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GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Awesome finish to the week today with our final target at 2339 complete with the perfect exit before the rejection. We were able to track the movement down all the way into the swing range with cross and lock confirmation below 2312. We also had ema5 cross and lock above 2330 leaving the gap to 2339 open, giving us the confidence to buy dips throughout the week into our final target today. 2349 was a potential momentum target and not one to chase now. BULLISH TARGETS 2323 - DONE 2330 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2339 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2312 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2312 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2302 - 2294 - DONE As always, we will now come back Sunday with our multi timeframe analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Have a smashing weekend all!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
World gold is in the mood for Fed cutsThe world gold price went down, the USD continued to gain and showed that 10-year US government bonds also reached their highest level in the last 2 weeks. The school's attention focuses on the US personal consumption expenditure price index (PCE) in May - an appropriate control measure of the US Federal Reserve (Fed) to better know the interest rate performance of the US. center row. In addition, there are estimates of US Q1 GDP and an important debate between US President Joe Biden and Republican opponent Donald Trump on June 27. According to CNBC, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman said on June 25 that maintaining policy rates stable “for a while” may be enough to control inflation, but reiterated that she is ready to raise interest rates if necessary. . If interest rates decrease, it could bring gold prices down... 💵 OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2316 - 2318💵 ✔️ TP 2310 ✔️ TP 2300 ❌ SL 2323 💵 OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 2286 - 2288💵 ✔️ TP 2295 ✔️ TP 2300 ❌ SL 2279
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by MrTrongVo
BAKEUSDT: A Sweet Opportunity Amidst a Sour Dump? pen_spark BAKE has been baking up a storm of volatility lately, with a nearly 50% price drop over the past few weeks. New lows have been established, leaving many traders wondering if the bottom is in. However, a closer look at the 4-hour chart reveals a potential long opportunity brewing. Key Points: Range-Bound: BAKEUSDT has been consolidating within a well-defined range on the 4-hour timeframe. This indicates a potential equilibrium between buyers and sellers. Breakout Potential: A decisive break and close above the upper boundary of this range could signal a shift in momentum and trigger a move towards the next resistance zone. Retest Opportunity: The next resistance zone would likely act as a retest area for the breakout. If BAKEUSDT holds above this zone, it could pave the way for further upside continuation. Risk Management: As with any trade, proper risk management is crucial. Set stop-loss orders below the recent swing low to protect your capital in case the breakout fails. Trade Idea: Entry: Consider entering a long position on a confirmed break and close above the lower boundary of the current range. Stop Loss: Place a stop-loss order below the recent swing low. Take Profit: Target the next resistance zone for a potential retest. If the retest holds, consider raising your take-profit targets to higher levels. Let me know if you'd like a more detailed analysis or have any questions. #BAKEUSDT #BakeryToken #Crypto #TradingView #TechnicalAnalysis
Long
by SwingSamurai_QMA
1
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Another great day on the chart with our level to level tracking and trading out as analysed. Yesterday we advised that we were playing in an extended range with a gap above at 2339 and the retracement gap below at 2312. We got the retracement level hit at 2312 followed with a cross and lock below opening the swing range. - The swing range was hit perfectly and did exactly what it says on the tin by giving the swing bounce perfectly into the next Goldturn allowing us to strategically buy dips from the weighted levels. We will now look for ema5 to cross and lock above 2302 to complete movement into 2312. Failure to lock above this level will see swing range tested again. A break below the swing range will open the range below into 2285. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGETS 2323 - DONE 2330 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2339 POTENTIALLY 2349 BEARISH TARGETS 2312 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2312 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2302 - 2294 - DONE As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
15
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A choppy day on the charts today with 2330 broken leaving a gap open to 2339. We got the push up into 2337 and just fell short by 20 pips leaving 2339 gap open. The rejection tested the Goldturn support below with 2323 providing the bounces, as advised yesterday. We are now plying in an extended range with a gap above at 2339 and the retracement gap below at 2312. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGETS 2323 - DONE 2330 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2339 POTENTIALLY 2349 BEARISH TARGETS 2312 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2312 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2302 - 2294 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
10
USD is weakest among major currenciesGold is fluctuating round 2,325 USD/ounce. World gold costs moved sideways as buyers waited for US inflation facts, anticipated to be launched later this week with the point of interest at the US middle PCE index. This makes buyers growth their expectancies that the Fed will quickly lessen hobby costs withinside the following couple of months, assisting gold - a non-yielding asset. Analysts expect that, later this week, americaA middle non-public intake expenditure index file for May can be launched. If the facts is weaker, it is able to growth the opportunity of americaA Federal Reserve (Fed) ) early hobby price cuts in 2024 will assist valuable metals. On the contrary, higher-than-anticipated facts will reason gold to fall deeper.
TVC:GOLD
by NicoTradingMaster
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A PIPTASTC start to the week with our Bullish targets 2323 and 2333 shared yesterday completed today. We will now need to see ema5 cross and lock above 2330 to open the range above. Failure to cross and lock will confirm rejection to re-test 2330 and 2323 for support. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGETS 2323 - DONE 2330 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2339 POTENTIALLY 2349 BEARISH TARGETS 2312 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2312 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2302 - 2294 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
8
Market News Report - 23 June 2024Introduction The Japanese yen continues to take a beating in the forex markets. Meanwhile, the Aussie and Canadian dollar were the strongest currencies in the past week. USD was the surprise from our initial short-term outlook thanks to a meagre rise in Retail Sales. Read on to learn about what happened in forex last week and what to expect for this one. Market Overview Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies. US dollar (USD) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. The Fed recently indicated that we should expect at least one interest rate cut instead of three this year. On the bright side, the Fed sees inflation moving in the right direction. This is due to progress in the latest CPI (Consumer Price Index) and PPI (Producer Price Index) readings. Interestingly, the technicals tell a different story. The Dixie looks to test the major resistance at 106.490, while the major support is far below at 103.993. So, from a technical perspective, the dollar is more bullish than bearish. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Traders will look forward to the new data on PPI in mid-July, which is expected to have a negative result. Along with an anticipated rate cut, these would be the two bearish drivers for the greenback in the long term. However, the technicals are against this outlook, hence the ‘weak bearish’ bias. Euro (EUR) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. The euro continues to suffer from the recent interest rate cut by the European Central Bank. However, incoming data, such as a boost in inflation at the start of next month, could marginally improve the weak bearish bias. The 1.06494 support area continues to sustain the euro. However, considering the fundamental evidence, the market will still seek to retest this area. Although the key resistance is at 1.08524, the price will likely visit the support instead. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. No high-impact news is expected this week for the euro. The bearish bias remains intact. However, incoming growth in data like inflation could rescue the currency. Furthermore, US monetary policies have often impacted the euro both ways, meaning this is something to consider in your analysis. British pound (GBP) Short-term outlook: bearish. As predicted, the Bank of England left the interest rate unchanged at the June 20th meeting. Furthermore, STIR (short-term interest rate) markets suggest a 43% chance of a rate cut in August. As it did last week, the British pound has broken another minor support area. Still, the key support level is some distance away at 1.24457. On the other hand, the key resistance lies high up at 1.28606. While the gap between these two points is wide, it makes more sense to have a bearish outlook when accounting for the fundamentals. Long-term outlook: bearish. Like the short-term outlook, the interest rate is the primary bearish driver for the pound. Traders will look forward to statements from Andrew Bailey (the Governor of the Bank of England) this week, as any indications of a rate cut in August would likely send GBP lower. Japanese yen (JPY) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The ‘weak bullish’ aspect is due to the Bank of Japan’s recent decision to keep the interest rate unchanged, with STIR markets forecasting a hike next month. The yen continues to be a huge loser and is nearing its all-time high at 160.233 (key resistance). Even though the short-term outlook is favourable for the yen, this market is quite bullish. The key support remains at 154.546. But it would take a miracle for USD/JPY to get anywhere near this area. Long-term outlook: weak bullish USD/JPY is an interesting case. On the one hand, there is mild bullishness due to the expected rate hike next month. Furthermore, catalysts that push US Treasury yields lower (e.g., weaker jobs data, lower core PCE) would also be positive for the yen. However, things don’t look rosy on the charts. To combat this, the Ministry of Finance in Japan has hinted at intervention once the yen exceeds a price of 160. Australian dollar (AUD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The recent Reserve Bank of Australia meeting on June 17 recognised that inflation is persistent. This is an impetus for the central bank to hike interest rates in August 2024 or, at the very least, leave them untainted, as they’ve done since November 2023. The Australian dollar shares an interesting correlation with China. Data indicating growth in this region (stimulus, new infrastructure projects, solid economic data, etc.) should boost the former. Despite the bullish outlook, the Aussie finds itself in a range, with 0.67141 as the key resistance. Conversely, the key support is at 0.65580. The support that lies below the range would be an area of interest in the short term. However, fundamentals indicate a likelihood for the Aussie to move more bullishly. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. As hinted in our last report, the RBA kept the rates unchanged. Still, a weak result in the upcoming CPI (linked to inflation) may encourage more bears. Furthermore, the Australian dollar is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries. New Zealand dollar (NZD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. Unsurprisingly, the Kiwi mirrors the sentiment of the Aussie. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is also battling inflation. So, there is an incentive to be hawkish. However, as with AUD, NZD is a risk-sensitive or pro-cyclical currency, especially in relation to developments in China. Like its neighbour, the Kiwi is in a range. The only difference is that this market is near minor support (0.62219) instead of major resistance (0.62219). So, NZD appears a bit bearish on the charts compared to the Aussie. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. The hawkish stance suggested by the RBNZ is the key bullish catalyst. Still, any out-of-consensus CPI prints in the near term and sensitivity to other global economies like China could derail the currency. Canadian dollar (CAD) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. STIR markets indicate a 50/50 chance for the Bank of Canada to cut rates next month. The upcoming CPI event (on 25 June 2024) will be significant, where negative numbers would likely push CAD lower and reassert the BoC’s stance on dropping the interest rate. Conversely, a big beat in CPI, along with an upside in oil this week, may boost the Canadian dollar. USD/CAD is in a range as with the Aussie and Kiwi charts. The key resistance is at 1.37919, while the key support lies at 1.35896. Given that USD and CAD exhibit bearish fundamentals, this market can go either way. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The long-term outlook is the same as the short-term. Expectations of a rate cut remain the centre of bearish attention. However, CAD may be redeemed with positive CPI data and oil prices. Swiss franc (CHF) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. STIR markets were predictably accurate with their 76% chance of the Swiss National Bank (SNB) cutting the interest rate last Thursday. Secondly, SNB expects moderate improvement in inflation and GDP (Gross Domestic Product) and unemployment to rise slightly in the near term. USD/CHF began last week by breaking a key support area at 0.88810. However, the latest expected rate cut for the Swiss franc’s interest rate caused a U-turn in this market. Now, USD/CHF’s key support and resistance levels lie at 0.88268 and 0.91582, respectively. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The expected rate cut in the next SNB meetings (in September and December 2024) is the key bearish driver for the Swiss. However, the bank's willingness to intervene and geo-political events may give the latter some upside. Conclusion Can the Aussie, Kiwi, and CAD break out of their ranges? Will USD/JPY reach 160 or higher? What will Bailey say? These are interesting questions that should be answered this week. Hopefully, this report has prepared you in the simplest way on both the technical and fundamental side of things.
by CityTradersImperium_CTI
“Hold your breath” waiting for the signal from FedWorld gold prices tend to increase with immediate gold trading increasing by 3.2 USD compared to last week to 2,323.2 USD/ounce. After a volatile week, the market forecasts world gold will stabilize this week as little important data is announced mid-week. The most awaited information displayed in the field is the core personal consumption expenditure index report (the desired measure of the US Federal Reserve (Fed)) expected to be arranged at the end of the week. . Some say that this report is expected to create volatility in the market. Weaker data could increase the likelihood of a Fed rate cut in 2024, a scenario that would support the yellow metal. Conversely, taking advantage of hotter play is expected to create a deeper drop in gold. Although the upward momentum has slowed, many analysts believe that the factors that have supported gold in recent times have not disappeared. Accordingly, worries about geopolitical instability remain, especially ahead of the US-style election in November. Additionally, the USD's position as the world's reserve currency continues to persist. principles and boundaries of discovery needs. 💵 OANDA:XAUUSD BUY 2317-2320💵 ✔️ TP 2330 ✔️ TP 2335 ❌ SL 2310.5 💵 OANDA:XAUUSD SELL 2333-2336💵 ✔️ TP 2325 ✔️ TP 2320 ❌ SL 2343
OANDA:XAUUSD
by MrTrongVo
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2330 Goldturn resistance and 2312 support. We will see levels within this range tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break to confirm direction for the next range. We have 2323 bullish target before an attempt of the challenge of 2330, which will then need an ema5 lock to confirm the range above. We also have 2312 Goldturn weighted support below that will need ema5 lock to open the range below into the swing range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGETS 2323 2330 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2330 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2339 POTENTIALLY 2349 BEARISH TARGETS 2312 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2312 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2302 - 2294 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
17
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEK Hey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. The sell off Friday shifted two range and therefore opened a bigger range for corrections and tests. We have the weighted level above at 2346 holding this range with 2325 and 2337 on the way that will need re-tests to confirm a benchmark correction. We also have 2313 weighted Goldturn level holding support on this range and will need ema5 lock to open the swing range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGETS 2325 2337 2346 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2346 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2360 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2360 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2376 BEARISH TARGETS 2313 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2313 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2302 - 2290 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
7
GOLD DAILY CHART UPDATE Hey Everyone, Please see update on our daily chart structure. Last week we stated that 2309 support gave the rejection and the perfect bounce heading towards the 2355 open gap. - This gap was completing perfectly as analysed. No ema5 lock above this level and therefore a rejection here for the drop. We will continue to see price play between 2355 and 2309 until we see a lock confirmation for the next range. We have marked the charts with the weighted levels and will use them to track the movement up and down confirmed with ema5 cross and lock confirmation. We will use our smaller timeframe analysis and trading plans to navigate the range in true level to level fashion. Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our algo generated levels and setups. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! MR GOLD XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
6
GOLD WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM/RANGE ROUTE MAPHey Everyone, Please see update on our mid to longer term weekly chart idea. Last week we advised that although we saw price break out of the channel, ema5 had created the true channel top resistance and that we also have support at 2310 Goldturn above the channel half line. We also advised that although we have a close below 2310, ema5 remains above 2310 providing the support for a bounce heading towards 2356 for a test. - This test was completed with a 2356 clean HIT!!!! The channel half line is a crucial level of support on this chart and as long as ema5 remains above the channel half line, we should be able to continue to buy dips. A break and lock below the channel half line will open the range test for the channel bottom. The levels within the channel will provide the bounces inline with our plans to buy dips in true level to level fashion using our smaller time-frames. Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings instead of chasing the bull from the top. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! MR GOLD XAUUSD TOP AUTHOR
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
GOLD ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN UPDATEHey Everyone, What a chart blowing week we had with our 1H chart idea playing out to true perfection. This chart idea was shared on Sunday for this week and delivered the goods. We started the week with our retracement range challenged. No lock below the retracement range gave us the bounce clearing 2332 target. This followed with a cross and lock confirmation opening 2343 and 2349. 2343 and 2349 both were hit completing our next set of Bullish targets. We were then left with 2349 lock opening the last target of the range at 2367 precision TP. - This target was hit today completing the week with a FULL HOUSE!!!!! for a perfect finish before the big sell off- BOOOOOM!!! EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2343 - DONE 2349 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2349 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2367 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2322 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2312 - DONE As always, we will now come back Sunday with our multi time frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the coming week. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Have a smashing weekend all!! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
4
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, A piptastic day on the charts today with our trading idea and plan playing out to perfection. Last update we advised of the retracement range challenge and then the perfect reactional bounce leaving a gap target to 2336. - This target was hit perfectly today followed with a cross and lock above 2336 opening 2356, which was also hit completing this range. This is true level to level trading in play. We will now need to see ema5 lock above 2356 to open the range above or a rejection before this will follow to find support at the 2336 Goldturn. A further cross and lock below 2336 will open the retracement range again. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGETS 2336 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2336 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2356 - DONE BEARISH TARGETS 2307 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2307 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2290 - 2275 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
28
BTC LEVELS FOR LONG Currently, we received a reaction from the daily level, which was at 65k, and the price is holding for now. If at some point we see that the correction continues, the FVG located from 63k-64.5 is an excellent longa zone. Of course, we always have to be ready for both cases, below there are strong levels of 60-61k. Only below that is the possibility for 50k. Better to go step by step and follow the changes FVG BTC-a se takodje poklapa sa daily fvg na total marketu.
Long
by learnfromfailure
Market News Report - 16 June 2024The euro and Japanese yen were the biggest losers in the past week, facing losses against several currencies exceeding 1%. Both markets declined based on their expected short and long-term outlooks. The British pound also lost some ground recently, aligning with a few fundamentals. Of course, there are other interesting developments to observe to begin yet another week in the ever-liquid forex market. Market Overview Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies. US dollar (USD) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. Building on the prior week's Non-Farm Payrolls, the US dollar benefitted from positive inflation figures. Meanwhile, the Dixie or dollar index fooled many traders. It first broke the major resistance discussed last week, and just as it looked to test the previous support, it made a new high, breaking the resistance at 105.742. So, the next resistance target is at 106.490, while the support lies far below at 104.257. In short, DXY looks more bullish than bearish. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Despite the technicals, the long-term outlook is 'weak bearish.' This is based on the Fed keeping the interest rate unchanged last week and the potential for the central bank to cut it at least once this year. The latest inflation data also went against the greenback. However, positive changes to upcoming news, such as retail sales, could strengthen the dollar. Euro (EUR) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. The euro still feels the effects of the recent interest rate cut by the European Central Bank, along with negative inflation data. The euro closed the week by breaking two support levels, confirming this short-term outlook. So, we should expect this market to test the nearby support at 1.06494. Meanwhile, it is a considerable distance from the resistance at 1.08524. Thus, the euro is likelier to test the former than the latter. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. The long-term outlook remains the same from the last few weeks, thanks to worsening inflation, a poor Gross Domestic Product, and the rate cut. With no high-impact news to anticipate this coming week, the bias must be bearish until new significant changes occur. British pound (GBP) Short-term outlook: bearish. The British pound suffered from lacklustre economic data concerning unemployment and Gross Domestic Product (GDP). Moreover, the Bank of England (BoE) has left the interest rate unchanged since November 2023 and asserted that they must be dovish for some time. The technical analysis aligns with this outlook. GBP broke the recent support (at 1.26866) discussed in last week's report. There are multiple resistance points of reference after this level. However, the key one lies far ahead at 1.24457. Meanwhile, the critical support lies at 1.28606 Long-term outlook: bearish. The new Bank of England's bank rate (or interest rate) will be the most anticipated event happening on Thursday. The consensus is for the central bank to keep the rate unchanged or potentially cut it. Still, we should expect surprises, such as the upcoming year-on-year inflation data the day prior, where the BoE remains confident of reaching its target. Japanese yen (JPY) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. While the Bank of Japan kept interest rates unchanged last week, STIR (short-term interest rate) markets indicate a rate hike next month. Lower US Treasury yields, which usually offer a bullish JPY, would also be a catalyst. Despite this outlook, the Japanese yen was technically among the biggest losers. Having breached the recent key resistance, all eyes will be on the next target at 160.233. This is significant as it would be an all-time high and a 'line in the sand' for the Bank of Japan. On the other hand, the key support is far below at 154.546. Long-term outlook: weak bullish As with the short term, the anticipated rate hike would provide JPY with an upside. Additionally, it would also be declining Treasury yields. Finally, any intervention or active involvement of Japan's Ministry of Finance through selling the dollar to buy the yen is also worth considering. Australian dollar (AUD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The interest rate linked to the Aussie has remained at 4.35% since November last year. Furthermore, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has revised its inflation forecasts higher. The Australian dollar shares an interesting correlation with China. Data indicating growth in this region (stimulus, new infrastructure projects, solid economic data, etc.) should boost the former. Technically, things are pretty interesting for the Aussie. We see a range amid an uptrend, along with a false break at last week's key resistance area (then 0.66986). The new support to watch is now 0.67043, while the key support lies not far below at 0.65580. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. Aussie traders will have keenly diarised the RBA interest rate on Tuesday. The central bank will likely keep the rate unchanged or raise it, which would benefit the currency. Still, the Australian dollar is exposed to slow economic growth in other countries. New Zealand dollar (NZD) Short-term outlook: weak bullish. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is very much like the neighbouring RBA. While keeping rates the same, Governor Orr indicated a hike almost occurred. They also hinted last month that a rate hike would only "be meaningful if we thought inflation expectations were getting away on us again." Like other central banks, the RBNZ is battling inflation and seeks to keep it at 2%. It comes as no surprise that NZD mirrors the price action of AUD. This market also produced a false break at last week's support level (then 0.62155). The new key resistance level is now 0.62220, while 0.60888 is the key support. Long-term outlook: weak bullish. The hawkish stance suggested by the RBNZ is the key bullish catalyst. However, incoming data regarding the economy and labour will also play a role. Furthermore, the New Zealand dollar is also a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, which can also be detrimental. Canadian dollar (CAD) Short-term outlook: bearish. After the recent rate cut two weeks ago, STIR markets show a 50/50 chance of the same next month. The Bank of Canada has also confirmed a dovish path. USD/CAD spanned almost the range between last week's key support and resistance areas. So, really, this market can go either way. The key support is at 1.36630, while the key resistance is at 1.37919. Long-term outlook: bearish. Besides the expected rate drops, the Canadian dollar is often sensitive to oil prices. However, any rise in the latter regard can strengthen CAD, along with upcoming positive inflation, jobs and GDP data. Swiss franc (CHF) Short-term outlook: weak bearish. STIR markets see a 76% chance of the Swiss National Bank cutting rates on Thursday. Furthermore, the chairperson Thomas Jordan recently hinted at intervention, where they would sell currencies like the US dollar and euro to strengthen their own. Surprisingly, USD/CHF hovers quite close to the key support at 0.88810 while being a considerable distance from the key resistance at 0.91582. Long-term outlook: weak bearish. Although high chances of a rate cut are bad news for the Swiss franc, SNB's willingness for intervention and geo-political risks may spell an upside for the currency. Conclusion The fundamental biases from last week's report remain the same for the current period. It will be interesting to see how the action unfolds on the charts, with high-impact news events to anticipate, like the interest rate decisions for GDP and AUD. Understanding the fundamental and technical sides of trading in the simplest way possible is crucial in making well-informed decisions. That's the point of these reports by City Traders Imperium.
TVC:DXY
by CityTradersImperium_CTI
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone, Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed. We were seeing price test 2332 weighted level and failed to lock above 2332 with ema5 confirming the rejection into the retracement range. The retracement level gave us the perfect bounce for a clean 40 pips, as part of our plans. We then had the 2322 weighted level cross and lock below with ema5 opening 2312, which was hit perfectly. We are now looking for a reaction on this level. Ema5 cross and lock below 2312 will open the swing range or failure to lock below will follow with another rejection bounce. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2343 2349 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2349 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2367 BEARISH TARGETS 2322 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2312 - DONE EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2312 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2302 - 2294 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
18
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone, Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price test 2332 weighted level and we will need to see ema5 cross and lock above 2332 to open the range above to test 2343 and 2349. Rejection here will see price fall back into the retracement range 2322 - 2312 and a further test and break below 2312 will open the swing range We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2343 2349 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2349 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2367 BEARISH TARGETS 2322 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2322 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BEARISH TARGET 2312 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2312 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2302 - 2294 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
15
GOLD 4H CHART ROUTE MAP FOR THE WEEK AHEADHey Everyone, Please see our updated 4h chart levels and targets for the coming week. We are seeing price play between two weighted levels 2336 resistance and 2307 Goldturn support. We will need to see a test and lock on either levels to open the next range. We will need to see ema5 lock above 2336 to open the range above or a rejection before this will follow to find support at the retracement range. A further cross and lock below 2307 will open the swing range. We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up. We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we share every week in the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends. BULLISH TARGETS 2336 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2336 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET 2356 BEARISH TARGETS 2307 EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2307 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE SWING RANGE 2290 - 2275 As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Please don't forget to like, comment and follow to support us, we really appreciate it! Mr Gold GoldViewFX
OANDA:XAUUSD
by Goldviewfx
2