EURUSD / UNDER FOMC PRESSURE / 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price has declined by 60% after breaking out of a channel .
Currently, the price is approaching a demand zone between 1.093 and 1.091. This zone is where buyers may step in, stabilizing the price.
If the price stabilizes within this demand zone, it is expected to bounce up to the FVG between 1.098 and 1.102. The FVG represents a gap in the price where there was little trading, which often acts as a price target for retracement.
If the price breaks through the FVG, it could rise further, targeting the supply zone between 1.105 and 1.108, where sellers may re-enter the market and apply downward pressure.
On the downside, if the price fails to hold in the demand zone (1.093 to 1.091), it may decline further to another liquidity or demand zone around 1.088, where buying interest could once again materialize.
Supply Zone : 1.105 and 1.108.
Demand Zone : 1.093 and 1.091.
FVG : 1.098 and 1.102.
Tradingideas
USDJPY / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE AND FVG / 4HUSDJPY / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Current Price Action , Prices are currently trading below the supply zone between 148.623 and 149.360 , The next target seems to be the demand zone (A) between 147.164 and 146.062.
Potential Outcomes , If prices reach the demand zone (A) and hold above it, a bullish reversal may occur, potentially pushing prices back toward the supply zone ,If prices break below demand zone (A), they may drop to the Fair Value Gap (FVG) zone (B) between 145.321 and 144.268.
Further Movements , If prices stabilize below zone (B), the next targets would be zone (C) around 142.817 and further down to 141.801 , Conversely, if prices stabilize above demand zone (A), it indicates potential upward momentum, aiming back toward supply zone 148.623 to 149.360.
Supply Zone : 148.623 and 149.360.
Demand Zone : 147.164 and 146.062 , 142.817 and 141.801.
FVG :145.321 and 144.268.
XAUUSD / BREAKOUT CHANNEL / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
You’re observing a bearish trend, meaning prices are moving downward or are under selling pressure. This could be due to various factors such as a correction after an uptrend, external market conditions, or the asset hitting resistance zones.
The Fair Value Gap (FVG) is a price range that was quickly passed through during a previous move, creating an imbalance in market orders (usually between aggressive buyers and sellers). These gaps often act as key levels of interest where prices may retrace.
FVG Resistance Zone: You have identified an FVG between $2,621 and $2,637. As long as the price stays below this range, it indicates bearish sentiment and the likelihood of further decline ,This gap can act as a resistance zone, meaning price is struggling to rise above it due to strong selling pressure in that range.
If the price fails to break above the FVG resistance zone, you expect it to continue declining, with targets at:
Demand Zone $2,604 to $2,595: This is an area where buyers previously stepped in, causing prices to rise. It acts as support and a potential reversal point. If the price reaches these levels, you expect some buying interest to potentially stabilize or reverse the trend.
However, if the price breaks below the $2,595 support level, it could signal a deeper bearish move.
If the price manages to break above the FVG (i.e., trades above $2,637), this would suggest a potential bullish reversal or upward momentum, leading to the next key levels:
Supply Zone $2,645 to $2,652, This is where sellers previously overwhelmed buyers, and price dropped. Reaching this zone could lead to consolidation or resistance unless there is enough buying power to push through.
Uptrend Confirmation , To confirm a more sustained uptrend, the price needs to break above the $2,652 level. A successful breakout here could lead to a move toward the next target of $2,664.
NZDJPY breaks 200-day SMA; downward movement imminent?The New Zealand dollar to Japanese yen currency pair (NZD/JPY) saw an uptrend on the daily chart from March 2020 to July 2024, gaining 66.58% over the four-year period.
Recently, however, the pair broke below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the daily chart, signaling a potential trend reversal. The 200-day SMA, which had served as support for four years, now appears to be acting as resistance.
Additionally, the NZD/JPY formed a double top, indicating that buyers were once more unable to push the price above the 92.00 mark. This double top region coincides with the 50% level of the bearish Fibonacci.
Upward trend in NZDJPY driven by RBNZ-BOJ interest rate differential
The strong upward trend had been driven by the interest rate differential between the New Zealand dollar and the Japanese yen.
New Zealand, like many countries around the world, slashed interest rates during the COVID-19 pandemic to stimulate its economy. However, as the economy began to recover, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) moved to raise rates to control inflation and avoid rampant price increases.
With inflation now under control, the RBNZ has started cutting rates, with yesterday marking the third consecutive cut, as the central bank reduced New Zealand’s key interest rate from 5.25% to 4.75%.
Japan, on the other hand, followed the opposite path, keeping its interest rate below 0 while other countries raised borrowing costs to control inflation — which is why the JPY has depreciated so much in recent years.
However, in its most recent meetings, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) — Japan’s central bank — changed its stance and raised interest rates for the first time since 2016.
With New Zealand’s interest rate declining and Japan’s interest rate increasing, there is potential for a medium-term devaluation of the NZD against the JPY.
Downward movement in NZDJPY possible in coming months
From a technical perspective, the following factors are at play:
1. Break of the uptrend on D1.
2. The 200-day SMA, which previously acted as support, is now serving as resistance.
3. A double top has formed on the daily chart.
4. The 50% Fibonacci region is bearish.
Considering these technical factors and the diverging monetary policies of the central banks in Japan and New Zealand, a downward movement in NZD/JPY is possible in the coming months.
If the price manages to break below 89.75, it is possible that it will fall to the 86.70 region in a few days.
Disclaimer:
74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Another great day on the chart today with our analysis playing out once again.
We got the Bullish target hit yesterday at 2655 and then no ema5 cross and lock above the level confirmed the rejection.
Today we got our Bearish target at 2633 hit, which also gave us the weighted level bounce inline with our plans to buy dips safely for 30 to 40 pips. Followed with a break below 2633 completing the retracement range at 2611 in true level to level fashion.
We will now look for support above here for e re-test at 2633 or a cross and lock below 2611 will open the swing range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2655 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2674
BEARISH TARGETS
2633 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2611 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2586 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
BITCOIN / UNDER BULLISH PRESSURE / 1HBITCOIN / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Overall Bullish Pressure , The market is expected to generally favor upward movement.
Key Resistance Level - 62,413 , If Bitcoin remains below this level, it indicates potential bearish momentum, pushing the price toward a demand zone between 61,251 and 60,717. A break below this zone could signal further declines.
KeySupportLevel62,413 , Conversely, if Bitcoin trades above 62,413, bullish momentum is expected, with the price potentially rising to an FVG (Fair Value Gap) area between 63,077 and 63,557.
Further Upside , A break above the FVG area could see the price rising into the supply zone between 63,889 and 64,165, where selling pressure may increase.
Supply Zone : 63,889 and 64,165.
Demand Zone : 61,251 and 60,717.
FVG : 63,077 and 63,557.
NAS100USD / UNDER DOWNWARD PRESSURE / 1HNAS100USD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Price Range Observation , The asset is currently moving within a tight range between 19.908 and 19.651. This range suggests a short-term consolidation or indecision in the market, where neither buyers nor sellers are dominant.
Tight trading ranges often precede a breakout, either upwards or downwards, depending on key factors like volume, momentum, and news.
Attempt to Enter the Fair Value Gap (FVG) ,The price is attempting to move into the Fair Value Gap (FVG), a region between 19.910 and 20.078. This area represents an imbalance created by previous fast price action, typically due to market inefficiencies, and traders often look for price to revisit these gaps to either confirm a reversal or fill the gap.
As long as the price trades below 19.998 within this FVG, there’s a tendency to decline. This indicates that 19.998 acts as an important resistance.
Traders may look for short positions if the price remains below this level, anticipating a potential drop.
Potential Decline to Demand Zone , If the price remains under the key resistance level of 19.998, the analysis suggests a downward move toward the demand zone between 19.743 and 19.701 , This demand zone is likely an area where buyers previously showed strength, and there’s a chance that it could serve as a support level again. If buyers step in here, the price may stabilize or rebound.
Bullish Breakout Scenario . If the price breaks above 19.998 and closes a 4-hour candle above this level, it indicates the possibility of a bullish breakout. The break above resistance signifies a potential shift in momentum.
The next target would be the supply zone between 20.078 and 20.155, which is where sellers may start to exert pressure. Traders might expect profit-taking or a reversal in this area.
Overall Sentiment , Downward Pressure: The overall sentiment remains bearish, and the market is facing downward pressure unless the price successfully breaks above key resistance levels.
Caution for Bullish Traders , Bullish traders need to wait for clear confirmation of a breakout above 19.998 before entering long positions to avoid false signals.
Supply Zone : 20,078 and 20,155
Demand Zone : 19,743 and 19,701
FVG : 19,910 , 20,078
XAUUSD / TRADING ACCUMULATION ZONE / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
Zone A (2,659$ - 2,653$) , The price is currently attempting to stabilize within this range.
If stabilization occurs, it suggests a potential breakout to reach the demand zone (2,631$ - 2,623$).
Demand Zone (2,631$ - 2,623$) , If the price breaks below Zone A, this demand zone is the next target , A breakout from this zone could lead to a rise towards Zone B.
Zone B (2,664$ - 2,672$) , If the price breaks into Zone B, remaining stable suggests a potential decline back to Zone A and possibly lower to the demand zone , However, if the price breaks above Zone B, it may aim for Zone C.
Zone C (2,681$ - 2,685$) , A breakout above Zone C could lead to further increases, but stabilization here may result in a decline back to Zone B or lower to Zone A.
Historical Zone (2,700$ - 2,710$) , Breaking the key resistance levels could indicate a move towards this new historical range, suggesting bullish sentiment.
Supply Zone : 2,659$ - 2,653$ , 2,664$ - 2,672$ , 2,681$ - 2,685$.
Demand Zone : 2,631$ - 2,623$.
Market News Report - 06 October 2024The last were turned this week for AUD, which went from being one of the top-performing currencies to among the worst. Conversely, the dollar gained the upper hand partly because of positive job numbers.
Let's see how the coming weeks may turn out for the major currencies in our latest market news report.
Market Overview
Below is a brief technical and fundamental analysis breakdown for all major currencies.
US dollar (USD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Fed's recent historic 50 basis points (bps) rate cut keeps the bearish bias firmly in place. However, the stronger-than-expected jobs report put a spanner in the works, pricing out a 50 bps cut in the next meeting.
However, the central bank has signalled the potential for two 25 bps drops by the end of this year. STIR (short-term interest rate) markets see a 97% chance of this cut in the meeting next month.
After weeks of ranging around the key support area at 100.617, the DXY made its intention known to head north. We spoke about a potential technically-driven retracement (despite the bearish fundamentals).
Meanwhile, the key resistance is far away at 107.348, which will remain untouched for some time.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
Markets anticipate several rate cuts before the year ends, with the Fed keen to harness a soft landing. Also, any data on weakened jobs would be another bearish driver for the dollar.
However, the recent upbeat Non-Farm Payrolls figure makes rate cuts less urgent, allowing for potential further USD retracement.
Euro (EUR)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
As usual, the STIR (short-term interest markets) were predictably accurate as the European Central Bank (ECB) cut the interest rate a few weeks ago. While 'being mum' about forward guidance, they revised core inflation projections higher.
Also, the past week saw weaker economic data across various European nations. Finally, short-term interest rate (STIR) markets have indicated a 100% chance (up from 93% last week) of a rate cut at the October 17 meeting.
The euro stayed around the 1.1200 area for over two months. However, it broke the range, showing the first of bearish pressure. Still, this market finds itself not far between the major resistance at 1.12757 and key support at 1.07774.
Long-term outlook: bearish.
After a long period, we have changed the long-term bias to 'bearish' (from 'weak bearish'). The ECB has yet to commit to a specific future path with the interest rate for some time.
Due to lingering concerns over services inflation, a rate cut in October has become more likely than before.
British pound (GBP)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Bank of England (BoE) kept the interest rate steady in its meeting. Still, the language indicates that they need to be “restrictive for sufficiently long.” Also, the central bank's higher-ups stressed "a gradual need" to cut rates.
As with the ECB, the central bank's current key theme is fighting persistent inflation in the United Kingdom. So, it makes more sense to be dovish than hawkish. Governor Bailey even hinted last Thursday that "aggressive rate cuts" were possible if inflation went lower.
This past week's downturn may be the start of a more serious bear move. Nonetheless, the next resistance target is 1.34825. Meanwhile, the nearest key support is at 1.26156.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
Sequential rate cuts by the BoE may soon be a reality. Also, expect any weak CPI, labour, and GDP data to back up the bearish bias. However, the central bank hopes for lower service inflation, which may provide relief.
Another interesting point is the latest CFTC (Commodity Futures Trading Commission) report, showing that GBP longs have been stretched to the upside. So, bullishness should be limited at some point.
Japanese yen (JPY)
Short-term outlook: bullish.
The primary bullish catalyst is the Bank of Japan’s (BoJ) recent decision to hike the interest rate. STIR markets expect a hold (99% probability) at the next meeting but a hike at the start of next year.
Governor Ueda of the BoJ noted that despite domestic economic recovery, recent exchange rate movements have reduced the upside risk of inflation. All of this backs up the potential for a rate hold or hike.
The 140.252 support area is proving quite strong, boosting the yen since mid-September. Still, the major resistance (at 161.950) is too far for traders to worry about.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
Lower US Treasury yields are one potential bullish catalyst for the yen (the opposite is true). Inflation pressures and wage growth would also provide upward momentum. We should also consider that the dovish tendencies of other major central banks and worsening US macro conditions are JPY-positive
Still, as a slight downer, near-term inflation risks subsiding (according to the BoJ) reduce the urgency for a rate hiking cycle.
Australian dollar (AUD)
Short-term outlook: weak bullish.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) kept the interest rate unchanged during the Sept. 25 meeting. They further stated that they "did not explicitly consider rate hikes" for the future, which is a marginally dovish statement.
The Aussie remains sensitive to China’s recent economic woes, especially with declining iron ore prices from the country’s steelmakers. As always, it depends on drops or rises in economic data like GDP, inflation, and labour.
After failing to break the 0.68711 resistance level several times, the Aussie retraced noticeably from this area. Still, this market is bullish and far from the major support level at 0.63484.
Long-term outlook: weak bullish.
The RBA has certainly changed their tune from hawkish to slightly hawkish/dovish. Overall, it's crucial to be data-dependent with the Aussie, especially with core inflation as the RBA's key focus area.
However, the Australian dollar is pro-cyclical, so it is exposed to economic growth in other countries.
New Zealand dollar (NZD)
Short-term outlook: weak bearish.
In its latest meeting, the central bank's dovish stance (where it cut the interest rate) puts the Kiwi in a 'bearish bracket.'
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZD) also revised cash rate projections lower, which further signals a dovish move. Finally, various core inflation metrics are consistent with stable and low inflation.
The markets see a 100% chance (up from 70% last week) of a 0.5% rate cut at Tuesday's meeting.
The major resistance level at 0.63696 is proving past strength as we see a noteworthy retracement (similar to its neighbouring Aussie).
Conversely, the major support is at 0.58498, an area which it is unlikely to test soon.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
In its latest meeting, the central bank's dovish stance (where it cut the interest rate) puts the Kiwi in a 'bearish bracket.'
However, as a risk-sensitive currency like the Aussie, any growth data in China could trigger bullishness for NZD. So, traders should be data-dependent.
Canadian dollar (CAD)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
The Bank of Canada (BoC) recently dropped the interest rate to 4.25%, as anticipated by the markets for some time. Further cuts in the next few meetings are on the cards (with a 63% chance of a 50 bps cut next month), with the long-term target being 3%.
Unemployment, weak economic growth, and mortgage stress are the key drivers for this dovishness.
Speaking of the former, keep an eye on the CAD unemployment rate on Friday (where no change is expected).
The CAD continues to strengthen mildly due to USD weakness. It now looks to test the next major support target at 1.33586, while the major resistance is far ahead at 1.39468.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
Expectations of a rate cut remain the focal point. Governor Macklem himself stated a while ago that it's reasonable to expect more cuts in the future. Any big misses in the upcoming data for GBP, inflation, and GDP will probably boost the chance of a rate cut. STIR markets see a 63% chance of the latter happening later this month.
Also, mortgage stress remains a major factor in this interest rate policy, and the BoC will have to cut rates to alleviate it.
Expect encouraging oil prices and general economic data improvement to save the Canadian dollar's blushes.
Swiss franc (CHF)
Short-term outlook: bearish.
STIR markets were, as usual, correct in their 43% chance of a 25bps rate cut (from 1.25% to 1%) this past week. In the Sept. 26 meeting, the Swiss National (SNB) indicated its preparedness to intervene in the FX market and further rate cuts in the coming quarters.
The central bank's new Chair (Schlegel) said they "cannot rule out negative rates." Finally, the September CPI came in weak at 0.8%, against the expected year-on-year 1.1%.
Still, the Swiss franc can strengthen during geopolitical tensions, such as a worsening Middle East crisis.
While we see a clear range, this market is looking to break it (even though it remains a strong bear move).
The major support level is closer at (0.83326), while the major resistance level is far higher at 0.92244.
Long-term outlook: weak bearish.
The bearish sentiment remains after the last SNB meeting, while inflation is being tamed with lower revisions. We should also remember that the SNB's intervention prevents the appreciation of the Swiss franc.
The new chairman is more keen to cut rates than his predecessor, Jordan. STIR markets are currently pricing a 22% chance of a 50 bps cut at the meeting in December.
On the flip side, 'safe haven flows' and geopolitical risks can be positively supportive for the currency. As with other central banks, inflation is a crucial metric in the SNB's policy rates.
Conclusion
Besides the NZD interest rate decision, this week isn't filled with high-impact economic events, reducing the chance of high volatility.
Still, hope for the best and prepare for the worst. This report should help you determine your bias toward each currency in the short and long term.
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
Great start to the week with our chart idea playing out as analysed.
We got the Bullish target hit at 2655 and then no ema5 cross and lock above the level confirming the rejection. You can see the ema5 turning just before the level to perfection confirming the rejection foe the move down.
We are looking for support above 2633 to confirm rejection for another re-test above at 2655 or a cross and lock below 2633 will open the range below.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2655 - DONE
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2674
BEARISH TARGETS
2633
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2586 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD / UNDER TENSTION IN THE MIDDLE EAST / 1HXAUUSD / 1H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The text refers to the NFP (Non-Farm Payroll) news, which typically has a strong influence on the financial markets. In this case, it states that after the NFP announcement, gold prices declined by 0.45%. This indicates that the market reacted to the news with a short-term bearish movement, likely due to positive employment data leading to expectations of tighter monetary policy.
Current Price , Gold is currently trading above an FVG (Fair Value Gap) area, specifically around $2,648 to $2,644. An FVG is a technical term often used to indicate areas where the price may have gaps or imbalances from previous trading activity, often suggesting potential price support or resistance.
As long as the price remains above the FVG, the text suggests a bullish continuation, with gold possibly increasing towards a supply zone between $2,664 and $2,670. If gold breaks above this supply zone, the text predicts that it could reach ATH (All-Time High) levels at $2,685.
On the other hand, if gold breaks below the FVG area, with confirmation from a 4-hour candle close, the text predicts a decline towards a demand zone between $2,631 and $2,623. This would indicate a shift in sentiment to a more bearish outlook in the short term.
The overall sentiment is bullish as long as prices stay above the demand zone and within the mentioned price ranges. The range of $2,685 to $2,623 is key to monitor, with any move beyond these levels signaling potential continuation or reversal of the current trend.
Supply Zone: 2,664$ and 2,670$.
Demand Zone: 2,631$ and 2,623$.
FVG: 2,648$ and 2,644$.
GOLD 1H CHART ROUTE MAP & TRADING PLAN FOR THE WEEKHey Everyone,
Please see our updated 1h chart levels and targets for the coming week.
We are in a new rage but just like last time we were able to generate accurate levels to use for the coming week.
We are seeing price between two weighted levels. We have 2674 Goldturn resistance and 2650, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap above on market open at 2655 and below at 2633 and will need ema5 cross and lock on either weighted level to determine the next range.
We will see levels tested side by side until one of the weighted levels break and lock to confirm direction for the next range.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
We will continue to buy dips using our support levels taking 30 to 40 pips. As stated before each of our level structures give 20 to 40 pip bounces, which is enough for a nice entry and exit. If you back test the levels we shared every week for the past 24 months, you can see how effectively they were used to trade with or against short/mid term swings and trends.
BULLISH TARGET
2655
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK ABOVE 2655 WILL OPEN THE FOLLOWING BULLISH TARGET
2674
BEARISH TARGETS
2633
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2633 WILL OPEN THE RETRACEMENT RANGE
RETRACEMENT RANGE
2611
EMA5 CROSS AND LOCK BELOW 2611 WILL OPEN THE SWING RANGE
SWING RANGE
2586 - 2558
As always, we will keep you all updated with regular updates throughout the week and how we manage the active ideas and setups. Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD DAILY CHART SHORT/MID TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our daily chart idea that we have been tracking for a while with the updated retracement and swing range.
Same as last week we are still seeing price play between two weighted levels. We have 2690 Goldturn resistance and 2645, as Goldturn support.
We currently have a gap above at 2690, as we had ema5 cross and lock above 2645 opening 2690. The daily chart averages are lagging so sometimes gaps get filled before ema5 confirmation, in which case candle body close gaps are suffice.
Currently we have ema5 cross and lock leaving 2690 gap open and support at 2645 Goldturn for the bounces we are seeing. 2645 is currently providing support and bounces inline with our plans to buy dips and no cross and lock below 2645, therefore confirming support.
Please note a break below 2645 will also open the lower range, which we can use to track the movement down and catch the bounces up.
We will keep the above in mind when taking buys from dips. Our updated levels and weighted levels will allow us to track the movement down and then catch bounces up.
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
WEEKLY CHART MID/LONG TERM ROUTE MAPHey Everyone,
Please see update on our weekly chart idea that we have been tracking and trading over the last two weeks.
Last week we stated that we were seeing a breakout outside the new Goldturn channel (our unique way of drawing channels) and that we have a detachment to ema5 below also inline with the channel top for a possible re-test for a correction.
- We got the correction but not the full attachment to ema5, but as you can see the channel top is providing the support we mentioned. As stated before if the channel top continues to provide support then we will track the movement up, confirmed with ema5 cross and lock or candle body close. We currently have a candle body close gap to 2729 long range AXIS TARGET.
However, if we continue to see tests on the channel top and then get a break inside the channel, then we will track the movement down, inline with our plans to buy dips, using our smaller time-frames, keeping in mind the long range gap for the future..
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings, instead of chasing the bull from the top.
Thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
GOLD ROUTE MAP UPDATEHey Everyone,
A PIPTASTIC finish to the week with our chart idea doing another repeat of the move completing the 2669 target twice, allowing us to buy dips inline with our plans.
2669 Goldturn resistance and 2650 Goldturn support were both completed earlier this week, followed with drops into the retracement range but not the full retracement test. This still allowed us to buy dips, as 2650 also gave the bounces for another re-test to our Bullish target 2669 completing the week.
The market moved sideways this week but allowed us to safely between the range buying dips.
BULLISH TARGET
2669 - DONE
BEARISH TARGETS
2650 - DONE
Our long term bias is Bullish and therefore we will continue to use our smaller timeframes to buy dips using our levels and setups.
Buying dips allows us to safely manage any swings rather then chasing the bull from the top.
We will now come back Sunday with our updated Multi time-frame analysis, Gold route map and trading plans for the week ahead.
Have a smashing weekend!! And once again, thank you all for your likes, comments and follows, we really appreciate it!
Mr Gold
GoldViewFX
XAUUSD / UNDER NFP PRESSURE / 4HXAUUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After a 1.16% increase in gold prices yesterday, today’s trading shows bearish pressure.
The Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) news is anticipated to cause significant price movement in the gold market.
If prices remain below the $2,664 to $2,670 range, it suggests a potential decline toward the demand zone between $2,644 and $2,637.
Conversely, if the demand zone is broken and prices stabilize above it, the next target would be the supply zone at $2,681 to $2,686.
Overall Trend , Despite the short-term bearish pressure, the general trend for gold remains upward.
Supply Zone: 2,681$ and 2,686$.
Demand Zone : 2,644$ and 2,637$.
EURUSD / TRADING ABOVE DEMAND ZONE - 4HEURUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The price is currently trading above a demand zone (an area where buying interest is expected to increase) between 1.102 and 1.100.
It suggests that as long as the price remains above this zone, there may be a retest (a drop to the 1.100 level) before the price starts to rise again.
The next likely target is an FVG (Fair Value Gap, which refers to a price inefficiency) between 1.108 and 1.109.
Beyond that, there’s another FVG around 1.111 and 1.113.
On the other hand, if the price breaks below the demand zone (1.100) and closes a 4-hour candle beneath it, this indicates further downside movement.
The next downside target would be the FVG between 1.097 and 1.094.
Supply Zone : 1.120 and 1.121.
Demand Zone : 1.102 and 1.100.
FVG : 1.108 and 1.109 , 1.111 and 1.113.
USOIL / BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL / 4HUSOIL / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
The asset has broken out of a channel and is experiencing bullish pressure. This suggests that the asset’s price is moving upwards after a period of consolidation.
The asset is trading above a supply zone around 74.37 to 73.69. A retest of this zone may occur before prices begin to rise again, targeting a higher supply zone between 76.85 and 77.60.
If the price breaks 73.59, it indicates a potential move to a Fair Value Gap (FVG) between 73.07 and 72.15 , his is a zone where price inefficiencies may exist.
If prices stabilize below the FVG zone, it could lead to further declines towards a demand zone between 73.07 and 72.12. This suggests a potential bearish reversal.
Supply Zone : 76.85 and 77.60.
Demand Zone : 73.07 and 72.12.
FVG : 73.07 and 72.15.