TESLA - 15 SEP 2020This information is intended for educational purposes only and does not give financial advice.
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Teslamotors
TESLA ABOUT TO BREAKDOWN - RECOVERY TREND!Depending on new chart study, it looks that Tesla will breakdown, with a recovery trend.
Market of tesla about to open.
TESLA have done great before - and a recovery means not always bad.
Can tesla increase more , and not breakdown.
Yes thats possible, nobody know the future. the only thing we do are expecting depending on data.
# watch also the BTC up trend.
Have good time all(:
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# dont take this post, or any other post from else as advice. nobody know the future.
TESLA looks to go for new recovery ( Day trade update below 420its was great, and the before expecting 440+ usdt already hit.
Depending on new chart study, its possible that tesla will breakdown ( recovery)
Can tesla also go further in up trend?
Yes its possible. but know that a recovery not always means bad. i expect that tesla can go below 420 usd.
Have good time all :)
If you like the post give it a like and follow for more updates.
@ never just take a news/alert as advice, always do your own study, and trade on your own way.
NIO looks to make new all time high! The 2020 hype expecting!Depending on the data, expecting that NIO will make a new all time high 22 usd +
Read more about the businessmodel - the electric car sell data. this company done great, and expecting a huge breakout soon.
Can this business also breakdown?
Sure, noting is 100% and we cant see the future, the only thing we do are expecting depending on news, trends, and the basic TA.
Have good time all! -- and maybe see you at all time high soon!
# if you did like this post, pleas give it a like, and follow for more trends.
Thank you!
Tesla About to breakout 440+ - the future car!Depending on new chart study, it looks that Tesla about to increase - and in this time a breakout expecting.
ITs not only about Tesla as car, but also the last news about ELON MUSK, and with them new business - Neuralink.
What do i expect?
I expect that Tesla can hit 440 +
Can tesla also breakdown more?
yes thats possible, Nobody will know the future, but depending on chart study it should increase.
Have good time all!
if you like this post, pleas like it, and follow me for more updates.
Thank you !
The imminent TSLA Implosion - Beware Monolithic Financial NewsOne of the biggest red flags when it comes to investing is a monolithic/singular message reverberated ad nauseum throughout the financial news media. Lately, everything about Tesla has been nothing but positive with almost no analysts commenting on the 800-lb gorilla in the room. Just months ago, Musk was threatening to move production out of California due to what he referred to as 'fascist' government orders to shelter in place - shutting down Tesla's largest production facilities for both its vehicles in the bay area and its battery production in Nevada. Those production stoppages from March to May are going to severely impact Tesla's Q3 financials and is likely a HUGE reason behind Tesla both being rejected by the S&P 500 AND Tesla raising $5B in cash from common stock sales - diluting its shares by more than 1%.
Now the hype is all around 'Battery Day', with Musk himself hyping it just yesterday on Twitter saying it's going to be exciting. Everyone already knows about the million mile battery, so while it's interesting tech, it's not something that isn't already priced into the stock and what's more, it's provided by a source outside Tesla through their chinese partner, Contemporary Amperex Technology Ltd. - so despite it being good news for EVs everywhere - VW can buy the same 'million mile battery' that's going into the future Teslas.
Just last year, TSLA was struggling to keep up with demand - so much so that Tesla had to walk back from earlier statements that it's gigafactory would be putting out 3,000 model Y's a week by 6 months. Now, the fallout from COVID-19 is coming home to roost. Tesla produced 110k cars in Q1, 82k cars in Q2. In 2019, Q2, Q3, & Q4 churned out 87k, 97k, and 105k respectively. With the massive amount of debt Tesla has taken on to build new gigaFactories in China and Germany - they can't afford to be shut down. This was confirmed by musk in a tweet after he told employees that every unit that produced was incredibly important. It was also confirmed by Musks actions to force workers to return to work or forfeit unemployment benefits defying the Shelter in Place order. More than 130 confirmed cases of COVID-19 would pop up at Tesla and another 20 at their suppliers. Adding to production troubles, many Tesla clients cited quality issues with new deliveries - a clear sign of an overstressed, undermanned workforce.
Expect TSLA to try to fill the gap left by last week's S&P snub of 15% in premarket trading this morning. I think it's almost inevitable that shortly thereafter, many of the big inst's will sell off their shares into retail traders waiting arms who are all excited about battery day. TSLA will see a big correction before Battery Day as news of the inevitably bad financial news and Q3 deliveries start to circulate.
Perhaps the most telling sign of coming fundamental troubles for TSLA is the company's decision to combine it's shareholder meeting with it's Battery Day pep rally. While everyone is OOO'ing and AWWW'ing the million mile battery, TSLA will also be discussing the substantial losses the company took from the COVID-19 pandemic and increasing competition in the marketplace.
The fact that TSLA is overvalued is no longer relevant to the argument - despite being completely true. Tesla's cash on hand is the real issue. The real value of TSLA was just revealed by the most recent common stock offering the company used to raise $5B if you were smart enough to see it.
The shares that TSLA sold diluted the market cap by roughly 1.2%, and the market handed TSLA a 35% stock price drop because of it. An over-reaction? Perhaps, but with a price to book ratio of 32.39, while the average auto & truck manufacturer price to book ratio is a paltry 1.9 - and that INCLUDES Tesla. Clearly, if we removed tsla from that average, we would be looking at something closer to 1 (note: anything less than 1 is considered good by value investor standards, and anything less than 3 is preferred). 32.39 to 1 and 35 to 1.2 are practically identical ratios. If a 1% dilution causes this type of sell off, there's no better indication that the stock is incredibly overpriced.
To avert a flash crash due to the abysmal numbers we're expecting during the shareholder meeting, Elon is going to be doing the song and dance for battery day on the 22nd. I'm a big fan of Tesla, and have made most of my trading income by buying long calls on TSLA. At least for the short term, TSLA is about to turn into a pumpkin. They'll no doubt rebound, but I don't think we'll ever see a 2500 stock price again - or anything near it. TSLA is the #1 market cap right now for 2 reasons: they were first in the EV market and their autopilot tech is super cool and a competitive advantage that other manufacturers will have a tough time emulating. However, both of those strengths have temporary ramifications - nobody thinks about whether ford or gm was first to market and it's just a matter of time before every other car manufacturer has some type of autopilot feature. But the infrastructure to build up production capacity to the levels of the Big 3 takes decades - and that's time that Tesla unfortunately just doesn't have.
Summary:
*BEWARE THE BULL TRAP set by an elevated premarket price.
*TSLA is estimated to be ~40k units behind production forecasts. This will decimate financials as one of their largest costs - labor - saw no downturn despite the pandemic.
*Battery Day was combined with the shareholder's meeting to distract from what will undoubtedly be horrific financials because of COVID-19
*There has been a severe divergence between volume and price - which indicates a high probability of trend reversal
*There's evidence of big institutions selling off their positions by block sizes, erratic price action, and low liquidity based on the bid/ask gaps.
*TSLA's stock has been on a tear, but reality will set in fairly soon. The shareholder meeting will reveal the cash position of the company - which is likely to be terrifying to many investors and reveal the company's reason for the recent $5B stock offering and S&P rejection. The company will likely only have a few months of reserves at best.
*Tesla will undoubtedly survive the coming big drop, but getting back to profitable on a consistent quarterly basis is going to take time. However, we likely saw the top of TSLA's stock price over the last few weeks. Expect some more big steps down in the week to come and around Q3 earnings as well.
*RSI shows the stock is severely overbought on the daily, and every time TSLA has run into this high a level on RSI, the following day was almost always negative or at best, flat.
NIO looks to breakout the all time high 22+ ! the next tesla?Depending on new chart study, it looks that NIO can breakout the all time high soon.
i expect depending on sells data of this company, and more trends, that this company can become huge.
What do i expect?
I expect a price above 22 usd + with new all time high
Can it also breakdown?
Yes sure, nobody know the future. but depending on expecting, add this update for long.
Have good time all!
If you like my post like it and follow for more updates.
Thank you!
TSLA bout to close that GAP to $400 after hoursLoad up on TSLA. There's no sure thing in the market, but this one is about as close as you can get.
Bounced off key support uptrend at $330.
TSLA had to sell $5B in common shares to increase percent of public float shares available. Why? They didn't need the capital. Simple - it's required to be included in the S&P 500. The S&P 500 requires that 50% of a company's shares be held by the public rather than private equity/owners/directors/etc.
TSLA completed that sale in less than 4 days, but it also greatly exaggerated the 20% drop we saw yesterday, and the 35% drop we've seen this week.
With the sale complete - expect $TSLA to continue it's climb faster than ever before.
Tesla's battery expo is expected to shake up the EV industry with some incredible tech. It's a given it'll have something to do with battery capacity, but just how much battery capacity may be the most important tech invention since the internet (yes, really). There's rumors Tesla plans to unveil the million mile battery. Beta's have already confirmed the battery good up to 1.24M miles.
2 people move the markets by their tweets. Trump and Elon. Even though the cybertruck launch was pretty much a disaster - the stock still went up like crazy the next few days. ANY expo with Elon talking about new tech is going to hit the afterburners for Tesla stock
TSLA Train Ticket Now On SALE!Hello Traders,
TSLA is going to the the 2nd moon!
Just kidding.
We chose TSLA as our top choice in the tech sector based on today's premarket setup for a nice bounce play. Two price levels we were watching:
1. $357.50 Premarket Highs
2. $341.90 Premarket Low Support
TSLA initially opened very strong breaking above the premarket highs but we did not enter due to other sectors in the market not following through. We were looking for an initial sell off so we waited.
Around 11-11:30AM EST we saw TSLA trading near the premarket lows but bounced nicely at the support. At this time we noticed the rest of the market getting into some buying mood and took our LONG trades at $348.50-$348.80.
First Target to $425 area. Will decide if we'll even keep any...
Do not chase these moves. We're not out of the woods just yet.
Good Luck Traders!
*NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE, THIS IS JUST OUR PERSPECTIVE AND WE DO NOT RECOMMEND ANY TRADES WE PUBLISH ON OUR CHANNEL. YOU WILL LOSE MONEY.
TSLA Stock Split had me interested but...TSLA is the hottest performing stock of the year and that's great but there's a few things to keep in mind short-term.
On the Weekly time frame the stock is nearly parabolic. A combination of that along with the RSI starting to show bearish divergence has me seeing it pulling back sometime in the next 3 months (Nov/Dec).
On the lower time-frames you'll also see bear volume increasing. I think we'll top off around $550 but historically speaking we've had dumps around election time. Smart money would wait until November/December when the Daily and Weekly RSI hover back down to the 40 range.
Additionally, you have fresh meat entering the market via Robinhood etc who aren't familiar with the stock market or technicals. Any sell-off will be exacerbated by them panic selling.
Target for a rebuy is $275-$280.
TSLA Share Price Trading In ThousandsTSLA price action has been heavenly for bulls and agonising for bears; the price of the stock has increased more than by 1000% in just a few months. The above chart is an attempt to illustrate that increase by taking a locked price to bar relationship of $5 per 240min of trading. The result is quite simple yet elegant — an easy roadmap to navigate for the upcoming year at least.
Tesla - great example of buy on fear and sell on greed? Let seeTesla news everywhere last week with their stock price smashing through 2000.
Will it keep going up I read?
Shall I buy now?
Is it too late to jump in now?
Who know.... nobody knows.
But to me, as soon as the news starts talking about it the fear and greed scenario could kick in - just like BTC at 20k?
The people late to the party will jump in and then panic sell if there is a short term sell off ... potentially.
Anyway, it could keep going up for sure - until we see any signs of rejection the trend is still up!
What goes up - does NOT have to come down, why?
Because it can keep going up first.
Anyway, stick to your own plan and strategy and always focus on your risk management.
Check out the book we recommend to help keep your emotions in check and trade fearlessly.
Over and out.
Darren
$TLSA GLHFI really want to short this but picking a top on the hottest bull market stock is asking for pain.
Roleplay of gametheory to fuck the market, Id say the scenario plays out that Friday the 21st is probably choppy that looks bearish, then Monday gap up to fuck all the shorts.
Short on HOD monday and GLHF try not to die.
Personally trying to balance not revenge trading this because I was too much of an idiot for not just buying and holding, so much to learn from this chart and why I missed.
Personally will review trades after this market cools a bit because too many mistakes were made.
TESLA - are we done ? Looking at Tesla , the Sell Signal occured pointing on the ongoing correction. We already sold the excess at 1780$ (previous Idea) Waiting for confirmation if 1485$ can hold to get back in or we going to see some lower correction levels around 1250$ - 1050$. The Buy signal will be the final confirmation.
No financial advice, only my idea.