the growth withinside the CPI has passed the median estimate in five months, matched the median estimate in 2 months, and fallen quick of the median estimate in five months. It is thrilling to notice that real CPI quantity has been under the estimate over the last 4 months (May 2024 via August 2024). Over the beyond five years (60 months), the growth withinside the CPI has passed the median estimate 52% of the time, matched the median estimate 15% of the time, and fallen quick of the median estimate 33% of the time.
The median estimate of 2.3% is primarily based totally on 17 estimates gathered through FactSet. These CPI estimates variety from a low of 2.20% to a excessive of 2.40%, for a variety of 20 bps. This unfold is smaller than the trailing 12-month common unfold among the low and excessive estimate of 27 bps and smaller than the five-yr (60 month) common unfold among the low and excessive estimate forty nine bps.
The median estimate (yr-over-yr, now no longer seasonally adjusted) for the client rate index apart from food & energy (Core CPI) is 3.2%.
Tomorrow (October 10) the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will launch the CPI and Core CPI numbers for September.
💎 XAUUSD Buy limit 2604 - 2607💎
✔️TP1: 2617
✔️TP2: 2627
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2595
➖➖➖➖➖➖➖➖
💎XAUUSD Sell limit 2637 - 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2627
✔️TP2: 2617
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2653
Asian session gold trading marginHello traders. 2605-2623 becomes the first border zone of the port. These are two important session port zones. When the price comes, we can trade and consider exiting the order before CPI. Besides, the price zone 15-17 is also paying attention to scalping. Wish everyone a successful transaction.
Bitcoin falling to 59K??? Short-term prediction!!Hey guys!
Many interesting things happening at the market right now, and here are my thoughts about BTC.
So in quick we have a red cross on 4H, so seems like we at least can see BTC around 59K, cause also this is important Fib 0,618 level.
The volumes are still descending, plus the green line was broke, which means that we have a convergence with volume.
For me, for sure we gonna touch 59K zone and after we will see.
What's your thoughts?
EURUSD / UNDER FOMC PRESSURE / 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price has declined by 60% after breaking out of a channel .
Currently, the price is approaching a demand zone between 1.093 and 1.091. This zone is where buyers may step in, stabilizing the price.
If the price stabilizes within this demand zone, it is expected to bounce up to the FVG between 1.098 and 1.102. The FVG represents a gap in the price where there was little trading, which often acts as a price target for retracement.
If the price breaks through the FVG, it could rise further, targeting the supply zone between 1.105 and 1.108, where sellers may re-enter the market and apply downward pressure.
On the downside, if the price fails to hold in the demand zone (1.093 to 1.091), it may decline further to another liquidity or demand zone around 1.088, where buying interest could once again materialize.
Supply Zone : 1.105 and 1.108.
Demand Zone : 1.093 and 1.091.
FVG : 1.098 and 1.102.
USDJPY / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE AND FVG / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Action , Prices are currently trading below the supply zone between 148.623 and 149.360 , The next target seems to be the demand zone (A) between 147.164 and 146.062.
Potential Outcomes , If prices reach the demand zone (A) and hold above it, a bullish reversal may occur, potentially pushing prices back toward the supply zone ,If prices break below demand zone (A), they may drop to the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone (B) between 145.321 and 144.268.
Further Movements , If prices stabilize below zone (B), the next targets would be zone (C) around 142.817 and further down to 141.801 , Conversely, if prices stabilize above demand zone (A), it indicates potential upward momentum, aiming back toward supply zone 148.623 to 149.360.
Supply Zone : 148.623 and 149.360.
Demand Zone : 147.164 and 146.062 , 142.817 and 141.801.
FVG :145.321 and 144.268.
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT CHANNEL / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
You’re observing a bearish trend, meaning prices are moving downward or are under selling pressure. This could be due to various factors such as a correction after an uptrend, external market conditions, or the asset hitting resistance zones.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a price range that was quickly passed through during a previous move, creating an imbalance in market orders (usually between aggressive buyers and sellers). These gaps often act as key levels of interest where prices may retrace.
FVG Resistance Zone: You have identified an FVG between $2,621 and $2,637. As long as the price stays below this range, it indicates bearish sentiment and the likelihood of further decline ,This gap can act as a resistance zone, meaning price is struggling to rise above it due to strong selling pressure in that range.
If the price fails to break above the FVG resistance zone, you expect it to continue declining, with targets at:
Demand Zone $2,604 to $2,595: This is an area where buyers previously stepped in, causing prices to rise. It acts as support and a potential reversal point. If the price reaches these levels, you expect some buying interest to potentially stabilize or reverse the trend.
However, if the price breaks below the $2,595 support level, it could signal a deeper bearish move.
If the price manages to break above the FVG (i.e., trades above $2,637), this would suggest a potential bullish reversal or upward momentum, leading to the next key levels:
Supply Zone $2,645 to $2,652, This is where sellers previously overwhelmed buyers, and price dropped. Reaching this zone could lead to consolidation or resistance unless there is enough buying power to push through.
Uptrend Confirmation , To confirm a more sustained uptrend, the price needs to break above the $2,652 level. A successful breakout here could lead to a move toward the next target of $2,664.
World gold costs dropped sharply withinside World gold prices dropped sharply in the context of the rising USD index. Recorded at 0:00 on October 9, the US Dollar Index measuring the fluctuation of the greenback with 6 major currencies was at 102,340 points (up 0.04%).
World gold prices faced a wave of selling when a senior official of Hezbollah expressed support for Lebanese officials' efforts towards a ceasefire. Market participants are seeing the news as a easing of tensions in the Middle East.
Not only gold, news about Hezbollah has "sunk" the crude oil market - a commodity that is closely related to precious metals. Nymex crude oil price decreased by about 3.75 USD/barrel to 73.5 USD/barrel.
💎 TVC:GOLD buy 2617- 2615💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2635
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2609
💎 TVC:GOLD sell 2637- 2635💎
✔️TP1: 2625
✔️TP2: 2615
✔️TP3: OPEN
🚫SL: 2643
Gold price analysis October 9Fundamental Analysis
Gold prices fell sharply on Tuesday following a strong US jobs report and news reports that Hezbollah backed calls for a ceasefire in the conflict between it and Israel. As a result, hints of a possible de-escalation of the Middle East conflict opened the door for traders to take profits. XAU/USD traded at $2,615, down more than 1%.
This prompted a sell-off in XAU/USD, which fell more than $35 to an intraday low of $2,604 before buyers took it to the current spot price. Additionally, rising US Treasury yields weighed on the non-yielding metal. The benchmark US 10-year yield remained unchanged above 4%, but has risen more than six basis points this week following last Friday's September Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report.
Against this backdrop, interest rate traders have adjusted their expectations for the next move by the Federal Reserve (Fed). Most Fed speakers have been gradual in their tone toward easing monetary policy. However, some, like St. Louis Fed President Alberto Musalem, only expect one more cut by year-end after backing a 50 bps cut in September.
Technical Analysis
The Asian session range that we are paying attention to is around 2603 and 2627. The bottom support zone that the US session touched last night is also known as session support. The resistance zone is a breakout retest zone that the market respects. The upper range converges with the 34 EMA for a good trading plan in the Asian session. In the US session, the price range is wider with the price zone of interest around 2592 and the resistance of 2648 is considered a key price zone to hold the price from long declines.