EUR/CHF SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
EUR/CHF is trending down which is obvious from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a great trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 0.929.
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Trading
EUR/USD Under Pressure Amid Key Economic EventsThe EUR/USD pair began the week with notable selling pressure, trading near the 1.0500 level at the time of writing. The Asian session opened with a bearish gap that remains uncovered, with the pair declining by nearly 75 pips so far. Market participants are closely watching upcoming events, including a speech by European Central Bank (ECB) President Christine Lagarde and the release of the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) later today.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, the pair’s downward momentum aligns with earlier forecasts, suggesting a potential move toward the next demand zone around 1.0100 in the coming sessions.
Commitment of Traders (COT) Analysis
Recent COT reports reveal that retail traders have increased long positions in the pair, while non-commercial entities remain bearish. This divergence highlights contrasting market expectations. A strong ISM Manufacturing PMI reading could amplify the pair’s downward trajectory, further pressuring the euro.
As the market digests these developments, traders should remain cautious and adapt strategies based on upcoming economic data and central bank commentary.
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Traps Of Technical Analysis: Navigating The Pitfalls For SuccessTechnical and fundamental analyses are cornerstones for understanding how financial markets operate. While technical analysis focuses heavily on graphical representations and past price data, it can lead to significant pitfalls—especially when employed thoughtlessly. This post explores common traps that novice traders often fall into.
1. Indicator Overload
One of the most prevalent mistakes among beginning traders is the overwhelming reliance on too many indicators. The assumption that a greater number of indicators equates to improved accuracy is misguided. In fact, indicators can produce conflicting signals, creating confusion rather than clarity.
Many indicators are designed to promote services or websites rather than provide genuine analytical insights. While a handful of fundamental tools can effectively cover most statistical needs, attempting to integrate 20 different indicators into a single chart is unnecessary and counterproductive. Instead, combining a varied set—such as moving averages, oscillators, support and resistance levels, and chart patterns—can yield more meaningful results.
2. Overlooking Fundamental Analysis
Ignoring fundamental analysis can skew a trader's understanding of market dynamics. Historical signals based on technical indicators may have been influenced by news events, leading to potentially misleading conclusions.
To establish a clear picture, traders should focus on less turbulent timeframes, like the H1, and select periods of low market activity to minimize external influences. Understanding the impact of macroeconomic factors and market makers can significantly enhance the reliability of technical analysis.
3. Misinterpreting Historical Data
Traders often rely on backtesting strategies against historical data, but this approach can be risky. Past performance does not guarantee future results, especially in real trading environments.
While testing strategies is essential, time-consuming optimization can be a poor use of resources. Due to varying quote suppliers among brokers, discrepancies of just a few points can drastically alter outcomes. Many experts suggest improving trader’s instincts by practicing on demo accounts as a more productive alternative to exhaustive backtesting.
4. False Breakouts
False breakouts frequently occur in strategies that depend on channel trading or trend line breakouts. These incidences often arise when market participants react counter to the prevailing trend.
For instance, a price surge that surpasses a resistance level may provoke profit-taking from certain traders, potentially reversing the trend. A nuanced understanding of the market's fundamental basis—such as in crypto markets, where large fund involvement can bolster price movements—can help traders evade premature entries. It’s advisable to remain cautious and wait for confirmation through additional price action before acting on a breakout signal.
5. Ignoring Instrument-Specific Characteristics
Each trading instrument has unique characteristics that influence its behavior, such as volatility and trading volume. Conducting analyses without accounting for these differences can lead to misguided strategies.
For example, cryptocurrencies often exhibit daily fluctuations of 10%, while indices may show changes closer to 2%. Hence, applying identical settings across diverse assets is inappropriate. Understanding the contextual drivers—for example, industry legislation or technological advancements—can illuminate the vulnerabilities of trading strategies.
6. Psychological Traps
The mental aspect of trading is often underestimated, with traders falling prey to cognitive biases such as wishful thinking. A signal may appear strong due to emotional fatigue or the desire to recoup losses, yet that doesn’t validate its authenticity.
Traders must strive to remain objective and grounded, conducting thorough analyses and verifying signals against fundamental factors rather than succumbing to emotional impulses.
7. Neglecting Timeframe Analysis
Focusing solely on a single timeframe, such as H1, can result in missed opportunities and significant oversights. Many traders disregard other timeframes, such as daily and weekly charts, which can provide crucial context to ongoing trends.
An upward trend on the daily chart should ideally reflect in multiple candlesticks on the smaller H4 timeframe. A comprehensive analysis of various timeframes can offer a more rounded view and aid in making informed trading decisions.
📍 Conclusion
Despite meticulous efforts to master technical analysis, errors and pitfalls are inevitable. Acknowledging these traps and actively mitigating their impact is critical in successful trading. Furthermore, incorporating robust risk management techniques and fostering emotional resilience will enhance a trader's journey. Each mistake serves as a valuable learning opportunity, paving the way for continuous growth and adaptation in trading financial markets.
Traders, If you liked this educational post🎓, give it a boost 🚀 and drop a comment 📣
The short-term gold market is difficult to predictLast week, the Federal Reserve's preferred inflation measure was the newly announced personal consumption expenditure index (PCE). PCE increased 2.8% over the past 12 months, higher than expected.
The US central bank indicated in its latest meeting minutes that higher-than-expected inflation could force it to adjust the pace of its easing cycle. The market still predicts the Fed will cut interest rates by 25 basis points in December and will continue cutting until early 2025.
In addition to Trump's social media posts, markets will focus on key economic data this week such as jobs data. If the employment situation is not as expected, gold prices may increase again. A stronger labor market could make an interest rate cut unlikely this month.
Investors who record profits can rest assured. In the long term, market sentiment is quite optimistic. Many analysts believe that gold price will reach 3,000 USD/ounce next year.
🔥 XAUUSD BUY 2627 - 2625🔥
💵 TP1: 2640
💵 TP2: 2650
💵 TP3: OPEN
🚫 SL: 2618
Ethereum $ETH/USDT - 200D SMA Bull Regime DetectionThis indicator helps traders identify market regimes using the powerful combination of 50 and 200 SMAs. It provides clear visual signals and detailed metrics for trend-following strategies.
Key Features:
- Dual SMA System (50/200) for regime identification
- Colour-coded candles for easy trend visualisation
- Metrics dashboard
Core Signals:
- Bullish Regime: Price > 200 SMA
- Bearish Regime: Price < 200 SMA
- Additional confirmation: 50 SMA Cross-over or Cross-under (golden cross or death cross)
SPY Bullish Continuation Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
SPY made a bullish
Breakout of the local
Horizontal level of 600$
Which indicated a bullish
Sentiment prevalence
On the market so we
Are now bullish biased
Locally and we will be
Expecting further growth
Buy!
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USD_CAD SUPPORT AHEAD|LONG|
✅USD_CAD is set to retest a
Strong support level below at 1.3950
After trading in a local downtrend from some time
Which makes a bullish rebound a likely scenario
With the target being a local resistance above at 1.4067
LONG🚀
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DOGE/USDT (1D Chart)
DOGE/USDT continues to display bullish market behavior, consolidating within a **rising wedge** formation as the price trends upward. The narrowing of the wedge indicates that the price is approaching a critical point for its next major move.
**Key Observations:**
1. **Price Action:**
- The price remains firmly above key moving averages (20, 50, and 200), signaling a continuation of the broader uptrend.
- The narrowing wedge reflects a buildup of tension, typical before a decisive breakout or breakdown.
2. **Volume and CMF Dynamics:**
- A **notable drop in volume** is visible as the price consolidates, which often signals a pending sharp move.
- The **Chaikin Money Flow (CMF)** indicates declining momentum, highlighting a reduction in buying strength and market participation at this stage.
3. **Momentum Indicators:**
- **OBV (On-Balance Volume):** Maintains an upward trend, indicating consistent accumulation despite the consolidation.
- **RSI:** At **70.95**, the slightly overbought reading suggests the possibility of temporary consolidation or a pullback before a potential continuation of the uptrend.
**Conclusion:**
DOGE/USDT is approaching a decisive moment as it consolidates within its rising wedge. The **drop in volume**, visible both on the chart and through the **CMF**, is a common precursor to significant price action. While momentum remains intact, traders should watch for increased activity that confirms the next move.
Trading opportunity for MXMUSDTBased on technical factors there is a Buy position in :
📊 MXMUSDT
🔵 Buy Now or by Breakout
🪫Stop loss 0.00830
🔋Target 1 0.01150
🔋Target 2 0.01450
🔋Target 3 0.01950
💸RISK : 1%
We hope it is profitable for you ❤️
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AUD-JPY Bearish Breakout! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
AUD-JPY keeps falling
And the pair made a
Bearish breakout of the
Key horizontal level of 98.000
So we are bearish biased
And we will be expecting
A further bearish move down
Sell!
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The History of Forex Trading: How It All Began Ever wondered how forex trading became the massive, 24/5 global market we know today? Here’s a quick look at its fascinating journey:
1️⃣ The Gold Standard Era (1870s–1930s)
Forex trading originated when countries began linking their currencies to gold. This system created fixed exchange rates but collapsed during the Great Depression due to economic instability.
2️⃣ Bretton Woods Agreement (1944–1971)
After World War II, nations agreed to peg their currencies to the US Dollar, which was backed by gold. This made the USD the world’s reserve currency and gave rise to modern foreign exchange systems.
3️⃣ Floating Exchange Rates (1971–Present)
When the Bretton Woods system ended, currencies began to "float," meaning their values were determined by supply and demand in the market. This shift created today’s forex market, where traders speculate on fluctuating currency prices.
4️⃣ The Rise of Retail Forex (1990s–2000s)
The advent of the internet and trading platforms like MetaTrader brought forex to individual traders. What was once reserved for banks and institutions became accessible to anyone with an internet connection.
5️⃣ Today’s $7.5 Trillion Market (2020s)
Now, forex is the largest financial market in the world, with $7.5 trillion traded daily. Traders from every corner of the globe participate, using advanced tools and strategies to navigate this dynamic market.
Forex has come a long way, and we’re part of its exciting evolution. What do you think the future holds for forex trading? AI tools? Crypto integration? Let me know in the comments!
USDCHF Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the USDCHF next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.8886
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 0.8930
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.8816
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EURUSD My Opinion! BUY!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on EURUSD and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 1.0414 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 1.0470
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
APPLE My Opinion! SELL!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the APPLE next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 237.43
Bias - Bearish
Safe Stop Loss - 240.29
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market.
Goal - 231.91
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDNZD Expected Growth! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for AUDNZD below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 1.0989
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 1.1034
Recommended Stop Loss - 1.0964
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NQ1! BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 20,498.50 level area with our short trade on NQ1! which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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GBP/CHF BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
GBP/CHF is making a bullish rebound on the 3H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 1.116 level.
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DXY Is Bullish! Buy!
Take a look at our analysis for DXY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 105.777.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 108.336 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUDNZD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDNZD.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 1.100.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 1.104 level soon.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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VIEW ON NIFTY AND BANKNIFTYNifty and Bank nifty view for coming weeks.
Dollar Index, Gold, US market and 10 year US Gsec
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