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Weekly Indicator Panel WARNED last weekend...ALL Red Flags already, as warned by my panel of leading indicators. You would see that all threshold have been triggered and are clearly red flags IF the week closes at current levels. The week has not ended, but it appears bad enough. There should be an attempt tp recover somewhat, but overall appears that Santa Claus might crash this rally this year. Furthermore, the year end and year start are keen indicators of the year ahead as well... so watch closely.
TVC:SG10YShort
by Auguraltrader
Weekly Leading Indicator Panel warns...Reviewing the Weekly charts, especially for the leading indicators, it appears that there is a warning of downside risk imminent. SG10Y bond yield are about to break out. JNK TLT and TIP all have bearish engilfing that covers the previous gap up. Thing is, the coombined US equities chart is somewhat bullish, with a rough bearish harami at the bearish best indication. Even SOXL appears to be bullish somewhat... No action needed, but just an early warning given to set the boundaries yet again... looks like the Christmas Rally just fizzled out.
TVC:SG10Y
by Auguraltrader
Weekly Leading Indicators: BEARISHManaged to streamline down to these couple of charts for a set of leading indicators. Simple trend analysis and techincals are being used here for Weekly charts and so weekly analysis is appropriate to set the stage for a top down view. First up (on the top right corner) is the Combined US equities chart that shows a strong marubozu the previous week (from elections outcome). However, the following week was not a confirmation, but instead casts doubt on the sustainability of the spike to rally on. Point being, the massive breakout is met with a Dark Cloud Cover that breaks back into the Decision Box (purple box) which was previously marked out for the consolidation range boundaries. Typically when a breakout is followed by a breakin, it tends to follow through to the other end... a break down from the box support. Yellow circle is where it should go through or bounce at. What gives on this is that the following Leading indicators are eluding to... SG10Y Govt Bond Yields The uncanny correlation of this to the US Equities Indexes is remarkable and have been a hallmark of my recent posts and analyses. Here we have a breakout of the trendline resistance. Means equity markets are going Bear. RED Flag High Yield Bonds ETF (JNK) JNK looks to break the uptrend trailstop line, with a lower high that now has a Dark Cloud Cover as well. AMBER Flag TIPS and TLT Both have broken uptrend trailstops and are downtrending with a recent low. These are well known market leading indicators. RED Flags Semiconductor ETF (SOXL) Noted, and personal favourite, SOXL is clearly bearish from simple candlestick patterns. RED Flag So, overall, we have Leads telling us it is BEARISH again. Heads up!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Auguraltrader
Market Leading Indicators - suggests DOWNThis is my most summarized panel of leading indicators which I use to assist in the determination of market projections, over and above technical indicators. The SG10Y is about to break out The JNK bonds are breaking down Both TIPS and TLT have already broken down the uptrend support (bearish trend now) The SOXL (semicon ETF) and the combined US Equities are just about to keel over. Leads have turned down or are at the turning point. Heads up!
CME_MINI:ES1!Short
by Auguraltrader
Be an expert at losing..Trading is a complex venture that involves understanding financial instruments, charts, patterns, market conditions, risk management and other factors. Becoming a successful trader requires more than technical knowledge. You also need to develop the right mindset to navigate the psychological intricacies of trading. Human emotion, instinct, and behavior can profoundly impact your decision-making process. That’s why it’s important to understand trading psychology. ~ OGwavetrader
Education
by OGwavetrader
Recognize the problems that you have..Trading is a complex venture that involves understanding financial instruments, charts, patterns, market conditions, risk management and other factors. Becoming a successful trader requires more than technical knowledge. You also need to develop the right mindset to navigate the psychological intricacies of trading. Human emotion, instinct, and behavior can profoundly impact your decision-making process. That’s why it’s important to understand trading psychology. ~ OGwavetrader
Education
by OGwavetrader
What Experienced Traders SayHey! In this post, I would like to share seven unexpected tips that can transform your trading approach and mindset. These insights, collected from various sources and trader experiences, challenge conventional wisdom. Implementing these principles can significantly enhance your trading performance and decision-making . 7 UNEXPECTED TIPS 1️⃣ Trading More or Longer is Not Better: Quality over quantity should be your mantra; focus on high-value trades rather than increasing volume. Trade proven setups. 2️⃣ Trading is Not About the Market; It's About You: Your mindset, discipline, and emotional control play a pivotal role in your success. Don't gamble! 3️⃣ The Focus is Not on Winning; It's on Not Losing: Risk only what you can afford to lose. Protecting your capital should be your primary goal — profits will naturally follow. 4️⃣ Demanding Certainty is Not Productive: Think probabilistically. Embrace the uncertainty of the markets; flexibility is key to adapting your strategies. 5️⃣ A Trader Does Not Need to Be a Genius: Successful trading is about consistency and learning, not innate talent. Get smart. 6️⃣ The Harder You Try To Make Money, The Harder It Becomes: LET IT GO! Sometimes, letting go of the need for immediate profits can lead to better results. 7️⃣ How Often You Win is Less Important Than You Think: Focus on your overall strategy and risk management rather than just win rates. You can be PROFITABLE with 33% win rate! What do you think about these unexpected tips? Have you experienced any of these insights in your trading? I’d love to hear your thoughts and experiences — drop a comment below! If you found these tips valuable, please give this post a like and follow for more insights!
Education
by ArShevelev
2
3 Pro Tips for Managing Losing Trades,Risk, Emotions & StrategyManaging losing trades is an essential part of trading, whether you're involved in stocks, forex, or any other financial market, we have all heard traders say I haven't ever taken a loss before my strategy has 100% win rate blah blah ok really, even the best traders in the world take losses, as humans we naturally don't like to lose but in trading its a part of doing business. Here are three in-depth tips to help manage losing trades effectively: ### 1. ** Develop and Stick to a Risk Management Plan ** A risk management plan is your primary defence against significant losses. The key components include position sizing, setting stop-losses, and managing risk-reward ratios. - ** Position Sizing **: Always ensure that you're not risking too much of your capital on a single trade. A common rule is to risk no more than 1-2% of your trading capital on any given trade. This way, even if you hit a streak of losses, your account can recover. - ** Set Stop-Loss Orders **: A stop-loss is a predetermined point where you exit a trade to prevent further losses. This should be set based on your analysis and not emotions. Many traders use technical levels like support and resistance or a percentage-based rule (e.g., 2-5% below the entry price). However, it’s essential to place the stop at a level that aligns with market conditions, rather than placing it arbitrarily. - ** Risk-Reward Ratio **: Aim for a risk-reward ratio that makes sense in the long term (e.g., 1:2 or 1:3), meaning that for every dollar you risk, you aim to gain two or three. This ensures that even with a lower win rate, your winning trades can outweigh your losses. ### 2. ** Detach from Emotional Biases ** Emotions like fear, greed, and frustration can cloud judgment, leading to poor decision-making during losing trades. Psychological discipline is crucial to protect against these common pitfalls. - ** Avoid Chasing Losses **: After a losing trade, many traders try to "win back" what they lost quickly, often leading to overtrading or taking high-risk trades. This is called "revenge trading" and can exacerbate losses. Take a step back, assess the situation, and only enter new trades that meet your criteria. - ** Accept Losses as Part of the Process **: Losing trades are inevitable. Successful traders view losses as an expense or cost of doing business. They understand that even the best trading strategies have losing streaks. Accepting this reality helps you avoid emotionally driven decisions. - ** Maintain a Trading Journal **: Keeping track of both winning and losing trades can help you identify emotional patterns. Record why you took the trade, the results, and how you felt during the trade. This reflection can provide insight into emotional triggers and help you make more rational decisions in the future. ### 3. ** Adjust Your Strategy Based on Market Conditions ** Markets are dynamic and constantly changing. What works in one market environment may not work in another. Regularly review and adapt your trading strategy to current market conditions, particularly after losing trades. - ** Assess Trade Context **: After each losing trade, conduct a post-trade analysis. Did the trade fail due to poor market conditions, execution errors, or a flaw in your strategy? Recognising these patterns can help you tweak your approach and avoid repeating the same mistakes. - ** Diversify Your Strategy **: Relying too heavily on one trading approach or asset class can increase the likelihood of losses during unfavourable conditions. Consider diversifying your strategies (trend following, mean reversion, etc.) and the assets you trade. This spreads risk and can stabilise performance during market volatility. - ** Cut Losses Early When Conditions Change **: If the market conditions that supported your trade change significantly, don’t hesitate to exit the trade, even before hitting your stop-loss. For example, news events or shifts in sentiment can render your trade idea invalid. Being flexible and willing to exit early when your initial reasoning no longer holds is essential. By applying a robust risk management plan, controlling emotional biases, and regularly adapting your strategy to current market conditions, you can navigate and limit the damage of losing trades.
NASDAQ:NVDAEducation
by Costy13
2
Warning Signs for Traders: Are You at Risk?Trading can be exciting and profitable, but it's important to spot habits that might hurt your success. Here are key warning signs to help you become a more disciplined and successful trader: Constantly Checking Charts : If you find yourself compulsively opening your charts every hour and feeling physical discomfort if you don't, it's time to reassess your approach. Constant monitoring can lead to impulsive decisions and increased stress. Impulse Trading on Minor Changes : Do you get the urge to jump into a trade at the slightest percentage change of a currency? This habit can be detrimental. Reacting to every minor fluctuation often results in overtrading and can erode your capital. Trading Without Stop Losses : Having open trades without setting stop losses is a recipe for disaster. Stop losses are crucial in managing risk and preventing significant losses. Checking Apps Before Starting Your Day : If your first action in the morning is to check your trading app or charts before even washing your face, it's a sign that trading is consuming your life. This habit can lead to burnout and poor decision-making. Not Keeping a Trading Journal : Failing to document your trades and thoughts can hinder your progress. A trading journal helps you learn from past mistakes and successes, allowing for continuous improvement. Tips for Better Trading: These warning signs highlight areas for improvement. By addressing these habits, you can enhance your trading strategy and outcomes. Here are some tips that have helped me become a better trader: Set Specific Times to Check Charts: Limit chart checking to specific times of the day. This helps reduce stress and impulsive decisions. Develop a Clear Trading Plan: Outline your trading strategy, including entry and exit points. Stick to your plan to avoid knee-jerk reactions to market movements. Use Stop Losses: Always set stop losses to manage risk effectively. This practice can save you from significant losses and emotional distress. Establish a Morning Routine: Start your day with a routine that doesn’t involve trading. This helps create a balanced life and a clear mind for trading decisions. Maintain a Trading Journal: Documenting your trades, strategies, and outcomes helps you learn from your experiences and refine your trading methods. By recognizing these warning signs and implementing these tips, you can cultivate a more disciplined and successful trading practice. Happy trading! Things you might like: - Trend Key Points Indicator have been used to draw important key levels and key points. - Abnormal Pin Bar indicator
Education
by bhnmzm
TRADING TIPS That SERIOUS Traders Know ( ͡° ͜ʖ ͡°)Trading can be like... following a diet🥨 You need a clear plan, but also some space for cheats. If you're prone to jump-in trading, have some funds available for it - trading should be fun! Take that risk. But plan for it. If you've spent your 10% high risk capitol for the month/quarter, then that's that. - Look for Fractals Fractals in higher timeframes such as the weekly are often reliable, as it points towards the cyclic nature of the market. How did I make +118% on SOL? By following a fractal from the previous bull market: - Learn Elliot Wave Theory From the DOGE chart, we can see that Point 5 is not going to happen. (not that it won't happen at all, but just that it won't happen for the short term). How do I know this? ...Elliot Wave Theory. The EWT tells us that if point 4 retraces beyond point 1, the bullish impulse is invalidated. We are now more likely to slow bleed down to Point 2. - Look for Reliable Patterns Sometimes, certain patterns can be seen moments before they are finally "finished" forming. It's important to know the rules of these patterns, and trade reactively. I knew where to short ETH. How did I know? The M-Pattern: Deep Dive guide on Pattern-Trading here: - Learn to Manage Risk with Leverage Let's not duck around - Trading is risky but crypto trading is VERY RISKY. Make sure you have a strategy. - Learn To Trade the Rotations There's a secret pattern in the relationship between Bitcoin, Bitcoin Dominance and altcoins by market cap. Make sure you understand it before you take a leveraged trade: - Pick a few Technical Indicators and STICK TO THEM It's tempting to use whatever new indicator is the flavor of the day... but how will you ever learn the secrets? Technical indicators have "secrets". They look different on different markets. For example, SOL can be "Extremely Overbought" without correcting much for an extended period of time, where as Bitcoin usually corrects when the "Extremely Overbought" signal flashes. (This is an observation from using one indicator on many charts). Personally, I love Bollinger Bands, Moving averages and Cryptocheck START V3.5 as my combo indicator. That's how I called the beginning of the new Bullish season in November 2023: It's important to note that none of these strategies are 100% fail proof. Even the best Wallstreet traders average on 58% per annum. Stop trying to follow people who claim to make +1000000....% per annum. Often, these guys have lots of money to lose, in other words it's more a fly-by-night than studying charts for consistent wins. As long as you're making more than interest rates from a fixed deposit at the bank - you're winning! ________________________
by CryptoCheck-
More Than Money 💸Hello, friends! 😊 What do you associate trading with? 🧐 For most of us it's exchanges and investments are primarily associated with big money. However, trading in the financial markets not only provides opportunities for earning but also for significant skill development and personal growth. Here are the top 4 qualities that trading helps to develop: 1. Strategic thinking 🧠 Systematic approach and having a well-thought-out strategy distinguish a professional trader from a gambler. Seeing that Bitcoin is rising and immediately buying it – that's not how it works: You need to follow rules to earn not situatively, but in the long term. First and foremost, adhere to risk management, which determines 90% of success. The main rules of risk management in trading that are useful in any endeavor: In trading: Invest no more than 1-2% of your deposit in one trade. In life: Don't put everything at stake for short-term gain: soberly assess what you can risk so you won't regret it later. In trading: It's not so important how much you earn. It's more important how much you lose or don't lose. In life: Weigh the pros and cons of every serious decision. In trading: Diversify risks, invest in different instruments so that potential losses from one asset are offset by profits from another. In life: Always have a plan B, and preferably plan C as well, to achieve your goal. Because if something can go wrong, it will. In trading: Cut losses to a minimum, let profits grow. In life: Don't waste energy, time, and resources on what doesn't bring benefits or doesn't work out. Strengthen what's strong: focus on what You do best. 2.Stress tolerance 🫨 Trading is not the easiest way to earn a living: you need to be mentally prepared for both profits and losses, not succumb to emotional impulses, and maintain self-control. Sometimes you have to " rise from the ashes " and start over from scratch. However, just like in life. Only 2-3% of traders have natural resilience: the rest need to develop it. Here are some tips from me, which I have formulated from my own experience: "To develop resilience, allow yourself to make mistakes, take on challenges, and solve complex problems. In doing so, you become stronger." "Learn to be flexible, not confined to your internal boundaries. " "Don't be afraid to be yourself, to develop internal freedom and individuality, so you can accept your mistakes without criticism. A successful trader is confident, free from societal judgment, and doesn't need to be perfect: they pursue their own goals, not dreams imposed by others." 3. Independence 🕊️ One of the main advantages of trading is freedom : there are no bosses above you, you manage your own time and resources, and you are solely responsible for your actions. You decide how, where, and how much to invest, what risks to take, and so on. The ability to take responsibility for oneself, not blame others for one's mistakes, and be independent in decision-making is a quality that is valued not only in trading. Independent, self-aware individuals progress faster in their careers, build harmonious relationships, and establish large-scale businesses. 4. Developing 🎓 You can't learn trading once and for all: the market is not static, it's constantly changing. Yesterday, for example, only a few knew about cryptocurrencies, and today fortunes are made on them. So don't miss the opportunity to learn more , interact with like-minded individuals. Thanks to the Trading View platform for providing such an opportunity. Here You can create your own charts, see what others think, and study educational content. In conclusion , folks, trading is a unique simulator that develops discipline, forecasting skills, responsibility, independence, psychological resilience, and a drive for self-improvement. All You need is diligence, discipline, and a community of like-minded people! Wishing You success!😘 🫶If You found this post interesting, hit the like button or as it's called now (boost) and subscribe so You won't miss out! Always sincerely yours, Kateryna💙💛
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by RocketBomb
Kira!& Captain Renzo In a bustling town nestled by the sea, there was a young trader named Kira. Her dream was to navigate the vast and unpredictable market waters, much like a seasoned fisherman seeking the best catch. Her mentor, an old trader named Captain Renzo, often spoke of the market as a treacherous sea full of challenges and opportunities. "Ahoy, Kira!" Captain Renzo would say with a twinkle in his eye. "The market is our battlefield, and our money is our ammunition. Every trade we make is like casting our net into the ocean." Kira was eager to conquer this sea of opportunities, but she soon learned that dangers lurked beneath the surface. Captain Renzo taught her about the enemies of trading: Fear, Greed, Rush, and Hesitation. "Fear can paralyze us, making us doubt our decisions," Captain Renzo warned. "Greed tempts us to chase after more, even when we've already secured a good catch." Kira nodded, absorbing his wisdom. "And Rush," she asked, "what does Rush do?" "Rush," Captain Renzo explained, "makes us act hastily without considering the currents of the market. And Hesitation? It causes us to miss out on great opportunities while we stand idle." As Kira embarked on her trading journey, she encountered these enemies time and again. Fear whispered in her ear during market downturns, urging her to abandon ship. Greed beckoned her to hold on for just a little longer, risking everything for more profit. But Captain Renzo had taught her well. He emphasized the importance of risk management above all else. "Just like a skilled sailor who knows the tides," he said, "a trader must understand risk. It's the compass that guides us through stormy seas." Kira learned to beat Fear by calculating her risks before setting sail on a trade. She countered Greed by setting clear profit targets based on risk management principles. Rush was tamed through diligent technical analysis, ensuring she weighed her risks and rewards before casting her net. One day, Kira shared her struggles with Captain Renzo. "Captain, sometimes I feel like I'm missing out on bigger opportunities." Captain Renzo smiled knowingly. "Ah, Kira, remember the fisherman's tale. If you catch a fish, be grateful for your catch. Don't throw it back into the sea in pursuit of more. Those who master this patience and discipline become the whales of the market." Kira nodded, her determination renewed. With each successful trade managed with discipline and risk awareness, she grew wiser and more confident. She knew that mastering these skills was the key to navigating the tumultuous market waters. And so, armed with Captain Renzo's teachings and her own newfound resilience, Kira set sail each day, ready to face the enemies of trading and emerge victorious in the ever-changing sea of opportunities. The Being of your story! we ask Allah reconcile and repay
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDEducation
by HamadaMark
10
XAUUSD: The Year of the Bulls 🐃XAUUSD: The Year of the Bulls 🐃 The last month or so has been a bullish infused few weeks for the precious metal gold, having surged above the 2000 level late last year with a spike up to 2140 and then settling down for the remainder of 2023 whilst initially being calm in Q1 price volume started to pick up in late february where it has since scaled to new all time highs with no precedence of any slow down occurrence. NFP (Non Farm Payroll) finished the week with a bang pushing price into new territory at 2336 where it sits at this moment, with a little correction looming it is likely that xauusd will continue its ascent into the next quarter section.
PEPPERSTONE:XAUUSDLong
by OfficialKieranTrewick
A rapid BTC and SOL uptrend worries me for my behaviour.For me as a swing trader, it's the first time I am dealing with uncomfortable emotions while the uptrend is remarkable going on and on... My thoughts are dealing with a mix of unbelief and trust issues. For all those traders with similar awareness, I put a list together of psychologic behaviour I have to deal with right now (12th of March 2024). I have decided to wait for selling due to all these in the list below. 1. FOMO (Fear of Missing Out) : When prices are rising quickly, there's a tendency to fear missing out on potential profits, leading to impulsive buying decisions. 2. Overconfidence : Success in a rising market can lead to overconfidence, causing traders to take on excessive risk or neglect proper risk management strategies. 3. Herd Mentality : Traders may feel pressured to follow the crowd, leading to crowded trades and increased volatility. 4. Confirmation Bias : Traders might seek out information that confirms their bullish bias, ignoring or downplaying negative indicators or news. 5. Greedy Behavior : Greed can cloud judgment, causing traders to hold onto positions for too long, even when signs of a reversal or correction are present. 6. Panic Selling : Despite the overall uptrend, sudden dips or corrections can trigger panic selling among traders, exacerbating market volatility. Being aware of these psychological tendencies can help you stay disciplined, adhere to your trading strategy, and avoid making emotionally driven decisions.
by Aadya2