$TOTAL - Bitcoin Halving Sparks $10 Trillion Crypto TsunamiThe cryptocurrency market is poised to grow from $1.5 trillion to $10-12 trillion in the next two years.
Key factors
Bitcoin halving in 2024,
Increasing institutional adoption,
Rise of decentralized finance (DeFi),
Integration of blockchain technology across industries,
Global economic uncertainty driving demand for alternative assets,
Ongoing technological advancements making cryptocurrencies more accessible.
These factors collectively contribute to the positive outlook for the cryptocurrency market.
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL2
BINANCE:BTCUSDT
BINANCE:ETHUSDT
! Not an advice - DYOR !
Totalmarketcap
Total RSI Pringing H&S - Lower 15%-30% I think*Ignore the cluttered chart lol, look at the RSI study.
In Sept 2023 RSI showed an IHS and now it's painting a H&S, I think the FOMO is pretty unreal. Most are worried about missing the ETF launch, I think it's ripe for a rug. I do think the EVENT is priced in, a lot say that the demand isn't which I agree but I think the launch will be a seperate event. I don't speculate just play the charts and I think it's looking bearish.
Total also broke a rising bearish wedge.
When Will Crypto/Equities top this Bull cycleMost of the asset we trade are traded against Dollar. So, to figure out when markets are going to peak out, we must look at DXY, which measures the strength of the dollar.
In this post we will analyze the last bull/bear cycle and use that to predict what may happen in the current cycle.
The Last Bull Cycle for equities/Crypto started when DXY topped out last time, which happened during Covid dump.
The Last Bull Cycle ended and Bear Started when DXY Bottomed and Trend shifted to bull on Weekly marked by Weekly Break of Structure in November 2021.
To figure out when Crypto/Equities will peak this cycle we will have figure out when will DXY bottom this cycle.
I gave a full Wave Elliott wave count for DXY back in September last year predicting extended downtrend for DXY so far it has played out perfectly. Based on how PA has developed for DXY it looks like we are in corrective wave 4 of 5 waves down and final wave down is yet to come.
The full wave count is posted here:
I am confident that this is the fourth wave because the current bounce is not likely to be able to break structure on weekly as it did not happen from a significant source of Support or supply. To mark the bottom of DXY we need a weekly Break of structure I have highlighted that in the chart, we need a significant weekly close above 104.5 to mark change of trend which is unlikely to happen.
Now let's use Wyckoff to further strengthen the argument that a final 5th wave down is yet to come we will use Wyckoff mode for that.
Do you see the perfect match with model 1 Wyckoff Accumulation:
Wyckoff Works like a charm on HTF, check out my Cardano prediction post in the description below where I predicted the bottom is 21 cents for Cardano using Wyckoff models.
Now there are two weekly supply zones right below where DXY bounced from early last year which have the capacity to act as Springs for the next move up, the lower zone coincides with the lower trending of the parallel channel so highly likely that it marks the bottom for DXY, If not then DXY loses it multiyear uptrend and we are looking at a bull run of unimaginable proportion , but it very unlikely.
Now even though these zones can mark the bottom for DXY, it doesn't mean Equities and Crypto will top immediately, notice in the last cycle, DXY spent quite some time at the lows before it broke weekly structure and that's what caused entire market to peak, and we started the bear run.
So, it's possible it can happen in the similar fashion this time as well, or it can be an explosive move up, which is a real possibility because Wyckoff springs are very explosive, and if it causes weekly Break of structure that will be the top of the markets.
With the current bounce being the wave 4 of the 5 wave down for DXY a correction is possible across the markets, notice in the chart I have highlighted in circle where we are in current cycle compared to last one, we are getting a bounce DXY right now just like we did last time in the middle of the bull run. This will cause turbulence in the markets and initiate a short-term correction, which aligns well with crypto as we all are expecting pre-halving dump like we have experienced in all previous cycles.
Now we know at what level we are likely to bounce let's try to predict the timeline as to when we will see the bottom form on DXY.
I have used Trend based fib time to predict the next pivot in DXY, it pulled from start of last bull run, we can see how perfectly all the pivots fall on the time fibs, so there no reason to think it won't do that next time as well. The next Pivot falls in May 2024. One can argue that DXY can to the upside and follow the red arrow in the chart below, but it's unlikely because of the reason discussed above.
Now once it hits the pivot to the downside, we must monitor what it does. As mentioned above to mark the peak of bull cycle we need a weekly break of structure on DXY, whenever that happed after the pivot you know you need sell all and get out of the market without hesitation or short the market and make generational wealth over the course of year or 2.
CAUTION:
What's interesting to note here is, the next fib time date for DXY pivot coincides perfectly with the full length of the last bull cycle which was 84 weeks, if we measure 84 weeks since BTC and Equities bottomed this cycle it ends perfectly within few days of the next fib time pivot. So, it's possible the current bull run may be cut short, and we see an explosive move in DXY, A spring move like I mentioned above instead of slow grind up on DXY like it happened last time in previous cycle.
Now don't be scared just yet, that all hope is lost for bulls if that happens, The Wyckoff accumulation model can fail and DXY doesn't make a significant move up and starts to drop after few months of up. The possibility of this happening is there but it's low, in the end we must watch DXY and when it gets there and see what happens.
TOTAL market cap | Q1 2024 Will it be Red ?CRYPTOCAP:TOTAL
Hi fam,
Okay, 1.65T $ was lost due to FUD from the ETF rejection report leak and the market dumped to MA50 in D1 at 1.50T $.
This was good from different perspectives. Funding rates are mostly reset. The fear and greed index cooled down a bit and dropped from 70 to 68. Today we had a good recovery in the market and the TOTAL market cap reached the broken support of 1.65T $ which acts as resistance this time.
I think of more bearish moves after such a flush dump (despite all the fuds) and as I said in my previous posts Q1 2024 is expected to be Red with the last buying chance for most of the coins.
The trend moves in a parallel channel (most likely to be the distribution phase) and swept the range high and closed below the range and flushed to the midline of the channel and bounced. This will be more like a dead cat bounce and I expect to see lows to get swept at 1.46T $ in the coming days. The final target lies at 1.3T for the coming weeks.
As always, These are my ideas and might be wrong. Please DYOR.
Total 2The recent pullback in the overall market value of Altcoins can be interpreted as a strategic re-test of a crucial support level on a higher time frame (HTF). The HTF support is a long-term support level that represents a significant point in the market’s historical price action.
Currently, the market value is holding above $700 billion, indicating that the HTF support is providing a solid foundation for the Altcoin market. This level is crucial as it has historically played a significant role in determining market trends. The ability to maintain a value above $700 billion suggests a potential resilience in the Altcoin market.
ETH, Ethereum, BTC, Bitcoin. Cryptocurrency, s4style
Looking forward, the next major technical challenge is expected around the $1.2 trillion mark. In technical analysis, round numbers like $1.2 trillion often act as psychological resistance levels. If the market can successfully surpass this level, it could indicate a strong bullish sentiment and potential for further upward movement.
Traders and technical analysts closely monitor these key levels to make informed decisions. The successful re-test and holding above $700 billion suggest a favorable scenario for Altcoins, but attention will be keenly focused on how the market reacts when approaching the $1.2 trillion resistance.
TOTAL2 - Market Cap BOOMThe current structure forming at this low is very similar to the structure that formed very early in the crypto market (45M) which led to a bull market towards (428B). I believe we will see another massive growth period pushing the market cap excluding Bitcoin well into the T areas.
Bitcoin Turns Down For Deeper Correction. Strong Support At 40k.Stocks are coming down at the start of January as some portfolio adjustments and profit-taking occurs at the start of a new year to avoid 2023 tax year. We can also see some dollar rally, but normally these flows at the start of the year are temporary and can be reversed later this month when flows will normalize. We also have a FED minutes today, but US PMI and NFP much more important this week I think.
Looking at bitcoin, its coming sharply down on speculation that SEC will reject ETF. Some nice support is at 40k.
Arb-pumps- Total Market dumpsI have just laid out that when Arb is pumping, more often than not the total market dumps. I have added Solana chart to confirm that it is not happening with Solana at least this time. Also confirming that we no new money, at least not as we had in 2021. I hope this helps, if total3 without stables crosses 375B, it is more likely going to dump further.
TOTAL2 - Familiar Bottoms The bottom formation on TOTAL2 is something that has been seen before
At the beginning of the run TOTAL2 skyrocketed from 42M to 424B. I expect this to happen just on a slightly different scale.
It may stay within the green channel that I have drawn.
Very bullish right now.
Crypto Total Marktcap --- suggests pullback is occuring.Shorts have been getting their pants pulled down for too long :)
We may have reached a point where a pullback may be necessary and even healthy.
(Some coins will still do well of course, but will be fighting the general tide of the market)
Included a couple zones where could correct to.
TOTALTOTAL
TOTAL is the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies.
On the chart, after a long accumulation since May 2022, we see the first glimpses of growth, as on TOTAL2.
For overall growth, you need to break through the red resistance at 1.281 and gain a foothold above it. After this, we will have the opportunity to take the following targets: 1.434 - 1.63.
There are no large volumes up to the level of 1.63. We are currently monitoring the situation.
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Its time to reveal the truth. We about to take OFF !Hey everyone,
Im not that active as I would like to be because Im bussy doing other stuff then just investing and traing but I feel sad for many people turning bearish now so I thought
I might reveal the truth !
This might be a massive BEAR TRAP and that we are going up or pass the 10 Trill exclude BTC in next bull cycle which allready started months ago, but majority dont accept it until they see ATH ( This is where majority of retails start to buy)
When you see media joining we are close to the top ( Just so you know)
Lets make it simple and not overcomplicated with trillions of indicators and charts newbies cant actually even read. FOLLOW THE TREND & THE MONEY FLOW
For thoose thinking this is some random :shit: I dont appear here everyday but on important events to try rescue as much people as possible.
Stick with the long term plan and stay SAFE !
Keep in mind that there might be a pullbacks/corrections but that doesnt instantly mean the trend is turning bearish so PLEASE DO NOT FALL FOR BEAR TRAPS !
Wish you all the best.
Cheers
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Total3 Chart Analysis: Strong Resistance! 📉⚠️Today, let's turn our attention to the Total3 chart (excluding BTC & ETH), where a compelling narrative unfolds. The chart currently finds itself in a precarious position, trading within the vicinity of a significant resistance zone. Caution is advised, as potential corrections may be on the horizon. Here's an in-depth analysis of the chart dynamics and what to anticipate in the coming sessions. 📊🔍
Analyzing Total3 (Exclude BTC & ETH): Charting the Resistance Zone
Encountering Strong Resistance:
Critical Zone: Total3 is navigating a zone of formidable resistance, marked by historical significance on the charts.
Chart Context: This resistance is crucial as it has played a pivotal role in the past, influencing market dynamics.
The Challenge of Overcoming Resistance:
Testing Bulls' Strength: The current scenario poses a challenge for bulls, as breaking through this resistance demands considerable strength.
Potential for Corrections: The prolonged interaction with this resistance zone raises the likelihood of corrections or a pullback.
Anticipating a Retest:
Trendline Retest: The analysis suggests an imminent retest of the trendline previously breached by Total3.
Validation Check: A successful retest would validate the strength of the breakout, offering insights into the sustainability of the upward trend.
Cautious Approach for Traders:
Risk Management:
Protecting Gains: Traders should consider implementing robust risk management strategies to protect gains.
Volatility Awareness: Acknowledge the potential for increased volatility, especially around the resistance zone.
Watching Trendline Dynamics:
Retest Confirmation: A confirmed retest and subsequent bounce off the trendline would instill confidence in the continuation of the upward trend.
Failure Warning: Conversely, a failure to hold the trendline may signal a shift in market sentiment.
Conclusion:
Total3's encounter with a substantial resistance zone necessitates a cautious approach. Traders should monitor the dynamics closely, with a keen eye on the potential retest of the trendline. The outcome of this interaction will likely provide valuable insights into the market's next moves.
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#ALTCOINS are about to surge higher than your expectation!#TOTAL2 : Altcoin market cap retraced to the local trendline support we plotted a few hours back. Continuation is highly likely from here.
Now isn't the time to be scared of the dip; these are opportunistic moments.
My plan: I don't want to buy in aggressively right now. Instead, I'll ladder in partially in case we hit the lower support of $630 billion.
#CryptoNews 📈
Are you playing your cards right? #ALTCOINS🚀Are you playing your cards right?🌟
Altcoins must continue to rise while #BTC either moves sideways or corrects and maintains a sideways trend.
I will not give up on my altcoins for 3x to 7x gains while it can go 50x to 100x!
The chart you see below this post is like a lottery If you know what I mean! Things have changed my friends and you need to go with the trend.
I will be focusing on the latest narratives that drive the trend, whether it's RWAs, Gaming, or AI.
You need to adapt to the trend.
💡 Let's learn from past missteps avoid taking random trades and move strategically.
Money is transient, but the next 2 years hold life-changing potential.
I'm dedicated to curating a portfolio of top-tier altcoins.
💡 If you are new, stop being degen, This is the best advice I could give you.
🔥 Bookmark this post!
Follow me and repost to know my carefully chosen altcoin picks.
Together, let's make the next 2 years not just profitable but extraordinary!
#altcoins
TOTAL MACRO ANALYSISTOTAL CRYPTO MARKET CAP;
-Has exploded since it entered into Ichimoku Cloud.
-Typically, we see prices reach the opposite side of the cloud.
-That area also lines up with the yellow neckline as resistance.
-I think we pump the remainder of the year for the most part.
-Could see a sell-off after the end of the year.
-I would think dips on the new year are for buying before the BTC halving
Please follow me here for more crypto analysis and a safer way to read charts to minimize risk.
**This idea is not financial advice, its just my 2 cents.
Thanks for your time!
~Cosmicbag
TOTAL2TOTAL2
TOTAL2 is the total market capitalization of cryptocurrencies, excluding the total capitalization of BTC.
On the chart, after a long accumulation since May 2022, we see the first glimpses of growth. 2 week green candles.
For further growth, we need to break through the green resistance and gain a foothold above it. After this we will be able to take the following targets: 733 - 834 - 899
If this happens, then we will see how all the alts will start shooting. In case of updates, we will definitely inform you.
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BTC Bull Run (2021 vs 2023)A comparison of the position of the chart when Bitcoin rises in 2021 and the extent of the impact of the acquisition on the market when it falls after the rise to the same current price areas of 43k.
While thinking, I received an alert notification from Trading View with news that intersects with the current thinking
News About at tradingview
and it is from cryptopotato cryptopotato.com
Author: Chayanika Deka