Is This the Final Chapter in Buffett's Tech Journey?Warren Buffett’s once unshakeable partnership with Apple seems to be reaching a critical juncture, leaving market watchers with more questions than answers. For years, Buffett and his Berkshire Hathaway embraced Apple, with Buffett even calling it “the greatest trade of all time.” Yet, with Berkshire’s recent decision to reduce its stake by a staggering 67%, the dynamic is shifting. While initial statements attributed the sales to tax planning, the sheer scale hints at a deeper strategy. This raises the question: is this a calculated portfolio rebalancing or the beginning of a more profound shift in Buffett’s investment philosophy?
The timing of these sales isn’t random. Apple now faces several hurdles, from slower growth projections in a competitive smartphone market to increasing regulatory scrutiny in the U.S. and Europe. The conglomerate’s move coincides with Apple's potential weaknesses, suggesting Berkshire is not immune to the broader industry concerns, such as competition in China and challenges in artificial intelligence—a field where Apple appears to be lagging.
Interestingly, some experts speculate that the recent passing of Charlie Munger may have influenced Buffett’s decision. Munger, who historically favored Apple, played a pivotal role in Berkshire’s tech investments, balancing Buffett’s more cautious stance on technology. Now, Berkshire’s shift could signal a strategic return to its foundational values, preferring stability over tech’s unpredictable currents.
As Berkshire Hathaway maneuvers through these adjustments, Apple remains its largest equity holding, hinting that Buffett hasn’t fully turned his back on the tech giant. But with record cash reserves and a keen eye on emerging opportunities, the next steps Berkshire takes could redefine not just its portfolio but perhaps even broader investment trends in the years to come.
Techstocks
AMD Can it survive this horrific week?On August 13 (see chart below) we called the start of the new long-term Bullish Leg on Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), as a week before it entered the 2-year Higher Lows Zone and rebounded:
Still, the road (green Channel Up) isn't without its hurdles, and one of them is this week where the price is again being brutally sold towards the Higher Lows Zone. Notice that during the previous 2-week correction (August 26 - September 03 1W candles), the Zone's top was tested and held.
As a result, the multi-year trend remains bullish and will be this way for as long as the Higher Lows Zone holds.
It is interesting to observe at this point that the Bearish Phase of this pattern (March 04 - August 05) was in the shape of a Bearish Megaphone and can be compared to the one that bottomed on October 10 2022 and practically started the new Bull Cycle.
Notice also that so far each Bullish Leg (green Channel Up) rose by +141.87%. Within this comparison, and if we plot the Fibonacci levels from the Leg's bottom to top, we can see that the first Bullish Leg also had a rejection on the 0.618 Fib level and pull-back below the 0.786 into the Higher Lows Zone.
Obviously the current correction isn't ideal but it is not something we haven't seen and is within the tolerance levels of this 2-year pattern.
We expect another +141.87% rally to be concluded on this Bullish Leg, so our Target is straight up $295.00.
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Meta: Buy Opportunity with Strong Short & Medium Term SignalsMeta Platforms NASDAQ:META (META) is on track to hit new record highs at $610, and the short- and medium-term technical indicators suggest a strong buying opportunity. Here’s why:
In the 2-hour and 4-hour timeframes, several key indicators are flashing buy signals: The Exponential Moving Averages (10, 20, 30, and 50) across both timeframes are all signaling bullish momentum, indicating upward strength.
In the 4-hour chart, Momentum (10) is positive, and Bull Bear Power is also supporting further gains. While there’s a MACD Sell signal, it’s outweighed by the overall uptrend across multiple moving averages.
In the 2-hour chart, the MACD Level has switched to Buy, and the Volume Weighted Moving Average (VWMA) is also bullish, suggesting growing strength in the short term.
In the daily timeframe, Meta shows even more confirmation for a bullish stance: Most of the key Moving Averages (EMA 10, 20, 30, 50) are aligned with continued upside, supporting a sustained uptrend. The MACD and Momentum indicators show some divergence, but overall the market remains tilted in favor of a bullish outcome, with price action well above the 100 and 200-day moving averages.
Risk-Reward Setup: The combination of buy signals in both short and medium-term charts presents a favorable risk-reward setup. Meta’s strong uptrend suggests a continuation toward new highs, while the technicals back a bullish bias with several layers of confirmation. However, caution should be exercised with short-term volatility, but the overall trend still supports the case for a long position.
Considering these factors, entering long positions with a target at $610 offers a compelling opportunity to ride the momentum of one of the tech market leaders.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational purposes only and should not be considered as financial or investment advice.
#NFLX Targets for the Meltup in equitiesI have called a couple real big pattern moves on #Netflix
so on todays mega rally
I take a quick look at the potential price projections that may or may not end up occurring
I am not a guru or price forcaster
i just draw lines on charts like always
Your Risk
Your Reward
But i am someone who does highlight Risk i.e. downward prices when I feel/see that might be a possibility
Yes I know
this game is not easy.
SIRI - Getting Sirusly BullishSiri earnings are here and there are MANY reasons to be bullish.
Fundamentals
Warren Buffet's Berkshire has been buying relentlessly over recent months.
The stock is down 68% from its high in July this year.
Siri's earnings have been exceptional for years. Tomorrow (31st October) is predicted to be no different.
Gross margins of 49%, EBITDA margin of 29% and P/E ratio of 8.2 in prior quarter.
Technicals
RSI has put in a higher-low & is giving us a glimpse of divergence. The price recently put in a lower-low, suggesting selling pressure is limited from here.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:SIRI is just about to complete a 7 year accumulation phase in a wedge pattern (yellow).
When it does so, it will also put the finishing touches to an inverse head & shoulders (or cup and handle) pattern that has lasted 23 years. That head was a HUGE elongated structure, after the stock was teetering on the verge of bankruptcy in 2008/9.
By taking the height of the H&S structure and applying it on-top (white arrows), you get an eventual price target (T2) of, that's right ....$10,100 a share. 370x from current levels.
That T2 target also corresponds with the 2.0 fibonacci level.
An earlier more modest initial target is the 1.414 fib, of $530 (19.3x). This coincides with it's prior all-time high and where the stock may find a place to rest for a breather on it's meteoric rise.
An extended T3 target for the 2040s would land in the fib pocket (2.272/2.414) priced at between $40k - $80k a share.
And yes. I'm deadly Sirius .
Summary
NASDAQ:SIRI looks like it will be shining bright until at least 2030, and likely beyond.
One of the best value investors of all-time agrees (at a time when he is raising significant cash from Apple & Bank of America) amidst uncertainty & a transition of infrastructure.
Satellite communication companies are really about to kick into their adoption phase. We may all soon realise why Siri is a crucial part of that future.
TESLA just made a crucial break-out that few are noticing.Tesla (TSLA) soared last week following the better than expected earnings, an event we covered extensively, and have practically erased all the negativity/ cautiousness that came following the Robotaxi event.
However, the closing of last week found Tesla making a crucial bullish break-out that might have gone under most people's radar. The price not only broke the Lower Highs trend-line that started all the way from the November 2021 All Time High (ATH) but almost managed to close the 1W candle above it.
Technically this is a major buy signal long-term that targets the final two Resistance Zones (1 and 2) of the Bear Cycle. With the 1W RSI effectively consolidating like February - May 2023, we believe that as last year, the price will now start the 2nd phase of the April 22 2024 Bullish Leg of a potential 2-year Channel Up.
We expect Resistance Zone 1 to break and if upon a re-test it holds, our long-term Target of $380.00 should finally be materialized.
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TESLA Have today's upbeat earnings erased the Robotaxi disaster?Tesla (TSLA) reported yesterday third-quarter results that beat Wall Street estimates and said it expects to achieve "slight" growth in deliveries this year. This was enough to send the price in an after-market frenzy and so far in-session rising almost by +20%.
In fact, Tesla's market cap has increased by $126B today, the largest single day jump ever! Those earnings may prove to be pivotal for the automaker as they come just a few days after the Robotaxi event, which the market considered disappointing.
So can those earnings result be enough to reverse Tesla's fortunes, which has been massively underperforming relative to (particularly) the rest of the Magnificent 7? Well this can be answered through a technical perspective, with a chart that we published more than 2 months ago (August 15, see chart below):
That was Tesla's Channel Up since the January 06 2023 market bottom on the 1W time-frame, where we caught a buy just after the August 2024 Low. We projected that to be halfway through the new long-term Bullish Leg of the Channel. The recent October correction can be viewed as the April 24 2023 2nd wave of the mid-term pull-back of the Bullish Leg.
On the current analysis we view the same pattern but on the 1D time-frame, where the 1D MACD in particular excels at illustrating the identical nature of the two Bullish Legs price actions.
Right now the MACD is forming the 2nd clean Bullish Cross under the Lower Highs belt, a formation which on May 04 2023 turned out to be the confirmation that started the 2nd phase of the Bullish Leg that completed a +195% rise from the January 2023 bottom.
As a result, not only do we expect the stock to reach Resistance 1 (299.50), which is the July 19 2023 High before the year ends but also test Resistance 2 (385.00), which is the April 05 2022 High by January 2025.
Our Target long-term remains a straight up $380.00 as we pointed out those months back.
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Nvidia - New All Time High Is Coming!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can rally another +50%:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
After creating an expected correction of about -40%, Nvidia is now almost back to new all time highs, showing no signs of weakness despite the recent tech stock correction. If Nvidia creates a new all time high, it is quite likely that it will rally again, potentially all the way up to $400.
Levels to watch: $200
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NVDA: Riding the AI Hype Wave to $250!NASDAQ:NVDA just hit its all-time high last friday, reaching my swing trade target. While I took profits as part of my routine discipline, I still believe there's plenty of upside left, with $250 in sight.
Here's why:
Strong Fundamentals: Nvidia consistently beats earnings expectations, with EPS climbing from $0.11 to $0.68 over recent six quarters. This growth trajectory shows no signs of slowing down, reinforcing the stock's upward momentum.
Analyst Confidence: Out of 65 analysts, 51 rate Nvidia as a "Strong Buy," with none suggesting a sell. While the average price target is $149.81, the highest target of $202.79 shows strong backing from the financial community.
Bullish Technicals: Weekly and daily moving averages, from the 10-day to the 200-day, are flashing "Buy" across the board. Add to that a myriad of other indicators in different time frames (basically, you name it), and it’s signaling "Buy." In short, everything is pointing towards continued bullish momentum and potential for further gains.
Market Leadership: Nvidia's dominance in AI and high-performance computing continues to grow. Its cutting-edge AI chips, as well as its strong presence in data centers and gaming, put the company in a prime position to capitalize on key growth sectors.
And finally, why am I more bullish than even the highest analyst target? Well, it’s simple: the hype. Nvidia is at the forefront of the most exciting and disruptive technologies today—AI, data centers, gaming—you name it. The market's enthusiasm surrounding these sectors is growing exponentially, and Nvidia is perfectly positioned to ride that wave. Sometimes, fundamentals and technicals align with pure market excitement, and that’s where I see Nvidia pushing past those conservative estimates toward $250.
Disclaimer: This content is for informational and educational purposes only. It should not be considered as financial or investment advice. Trading stocks involves risk, and you should perform your own research or consult with a professional before making any investment decisions. Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Bullish on NVDA: Riding the AI Wave!In trading, understanding the probabilities is crucial. By analyzing historical price movements and applying mathematical principles, I can identify high-probability setups on my charts.
This mechanical strategy allows me to make informed decisions about entering long positions on NVDA.
Why probabilities?
They help me navigate the unpredictable nature of the market, ensuring that my trades are backed by solid data rather than just intuition.
Here are some key fundamentals currently supporting a bullish bias for NVIDIA (NVDA):
- Surging Demand for AI Chips: NVIDIA is at the forefront of the AI revolution, with its chips being essential for training large language models and powering generative AI applications. The company has seen a staggering increase in demand for its GPUs, particularly the H100 chip, which has become critical for tech giants like Microsoft, Google, and Meta.
- Impressive Financial Growth: NVIDIA's stock has surged over 150% this year, significantly boosting its market capitalization. Analysts expect continued strong revenue growth, with projections estimating a 75% increase in third-quarter revenue to approximately $31.69 billion. This financial momentum reflects the robust demand for its AI-related products.
- Strategic Positioning in Data Centers: As companies invest heavily in AI infrastructure, NVIDIA's GPUs are becoming indispensable for data centers. The projected global capital expenditure on data centers is expected to rise dramatically, benefiting NVIDIA as it supplies the necessary hardware.
- Innovative Developments: NVIDIA is actively developing new AI processors to comply with U.S. export regulations, ensuring it maintains a foothold in critical markets like China. This adaptability positions NVIDIA favorably against rising competition from companies like AMD and Huawei.
- Market Leadership: With its early investments in AI technology and continuous innovation, NVIDIA has established itself as a leader in the AI chip market. This dominance allows it to command premium prices and maintain high profit margins, which were reported at 79.1% in the first quarter of 2024.
These factors collectively create a strong foundation for a bullish outlook on NVIDIA as it continues to capitalize on the growing demand for artificial intelligence technologies.
Join me in this journey towards maximizing our potential gains as we ride the bullish wave!
12M:
2W:
1H:
COINBASE Enormous upside from this point. $360 minimum Target.Coinbase (COIN) has staged a strong bullish turnaround since our last analysis (September 09, see chart below) and it appears that we caught the perfect bottom buy:
The stock has been trading within a long-term Channel Up since the first week of January 2023 (22 months). Within this time span, it has seen 4 corrections with the latter being the longest as we haven't seen a new High since the week of March 25 2024. The current correction is almost the same (-48.50%) as the January - April 2023 (-47.15%), while the other two have been around -39%.
The key for now is to close a 1W candle above both the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) and the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). That will be the last confirmation for this Bullish Leg. This on its own is a very pessimistic development, with the presence of only the 1W MA100 (green trend-line) remaining to offer support long-term.
Now as for the upside, the minimum % rise of a Bullish Leg within this Channel Up has been +146.82% (two times). As a result, as long as the 1W RSI closes this week above its MA trend-line (yellow), a bullish signal that emerged on all previous 4 bottoms of the Channel, we can expect the new Bullish Leg to rise on a minimum +146.82% from its bottom, which gives us a $360.00 Target.
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Meta (META) Testing Key Levels: Breakout or Breakdown? Evening Traders
Meta (META) is currently trading in a key range, and the next move could be significant! 📊
Upside Potential: If META breaks above the critical resistance at $596, we could see a rally toward the next target of $600.44. 📈 Bulls should watch for momentum above this level as a potential breakout zone.
Downside Risk: A failure to hold the current support at $582.99 could see META retrace toward the next major support at $569.35. 📉 Bears will be eyeing a break below this level for further downside action.
Stay alert for a strong move in either direction! This chart is loaded with opportunities for both bulls and bears. 🔥
Mindbloome Trader
Happy Trading :)
Fiserv: Trading Opportunities!Recently, the FI stock surged directly into our green Target Zone (coordinates: $186.40 – $207.40). This year alone, it has gained over 40%. With the recent arrival in our Zone, the time is now ripe for an overarching trend reversal. Because: by hitting our Zone, the price has reached the absolute minimum target for the green wave . From a technical perspective, an immediate trend reversal and a transition into wave II are now possible. At the moment, we place Fiserv in the turquoise wave 3, which should be followed by another dip below our Target Zone. Ultimately, the entire turquoise upward impulse should complete the overarching uptrend of the beige wave I. Thus, our Zone can be used to take profits from existing long positions or to initiate new short trades. Such potential short positions can be hedged with a stop 1% above the 78.60% retracement level (at $207.40).
Magnificent Seven ETF: Predicting the Next Market Movers!NASDAQ:MAGS has broken above previous highs and is currently trading above key level.
It has now formed a trading within a range and the strategy here is simple. Risk on upon a strong break above and risk off upon a break of the lows.
Either way we are macro bullish but in case we get the ideal retrace this will be a perfect time to position ourselves in the tech stock sector.
QQQ range boundQQQ hovering around the resistance of the core channel from 2010. Found support on the center of the black channel that is based on the COVID bubble. Price seems to generally range bound in this area between trendlines. Looks like more sideways without something big to push it one way or the other. Overall, it seems like tech has run out of FOMO. That does not mean we don't keep moving sideways and slowly up, but it does feel like any big moves to the upside are less likely.
650, BE THEREThis has the upside potential to be 650, before that happens it could dip towards 450 which will be a big buying opportunity. Whether it hits 450 or not, most likely it will test its all-time highs which is 30% upside potential from current price.
Happy Trading!! Not a financial advice.
PALANTIR Sell signal at the top of the 15-month Channel Up.Palantir (PLTR) gave us a solid buy signal 3 months ago (June 24, see chart below) as it respected the recurring bottom sequences within the 15-month Channel Up:
Right now the price has been consolidating after a direct hit at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the Channel Up. The 1D RSI got overbought and started pulling-back on a standard Bearish Divergence, a formation which three time within this pattern turned-out to be a solid sell signal.
The dashed Channel Up gives us a short-term Target on its bottom, which is where the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) is trading at and is the short-term Support. That is our Target currently (Target 1 = 34.50).
If and only if, we close a 1D candle below the 1D MA50, we will open a new sell, as it will be a bearish break-out signal. In that case, we will target a potential near contact with the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which is the long-term Support and where the remarkable buy entries of August 05 and January 31 were provided (Target 2 = 29.50).
Keep in mind that the most optimal buy entry for the long-term (since May 2023) has been given by the 1D RSI and more specifically when it hits its Support Zone. We will continue to place buy long-term buys accordingly.
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TESLA pulling back on Q3 deliveries. Is there a reason to panic?Tesla (TSLA) opened considerably lower today as they announced Q3 deliveries of 463000 units, below the heightened expectations of around 470,000 from the buy-side and just slightly above the consensus estimate of 462,000. Is this a typical market overreaction on data or the start of a stronger correction ahead of the Robotaxi event next week?
Well from a technical standpoint, our thesis on Tesla is well known and hasn't changed since the August 15 update (see chart below), where we called for a $380 target within the long-term Channel Up:
Even on the more short-term 1D time-frame, we can see that the stock is respecting a Channel Up pattern that started on the August 05 bottom and for the past 30 days has been supported by the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line).
The last correction like the one we're having this week, was from August 20 to 28, which then rallied by +30.50%. As a result, the minimum Target now for November is $310.
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SMCI Is it a by after the stock split??Super Micro Computer Inc (SMCI) just had their 10-for-1 stock split and what's on everyone's mind now is this: Is it a buy? Well after a fresh 8-month Low last Thursday, the market certainly doesn't look at its best, quite the contrary, it is on the worst position it could be after the July 15 High and the start of a Channel Down with series of Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
There is a certain level though, where all of SMCI corrections came to an end since the March 23 2020 bullish break-out during the COVID flash crash, and that is the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
As you can see, before the stock turned completely parabolic in May 2023, it was trading within a Channel Up since the October 01 2018 market bottom. With the use of the Fibonacci Channel levels, we can accurately put into context the subsequent parabolic move too, which extended all the way to almost the 4.0 Fibonacci extension on the week of March 04 2024 and the All Time High (ATH), before starting its correction.
In the meantime, notice the excellent Buy Signal that the 1W RSI is giving in the last 6 years, every time it approaches the 30.00 oversold barrier.
So as long as the 1W MA100 keeps closing the stocks weekly candles above it, we will be bullish, targeting $125.00 (the ATH). If that fails to support though, expect further downside to the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line), where we will place a second long-term buy.
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Apple - IPHONE 16 LONG NOW! Awaiting the new Iphone 16 set to be released this month this stock is likely to continue its bullish run short term. As previously mentioned, price was at key level and needed to break either side. It started to break bullish now. Price needs to stay above $228 for further bullish momentum to continue.
TRADE IDEA
- Entry at market price and dollar cost average your entry till high $225’s
- Targeting previous highs of $137.
- Stop at $225.5
SMCI - Can Super Micro Computer regain trust of investors?Super Micro Computer received non compliance note from Nasdaq for failing to timely file its annual report for the period ending June 30 by the Aug. 29 deadline.
The company said it had 60 days to file the report or submit a plan to regain compliance.
After Hindenburg short report and notice from Nasdaq, much negativity already priced in. If they can file their report for ending June 30, rebound started from just below 400 , might reach 530-usd (61.8%). In the end, revenue growth for fiscal year is expected at 80%.