I Spy with My Eyes... Bearish S&PTraders!
This is my first Public SPY Update and we are going to be discussing some of the fundamentals and technicals influencing the market at this time.
For those of you who do not know... this is an ETF that tracks the S&P 500 and I am bearish on this market at this point
Lower Structure Zone at 225 (ceiling) / 210 (floor)
Key Bull Level = 270
Key Bear Level = 245
Important Dates to Consider
November 8 2016 = US Presidental Election Day with Price Gapping Up to lead the Bullish Run
January 20 2017 Trump Inaugurated while price was sitting at the 225 Quarter Level
January 20 2018 One year Aniversary Structure + "Last Leg Up" & Divergence coming into alignment
*** February 1 to 9 Candlestick Formations ***
Jerome Powell new US Federal Reserve Chair Feb 2018
March 17 2018 New Moon
April 15 2018 ** New Moon (270)
Timeframe Scanning Significance Indications
Weekly 200 EMA is at 221 and there is high volatility and bearish momentum (strength) within the candlesticks
Daily 200 EMA is at 259 and the candlestick formation when Jerome Powell was brought into office looks (almost) identical to the weekly "last leg" candle
H4 200 EMA (lagging indicator) at the time of this publication nearly coincides with yellow eclipse
H1 Clear Divergence in the 200 EMA and candle formations with several instances of price gapping down followed by a LOT of bearish momentum (strong, full candlesticks)
Trading can contain substantial risk and is not suited for every investor. An investor could potentially lose all or more than their initial investment. "Risk capital" - is money that can be lost without jeopardizing ones financial security or life style. Only "risk capital" should be used for trading and only those with sufficient risk capital should consider trading. I am not a licensed financial advisor nor does I give out financial advice. You assume full risk and responsibility for your trading activity. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Individual results will vary due to a variety of market and timing conditions.
Timeframes
KTS 0.1a [BETA]VERY early release of KTS for those who have contributed to the early efforts of the upcoming Kawaii Trading Suite package.
When you first add this to a chart- nothing will happen. You need to enable the features you want in the indicator's settings menu. Many of these are based off of indicators i've already published (and are linked for in-depth description). The following features available:
Daily Support/Resistance levels
Hourly Support/Resistance levels
General Support/Resistance levels
The three above use the same algorithm but are designed for different timeframes.
Renko Bar Overlay (overlays a Renko chart on any timeframe you want)
Renko Signal Overlay (for those who want to know when renkos go green/red without the giant overlay)
The two above indicators use 1D renkos by default (since that's the shortest TV lets free accounts use) but you can use any timeframe you wish in settings.
Alt Sentiment Signal overlay (Simple up/down arrow when altcoin sentiment changes)
Witchcraft support/resistance clouds (can be toggled individually)
Planned but not-yet-finished features include:
Ichimokou Clouds
Golden Cross signal
Plus many more things I haven't posted anywhere else yet. Be aware that beyond this point, anyone wishing to try this product will have to pay a reasonable fee. Please do not message me asking for access to private indicators if you have no intention of paying for them.
KTS 0.1a [BETA]VERY early release of KTS for those who have contributed to the early efforts of the upcoming Kawaii Trading Suite package.
When you first add this to a chart- nothing will happen. You need to enable the features you want in the indicator's settings menu. Many of these are based off of indicators i've already published (and are linked for in-depth description). The following features available:
Daily Support/Resistance levels
Hourly Support/Resistance levels
General Support/Resistance levels
The three above use the same algorithm but are designed for different timeframes.
Renko Bar Overlay (overlays a Renko chart on any timeframe you want)
Renko Signal Overlay (for those who want to know when renkos go green/red without the giant overlay)
The two above indicators use 1D renkos by default (since that's the shortest TV lets free accounts use) but you can use any timeframe you wish in settings.
Alt Sentiment Signal overlay (Simple up/down arrow when altcoin sentiment changes)
Witchcraft support/resistance clouds (can be toggled individually)
Planned but not-yet-finished features include:
Ichimokou Clouds
Golden Cross signal
Plus many more things I haven't posted anywhere else yet. Be aware that beyond this point, anyone wishing to try this product will have to pay a reasonable fee. Please do not message me asking for access to private indicators if you have no intention of paying for them.
T-Bond within a few weeks of MAJOR buy on 128H oscillator?rwilday noticed some good scalp buys this week from Fractal Resonance Composite lines on a 30 minute ZB chart and (facetiously) asked if it was time to buy big. In this case the 30-minute chart gives too narrow a view, but we can find the dominant timescale candidate on the 8H chart's 128H oscillator (FR_COMPONENT timescale multiplier=16). It's lead line is -87% oversold but still tilted down. Another 2-6 weeks may be needed before it flattens and crosses up with bold green dot -0.59% for a potentially MAJOR bi-weekly or monthly buy. The case for local 128H dominance will be strongest then if the 256H lead line (row below) has also flattened WITHOUT reaching its green shade zone.
Fractal bearish harmonic patterns in SPX for month-day-hourIn addition to these incredibly clear harmonic reversal patterns shown, the larger one makes up part of a monthly bearish harmonic pattern that looks the same at the top of a large yearly uptrend. This looks like an incredibly strong indicator of a full reversal into a bear market in about 4 months.
There are also fundamentals that happen to confirm this such as prominent financial figures indicating short sentiment and large money managers
I am not shorting this directly, but buying oppositely correlated things, namely cryptocurrencies(BTC,ETH,LTC,some ICOs), and longing some, holding others especially after the last few days of extremely steep SPX dump.
Price Action shows Bearish signs on NZDUSD!After a powerful bullish trend the FX:NZDUSD shows a nice indecision candle on top of a resistance area.
From the price action point of view this usually means that the bullish power might be transitioning to the bearish side. What do i do?
I executed a pending order below the low of the indecision candle to go short. As always i keep my Risk/Reward a 1:2 minimum.
Trading Details:
Time Frame: 6hr
Entry: Below the low of the indecision candle
Stop loss: A few pips above the high of the Indecision Candle
Risk/Reward: 1:2
Account Risk: 2%
[AUDUSD] PIN BAR CANDLESTICK + AREA OF RESISTANCEFX:AUDUSD
In this trade we can see a nice preceding bullish trend heading towards an area of resistance, next we see a nice pin bar candlestick which tells us that the bullish power might be transitioning to the bears. Confirmation is needed for me, so i executed a breakout entry below the low of the pin bar candlestick or also called Indecision Candle.
Trading Details:
Time Frame: 12hr
Entry: Below the low of the indecision candle (Pin Bar)
Stop loss: A few pips above the high of the Indecision Candle
Risk/Reward: 2:1
Account Risk: 2%
Trading Plan for next 2 weeksTrade ideas are based on my anticipation of an inverse head and shoulders.
This should atleast help gaining some orientation for price action and time windows.
Make sure to check out my other charts for more information.
Feel free to leave comments or questions bellow and upvote this chart if this is usefull to you.
Cheers : ]