USD/CHF Short, GBP/USD Short and EUR/USD ShortUSD/CHF Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Short
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD Short
• If price corrects and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
Tradingforex
AUDUSD: AUDUSD is under pressure ahead of US and Australian dataThe Australian dollar is currently down to 0.6310, with the next key supports at 0.6300 and then 0.6285.
For buyers, the key immediate resistance is the 14-day EMA at 0.6347, with resistance at 0.6400 and 0.6429, the 23.6% Fibo level of the decline from July peak to September low.
This week, markets will continue to wait for a series of PMI reports from both countries. Additionally, the governors of both central banks are also scheduled to speak this week, as well as the release of Australian CPI, US PCE inflation, and the University of Michigan Consumer Confidence Index.
GBP/USD: The unemployment rate in August decreased, leading to aUK employment figures recover slightly
The UK unemployment rate continues to fall, with new jobless claims at 24,000, compared to the expected 230,000. The unemployment rate in August was 4.2%, slightly lower than the previous month's forecast of 4.3%.
Britain's labor market is easing, another sign that monetary tightening is starting to have an impact on the economy. Central banks agree that a period of low growth and easing labor markets is needed to bring inflation back to target. Slower growth would help prevent the BoE from being forced to raise interest rates as inflation falls sharply around the world.
EURUSD: EUR/USD recovered to 1.0600 as USD reversed to declineEUR/USD was pressured in the European session by the conflict in the Middle East and the broad recovery of the USD and US government bond yields. The next key event is the EU Consumer Sentiment Report.
EUR/USD is currently rising for the 3rd day in the past 4 days and is above the 20-day MA. Technical indicators on the daily chart show bullish signals, with RSI moving higher. If the day closes above 1.0640, the bullish momentum could continue. On the contrary, if the price falls below the 1.0500 support, it will attract more selling pressure.
EUR/USD is currently rising for the 3rd day in the past 4 days and is above the 20-day MA. Technical indicators on the daily chart show bullish signals, with RSI moving higher. If the day closes above 1.0640, the bullish momentum could continue. On the contrary, if the price falls below the 1.0500 support, it will attract more selling pressure.
GBP/CHF Long, NZD/USD Short, GBP/USD Short and EUR/USD ShortGBP/CHF Long
• If price corrects and a tight forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
NZD/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Short
• If price impulses down below our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD Short
• If price impulses down, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBPCAD Experts predict the Canadian economy is entering a recessRBC economist Nathan Janzen stated that the Statistics Office`s estimate isn't extensively one-of-a-kind from RBC's estimate of 0.5% boom and is simplest barely decrease than the estimate of 1 .5% of BoC.
Normally, forecasts of monetary recessions can be primarily based totally on traits such as: decreased GDP boom, decreased employment boom, decreased purchaser spending and funding activities. The nature and volume of monetary downturns can also additionally range primarily based totally at the traits indexed above.
The reasons of recessions are excessive inflation, growing hobby rates, declining purchaser self assurance or the outcomes of herbal disasters, political or monetary crises on a international scale.
GBPJPYBank of Japan to conduct unscheduled bond-buying operationFollowing the BOJ`s announcement, the 10-yr JGB yield JP10YTN=JBTC declined 0.five foundation factor to 0.855%, in advance buying and selling unchanged from Monday's last stage of 0.86%, which become the very best on account that July 2013.
Japanese yields were pulled better with the aid of using a surge in U.S. Treasury yields, with the benchmark 10-yr word US10YT=RR topping five% in a single day to attain a 16-yr high. US/
The BOJ caps the 10-yr yield at 1% beneathneath its yield curve controls (YCC), following a wonder coverage tweak on the cease of July. Although the yield stays properly beneathneath that stage, policymakers have stepped in again and again to gradual the tempo of increases.
The valuable financial institution subsequent units coverage on Oct. 31.
EURUSD may return to 1.06000Although the price movement of EURUSD on the H4 time frame technically has a bearish structure, the recent price movement has seen a bullish challenge to the horizontal resistance area at 1.06000. Further upside could be seen in intraday value areas such as the horizontal resistance area at 1.06680/1.07000 before a southward reversal occurs.
USDCHF: USD/CHF breaks 2-day losing streak, stays above 0.8900, The USD/CHF pair snaps a two-day losing streak during the early European session on Friday. The pair currently trades near 0.8927, up 0.15% on the day. Meanwhile, the escalating geopolitical tension between Israel and Hamas might benefit to the safe-haven currency like Swiss Franc (CHF).
The Swiss Trade surplus widened more than expected in September. Trade Balance came in at 6,316M versus 3,814M seen in the previous month, better than the expectation of 3,770M, according to data published by the Swiss Federal Customs Administration Thursday. Additionally, Exports surged to 24,795M MoM in September from the previous reading of 20,932M whereas Imports arrived at 18,480M MoM versus 17,118M.
Across the pond, Fed Chair Jerome Powell signaled a desire to pause rate hikes and watch how economic data develops in the coming months. Powell further stated that more monetary policy tightening might be appropriate if there are more indications about above-trend growth or if the labor market stops easing. His dovish comments weigh on the Greenback and act as a headwind for the USD/CHF pair.
BTCUSD:; Bitcoin forecast next week: Approaching the $30,000 marSince the beginning of October 2023, Bitcoin price has increased 8.3% and is approaching the psychological barrier at the 30,000 USD mark. Finance BankingBitcoin forecast next week: Approaching the 30,000 USD markDuong Lam • {Publishing date}Since the beginning of October 2023, Bitcoin price has increased by 8.3% and is approaching the psychological barrier at the 30,000 USD mark.
According to CoinDesk data, updated on the morning of October 22 (Vietnam time), Bitcoin price traded at 29,880.3 USD/BTC, corresponding to a capitalization of 583.2 billion USD. Compared to early October, this cryptocurrency has increased by 8.3%.
“Bitcoin's bullish momentum is supported by positive news about the possibility of approval of an exchange-traded fund (ETF) for this cryptocurrency next week, along with an increase in applications to open a fund Bitcoin ETF,” said Lucy Hu - senior trader at Metalpha.
GBP/CHF Long, CHF/JPY Short and GBP/USD ShortGBP/CHF Short
• If price impulses up above our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get long with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
CHF/JPY Short
• If price impulses down, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUDUSD: AUD/USD tests 0.6300 as risk-off sentiment prevails and AUD/USD struggles to maintain above 0.6300 after PBOC's decision to keep the lending base rate (LPR) unchanged. Selling pressure weighed heavily on the pair amid persistent risk-off sentiment due to escalating tensions in the Middle East.
AUD/USD recovered from near the key support of 0.6285, but the overall bias remains bearish as the price remains below the 20-day MA. On frame D1, price action has not shown clear developments yet.
On the H4 frame, AUD/USD is stuck below MA 20, but technical indicators show recovery potential. If we break through the immediate resistance of 0.6355, the next targets will be 0.6375 and 0.6390, reinforcing the strong upward momentum to 0.6430.
If the support of 0.6330 is broken, the outlook for AUD/USD will be relatively worse, but holding the support of 0.6285 will limit the downward momentum. On the contrary, if it breaks below this level, sellers will aim for the 0.6250 support and the 2022 bottom at 0.6170.
AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange increased slightly after China anMost Asian currencies rose slightly on Wednesday following news that China's economic growth was stronger than expected, although concerns about an escalation in the Israel-Hamas war limited gains.
Fresh concerns about higher long-term US interest rates also persisted after stronger-than-expected September retail sales data, which markets fear could lead to inflation. growth increases.
However, currencies that had been hit hard, especially those with exposure to China, saw some gains after China's third-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) Nation is strongly announced.
Australian Dollar up 0.2%
CHF/JPY ShortCHF/JPY Short
• If price impulses down, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
USDCHF: The Fed Chairman said he would proceed carefully and didChairman Jerome Powell said the Fed wants to keep interest rates unchanged at its next meeting, while leaving open the possibility of raising interest rates again in the future if policymakers see more signs of a resilient economy. .
These comments confirm market expectations that the Fed will not raise interest rates at its October 31-November 1 meeting. He also said the recent rise in long-dated bond yields, if continued, could replace a “little bit” of interest rate increases, echoing his peers and emphasizing the importance of tightening regulations. financial conditions on the interest rate outlook in the coming months.
“Given the uncertainties and risks and how far we've come, the committee is proceeding carefully,” Mr. Powell said at the Economic Club of New York. “We will make decisions on the level of further policy consolidation and how long it will remain restrictive based on the total data, outlook and balance of risks.”
The 2-year bond yield fell after Chairman Powell spoke, while the 10-year bond yield retreated from its upward momentum. The USD fell and S&P 500 stocks, after much volatility, also fell.
EUUSD BUY | Trade AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
Great BUY opportunity EURUSD
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GBP/NZD ShortGBP/NZD Short
• If price impulses down below our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
BTC: Alessandro Ottaviani: Bitcoin is closer to $1 million than Bitcoin faces resistance at $2,000
Whether buyers will maintain the bullish momentum, pushing Bitcoin to key resistance levels at $30,000 and $32,000 in the near term remains to be seen. Looking at the candlestick arrangement in the daily chart, swing traders can consider a retest of the October 16 high as the first target. Further trend continuation could lift BTC to its July 2023 high at $32,000, potentially opening up more opportunities for gains above $35,000.
CHF/JPY Short, EUR/NZD Short, AUD/NZD Short and GBP/USD ShortCHF/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD Short
• If price impulses down below our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
AUD/NZD Short
• If price impulses down below our area of value, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBPUSD grows thanks to reduced inflationary pressureGBP/USD remains stuck near the 1.2200 level as traders wait for additional catalysts. Interestingly, rising Treasury yields did not put pressure on GBP/USD.
If GBP/USD settles above 1.2200, it will move towards the next resistance, which is located in the 1.2370 – 1.2410 range.
USDCHF: USDCHF news today October 18Most Asian currencies fell slightly on Tuesday as demand for the dollar remained steady ahead of several key US economic indicators this week, while sentiment also remained at jittery levels. Israel-Hamas war.
Data on US retail sales and industrial production will be released later in the day, while a host of Federal Reserve members will speak this week, most notably Chairman Jerome Powell on Thursday.
The data and addresses are set to provide more signals on the world's largest economy and will be closely watched after a surprise rise in US inflation over the past three months raised concerns of a The Fed is more hawkish.
The data is expected to show a sustained decline in economic growth, as the country's manufacturing and services sectors struggle with a decline in overseas demand.
The debt crisis in the real estate market is also expected to slow economic growth further, although a series of monetary stimulus measures in the past quarter may have helped offset the slump. greater growth reduction.
Asian stocks fell slightly as the USD stabilized on many economiMost Asian currencies fell slightly on Tuesday as demand for the dollar remained steady ahead of several key US economic indicators this week, while sentiment also remained at jittery levels. Israel-Hamas war.
Data on US retail sales and industrial production will be released later in the day, while a host of Federal Reserve members will speak this week, most notably Chairman Jerome Powell on Thursday.
The data and addresses are set to provide more signals on the world's largest economy and will be closely watched after a surprise rise in US inflation over the past three months raised concerns of a The Fed is more hawkish.
The Australian dollar edged up 0.3% as minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia's recent meeting showed policymakers are still considering more interest rate hikes, as recent inflation persists. increase.
CHF/JPY Short, EUR/NZD Short, GBP/USD Short and EUR/USD ShortCHF/JPY Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/NZD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
GBP/USD Short
• If price pushes up to and ideally just above our area of value, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing impulse back down followed by a tight flag and then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.
EUR/USD Short
• If price impulses down, it does so in a convincing manner and a subsequent tight flag forms, then I'll be looking to get short with either a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag or a risk entry within it.
• If my entry requirements are not met then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place a trade on this pair.