Bitcoin is now expected to reach levels 23.8K - K22.4 - K21.5The first target was reached by Bitcoin yesterday, by a slight difference, and the price bounced from it, and it is expected to return to touching this level, and it is considered a minor and weak support, and it can be broken easily
Today, it is expected to break 22.8K, and head towards the second support levels at 22.4K, and it is likely to be broken if the rise continues on Dominance Tether..
Tradingplans
Higher Rewards For Less RiskI've changed my reward-to-risk ratio from 1:1 to 2:1.
You heard me right! They have changed.
I wasn't a stickler about my ratios, but I am now. I want to make more money and do less trading. How is this possible, you may be asking?
It's simple when you look into the details. So let's take a look at the losses first.
What do my losses look like?
Each time I lose a trade, I recently exited a previous winner or wasn't in a trade on that currency pair before I lost. Let me explain because these are two different things.
When I win a trade, I give back my profits on losing trades and may not enter the next trade due to my emotions being everywhere.
I noticed that I was stopped out, and the price flowed my way. But, honestly, I can do nothing to prevent this from happening.
You may say, "well, can't you change your stop loss?"
I could, but to what? I never know when I'll be stopped out or how big the wicks will be to get me out of the trade. This means every trade is unique, and I'm making a mistake if I don't follow my rules.
Being stopped out isn't the problem. Trading my system too much with almost the same reward to risk is the problem.
Question to myself, what if you could hold the trade longer(I'm a swing trader, so this fits) and increase your reward significantly, so you don't have to keep entering multiple trades unless the reward was worth it? So now, if I am stopped, my winning trades will make up for my losses and more.
What do my winning trades look like?
My winning trades look more significant than my losses. My focus is and will always be higher timeframes. I like to trade when markets are trending. So per the daily, weekly, or monthly timeframe, I'm trading if my currency pairs are trending.
My goal is to get the best entry that fits my rules and hold to my long-term targets, and any trade under a 2:1 reward-to-risk ratio will not be traded.
I'm also ok with not being triggered into trades set by my pending orders. I'm also ok with losing trades. That's part of the business.
In Summary
I seek to hold trades longer to receive bigger rewards and let the small losses be small. I've not changed my trading strategy. It works, and I am working on it. We go well together.
My belief is as long as the market is trending, I can hold my trade.
I pray this blessed you,
Shaquan
Remember, you don't trade the markets. You trade what you believe about the markets. "Van Tharp"
What I Do After I Lose A TradeI noticed I’m still in AUDNZD, which is in good profit. Price made a new high, and my first action was to move the trade to break even. At the same time, I noticed I lost a trade on NZDCHF which I set a pending order for this morning.
What I did next was a reaction to the loss. I immediately sought a trade on a currency pair that was not on my list.
Once I did that, I heard a voice saying, STOP DOING THAT!
This is a repeated action I do when I lose a trade. Instead of feeling the loss, I try to medicate it by looking for something else to do.
As soon as I realized this, I wrote that down as a limiting belief and then wrote down what I believe about the market.
Limiting Belief: Losing a trade makes me feel like I need to look for a trade on another pair to make my money back.
Action to take: take a slight loss. It’s better than letting a losing trade run.
Belief: Small losses tell you the price has reversed and to be patient to wait for the following setup on the same currency pair.
Belief: The market changes. I have to adapt quickly because the price movement will change, which means every trade is unique.
Belief: Make trading a fun puzzle to figure out. It will become overwhelming if I work on too many puzzles simultaneously.
What I noticed last was how I felt. Usually, I feel a tight pinch in my chest before I get on my charts. Its anxiety. I didn’t feel it this morning. I felt relaxed.
After dealing with years of anxiety I can feel it decreasing the more I write out my thoughts and beliefs and see how they are what I trade.
Experiencing today's lose I had no feeling just a reaction I will work hard to not do again.
What reactions do you have when you lose a trade. What are thoughts and feelings? If negative what can you now begin doing that will help you adapt to price movement with a clear mind and well thought out actions?
If you found value in this shared moment of my trading journey please like this post and comment. You're not alone in this trading world. Let's talk it out.
How to become a master trader?
First:Making Plans
Before trading every day, make a trading plan, so how to make a good plan?
Take XAUUSD for example,If you mainly focus on short-term operations, focus on the key support and key resistance within the day, buy up at the support level, buy down at the resistance level, sell high and buy low, if you cannot accurately determine where the support and resistance are , you can see my daily analysis articles.
In addition, when making a plan, you must set the stop profit and stop loss points. The stop profit must be greater than the stop loss. The reason for this is that even if your accuracy rate does not reach 50%, you can still make profits in the long run.
Second:Implement
After making a trading plan, what you have to do is to strictly implement it. You need to have confidence in your plan and don’t doubt your judgment because of the turmoil in the market. You need to know that the truth is often in the hands of a few people.
Third:review
Regardless of whether you are making a profit or a loss in today's transaction, you need to review the market. When you make a profit, you need to consider whether the take-profit position set this time is reasonable, and whether the profit can be enlarged next time. Of course, you also need to learn how to stop in moderation.
Of course, we can’t avoid the situation where we misjudged the direction. At this time, we need to consider whether we have strictly implemented the stop loss operation. In many cases, small losses are out, and keeping the principal is also a very correct operation. More people They will stop profit, but they can’t accept the loss, which leads to a mistake and loses the whole game. Therefore, it is said that those who can buy are apprentices, and those who can sell are masters.
Fourth:Summarize
Making a trading plan is a good habit, and it will accompany you throughout your life. Don’t think it’s a good habit just because you’ve made money for several days in a row, and you’ll feel that making a plan is useless because you’ve lost money for a few days in a row. The meaning, a simple summary is to make a good plan, strictly implement it, review it many times, and believe in yourself.
I will formulate my trading plan every day, and then share it with you, hoping to make progress together with you. At any time, we are in awe of the market and let ourselves go further through planning. This market will always eliminate some people. Don’t believe it Luck, that kind of thing will run out sooner or later, friends are welcome to discuss with me.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
Top 15 mistakes and solutions in trading TOP 15 Trader's Mistakes
1 - Lack of knowledge of market operation, technical and fundamental analysis, mass psychology and market cycles
In the boom period, when a large number of new participants enter the market, many people believe themselves to be the "god of trading" and the "master of the markets."
Beginners are satisfied with a 10-20% profit during the expansion phase, whereas quotes for liquid cryptocurrencies show a gain of 30/50/150%. Everything is contrary to the logic of the majority, which is how markets function. Sadly or luckily, the majority of individuals make common errors and are unable, due to a lack of understanding, to differentiate the fine line when an uptrend is replaced by a downturn and the distribution phase is replaced by a prolonged decline.
At the moment of trend reversal, a psychological trap and a sequence of catastrophic events are established for the majority of participants, and a number of concomitant circumstances and lack of experience make it impossible to see the situation objectively.
When the market is at its "bottom," the majority loses faith in growth: some sell out and abandon the market, while others wait even lower, do not purchase, and begin shopping only when everything has increased by hundreds of percent.
Solution
Study theory. Dow Jones theory, the fundamentals of technical and fundamental analysis, and any information regarding market cycles will be of great use. Examining the graph using large timescales, such as days, weeks, and months. You may find a wealth of material about the fundamentals of trading in the public domain or in the trading part of our website.
2 - Covetousness resembles a psychological trap
Trading greed presents itself in numerous ways. Many are attracted to the cryptocurrency market by the idea of quick money, but the majority's problem is a lack of understanding of the mechanisms that move the market and how it functions.
In order to arouse greed, pampas are constructed with a single "stick to the sky." Everyone sees a growth of 1000%, and as a result, earnings of 20/40/50 and even 200% no longer appear so promising, people do not sell, they are waiting for more, and the price falls into the red.
Purchasing a full deposit's worth of cryptocurrencies in a single transaction is also greedy. The typical justification for such a "tactic" is that 10% of the overall deposit is greater than 10% of the portion of the deposit. Yet, when the price declines, the trader incurs losses and cannot cut the average entry price at lower values.
Another example is missed opportunity syndrome, or FOMO. The price of the item has climbed by an inadequate amount over the course of one or more candles. Seeing this process, a novice decides to purchase the asset because he believes the price will continue to rise, resulting in losses.
Many make the mistake of wanting to gain a lot of money quickly, but this is impossible. Fear and greed are particularly harmful emotions for traders.
Solution
The market requires a sensible strategy. Greed stems from inexperience and the fear of being late. Refrain from making decisions based on emotions and haste. It is essential to recognize that chances arise and disappear regularly on the market. Before initiating a trade, you should assess and justify your motives for doing so.
3 - Trading in emotional instability and excitement
Any emotion in trading is detrimental. The decision to enter or exit a transaction must be calculated beforehand, devoid of emotion and haste. Emotions make it difficult to appraise the situation accurately, and you run the danger of making a mistake that may result in losses.
Yet, since emotions are innate, it is impossible to eradicate them entirely; however, they can be managed. If emotions prevail, it is time to close the trading terminal and go on to other tasks.
If you wake up at night to check bitcoin prices or are unable to fall asleep, this indicates that you have already made key errors in your risk management system, or that you do not have one. And this requires immediate action and, as much as possible, a "cool" head.
Solution
Take a break from the trading terminal, spend time with loved ones, or go for a stroll; you need emotional relief and rest from time to time. Sports are effective stress reducers. If you have already reached the point of insomnia and emotional breakdowns, you must conduct a thorough analysis of your risk management strategy and take sometimes difficult measures.
If you have executed a number of unproductive transactions or one with an insufficient loss and you have the impression of "winning back," close the trading terminal immediately and do not trade on this day. Do not treat trading as a game of chance; in this emotional condition, you have no chance of success.
4 - leveraged trading
Margin instruments can be effective in the hands of a competent trader, though not always and only under certain conditions. This is simply an unmanageable machine for liquidating a deposit in the hands of a novice. Futures and margin are verboten for rookie traders, since you face the risk of not having time to develop experience, but losing your deposit instantly.
The average daily volatility of liquid instruments in a sideways movement can reach 3 to 10%, which indicates that squeezes may exceed adequacy when utilizing the 10th leverage - movements by 30 to 100% - on low-liquid pairs. When utilizing such leverage, setting a stop-loss is already problematic, as a stop-loss that is too far away would result in enormous losses in the event that it is triggered, and in nine out of ten situations it will be eliminated by an acceptable percentage. In addition, you will pay a commission for financing, taking into account leverage and transaction commissions.
Exchanges will gladly offer you with as much leverage as you like, but this is no longer trading; with this strategy, you have a greater chance of winning money at a casino.
Solution
Study the fundamentals of trading, master numerous techniques, develop your own trading strategy, and gain real-world trading experience on the spot market by physically purchasing and selling various assets. You will eventually comprehend how the market operates. Under certain circumstances, success on the spot market can be enhanced with margin.
5 - Uselessness of stops
Stops in trading are a substantial issue; stop-loss orders are covered in a different article. Stop-loss orders are frequently used irrationally or ignored by novice traders.
Traders can be roughly divided into two groups: those who always use stops and those who prefer to operate without them. However, these are extremes. A stop positioned too closely is liable to be obliterated, while the absence of a stop under certain conditions can result in enormous losses.
It is irrational to use stops during the accumulation phase because, in about eight out of ten instances, stops are eliminated precisely at those levels when there is a substantial accumulation of them, following which the price reverses and moves in the opposite direction. And when a significant upswing is established after a period of accumulation, a knockout almost always comes; it would be a shame to watch the price rise without participating. Yet there is a tight line here; you must be certain for a large percentage that this is the accumulation period, and you need also have a plan for price averaging, i.e. fiat in reserve.
It is irrational to work in the distribution phase without stopping, just as it is crazy to labor in the accumulation phase with a pause. This is significant because many people lose in these situations due to lack of expertise. Eventually, the distribution is finished and a decline occurs, frequently abruptly and by a substantial percentage. Stopping dramatically minimizes the loss.
If you have already opened a position and the price moves significantly in your favor, it becomes sense to place a stop-loss to safeguard profits so that if the price reverses, you will still make a profit and not a loss.
While dealing with margin instruments, stops are required!
Solution
If you have no trading experience, we recommend that you constantly utilize stops until you understand how they operate. If the fundamentals are understood, they should be applied sensibly to the circumstance. Similarly, if you were stopped out by a stop, you do not need to re-enter the trade, pause trading, identify what went wrong, and then determine the next entry point.
6 - Non-fixing losses incurred when the price moves against you but you do not close your position
If a trader becomes an investor owing to circumstances rather than his own volition, he is a poor trader. The "HODL strategy" is an explanation for a trader's insolvency and their own faults.
Long-term asset freezing is the worst thing that can happen to a trader - "I'll wait out the crypto winter and still sell for a profit" is not a trader's behavior model. It does not matter to a trader what the current trend is; he must have effective strategies for any scenario. Waiting out losses is a waste of resources since there is volatility at every price level, and volatility is an opportunity to make money.
Trading on financial markets necessitates the presence of lost deals; it's just the nature of the business. No trader has 100 percent profitable trades, and this is typical. Profitable trades must cover bad trades, and losses must be contained.
If you are unwilling to recover losses when the price moves against you, you lose control of the situation and become a victim of circumstances.
Solution
Before entering a trade, you should have a contingency plan in place in the event that the price moves against you. In certain circumstances, this may involve deliberate averaging, while in others, it may include fixing losses. Recognize that losing transactions are a normal part of the process.
7 - Transaction concluded too quickly
We touched on this topic briefly at the beginning of the article. The scenario is typical: a trader enters a position and the price begins to move in his favor. The trader takes profit at the predetermined level, but the price continues to rise. In itoge, fixed profit represents a modest proportion of the whole movement. The circumstance is representative of a powerful trend.
It would be a stretch to call this a mistake because the profit is fixed; however, in the case of a trading strategy with a limited number of assets, it can take a very long time to wait for the price to roll back below the exit point, in some cases an entire year, and in other instances, the quote may not return to its previous levels.
Solution
8 - Depending on your trading approach, there are a variety of solutions, including:
The gradual sale of a previously acquired asset at varying prices.
Selling of a portion of the asset to remove the invested funds from the transaction and earn a little return, reserving the remaining position (conditionally free asset) for longer-term objectives.
Profit protection with a stop-loss order and its progressive approach to the quote, but not too close so as not to be eliminated prematurely.
Deviation from the strategy or vice versa - lack of action flexibility
Confusion, agitation, and swinging between extremes are certain indicators of a lack of a trading strategy or an indication that it was constructed wrong. Planned action eliminates the possibility of unanticipated situations and makes risks manageable. The plan must account for both potential profits and losses. Frequent strategy adjustments during the trading process are typically detrimental.
The contrary is also true: a trading strategy must be adaptable to the current market environment. For instance, you are in a position and the price is moving in your favor, everything is going as planned, you are almost at your goals, but then you learn that the project whose coin you are trading was hacked. In such a circumstance, you will have very little time to make a choice. In such a circumstance, blind adherence to the strategy will definitely result in losses.
Solution
Your activities must be automated, and you must have a well-thought-out trading plan that takes into consideration all possible eventualities. In the event of a force majeure, it is vital to make swift decisions and build market-specific flexibility.
9 - "Finding knives."
Investing a major portion of the deposit in the purchase of an asset amid a severe price decline is a bad choice. It is known as "catching knives" in business parlance. No one can accurately predict where the price will stop fluctuating and begin to consolidate. Before making a decision based on a thorough analysis of the situation, it is vital to comprehend the core cause of such a decline.
You cannot make purchases after the upcoming autumn without comprehending the market's overall condition. After distribution at the peaks, the value of altcoins can decrease by 70 to 99 percent. To clarify, an asset in a bear market can lose 50% in a day, 50% in price, another 50% in a day, and another 50% in a day dozens of times before reaching its ultimate bottom. In addition, it is not a certainty that he would recover after this, particularly if it is an illiquid asset, of which there are thousands.
Solution
If you continue to employ this technique in your trading strategy, you should limit your exposure by allocating a smaller portion of your entire deposit and bear in mind that this "bottom" may not be the last one. With this strategy, it is crucial to master the fundamentals of technical analysis and how to construct horizontal levels and trend lines.
10 - Absence of system, algorithm, and subjective opinion
You must know beforehand where you are buying and selling, what portion of your deposit you are working on, the permissible losses, and the rationale for these activities at the same levels. All of this is a trading strategy. In acts, there should be no spontaneity, excessive self-assurance, or hesitancy.
You should not take the subjective opinion of another as the truth. The more confident words and assertions sound, the more confidence they inspire on a psychological level, directly into the subconscious, and you begin to feel that these are your own thoughts.
The bitcoin market is rife with numerous types of manipulation; therefore, every information must be double-checked. The situation is compounded by the fact that newcomers are frequently directed by their own expectations and desires rather than by objective data. For instance, a break in a trend or a breakdown of a horizontal level is objective evidence, whereas an item that is overbought or oversold is merely an opinion.
Solution
Incorporating risk management and financial management into your own trading strategy. Use objective knowledge, not the opinion of others, for analysis. If you consume a great deal of information regarding the crypto sector, you need carefully select your sources and listen to opposing viewpoints on the situation.
11 - Ineffective financial management
Money management should be the default inclusion in your trading plan. This entails splitting both the deposit and the assigned amount to join the asset, as for different trading techniques.
It is not suggested to purchase the entire anticipated quantity of cryptocurrencies in a single transaction, since it will be unable to equalize the entry price in the event of a price decline. Beginners frequently make this error while purchasing something with their entire deposit.
In addition, money management covers the distribution of trading and storage locations for assets. We do not encourage trading on a single exchange; use many exchanges. If your bitcoin is sitting idle on an exchange, withdraw it to a cold wallet or hardware wallet.
Solution
12 - Money management must be an important component of your trading plan
Too slothful to retain records
No professional trader would conduct business without keeping transactional statistics and records. It is impossible to comprehend one's own efficiency without this. Some exchanges provide account analytics at a high level, while others do not; however, all statistics are maintained for a specified time frame. After a while, you will forget the prices at which you acquired your own investment portfolio. It will be unusual to sell an item without knowing if you are making a profit or a loss.
A trading journal will educate you more than a dozen trading books combined. Record the purchase price, date, exchange, reasons for entry, feelings during the transaction, and similar information. After a period of time, you will be able to study and comprehend the causes of past errors and successful transactions.
Solution
13 - Notepad, pen, and a methodical approach.
Overestimated dangers
Regardless of the size of the deposit, restrict the allocated funds for high-risk strategies to a specific amount or percentage. In the event of a loss, continue trading with the current balance without replenishing it. If a profit is made and the balance increases, transfer a portion of the money to less risky methods or withdraw them to fiat.
Elevated risks include x5+ leverage, starting a trade with the full deposit or a substantial portion, entering an asset with a single order without averaging, and trading illiquid assets.
Solution
14 - A methodical approach to risk management.
Do everything and you will fail
There are various methods for constructing working portfolios. Someone trades many specific altcoins, someone trades simply bitcoin, and someone trades circumstances without reference to particular assets; however, success is the most important factor.
The enormous number of active cryptocurrencies is one of the primary obstacles for newbies. To handle the situation, it is required to comprehend a variety of project-related aspects, including fundamental analysis, technical analysis, order book status, transaction history, project-related news, price, etc. It is physically impossible to control more than five assets simultaneously without the assistance of a team of analysts.
By working with many cryptocurrencies, you run the danger of losing focus and overlooking crucial nuances that will effect the outcome.
Solution
Initially, do not trade more than three assets; if you can keep track of a larger number, you may gradually increase the quantity.
15 - Inability to withdraw from the market and await suitable conditions.
Staying out of the market is one of the most difficult aspects of trading for most novices. There are times when the wisest course of action is to monitor the market. It is not true that the more transactions there are, the greater the profit. You can conduct dozens of transactions per day and incur a loss in a month, or you can conduct two or three transactions per month and earn a profit.
It is easier to work during the growth phase, and without theory and experience, it is nearly difficult to earn a profit during the flat and downturn phases. If it were possible to make money during the growing phase, the ideal course of action during the turning point would be to take a vacation or limit the trading portion of the initial deposit in order to get expertise trading with little sums.
The remaining 99% of a trader's time is spent on self-development, market analysis, hunting for opportunities, and waiting for advantageous entry points into trades.
Solution
Utilize the time while you are out of the market to your advantage. Instead of mimicking a monkey's actions, participate in self-education: read foundational literature on trading, discover new trading tactics, and study the assets you're interested in as thoroughly as possible. In this way, at the moment when a beneficial situation occurs on the market, you will be ready for it.
Hope you enjoyed the content I created, You can support with your likes and comments this idea so more people can watch!
✅Disclaimer: Please be aware of the risks involved in trading. This idea was made for educational purposes only not for financial Investment Purposes.
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• Look at my ideas about interesting altcoins in the related section down below ↓
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aud/nzd set 2 Potential Bullish set upshere I'm looking for the correct move back down to our major areas of interest
1st entry is potentially sniper entry -- how ever if the trade goes against us we will capitalize on a 2nd entry
information shared is for educational and demo purposes only, please practice proper risk management while trading in the financial markets!
Disclaimer- Trading contains risk and no one should trade money that they cant afford to loose, please reach out to a professional to go over a risk management and investment strategy that works best for you and your current financial situation!
Disclaimer -- I AM NOT A FINANCIAL ADVISOR and past profits don't guarantee a future results!
Bitcoin situation update and Trading PlanSo, in the previous idea of February 3 (I will attach), I assumed a correction in the block 21500-20800 as you can see, our scenario from this idea is perfectly implemented, for a better understanding, I strongly recommend reading this forecast and trading plan.
Now to the current situation , I am now taking the side of an aggressive buyer and getting both alt and bitcoin as I was waiting for the price to come into this range . Moving on to the technical picture - we are in a strong support block , which was previously our resistance , these are the price values of $ 21500-20800 , I believe that now there is an additional accumulation of the asset with the goals of throwing into the block 28-30 k for bitcoin . IT is IMPORTANT to keep this support block as when anchoring below , the road to the next range is open . I have shown you an approximate version of the price movement , and also noted the main levels that you need to follow . If you make a trading decision about recruiting and following my proposed trading plan , then be sure to recruit partially and from the anchors , so that the recruitment process is easy for you psychologically .
I 'll write a few more words about the viola , there are a lot of new , and most importantly , relevant setups for the viola set , so check it out - maybe look at something , I repeat , I 'm also starting to gradually dial the alt in this range , I 'm typing only the one that I gave in the channel .
In general , I briefly described my action plan , if something is unclear , then ask in the comments . Good luck in trading .
ICP Trading plan for those who are out of position / long setupSo , today I decided to share with you my trading plan for this coin , this is due to the fact that most likely now a lot of people have missed the growth and comfortable entry points for altos , and in the market as a whole , and there are probably such among my readers , too , so right now I will tell you the whole plan for recruiting positions with excellent medium - termgoals .
Let 's start with the current situation , we have a clearly formed head and shoulders figure , its border is broken , which means it is confirmed . I believe that the price will continue its decline to the key support block of 5.2-4.9$, this decline fits perfectly into the structure of the market, it will demolish the stops on a similar decline in Bitcoin, thereby cooling the overheating. Why is the decline in this particular block ? This. the range is very strong and valid , and also confirmed by time , pay attention to how the price reacted in these price values .
Now , after we have identified a block that is comfortable for a position set , we begin to gradually gain a position , in this range we gain 50% of the allocated amount and put a stop that I marked on the chart , the execution of this stop in my opinion breaks the ascending structure and shows weakness . In general, you scored 50% of the amount that you allocated for this transaction and set a stop, now it remains for us to observe and get a position according to the buyer's reaction (noted on the chart), IT is IMPORTANT to do this on a clear confirmation and fixing on local time intervals (4h), so you have carried out another set already with CONFIRMATION that on our market is extremely important .
Congratulations, the main work is done, now we are just waiting for the full absorption of sales (falling) and already after the breakdown of $ 6.1 we add the final remaining amount to the position and hold it to our goals, after a bold breakdown and exit for $ 6.2, you can safely transfer the stop to no loss, it is important to note that your amount of addition should decrease, thatit would be hard not to shift your entry point .
If you have any questions about the transaction , I will answer in the comments , write . There are also a lot of current setups on the channel . Good luck in trading
🧠 The Mind Of A Smart TraderTrading psychology is influenced by emotions like greed and fear, which can drive irrational behavior in markets. Greed causes excessive risk-taking and speculation, while fear causes traders to exit positions prematurely or avoid risk. Regret can also cause traders to violate discipline and make trades at peak prices, leading to losses. These emotions can be particularly prominent in bull or bear markets and can have a significant impact on market outcomes. Trading psychology is a crucial factor in determining success in trading securities. It includes aspects of an individual's character and behavior that affect their trading decisions. Discipline and risk-taking are critical components of trading psychology, as is the impact of emotions like fear, greed, hope, and regret. It can be as important as knowledge, experience, and skill in determining trading success.
🧠10 Trading mindset tips:
🔹 Stay informed: Stay updated with the latest market news, trends, and developments, as well as your preferred assets.
🔹 Create a trading plan: This should include a clear set of rules for entry, exit, and risk management. Stick to your plan.
🔹 Manage your emotions: Avoid making impulsive decisions, especially during volatile market conditions. Keep a clear head and stick to your plan.
🔹 Continuously educate yourself: Enhance your knowledge and skills by reading books, attending seminars, and practicing with demo accounts.
🔹 Diversify your portfolio: Spread your risk across different assets and markets to reduce your exposure to any one particular market.
🔹 Stay disciplined: Follow your plan and stick to your rules, even if your emotions are telling you otherwise.
🔹 Set realistic expectations: Be mindful of your limitations and don’t overreach. Accept small losses and focus on long-term success.
🔹 Stay focused: Avoid distractions and keep your mind on your trading activities.
🔹 Keep a trading journal: Record your trades, track your progress, and reflect on what you could have done differently.
🔹 Take breaks: Avoid overtrading, which can lead to burnout. Take time to recharge and come back fresh.
👤 @AlgoBuddy
📅 Daily Ideas about market update, psychology & indicators
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Best advice for achieving success in trading!✅Here's the deal, guys. If you want to make this year a successful year in trading, you got to have an edge. It doesn't have to be rocket science, just a solid strategy. There are plenty of resources out there, so don't be shy to do your research. Once you got a strategy, test it out with a small account or paper money before committing fully.
And when you commit, commit fully. Don't be that person that changes their mind after one loss. Ignore the noise on social media and focus on your own system and 'PnL. It's none of your concern how other people are trading.
Don't buy the hype. You're not going to turn chump change into a fortune overnight. Trading has its ups and downs. So, don't be caught off guard and expect the unexpected. And always be ready for the ride.
And here's the truth, not every trade will be a winner. But there will be a select few that'll make up for the majority of your 'PnL increase. Just make sure you have enough capital to cover 'bills, taxes, and other boring stuff.
And don't be dumb and emotional. Risk management and trading psychology are crucial. If you're having panic attacks before executing a trade, it's a sign you're either not suitable for trading or you're taking excessive risks. Take a step back and assess your current financial situation and the amount of money you're putting in.
Embrace failure as fuel. It's not a setback, but a lesson in disguise. Realize that success is not a straight path, but a journey full of ups and downs.
And lastly, come prepared. Write down a plan for each day, whether it's a simple excel sheet or a written plan. It'll help you stay focused and aware of what's happening in the markets. And remember, trading is hard. Don't fall for the social media hype that makes it seem easy.
Happy trading!
Heads or Tails?What does TRADE have in common with heads and tails?
Well, many use simple randomness to define whether they should buy or sell and this is directly linked to heads or tails, but the point I want to address is the following: a coin with two sides has a 50% chance of falling either on one side or on the other, either heads or tails, but if you decide to toss the coin 10 times up, it could land 10 times heads or even 7 times, and at that moment you might wonder, but the probability is not 50%, shouldn't we have 5 times heads and 5 times tails? Yes, but the short-term randomness makes the low probability happen! Now if you toss that coin 10,000 times, the law of large numbers is likely to make the 50% probability dominate the outcome!
But where does this fit into TRADE?
Basically in all operating models, if you operate you have a hit rate allied with a ratio between risk and return, these two things are directly linked, many seek a higher hit rate, others seek more PayOff, but regardless of your profile, from your approach you have to know that a model in the short term does not become a winner or a loser, you need a historical basis of how your approach behaves and then, yes, decide to operate using this strategy.
Many say that with a strategy with 2x your risk and a hit of 50% you will be profitable, statistically this is true, but are you willing to faithfully follow this model even taking CONSECUTIVE STOPS?
We should be, but those who trade know that a sequence of Stops does not generate a pleasant feeling! And it's precisely that feeling that can leave you in the middle of the way!
See below the SHARP index many do not know, but I will present here, what is the SHARP index? The Sharpe Ratio is used to show to what extent the return on an investment compensates the investor for taking risks on his investment. (I recommend using it in your models or in your performance reports).
When using the formula you find a result called SQN
See the example of heads or tails in practice, with a positive risk/return ratio
See that only with time you will be able to validate a winning strategy, and in the middle of the way it is possible that you will have some Stops, and this should refine your way of operating, in order to find points to be adjusted, many books define that time takes you are the excellence, but the biggest illusion that the market generates is that of getting rich fast, contradictory isn't it, this makes the journey of a trader with frustrations and disbelief difficult.
But few are willing to go through this journey, as if that were not enough, you will find that there are no facilities, many preach that you must choose between Access Fee or PayOff most of the time, these they are opposite characteristics in objective models, but the secret is simple!
You need to find balance
See this great example, most people who operate the market have already learned about the EMA 9 or MA 9 anyway, it's an easy model to learn that promises good profits, but when it hits, but what few told you is that it rarely hits ! Even so, it can be a profitable model in several assets.
In my tests, the model has an average success rate of 31%, unfortunately few people have the emotional energy to use this, since they give up even before the model reverses the capital curve to the positive side.
See this model in the same example of the difference between few trades vs many trades
Here it is clear the importance of time and consistency in defining a model and faithfully executing it!
So what do we learn from this?
First: The law of large numbers rules the market.
Second: As much as the PayOff is high, you may not have your emotions trained enough to withstand a losing streak, many will say "But in this model I'm losing with a spoon and winning with a bucket", that seems to make sense, but in reality practice, it's more painful than it looks.
Third: Be willing to operate your way, know that your emotional profile is unique, so use techniques and refine your market reading, beware of false simplicity or the highest degree of complexity to operate the market, be willing to see the that makes sense to you and metric it to use with confidence.
Fourth: Trading the market is like learning to walk, you need help at first, but then you need to fall over your falls and gain balance, it's the same here, you'll make mistakes, but that's the only way you'll learn.
I hope I helped you with this topic, if you liked it, leave your BOOST to support this idea, and also leave it here in the comments if you are from the PayOff team or the Hit Rate.
How to become a trader? (Part 1)How to become a trader? (Part 1)
1. What is trading?
We all know what trading is. Almost all of us had someone around us who was trading, or maybe we heard the names of people like Warren Buffett or Elon Musk. But what we don't know is that trading is not just opening a chart and drawing a line and finally buying a stock or something. Trust me, It is more complicated than that.
In this market, for 95% of people, there will be nothing but financial loss. But those 5% are the ones who get the secret of trading. You probably won't recognize those 5%, and they won't want to introduce themselves either. But if you persevere and put in enough effort and a lot of time, and then you go through more persistence and difficulty and loss of capital and disappointment, it is possible, just possible, that you will become one of those 5%.
Come with me to find out what we should do.
2. Where do we start?
An important question will arise for all people who are new to trading. "Where to start?"
In the first few days, you will see a lot of stuff. And for sure, you will be confused like me. There are many things to learn. YouTube, books, even private training. But what do you get in the end? Well, you find a trading method and trade with it for some time. Then you start losing money. Then you go to another method and you lose again. And this cycle continues like this (this is the first hard part that I mentioned above). Later, you will learn about capital management and the psychology of trading. And by combining these three things and, of course, enough time, you will move towards becoming a trader. Therefore, becoming a trader is not something that can be achieved overnight and more importantly, it is not something that can be given to you. You have to achive it.
3. Strategy
The first place you should start is formulating a strategy. Some people think that everything boils down to strategy. So when they can't make money, they try to find a more sophisticated strategy. But this is wrong. Strategy is just the beginning. I will talk more about this later. But before that, let's talk about the components of strategy.
We can divide each strategy into 5 parts: Trend, Area of Value (AOV), Trigger, Stop loss (SL) and Target point (TP).
A. Trend: The first and most important part. Trend means the next move will be up or down. Your tool to find the trend can be your eyes, trend line and different indicators. The most important thing to learn here is that no one knows which way the price will move. All we know and get through our tools is which direction the price is "more probable". The second point is that the trend is not about the past movement, but it's representative of the next movement! So don't mix them up.
B. Area of Value (AOV): Let's assume that the price of a stock is going to increase, and in other words, it wants to find an up trend. Where will your entry area be? There are useful tools such as trend line, moving, Fibonacci, candlestick, support and resistance areas and etc. for this.
C. Trigger: You will need a confirmation to enter when the price is in the value zone. I recommend you to use multi-time frame and look for entry in lower time-frames. The tools are the same as before.
D. Stop loss: Your entire strategy depends on this component. Most people do not use the limit because they do not know how to use it. And they are also afraid of losing. The best traders also make mistakes and control their mistakes by limiting their losses. The limit of loss is your friend. Learn how to make the most of it.
E. Target point: We humans have a good tolerance in the face of difficulties. But can we stop ourselves from seeing profit? The second stage is difficulty, patience and tolerance to achieve your desired profit. At the same time, knowing that the conditions may change, and you may not even get the profit you have now.
There are more complex strategies that combine all of the above. Like Elliot, Ichimoku and etc.
The important thing about the strategy is that a super complex strategy is not necessarily better than a simple strategy. Sometimes a simple trend line can give you a profit that dozens of complicated indicators cannot give you. I am not saying that complexity is worse. In fact, the more complicated it is, the more accurate your position and understanding of the subject will be. But the problem is that our mind does not have the ability to analyze all the possibilities. That's why, don't look for a super-complicated method produced by company X. Choose the simplest method that works for you, and you can communicate with it more easily.
Each of those 5% people choose a method and become a master in it. So it doesn't matter what the method is. It is important that it is profitable. It matters how you implement it.
In the next part, I will talk about capital management and market psychology.
Good luck.
Our Trading ManifestoHello everyone! In this post we will present and explain our trading system.
Our trading system condensates everything we have learned from hard work, study and even harder lessons received in these years of trading. It is constantly evolving and updating, we are always ready to question some aspects of our system and research tools and strategies that can improve it.
We will distinguish and explain three different aspects of which the system is composed: Analysis, Execution and Research.
Analysis
The analytical part concerns all the tools and the strategies that we use to formulate an hypothesis on the direction of the market, and consequently develop a trading strategy.
A trading strategy is composed by:
-an Invalidation Level: a price level that, if crossed, proves our hypothesis wrong. This is the limit level at which stop losses can be set.
-a set of Entry Points/Levels: composed by price levels of chart points that according to our analysis can trigger the move that we are hypothesizing.
-a set of Target Points/Levels: composed by price levels of chart points where the move that we are hypothesizing can end.
Once a trading strategy is determined, it will be implemented in the executive part.
But on what is our analysis based?
Elliott Wave Theory, Pattern Trading and Sentiment Analysis.
We believe that the chart encodes all the information available. News and events are priced in the market instantaneously. The fundamentals are revealed simultaneously with the price action.
Any news or fundamental consideration is just one piece of the puzzle. Price is the synthesis of the result.
Price moves because of mass psychological dynamics inducing people to buy and sell. These dynamics are observable in the sentiment and in the fundamentals, and manifest themselves in chart patterns. The composition of chart patterns forms Elliott Waves structures.
We don't use this approach as a mix of independent tools, but in a holistic and comprehensive approach. We analyze the wave structure of the market starting from higher timeframes, assessing probabilities of different scenarios by analyzing chart patterns and using different tools related to the sentiment, such as Smart Money Indicator, Volume Profiles, Order Blocks, etc. We use the same approach in smaller timeframes to set the trading strategy (Entries, Targets and Invalidation Level).
Execution
The executive part of our trading system involves risk management, placing orders in the market, and managing active trades.
Once we have developed a trading strategy, we have a set of entries, a set of targets and an invalidation level. We have to use them to define a Trading Plan.
Here is the first rule of risk management: we can not lose more than 1.5% of the trading capital for each trading plan.
You don't have to depend on one trade. One trade should not be decisive. Trading must not be funny. This is the only way to decrease your biases and your emotional involvement.
So in a Trading Plan we decide how many trades to open, how much risk to allocate on each trade (NOT MORE THAN 1.5% TOTAL), at what price execute the trade, and where to set stop losses.
No stop loss can be set above the invalidation level. If prices reaches the invalidation level we are OUT. No matter if prices then follows the hypothesized direction, market will always provide other opportunities.
We also plan where to take profits at the pre-determined Target Levels.
Research
The research part of our system is our constantly updating and challenging our knowledge studying new tools, approaches, strategies. Knowledge is dynamic and always updating. You never stop learning.
We will post all our analysis and trades. Stay tuned and happy trading! :)
BTC Analysis and Key Levels to WatchBYBIT:BTCUSD.P
As traders, we must always start our analysis with higher-term timeframe ranges. Recently, we saw the price break to the upside, and currently, it is testing the value area low of the previous range. The horizontal fib 0.618 from the high to the current low acts as a resistance.
If we zoom in on the lower-term time frame, we can see that we are forming a range that started on Friday and continued over the weekend. A fixed range tool gives us significant levels ranging between 20700- 21250, which is almost a 4% range. This should be our main trading idea.
Yesterday, we saw a push to the downside, which touched the value area low of the range, a swing failure pattern of the previous low, and followed with a nice buyback. The price started to claim the point of control and daily VWAP, and after some consolidation near VWAP, the price started pushing toward the top of the range, where we got another swing failure. After getting accepted back from the SFP level price continues ranging.
However, sooner or later, we all know this range will break to either upside or downside. As a trader, we need levels, both to the upside to back up the bullish scenario and to the downside for the bearish scenario. At this point in time, I expect more upside price action. On the upside, we have the NSPOC (Naked Session Point of Control) level at 21725, the weekly level, the fib level 0.618, and the previous range VAH (Volume area high) level around 21827.5.
But if the price breaks to the downside, we have a little consolidation around the 18375-18850 area; we do have VAL of the previous range along with the last support area. So we can expect a reaction here. But if the momentum is strong, then we can expect lower. We have daily naked points of control at $17,725 and $17450, along with 0.618 fib level around $17,550. I will expect some reaction here.
In conclusion, it's crucial to constantly keep an eye on critical levels such as Current range volume areas and horizontal fib levels, as they can be important in determining the market's direction. Always have a plan and be prepared for bullish and bearish scenarios. Happy trading!
DAY TRADING 101: How to Get StartedHello guys! Day trading is a popular way for traders to make money by buying and selling assets within the same trading day. However, before you begin day trading, it's important to understand the basics and develop a solid trading strategy. In this post, we'll cover the basics of day trading and provide some tips on how to get started.
First, it's important to understand the different types of securities that you can day trade. Some popular options include stocks, options, futures, and currencies. Each of these securities has its own unique characteristics and requires different strategies, so it's important to choose the one that best fits your goals and risk tolerance.
Next, you need to develop a trading plan . Your plan should include your trading strategy, the securities you plan to trade, and your risk management techniques. It's also important to set realistic goals and be prepared to stick to them.
Once you have a trading plan in place, you need to practice . You can do this by using a simulation or paper trading account. This will allow you to test your trading strategy and learn from your mistakes before you start risking real money.
Another important thing to consider is your risk management . This means understanding the level of risk you're willing to take and setting stop-losses and profit-taking orders to protect your capital. It's also important to maintain a proper risk-reward ratio, which means that the potential profit should be larger than the potential loss.
In addition to the above, it's crucial to keep an eye on the market and news , as they can greatly impact your trades, so it's essential to stay updated with the latest news and trends. Finally, keep in mind that day trading requires discipline and patience, so be prepared to put in the time and effort to become a successful trader.
To sum it up, day trading can be a great way to make money, but it's important to understand the basics and develop a solid trading strategy. Additionally, you should practice with a simulation or paper trading account, have a proper risk management, stay informed and be prepared to put in the time and effort.
Which type of trading do you prefer?
Gold Long XAUUSD trade IdeaOverall Gold has been in a uptrend about 68days about 2 months
After a good pull back price is showing us a nice Flag pattern and start consolidate into a old High level
Showing us buyers are taking control
Looking for a Strong Break out / Retested into this trade for trend continue
Target : Around 2 atr
BTCUSD bullish signalIt's been about 6 months since I got the last bullish signal for BTCUSD.
The long-term moving average is still above, so I am not suggesting that BTCUSD is going to $1mil anytime soon, but if we are to see a trend in the future, it has to start somewhere. Today could be that day. Only time will tell.
First thing to look for is a move to TP1, then Stops will be moved to Breakeven on the position. After TP 2 we start trailing stops.
HOW TO MANAGE YOUR EMOTIONSHello everyone! One of the most important , and in the same time, one of the hardest aspects of trading is the ability to manage correctly your emotions and leave them aside while trading. So how can we manage our emotions in stressful situations? Here are some tips that every trader should consider when starting trading:
1. DO NOT ACT ON ANGER: every time you feel strong emotions, hold back and revisit your trading plan, is your move aligned with your initial plan or are you acting on irrational emotions? One of the worst things is to take a position based on anger after a loss in order to recover the losses. Take a deep breath and rethink your decision!
2. DO NOT FALL IN LOVE WITH YOUR POSITIONS: we all want to always be right, but sometimes we have to accept a bad position and close it. It is common to fall in love with our positions and hold it out of hope that the market will switch, but involving emotions just blow the account, stick to your plan!
3. ESTABLISH SOME TRADING RULES AND KEEP A TRADING JOURNAL: setting your own rules of trading and risk management is crucial for a profitable account. No matter what you hear from others and how good a position may look, if it is not aligned with your rules, do not take it! Moreover, do not change a strategy after some losses, stick to what you have learnt and planned, keep the information in a trading journal and plan your next moves based on you learnt from it.
4. TAKE A BREAK AFTER 3 LOSSES IN A ROW: it is natural to have a bad day, but when this happen do not become over emotional and over trade, but rather take a break and wait for a new and fresh trading day. Strong emotions will ruin any important decision, no matter the context, so try to avoid them.
5. SET TP AND SL AND TRUST YOUR JUDGEMENT: after establishing your trading plan and risk management plan, in order to stick to your risk to reward strategy, you have to use Take Profit and Stop Loss orders, and trust your judgment and the market. No matter what happens, this helps you have a clear forecast of your account, without blowing it. Also, avoid getting greedy and secure your profits with take profit order.
6. LOWER THE TRADE SIZE: if you feel overwhelmed by the risk on each trade, and out of fear you make irrational decisions, try to lower the trade size to what feels comfortable with you. After doing this, always update your trading strategy!
7. DO NOT GIVE UP! : there is a point when every trader feels like giving up, losing all his faith, but you should understand that this is the normal journey, with ups and downs, and if you do not let yourself intimidated by the downs, the ups are limitless!