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Teslaanalysis

Tesla 30 Min Correcting up now !!!!!!Good morning traders Here is your 30 minute view of what the market looks like its doing: Currently we have some strong resistance at 220-223 area: my best thesis is we hit here and then fall back down. However we follow the market not predict it therefore if those levels break then I would not be surprised we go back to the top correct a touch and then break through and head up to the 280 range. Any questions, what you like and dont like let me know happy to help where I can MB Trader
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Tesla Four Hour surprising correction but how far will it go up?So Based on previous analysis the thesis is we would drop down however this did not occur. With the new thesis we are seeing possible 5 scenarios take shape plus one which is Tesla takes off like a rocket and makes higher highs: however unless confirmed on the Weekly I dont see that being likely as of yet. Currently the 235-238 area is what I am more leaning towards: however that being said the market can drop at one of those five levels shown in the image. So please be beware of it. Any thoughts or questions? What do you like and dont like? Always open to feedback MB Trader
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by Mindbloome-Trading
Tesla Four Trend Analysis ? So right now we need more clarity and more data to determine will this market correct more up and will this level it is holding on hold and back down via where the red line is. Personally my thesis is 3 scenarios: Scenario 1:We hold on this pitchfork line and book it down. Scenario 2: We correct up to the 50% Fib and more pitchfork resistance at the 218 level then head back down Scenario 3: The market disregards all two scenarios and we punch up which then makes us revaluate our thesis's for the daily trend possibly Weekly and Monthly Let's see what the market does tomorrow and then we update our thesis from there What are your thoughts on this analysis ? Do you find it helpful? MB Trader
NASDAQ:TSLA
by Mindbloome-Trading
Tesla Weekly Analysis ? Bearish quite possibly Weekly: Tesla: My thesis is if we continue bearish and break the pitchfork resistance at the 200 area we will then go down to 176 range which could possibly see some type of correction before continuing to head to our first goal which is 142.93 which then we could see a correction before heading further south. The key here is with the bearish thesis is to make sure we break the 205 area , then 190 then go to 180 range first before this thesis becomes more true and evident to our lower targets. Let me know what you think ? MB Trader
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by Mindbloome-Trading
Tesla - Possibility Of A BreakoutNASDAQ:TSLA can break out soon: Over the past two weeks we saw an incredible stock market rally and also Tesla completely reversed the flash crash which we saw in the beginning of August. It is still quite possible that Tesla will break out of the long term triangle and immediately head back to the previous highs. Levels to watch: $230, $400 Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by basictradingtv
$TSLA Powering down expected until we break the channel The chart is still showing a bearish trend with the price trading within a descending channel, indicating a consistent downtrend. Key Levels: - $200 Resistance: The failure to reclaim and hold above $200 reinforces bearish sentiment. - 0.618 Fibonacci Support at $165: This level is the next major support within the current downtrend. A break below could lead to further declines. - Target 1 ($165): Immediate support level, aligned with the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement. - Target 2 ($100): A deeper support level and potential downside target if bearish momentum continues. The price remains below the moving averages, further supporting the bearish outlook. NASDAQ:TSLA is likely to test the $165 level, with the potential for further decline towards $100 if the bearish trend persists. A bullish reversal would require a break above the descending channel and key resistance levels.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by CryptoFallen
1
Tesla - It was a clear fakeout!NASDAQ:TSLA just confirmed a false breakout and is now reversing towards the downside. Being able to only read price action properly can already make you a profitable trader. Tesla was attempting a triangle breakout last month but closed with a significant bearish wick. Therefore this is considered a false breakout and Tesla will head lower over the next couple of weeks since it is still trading below the resistance trendline. This was just pure price action. Levels to watch: $160, $120 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by basictradingtv
2
Tesla (TSLA) VOL 2. | Retest After The Breakout!Hi, Some months ago I shared the Tesla idea, and it worked out perfectly! Now the second opportunity, we have seen that the price of Tesla has made a breakout from the trendline. It has seen quite a few attempts to break through it, all failed but not the last attempt, the last attempt was quite powerful and the retest area is also quite strong so these are the major reasons I would like to share this idea. Obviously, do your own work but if it is matching with mine then you are probably ready to go ;) Good luck, Vaido
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by VaidoVeek
TSLA Bearish Trend with Key LevelsTechnical Overview: - Support Levels: Immediate support at $164 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement). Further support around $100. - Resistance Levels: Primary resistance near $260 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement). - Moving Averages: The daily 50MA is currently above the price, indicating a bearish sentiment. - Volume Analysis: Volume is relatively stable, but a decrease could indicate further bearish movement. Outlook: Tesla is currently within a descending channel, showing bearish tendencies. A breakdown below the $164 support could target $100. Conclusion: NASDAQ:TSLA current bearish trend suggests a potential move down to $100, with key support at $164. Watch for volume changes and price action at these levels.
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by CryptoFallen
1
Tesla - Fakeout leading to a -50% drop?NASDAQ:TSLA is currently trading at a key inflection level, forming a trend for the next years. Within a couple of hours, an entire stock can reverse and fundamentally change its trend. Tesla is still retesting a multi-year resistance trendline and is down about -8% today. If this selloff continues and Tesla rejects the resistance trendline with a massive bearish wick, then we will most likely see a correction back to the lower support of the descending triangle pattern. Levels to watch: $240, $120 Keep your long term vision, Philip - BasicTrading
NASDAQ:TSLAShort
by basictradingtv
15
TSLA | TESLA is OvervaluedTesla, Inc.'s second quarter earnings confirm our view that the stock is one of the most overvalued stocks in the market. Tesla's stock has been rising this year amid a sudden shift in overall market sentiment, with many investors now pricing in a soft-landing scenario after a brutal past year of Federal Reserve rate hikes. But the shift in market sentiment doesn't change the fact that Tesla's stock fundamentals are completely disconnected from reality. Tesla is a terribly overvalued stock that we think is worth closer to $26 per share instead of its current price of about $290 per share. While Tesla is profitable, its profits are nowhere near the levels needed to justify its current valuation. We recognize that Tesla's business generates an impressive return on invested capital (ROIC), which is a key measure of profitability, especially for an automaker. However, that ROIC is already declining in the trailing-twelve-month (TTM) period. Using our reverse discounted cash flow (DCF) model, we find that for the stock to have any upside at current levels, Tesla must improve its ROIC to levels not achieved by even the most profitable businesses in the world . Figure 1 shows Tesla's historical ROIC along with the future ROIC implied by its current stock price. We provide the assumptions behind this DCF scenario later in this report. Tesla's latest earnings continue to show that it is not immune to competitive challenges and will likely see lower profitability in the future. But, its valuation implies the opposite. Any investor with fiduciary duties should be aware of the growing disconnect between Tesla's current fundamentals and the future fundamentals implied by its stock price. Even in an optimistic future cash flow scenario, shares could trade as low as $26/share. All the details are below. Supply Constrained Argument Is Gone: Bulls have long argued that demand for Tesla vehicles has always exceeded the supply of vehicles. However, Tesla's multiple price cuts in 2023, along with its lackluster production levels through the first half of 2023, raise questions about just how much demand there is for Tesla vehicles, especially amid competition from rivals Ford (F), General Motors (GM) and virtually every other automaker. Q2 2023 marks Tesla's fifth consecutive quarter in which vehicles produced were greater than vehicles delivered. Tesla is no longer selling every vehicle it can make. Should demand for EVs slow, Tesla could find itself with higher than wanted inventory levels, which could lead to further price cuts and additional pressure on already falling margins. Continued Cash Burn: Despite Tesla's top line growth, it continues to burn massive amounts of cash. Over the past five years, Tesla has burned a cumulative $4.2 billion in free cash flow (FCF), including $3.6 billion over the trailing-twelve months (TTM) alone. Tesla has generated negative FCF in all but one year (2019) of its existence as a public company. Margin Decline: Tesla's "GAAP gross margin" was 18.2% in 2Q23, down from 19.3% in 1Q23 and 25.0% in 2Q22. 2Q23's GAAP gross margin was below expectations of 18.7% and remains at its lowest level since 4Q20. Tesla's operating margin is also moving the wrong direction as it scales up. After selling 211 thousand more vehicles in 2Q23 compared to 2Q22, Tesla's reported operating margin fell 493 basis points YoY in 2Q23. Tesla noted in its press release that reduced average selling prices were one of the items that impacted margins in the quarter. We would expect Tesla's margins to fall further as competition limits pricing power across the industry. While Tesla has rapidly ramped up vehicle production and deliveries, its market share must increase almost exponentially to justify the expectations baked into its stock price. However, as it stands, Tesla holds a meager share of the global auto industry, and its share of the EV market ranks behind incumbents across Europe and China. In Europe, based on sales from May 2023, Tesla holds a 12% share of the EV market, much lower than VW Group (20%) and Stellantis (STLA) at (14%).In China, also based on sales from May 2023, Tesla holds 9% of the EV market compared to a staggering 38% share for top competitor BYD. Bulls have long argued that Tesla isn't just an automaker, but rather a technology company with multiple verticals such as insurance, solar power, housing, and, yes, robots. We've long refuted these bull dreams. Regardless of the promises of developing multiple business lines, Tesla's business remains concentrated in its auto segment. Auto revenue accounted for 86% of Tesla's TTM revenue as of 2Q23.Tesla can no longer enjoy its first mover advantage as many other major automakers are producing electric vehicles. These competitors have more experience in auto production and more resources and cash flow than Tesla to invest in the electric vehicle market. Tesla is at risk of losing market share to its competitors in the electric vehicle space and its stock price is currently not reflecting that, which is a major risk for investors. Since bottoming out at the beginning of the year, the stock has come up almost 200%, stopping just shy of $300. One could say the recent selloff is due to the earnings, but technical analysis would have suggested that a selloff was due even before the earnings. Firstly, we can see that a significant bearish divergence has been building in the RSI since June. Furthermore, we have been nearing an important area of trade as highlighted by the red rectangle. The $300 level has been a key area of trade, and you’d expect to see some resistance. So if a pullback has begun where can we expect it to end? As I see it, we have formed an initial ABC structure from the lows in wave 1 of a five-wave impulse. This means that wave ii could now take us down to the 61.8% retracement of this rally, which lands us at $198. We can see that this is also a very important area of support, as shown by the Visible Range Volume Profile. And, of course, we have the 200 day Moving Average offering support around this level, too.
NASDAQ:TSLA
by moonypto